Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 4:08 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 10 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 10 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Sportsbet Fixed Odds Exotics (Bm56) 1000m · jumps Tue 10 Nov, 4:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

Mornington hosts this Benchmark 56 sprint at 4:00 pm AEDT across 1000 metres on a Good 4 track under overcast conditions. Miss Toronado is the shortest in the win market, ahead of Ilovediamonds and Bella Cinque. The form on those top contenders tells plenty. Miss Toronado broke through with a win over 1100 metres at St Arnaud from the deep gate at Good 3 going, ratings lifting sharply since. She maps on-pace from barrier 1 in an inside draw that suits her profile. Ilovediamonds has rattled off consecutive 1000-metre wins at this track on Good 4 and Good 3, both by small margins, and the comment notes gate speed that overcomes the outer barrier ten. That jockey-trainer combo with Sam Kennedy and Shawn Mathrick is firing 56 per cent above market expectations, while Kennedy's strike rate sits 18 per cent better than career average.

Bella Cinque shapes as a genuine alternative. She finished second here at 1000 metres on Good 3 going and ran sixth this distance and track on Good 4, the comment suggesting she can fill minors again. Nadia Daniels is a notable booking — the rider is 62 per cent above market expected in her last 100 rides and 48 per cent outperforming career average POT. However, Podargoni returns for his second campaign after 17 weeks out and rates a watch. The comment notes he looked forward in jump-outs, Luke Nolen is a senior rider, and punters should keep tabs on market moves.

Triple Salute and Just Remember It complete the shorter-priced quartet. Triple Salute is a leader with Brad Rawiller aboard and a 17 per cent strike-rate boost on career average, though the stable is underperforming market by 23 per cent. Just Remember It sits as a backmarker from barrier 3 with Craig Newitt, but the pairing are crushing expectations by 118 per cent — that's the kind of combo metric that jumps off the page. The early group features three leaders in Ilovediamonds, Triple Salute, and Nuggies, which should set a workable tempo for on-pace and midfield runners to attack.

Race notes

3UP BM56 HCP,3yo+,BM56,Benchmark 56
GOOD4
Overcast
9 runners

Shortest win price

Miss Toronado (7)

2.25

Most career wins

Irresistible Sir

4-4-11 from 49 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Just Remember It

Offmidfield

8Podargoni

Midfield

9Irresistible Sir
12Tipping Rain

Offpace

4Bella Cinque

Onpace

7Miss Toronado

Leader

1Ilovediamonds
3Triple Salute
11Nuggies

Ilovediamonds · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Just Remember It · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Triple Salute · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Bella Cinque · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1IlovediamondsJ: Sam Kennedy·T: Shawn Mathrick1063kg3 6 1 1 113: 3-1-3$3.80$1.34

Career

13: 3-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
2: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 3-1-2
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-2

Last starts

1Mornington1000m1 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.3
1Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.25
1Mildura1000m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-5
6Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.45L
3Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT70.8L
6Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 4yo+ · SOFT62.3L
3Hamilton1100m11 Oct 2025 · 4UP MDN SW · SOFT51.5L
6Bendigo1100m7 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY94.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Mornington
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Been racing well. Sustained effort this venue over this trip. Outer barrier but has good gate speed and stays under notice.

ILB

Made all when winning by a margin of a head last start here. Made it 3 wins in a row. Should muster plenty of early toe. Strong claims.

Successful by a neck to claim second C&D win nine days ago; completed hat-trick last time and yet to taste defeat over this C&D, winning on all two attempts; has strong claims.

RSIS

Made every post a winner to win by a head last run at this track. Won last 3 on the trot. Should muster plenty of early toe. Must respect.

2Just Remember ItJ: Craig Newitt·T: Kane Harris362.5kg6 3 2 7 513: 2-2-2$13.00$2.80

Career

13: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
10: 1-2-2
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-1-1
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0

Last starts

5Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT73.3L
7Cranbourne1200m10 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT62.5L
2Yarra Valley1000m24 Mar 2026 · BM56 · SOFT50.2L
3Moe1000m22 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.9L
6Sale1000m1 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD43.8L
2Yarra Valley1000m13 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD40.3L
11Caulfield1100m12 July 2025 · 3Y HCP · SOFT69.9L
5Caulfield1000m28 June 2025 · 3Y HCP · SOFT61L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 118%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh following return. Made minor headway from back half at Bairnsdale for new trainer. Form sound this level without winning. Worth a look.

ILB

At $3.90 picked up some late ground when 5th last start at Bairnsdale. Possesses good closing speed. Can measure up against these.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Bairnsdale (beaten just over 3l) four weeks ago on debut for this trainer; good and bad recent runs found on his CV; is passed over as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

Started 3/1 and hit the line well when 5th last run at Bairnsdale. Will be motoring home late. Capable of winning this.

