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Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 10 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 10 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Sportsbet Green Tick (Bm56) 1500m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for race seven on the card, the Sportsbet Green Tick (Bm56) over 1500m on a good four track under overcast skies. The win market lines up with Fearless Writer heading the quotes, closely followed by Rough Enuff, Two To Tango, and Diamanda rounding out the top markers in the early betting order.

The numbers jump off the page for Fearless Writer, who comes here off a sound runner-up effort over this exact track and trip when refusing to shirk the task. Rough Enuff rates a real chance after scoring smartly at Sale second-up and carrying plenty of weight here with Luke Nolen in the saddle, where the rider is outperforming career averages by a big margin. Two To Tango also brings appeal, having run on with conviction from the back half over 1200m at Swan Hill, with the rise in distance looking a distinct plus.

Down the line, So You Excel maps well at this track and is noted for outperforming market expectations by ten percent from the leader's lane. With plenty of speed types drawn across the field including Russian Roni and Nikephoros pressing forward, this 1500m test shapes as an absolute thriller. Check the final odds on track and back your judgment.

Race notes

  • 3UP BM56 HCP,3yo+,BM56,Benchmark 56
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Fearless Writer (5)

2.20

Most career wins

Diamanda

13-9-11 from 79 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Phoenix Flyer

Offmidfield

  • 4Two To Tango
  • 12Shout Out Girl
  • 13Mrs Gossip

Midfield

  • 1Rough Enuff
  • 5Fearless Writer

Onpace

  • 6Diamanda

Leader

  • 8Russian Roni
  • 9Nikephoros
  • 10So You Excel

  • Rough Enuff · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Two To Tango · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Fearless Writer · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Diamanda · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Rough EnuffJ: Luke Nolen·T: Ms C Alderson163kg6 5 6 2 16: 1-1-1$3.70$1.32

Career

6: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Sale1400m25 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY10-1.25
  2. 2Seymour1200m11 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT51L
  3. 6Cranbourne1400m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.8L
  4. 5Pakenham1400m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY96L
  5. 6Caulfield Heath1200m4 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.9L
  6. 3Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
  7. 3Pakenham1200m9 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD31.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Billy Egan 48% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 29% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Billy Egan winning at 32% POT in last 100 rides

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

Comments

AAP

Accounted for rivals smartly at Sale when second-up. Plenty of weight but has talent and right in this.

ILB

Charged home to win last start at Sale on a heavy track and gets the perfect draw. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Very tidy performer.

RP

Has shown some recent improvement; came out on top by just over 1l at Sale over 7f (maiden) last month, getting off the mark at the sixth attempt; needs considering as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest.

RSIS

Dashed home to win last start at Sale and will appreciate a good stall. In the top three at every start lately and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Capable of winning this.

2Pol RogeurScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Insights

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Mornington 5 Apr. Taken back and safely held in shallow field this track off long break. Will be fitter second-up and rise in trip a plus.

ILB

Average effort when 7th last start around here but will find this grade easier. Showing consistent performance in races. Going up in weight.

RSIS

Not competitive when 7th last time at this venue but competing in a less challenging grade. Solid career start. Has to cope with a weight increase.

3Sensational RulerScratched10––––

Career

13: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 11Wangaratta1590m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD47.62L
  2. 8Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.75L
  3. 1Kilmore1450m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-1.3
  4. 4Hamilton1600m12 July 2026 · BM56-HWGT · HEAVY104.7L
  5. 7Moe1614m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY97.5L
  6. 3Moe1623m12 May 2026 · BM56 · SOFT75.3L
  7. 1Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.3
  8. 4Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.6L

Insights

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Wangaratta at double-figure odds. Fringe place hope at best.

ILB

Below par performance when 11th last start at Wangaratta.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 over 1m at Wangaratta (handicap) last month; if excused most recent runs he would be interesting based on success three runs ago; not without hope.

RSIS

Below par performance when 11th last time at Wangaratta.

4Two To TangoJ: Jackson Radley·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes961kg2 4 10 7 48: 1-1-1$3.60$1.32

Career

8: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1440m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Swan Hill1200m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.95L
  2. 7Pakenham Synthetic1200m5 Oct 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.6L
  3. 10Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM78 HCP · SOFT76.65L
  4. 4Caulfield1440m9 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · SOFT73.35L
  5. 2Flemington1400m25 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM 70 HCP · GOOD36L
  6. 3Sale1206m8 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD31.77L
  7. 1Pakenham1100m19 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-1.5
  8. 9Echuca1200m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT2.48L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ran on with some conviction from back half at Swan Hill when drifting in the betting second-up. More ground a plus. Well placed to make an impact here.

ILB

At $7.50 pushed past some when 4th last time at Swan Hill. Has a nice turn of foot. Will go close.

RP

Fair effort over 6f at Swan Hill (handicap) two weeks ago; slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Pakenham in March and form has an up and down look to it.

RSIS

Started at 13/2 and made some ground when 4th last run at Swan Hill. Displays good closing pace. Strong chance to be considered.

