Shortest win price
Arizona Dreamer (6)
3.20
Welcome to Morphettville for Race 2, the Sportsbet Fast Form (Bm70) over 1250m on a soft 5 track under overcast skies, with jump time set for 2:12 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Arizona Dreamer sits right at the top of the betting as the shortest runner, closely followed by Czech Out, Nolabell, and Vandaross rounding out the main fancies. The numbers jump off the page for this competitive three-year-old benchmark battle, and the stats feed points to plenty of intriguing recent winning form coming through the grades.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those sharp prices, Czech Out for trainers G Richards and D Moyle jumps from barrier 8 with Taylor Johnstone steering, bringing a big tick of consecutive wins after stringing together brilliant victories at Morphettville including a 3Y BM68 HCP triumph. Rated 98 by IRD, this runner is shooting for a hat-trick and rates a real chance after flying home from midfield last time. Meanwhile, Nolabell for trainers Aaron Bain and Ned Taylor starts from barrier 5 with Jackson Murphy aboard, coming off a massive dominant front-running win by a big margin in a 3yo+ maiden plate at Strathalbyn over 1200m on soft 5 going. That speed map lists Nolabell as the lone leader, and the highest rating in the field at 100 suggests another bold showing is on the cards.
Digging further into the speed groups and runner profiles, Arizona Dreamer draws barrier 4 for trainers R and C Jolly and Teagan Voorham, coming off a gritty win at Morphettville over 1050m following a patient and confident ride. Vandaross starts from barrier 7 for M J Seyers and Jacob Opperman, aiming to build on a Gawler maiden win and a fast-finishing effort from the tail at Morphettville. Tweeter and Sidebar will look to use their early speed from the onpace speed group, while Annie's Croft benefits from an inside draw in barrier 2 after saluting last start. The numbers say this 1250m test will be run at a cracking tempo, and our pick of the bunch points to Nolabell and Czech Out giving punters plenty to cheer about.
Shortest win price
Arizona Dreamer (6)
3.20
Most career wins
Czech Out
3-2-1 from 9 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Czech Out · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Vandaross · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Sidebar · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Tweeter · Negative
Jockey Booking
Kayla Crowther current POT is 33% below Career Avg.
Career
9: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
8: 2-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
8: 2-2-1
Track Murray Bridge
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1100m
3: 2-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 3-2-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 96%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 72% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
In Form
Positive
Racing in top form recently
AAP
Shooting for hat-trick. Off midfield when flew home to score at Morphettville. Hard to toss.
ILB
Finished well when winning last start at this venue. Won last 2 in succession. Solid chance.
RP
Scored by a slim margin in a handicap two weeks ago; goes for a hat-trick today; has to be considered.
RSIS
Charged home to win last run at this track. Undefeated last 2 attempts. Must respect.
Career
9: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Morphettville
5: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-1-1
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 29% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Broke maiden at Gawler 23 Oct. Closed off late from the tail at Morphettville. Placed only other run at Morphettville Parks. Right in the mix.
ILB
At $11.00 underwhelming when 6th last time at this track. In good form since coming back from a spell. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Creditable sixth over 5½f here (handicap) last month, a race won by the reopposing Czech Out; has found improvement of late; makes limited appeal with several rivals in good nick.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and not competitive when 6th last time here. In good condition lately.
Career
5: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 36% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 14%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Not beaten far here two back over 1400m. Unable to make an impression at Morphettville. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Started $41.00 and tailed off to finish 6th last time here. Shows good early pace. Felicity Atkinson takes a large claim. Slim possibilty.
RP
No threat to winner, Czech Out, here last month (finished last) when back to 5½f; others more likely.
RSIS
Started 40/1 and faded away to finish 6th last time here. Has plenty of early pace. Large claim helps.
Career
5: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
3: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Kayla Crowther current POT is 33% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (17-weeks). Ex D Clarken & O Macgillivray in SA. Placed on debut last campaign while brought on by 2 trials. Can make her presence felt fresh.
ILB
First up and couldn't keep the momentum going throughout when 3rd beaten by 4 1/2L first up last preparation at Gawler. Racing for a new trainer. Solid career start. Limited possibility.
RP
Beaten 6l when eighth of 11 over 7f here (Group 3) four months ago; starts out for new stable; competitive shout if finding her best form and dropping in class.
RSIS
Resuming and faded at the finish when 3rd resuming last preparation at Gawler on a heavy surface. First appearance for a new trainer and facing weaker opposition.
Career
1: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 60% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse 89% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 105%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 67% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 89%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Straight into the black book after a terrific debut at Naracoorte. Capable of figuring again.
ILB
Picked up nicely to win last run at Naracoorte and fitter for debut run. Should be swooping on the field late. The large claim from Shayleigh Ingelse helps. Expecting a strong showing.
RP
Scored first time out at Naracoorte at evens two weeks ago; has to be respected.
RSIS
Ran on strongly to win last time at Naracoorte and fitter for debut run. Has a great burst of pace late. Shayleigh Ingelse takes a large claim. Facing stiffer opposition. Gets a chance against these.
Career
4: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Morphettville
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1050m
3: 1-2-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-2-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
A patient and confident ride secured the result at Morphettville first run back. Warrants attention.
ILB
Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last start here and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Marginal contender.
RP
Won by 2l when opening her account at the fourth time of asking last week in a maiden; others appeal more despite that win last time.
RSIS
Strong effort to the line to win last run around here and solid career start. Form has been improving over recent runs. Competing in a higher grade.
Career
3: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Totally dominated from the front in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Strathalbyn second-up. Speedy. Jackson Murphy on again. Sharper now, can again play a role.
ILB
Led and controlled the pace when winning by just over 5L last time at Strathalbyn and good career start. Should jump out and bowl along. Matched against a stronger field. Strong claims.
RP
Wide-margin winner of maiden at Strathalbyn when getting off the mark at the third time of asking three weeks ago; despite that Strathalbyn success, unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Went to the front and never looked back to win by a margin of just over 5L last time at Strathalbyn and promising career start. Displays good tactical pace. Will be there at the business end.
Career
3: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 1-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 25% POT in their L100 Races
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Really gutsy performance on the speed at Strathalbyn second-up. Comes back in trip a touch. One for exotics.
ILB
Ran over the top of them when winning last run at Strathalbyn and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Been in the placegetters each attempt this preparation. Not interested.
RP
Got the job done in a maiden by less than a length at Strathalbyn when registering her first success at the third time of asking last month; some claims.
RSIS
Picked up nicely to win last run at Strathalbyn and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Has run into the placings at every start in recent runs.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Connor Murtagh 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Returns for second campaign (19-weeks). Placed at Balaklava on debut last campaign while brought on by a single Murray Bridge Gh trial. Has an adverse draw for return. Sound claims fresh.
ILB
First up and ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L first up last preparation at Balaklava. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Great chance.
RP
Not beaten that far (Murray Bridge Gh) in July when just behind Tweeter; returning from a layoff here; others more appealing.
RSIS
Resuming and produced an eye catching run when 3rd resuming last preparation at Balaklava. Should jump out and bowl along. Solid chance.