3Triple SaluteJ: Brad Rawiller·T: Logan Mcgill262kg7 5 3 10 115: 1-0-1$15.00$3.10

Career

5: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Terang
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

11Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.3L
10Sandown1400m13 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY89.3L
3Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT53.3L
5Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
7Sandown1300m21 Jan 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD44.52L
1Terang1200m2 Jan 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.3
2Randwick1045m7 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.7L
7Randwick742m20 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial3.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming

Comments

AAP

First-up (18-weeks). Ran 4th Mornington jump out. Placed at Mornington first-up last campaign. Drawn to effect. Can play a role fresh.

ILB

First up and good run when placing 3rd first up last preparation at this venue. Won't be far away during the run. Tongue tie go off for the first time. Should be in the finish.

11th of 12 at Pakenham over 6f (handicap) four months ago; has had some time off; must go on the shortlist as shown he can win fairly recently.

RSIS

Resuming and did well to finish 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L resuming last preparation at this track. Should muster plenty of early pace. Has a positive stall. Strong claims.

4Bella CinqueJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Logan Mcgill861.5kg4 6 2 6 222: 3-5-3$6.50$1.90

Career

22: 3-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
18: 3-5-3
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 3-4-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-2

Last starts

2Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.25L
6Mornington1000m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.76L
2Mornington1000m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT51.8L
6Sandown1000m15 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY95.9L
4Sale1000m10 June 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY84L
4Cranbourne1000m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD43.2L
4Sale1000m17 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · GOOD43.3L
3Sandown1000m23 July 2025 · BenchMark 70 · SOFT51.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Nadia Daniels 62% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 62%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Clearly no match for winner but retained second this course over this distance. Leader. Can again fill the minors here.

ILB

Good result placing 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last start at this track. Should go very close.

Has winning C&D form to her name; on the shortlist if confirming promise shown last time.

RSIS

Grabbed towards the finish when 2nd last run at this track. Can win.

5Affirmative LadScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

First-up (18-weeks). Mixed form last prep. 5th Cranbourne jump out. Can give cheek fresh at odds.

ILB

Resumes from a break. Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Dylan Dean takes the reins today.

RSIS

Fresh today after a break. Did well to run into 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Dylan Dean rates highly.

6BangholmeScratched14––––

Career

31: 5-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-1
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1014m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 2-2-1
Going Soft
12: 2-0-2
Going Synthetic
3: 1-1-0

Last starts

10Werribee1000m14 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD49.5L
8Cranbourne1000m24 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD49.1L
12Morphettville1000m28 Feb 2026 · 0-64 · SOFT58.2L
1Murray Bridge1000m4 Feb 2026 · 4UP BM56 · GOOD4-0.3
1Camperdown1000m17 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-1
4Stawell1100m4 Jan 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD42.7L
5Colac1000m20 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.6L
7Echuca1000m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT8.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 94%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (25-weeks). Raced in stiffer company last prep. Tuned with two Cranbourne jump outs but has a tricky draw and 61kg leveller for return. Betting.

ILB

First up from a spell. Gave away some ground when 10th last run at Werribee but will find this grade easier. Liana Wood takes a large claim.

Last of ten (Werribee) six months ago; hard enough to fancy as record returning from a break is uninspiring.

RSIS

Back from a break. Couldn't stay in touch when 10th last start at Werribee but challenged by less formidable competitors. Liana Wood provides some weight relief.

7Miss ToronadoJ: Jordan Childs·T: Thomas Conlan160.5kg10 8 3 7 114: 3-0-3$2.25$1.16

Career

14: 3-0-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1010m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 2-0-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1St Arnaud1100m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.25
7Kyneton1225m23 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.4L
3Warracknabeal1000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.2L
8Moruya1010m23 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.7L
10Parkes1000m9 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD34.5L
5Colac1200m23 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial4.4L
12Warrnambool1100m21 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT510.4L
3Colac800m19 June 2025 · Barrier Trial2.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Great win from the deep gate at St Arnaud. Ratings lift after that win but stays under strong notice.

ILB

Led all the way to win by 2 1/4L last time at St Arnaud and will appreciate a good alley. Major chance.

Has achieved three wins from 14 career runs; gained a just over 2l success over 5½f at St Arnaud (handicap) two weeks ago; others more persuasive despite that win at St Arnaud.

RSIS

Gave them all something to chase when winning by a margin of 2 1/4L last run at St Arnaud and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Expect support.

8PodargoniJ: Luke Nolen·T: Rory Hunter960.5kg8 3 4 12 721: 3-3-3$7.50$2.10

Career

21: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1109m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
8: 1-1-1
Going Good
11: 1-3-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-2

Last starts

7Sale1213m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.1L
12Pakenham Synthetic1100m29 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC6.2L
4Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · BM70 · SOFT72L
3Geelong1100m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT54.1L
8Pakenham1400m8 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY85.1L
3Geelong1325m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.7L
8Cranbourne1200m10 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT63.7L
3Sale1200m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT60.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Luke Nolen current POT is 55% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (17-weeks). Long time since last saluted but looked forward in latest jump outs and senior rider on for return. Betting watch advised.

ILB

First up and tidy effort when 2nd first up last preparation at Wodonga. Likely to get back. Challenged by less formidable competitors. Dropping in distance. Small possibility.