5Fearless WriterJ: Damian Lane·T: A R Mcgregor760.5kg3 4 4 8 242: 3-7-7$2.20$1.14

Career

42: 3-7-7

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    6: 1-2-1

  • Third-up

    6: 0-1-2

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-2-0

  • Track Mornington

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 2-2-2

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    23: 2-5-3

  • Going Heavy

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 1-2-3

Last starts

  1. 2Mornington1500m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.4L
  2. 8Ballarat1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD43.1L
  3. 4Bendigo1600m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.77L
  4. 4Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY81.9L
  5. 3Pakenham Synthetic1600m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC1L
  6. 5Pakenham Synthetic1600m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.5L
  7. 7Sale1411m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY84.1L
  8. 6Pakenham1400m29 May 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY85L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Refused to shirk task in 3yo+ (Bm56) this track over this trip. Form sound this level without winning. Shapes as a major player.

ILB

Close to a win last run around here. Expected to be competitive.

RP

Beaten a neck last month; has won here before; a while since her last success.

RSIS

Narrowly denied victory last run around here. Strong chance.

6DiamandaJ: Chelsea Thompson·T: M T Binney1060kg2 8 8 1 779: 13-9-11$10.00$2.40

Career

79: 13-9-11

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    7: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    7: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    7: 1-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    15: 1-2-3

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    6: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    16: 2-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    7: 0-0-2

  • Going Unknown

    4: 4-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.11L
  2. 1Cranbourne1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD3-0.75
  3. 8Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.83L
  4. 8Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT55.4L
  5. 2Moe1600m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY102L
  6. 5Pakenham1600m1 May 2026 · Open · GOOD43.5L
  7. 4Yarra Valley1500m15 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD45.4L
  8. 1Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · BM56 · SOFT6-2.3

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Michael Binney in good form, out performing market 82%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 70% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Iron horse. Solid 79.5kg winner at Cranbourne 9 Oct. Led, soon under pressure and dropped off this venue. Can play a role here.

ILB

Jumped at $13.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last time at this venue. Capable of a strong comeback. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Large claim helps. Solid claims.

RP

Has won here previously; finished seventh but wasn't beaten too far (just over 4l) over 6f here (handicap) last month; others more likely.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and didn't attack the line when 7th last time at the track. Should improve from the last run. Definite contender.

7Real AllianceScratched12––––

Career

37: 7-2-3

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 1-2-0

  • Third-up

    5: 2-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Moe

    3: 2-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1521m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1610m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 3-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 4-1-0

Last starts

  1. 10Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.97L
  2. 4Tatura1450m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.7L
  3. 5Ballarat Synthetic1500m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.3L
  4. 8Cranbourne1600m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY95.6L
  5. 10Cranbourne1600m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT78L
  6. 6Flemington1400m6 June 2026 · Benchmark 84 · HEAVY810.6L
  7. 11Pakenham1400m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT66.5L
  8. 6Great Western1950m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT54.1L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Luke Oliver striking at just 4%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 52%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 61% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 36%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (43-days). Went home tamely at Kilmore at $16. First time around Mornington. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Jumped at $16.00 and weakened to finish 10th last start at Kilmore. Has struggled so far this preparation.

RP

Towards the rear of 13 at Kilmore over 1m (handicap) 43 days ago; she meets the required standard ability wise; rates a likely contender.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Was 15/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last start at Kilmore. Struggling of late.

8Russian RoniJ: Sheridan Clarke·T: Ms R Kelly559.5kg12 5 11 10 445: 5-5-4$41.00$4.60

Career

45: 5-5-4

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1680m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1732m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    24: 3-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    7: 1-0-2

Last starts

  1. 4Balranald1400m24 Oct 2026 · BALRANALD CUP · GOOD40.82L
  2. 10Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.72L
  3. 11Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC9.9L
  4. 5Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.2L
  5. 12Seymour1600m19 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY920.3L
  6. 12Echuca1400m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY1010.1L
  7. 9Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY1010.1L
  8. 1Kilmore1612m15 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT6-1.3

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 120%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 36%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Gave good account Balranald Cup. New to Mornington. Latest okay but winless from 8 goes at the trip.

ILB

Jumped at $12.00 and finished 4th last time at Balranald but up against weaker rivals. Expecting to settle positively. Will have to carry more weight. Can measure up against these.

RP

Creditable effort in fourth (beaten less than a length) at Balranald over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; he meets the required standard ability wise; big player as recent performance was encouraging.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and came in 4th last start at Balranald but lining up against easier rivals. Shows good early pace. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt. One of the value chances in this race.

9NikephorosJ: Logan Mcneil·T: D M Noonan858.5kg5 1 11 11 418: 1-0-2$61.00$5.50

Career

18: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Coleraine

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1414m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    9: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.9L
  2. 11Murtoa1600m25 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT714L
  3. 11Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT711.8L
  4. 1Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY8-0.3
  5. 5Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY106L
  6. 6Ararat1600m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT71.8L
  7. 7Cranbourne1300m17 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT67.5L
  8. 4Cranbourne1200m3 Apr 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD32L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -70% POT in their L100 Races

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (15-weeks). Went close in Maiden company at Cranbourne first-up last campaign. New to Mornington. Prefer to see fresh.

