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Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 10 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 10 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 2 — Barmah Park Restaurant & Cellar Door Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for race two on the card, the Barmah Park Restaurant & Cellar Door Mdn Plate over the 1000m scamper on a Good 4 surface with overcast skies and a 2:00 pm AEDT jump. Looking at the early win market order, Hot Samba sits at the top of the betting, closely followed by Diamond Heist, Burning Rubies, and Spellbinding rounding out the early fancies.

Hot Samba jumps off the page heading to the races for the first time from barrier one for trainer G M Begg with Jordan Childs in the saddle, and the stable has given this debutant every chance with some sharp jump out work. Diamond Heist brings race experience to the table after finishing sixth at Ballarat four weeks ago over this exact distance, and the numbers say that outing should leave this backmarker with plenty of upside for C W Mcdonald.

Further down the order, Burning Rubies comes in for Andrew Noblet out of a Group 3-winning mare with Thomas Stockdale booked, while Spellbinding catches the eye for Sarah Robbins after winning both jump outs despite drawing gate seven out wide. Dylan Dunn is in hot recent form outperforming market expectations and jumps aboard Pragmatic Lady from barrier two, so there are plenty of interesting angles to unpack before they line up.

Race notes

  • 3YF MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Hot Samba (6)

1.75

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

  • 2Angel In A Dress
  • 3Burning Rubies
  • 5Goddess Storm
  • 6Hot Samba
  • 10Spellbinding

Backmarker

  • 4Diamond Heist

Leader

  • 7Pragmatic Lady

  • Angel In A Dress · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 63% lower than Career Avg.

  • Burning Rubies · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races

  • Diamond Heist · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • Goddess Storm · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Amber QueenScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Debutant

    Positive

    First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

$95k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. Placed last two jump outs. Better for the experience and shouldn't be overlooked on debut.

ILB

3yo debutant by The Autumn Sun for trainer Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman. Betting as a guide.

RP

Course debutants from this trainer always command respect; respected as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

3yo first starter by The Autumn Sun for Anthony Freedman & Sam Freedman.

2Angel In A DressJ: Sally Wynne·T: Ms S L Wynne357kg–$41.00$8.00

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 63% lower than Career Avg.

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 34% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Out of a full sister to the stakes winner Stolen Holiday. Tuned with two Cranbourne jump outs. Drawn well. Betting?

ILB

Sally Wynne trained 3yo by Harry Angel having first race start. Watch the market moves.

RP

First start under rules for this three-year-old daughter of Harry Angel; should go close.

RSIS

Debutant 3yo by Harry Angel for Sally Wynne.

3Burning RubiesJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: Andrew Noblet657kg–$5.00$2.15

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -59% POT in their L100 Races

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Out of a Group 3-winning mare. Rubick filly heading to the races off some useful jump out form. Stockdale rides. Market watch advised.

ILB

3yo by Rubick having first start for trainer Andrew Noblet. Watch the betting.

RP

This daughter of Rubick is having her first start under rules; one to take seriously as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

Andrew Noblet 3yo by Rubick on debut.

4Diamond HeistJ: Jamie Melham·T: C W Mcdonald457kg61: 0-0-0$3.50$1.55

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD43.41L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Reasonable debut performance when battled to line at Ballarat. Better for race exposure. Has plenty of upside from that performance. In the mix.

ILB

Odds of $4.20 and ran 6th last run at Ballarat. Happy to overlook that run and was a debutant last start. Looks the proverbial good thing.

RP

Respectable debut effort running over this trip at Ballarat at 100-30 four weeks ago; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.

RSIS

Was 10/3 and ran 6th last time at Ballarat. Capable of a strong comeback and fitter for debut run. Jockey Jamie Melham and trainer Clinton Mcdonald are an appealing combination. Very smart animal who will take a power of beating.

5Goddess StormJ: Liana Wood·T: Smiley Chan557kg–$34.00$7.00

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 27% Profit on Turnover

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

$25k purchase. Out of an unraced mare. Unraced 3yo by Tassort and out of the Arlington mare Our Whirled. Needs betting confidence.

ILB

Tassort 3yo trained by Smiley Chan having first race appearance. Large claim helps. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

First start under rules for this three-year-old daughter of Tassort; requires market confidence to make her of interest.

RSIS

First start at the races 3yo by Tassort for trainer Smiley Chan. Large claim helps.

6Hot SambaJ: Jordan Childs·T: G M Begg157kg–$1.75$1.20

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • On Debut

    Positive

    First race start

Comments

AAP

Dam placed three from 6 starts. Has looked the part in jump outs under J Childs. Astute stable and has the benefit of decent alley. Look for market confidence.

ILB

3yo runner on debut by Too Darn Hot for trainer Grahame Begg and drawn well. Keep your eye on the market.

RP

Trainer has a healthy record with newcomers; would be a surprise to see this one figure.

RSIS

Too Darn Hot 3yo having first race appearance for Grahame Begg and can save some energy from the draw. Watch the market.

7Pragmatic LadyJ: Dylan Dunn·T: Shane Nichols & Hayden Black257kg5 5 10 44: 0-0-0$23.00$5.50

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Cranbourne1000m16 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD36L
  2. 10Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48.7L
  3. 5Pakenham Synthetic1200m24 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.2L
  4. 5Ballarat Synthetic1000m6 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 48% better than Career Avg.

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 60%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field at Cranbourne over today's trip. Can improve with a kinder setup here.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and finished 4th last time at Cranbourne but gets a favourable barrier. Should race on the speed. Prefer in something a lot easier.

RP

Was held in fourth at Cranbourne last month; others more likely.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and came in 4th last run at Cranbourne but can find a nice position from the draw. Will be positive in the run early.

8Queen's EnglishScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (41-weeks). Maturity upside. Found the debut assignment beyond him at Caulfield at double-figure odds 24 Jan. Drops back from stakes test and has plenty of scope.

ILB

First up after a break of 41 weeks. Was $19.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last start at Caulfield but fitter for debut run.

RSIS

Back from a break of 41 weeks. At 18/1 didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Caulfield but was a debutant last start.

9Roar TalentScratched6––––

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Flemington1000m17 Jan 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD38.6L

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (42-weeks). More mature now. Safely contained at Flemington debut 17 Jan. Experience gained. Easier here and has plenty of scope to progress.

ILB

First run back from a 42 week break. Started at $13.00 and ordinary performance when 6th last run at Flemington but having second race start. Dropping in class.

RP

Couldn't land a blow on her debut at Flemington at 12-1 in January; returns from a break today; must now step up.

RSIS

First run back from a 42 week break. Started 12/1 and subpar when 6th last run at Flemington but having second race start. Competing in a less challenging grade.

10SpellbindingJ: Sarah Robbins·T: Sarah Robbins757kg–$18.00$4.60

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Out of an unraced half-sister to G1 winner Hiyaam. Won both her jump outs. No favours from the draw but watch for support.

ILB

Initial race appearance 3yo by Shamus Award for trainer Sarah Robbins. Respect the betting.

RP

Has a nice pedigree (by Shamus Award); first racecourse start; a watching brief the best policy.

RSIS

Initial race appearance 3yo by Shamus Award for Sarah Robbins.

11WolfmaamaScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Gavin Bedggood in good form, out performing market 59%

Comments

AAP

Dam was raced by Bedggood and retired a maiden winner. 2nd latest Cranbourne jump out. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

3yo by Wolf Cry having first start for trainer Gavin Bedggood. Watch early betting.

RP

This daughter of Wolf Cry makes first rules appearance; can't be ruled out with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Gavin Bedggood trained 3yo by Wolf Cry having first race start.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races