Was seventh of 11, beaten 6l, over 6f at Sale (handicap) in July; back from an absence here; Luke Nolen a noteworthy booking; should be on the premises as has been on the scene in the recent past.

RSIS

Resuming and did well when 2nd resuming last preparation at Wodonga. Likely to get back in the field. Facing weaker opposition. Back in trip.

9Irresistible SirJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: R C Manning459kg1 8 8 4 249: 4-4-11$31.00$4.00

Career

49: 4-4-11

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-3
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Yarra Valley
3: 0-0-1
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Traralgon
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1208m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
6: 1-0-1
Going Soft
15: 0-1-2
Going Synthetic
5: 1-0-2

Last starts

2Traralgon1100m31 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT71L
4Moe1000m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.25L
8Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT74.66L
8Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.9L
1Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-1.25
10Sale1100m21 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT66.6L
7Bairnsdale1000m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.3L
4Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.3L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Worked hard both ends and narrowly outpointed in rain affected going. Leads, handy. Two of his wins were this distance. Each way.

ILB

Was strong on the speed before fading to finish 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Traralgon and getting better in recent performances. Will need its best to find a place.

Creditable effort to finish second at Traralgon over 5½f (handicap) ten days ago.

RSIS

Was in the hunt for a long way when 2nd beaten by 1L last run at Traralgon and displaying improvement over the past few runs.

10Mordialloc BeachScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (51-days). Ex Ms W Kelly in Victoria. Got back and only battled to wire at Bairnsdale last outing. Others carry more punch.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. At $10.00 looked outclassed when 9th last start at Bairnsdale. Racing for a new trainer.

RSIS

Freshened for this. At 9/1 faded away to finish 9th last time at Bairnsdale. Racing for a new trainer.

11NuggiesJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Ms C Boyd657kg9 8 6 13 129: 1-1-0$126.00$11.00

Career

9: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
2: 0-1-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1012m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-0

Last starts

12Ballarat Synthetic1100m16 June 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SYNTHETIC26.4L
13Werribee1012m30 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT614.8L
6Balnarring1008m4 Apr 2026 · Open9.4L
8Sale1006m11 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD48.8L
9Moonee Valley1000m21 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD313.48L
2Moonee Valley888m7 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD40.75L
1Hanging Rock1000m26 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-0.1
11Corowa900m16 Sept 2024 · Maiden · GOOD39.85L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Christine Boyd striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Struggled through last campaign and showed little signs of improvement in latest jump out. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Resuming from spell. Was $151.00 and didn't attack the line when 12th last run Ballarat Synthetic. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Has to have a lot go its way.

Finished tailed off at Ballarat over 5½f (handicap) five months ago; back from an absence here; latest efforts leave a lot to be desired so only limited appeal.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Started 150/1 and was well beaten when 12th last time Ballarat Synthetic. Has early pace and positions nicely.

12Tipping RainJ: Celine Gaudray·T: J F Rattle557kg3 5 8 11 412: 1-1-2$21.00$3.70

Career

12: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1462m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1607m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Yarra Valley1009m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.25L
11Cranbourne1400m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY914.3L
8Moe1614m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY97.6L
5Kilmore1607m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY92.1L
3Kilmore1462m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT62L
3Kilmore1200m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.3L
10Pakenham1200m23 Apr 2026 · 3UP CLASS 1 HCP · GOOD47.8L
8Geelong1112m10 Apr 2026 · BM62 · SOFT53.9L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 4522%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fav when ran on okay without troubling at Yarra Glen. New to Mornington but fitter. Keep safe.

ILB

At $3.20 came in 4th last time at Yarra Valley. Likely to get back in the run. Can surprise at a nice price.

Subpar record of 1-12 and has lacked consistency of late; out of the money, beaten just over 2l, when fourth (dropped back to this distance, Yarra Glen) last month; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as has a lot on her plate here.

RSIS

Started 11/5 and ran 4th last run at Yarra Vstall. Gets back and needs luck.

13Sleeping TigerScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip

Comments

AAP

Settled close, couldn't match winner but ran on for third at Moe second-up. Trained on track but has a tricky draw and goes into wider exotics.

ILB

Was outmuscled when 3rd last time at Moe.

RSIS

Ran out of steam towards the end when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at Moe.

14Deep JoyScratched7––––

Career

31: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
11: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
18: 1-1-1

Last starts

4Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 · GOOD43.9L
9Tatura1100m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.6L
10Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT79.8L
3Berrigan1100m22 Aug 2026 · BM501.3L
6Seymour1100m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT73.1L
5Echuca1000m24 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92.5L
10Wagga1200m26 Jan 2026 · BM58 · GOOD49.3L
7Tumut1200m17 Jan 2026 · BM50 · GOOD45.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Last success was 26 Nov 2023. Made the pace but got a stitch late 3yo+ F&M (Bm56) at Kilmore. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Couldn't maintain the pace when 4th last time at Kilmore.

She can be competitive at this level; not disgraced when fourth over 6f at Kilmore (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Faded in the closing stages of the race when 4th last start at Kilmore.

Odds correct as at Tue 10 Nov, 4:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races