ILB

First up after a break. Was $41.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last time at Murtoa. Tough ask.

RP

Finished last of 11 at Murtoa over 1m (handicap) in July; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

First run back after break. At 40/1 faded to finish 11th last start at Murtoa. Ran 4th in a trial at Caulfield Heath on Oct 1st.

10So You ExcelJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Tim Hughes658kg1 12 10 3 99: 1-1-1$15.00$3.10

Career

9: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    5: 1-1-0

  • Track Moe

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1457m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD413.52L
  2. 3Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.56L
  3. 10Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47L
  4. 12Sale1419m17 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD415.4L
  5. 1Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD3-0.3
  6. 4Moe1200m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.5L
  7. 2Sale1206m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD30.8L
  8. 4Sale1100m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT65.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Was a long way from the action in 1457m 3yo+ F&M (Bm56) at Kilmore. Outside place prospect at best.

ILB

Was $26.00 and didn't attack the line when 9th last time at Kilmore. Shows good early pace. Others are more appealing.

RP

Finished last of nine at Kilmore four weeks ago; is passed over.

RSIS

Started at 25/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Kilmore. Should muster plenty of early pace.

11Phoenix FlyerJ: Sarah Robbins·T: Sarah Robbins255.5kg11 4 7 9 8108: 9-14-16$126.00$10.00

Career

108: 9-14-16

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Emerald

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Gatton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1750m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1850m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Firm

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    73: 8-12-10

Last starts

  1. 8Wangaratta2000m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD415.75L
  2. 9Warrnambool1200m15 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD413.41L
  3. 7Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SYNTHETIC10.65L
  4. 4Mount Gambier1000m20 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.7L
  5. 11Moree1600m22 July 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT57.8L
  6. 12Kilcoy1900m6 July 2025 · BM55 HCP · SOFT612.6L
  7. 10Dalby2000m3 June 2025 · SOFT613.52L
  8. 6Gladstone1517m24 May 2025 · Benchmark 55 · UNKNOWN3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ex Brendon Newport in Victoria. Finished out the back at Wangaratta over longer assignment at huge odds. Switching to 1500m. Has seen better days.

ILB

Odds of $151.00 and didn't threaten when 8th last time at Wangaratta but drawn nicely. First race for a new trainer but down in trip. Might be ridden for luck. Take on trust.

RP

Beaten 16l in eighth at Wangaratta last month upped to 1m2f; shown only moderate recent form; first start for trainer; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Started at 150/1 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Wangaratta but will try to take advantage of the draw. First appearance for a new trainer.

12Shout Out GirlJ: Sally Wynne·T: Ms D Wynne354kg10 9 4 9 1027: 1-1-4$91.00$7.50

Career

27: 1-1-4

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    5: 0-0-2

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    4: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    15: 1-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 10Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT510.5L
  2. 9Bairnsdale1200m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58L
  3. 4Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.3L
  4. 9Bairnsdale1600m7 Sept 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD39.7L
  5. 10Bairnsdale1200m12 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT58L
  6. 9Echuca1209m25 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT79.3L
  7. 10Yarra Valley1968m26 Oct 2024 · 0 - 58 · SOFT517.28L
  8. 3Bairnsdale1600m14 Oct 2024 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD36.25L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 63% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (67-days). Ridden back and never a factor this track over this journey. Struggling for form.

ILB

Resuming. At $201.00 sub-standard effort when 10th last start at this venue but has been racing in stronger company. Might have to make up considerable ground. Can't possibly entertain.

RP

Tenth of 12 two months ago upped to this distance; been a while since she managed only win and needs to improve on balance of recent form; passed over.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started 200/1 and disappointing outing when 10th last time at the track but up against a less competitive field. Likely to get back.

13Mrs GossipJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: K E Horobin454kg6 7 12 6 1031: 1-1-3$81.00$7.00

Career

31: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1540m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 10Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.06L
  2. 6Cranbourne1400m10 Apr 2026 · CL1 · SOFT611.4L
  3. 12Mornington1500m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD36.1L
  4. 7Pakenham1400m26 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY95.5L
  5. 6Stony Creek1100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM62 · SOFT68L
  6. 9Mornington2400m2 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD38.5L
  7. 4Moe2050m19 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.9L
  8. 10Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD38.8L

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Hasn't done much since breaking her maiden. Sent out $151 when never got into the race this course off long spell. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Odds of $151.00 and folded up in the straight when 10th last start at this venue. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Can't suggest backing.

RP

Has won here before; generally been out of sorts of late; close up behind Diamanda when last over 6f here (handicap) three weeks ago; passed over.

RSIS

Started at 150/1 and weakened under pressure when 10th last time here. Expected to settle towards the tail.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races