Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 4:07 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 10 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 10 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 4 — RMBL Investments Rising Stars Race (Bm56) 1200m · jumps Tue 10 Nov, 3:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Mornington for the Rmbl Investments Rising Stars Race, a 1200m Benchmark 56 clash on a good four surface under overcast skies. The win market lines up with Bliss Bomb sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed by Marilyn's Edge, Sistine Tunnel, and Arabian Myth in the early order. The numbers say we are set for a competitive battle over the 1200m trip with plenty of early action expected across the track.

Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, Bliss Bomb jumps off the page after drawing barrier two for trainer Lloyd Kennewell and jockey Logan Bates, coming off a solid effort when sent forward and boxing on at Kyneton. Marilyn's Edge carries the top weight from barrier nine for Shawn Mathrick and Sam Kennedy, holding a rating of 100 and looking to bounce back following a tough run at Horsham after placing at Mildura. Sistine Tunnel is another tracking well from barrier six for Andrew Noblet and Holly Durnan, having gone close at this track previously before finishing off at Geelong.

Further down the order, Fearless Monarch catches the eye starting from barrier one for A R McGregor and Liana Wood, benefiting from a hot jockey-trainer combination that outperforms market expectations. Speed maps show Marilyn's Edge and Grouse Mountain sharing early leader duties, while Bliss Bomb holds a handy onpace lane that should suit. The numbers suggest several chances rate a real chance in an open contest.

Race notes

3UP BM56 HCP,3yo+,BM56,Benchmark 56
GOOD4
Overcast
12 runners

Shortest win price

Sistine Tunnel (11)

3.50

Most career wins

Power Cable

5-1-2 from 29 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

13Smashing Ruby

Midfield

6Power Cable
2Cudmore Street
8Arabian Myth

Offpace

4Glisk
11Sistine Tunnel
7Fearless Monarch
12Regal Visions
14Dominant Miss

Onpace

9Bliss Bomb

Leader

1Marilyn's Edge
5Grouse Mountain

Marilyn's Edge · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Cudmore Street · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Glisk · Negative
Trainer SR
P & K Moody & Coleman striking at just 6%
Grouse Mountain · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Marilyn's EdgeJ: Sam Kennedy·T: Shawn Mathrick962kg7 5 1 3 1024: 4-5-1$4.20$1.65

Career

24: 4-5-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 1-2-0
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
10: 2-2-1
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
19: 3-5-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Horsham1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.92L
3Mildura1000m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.85L
1Moe1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.06
5Mildura1008m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT63.3L
7Pakenham Synthetic1000m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC7L
7Werribee1100m14 May 2026 · 2UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD417.4L
4Cranbourne1000m24 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.4L
1Mornington1000m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD3-2.8

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Sam Kennedy 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Placed 3yo+ (Bm62) at Mildura 6 Oct. On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Horsham. Plenty of weight but can find a few lengths in this grade.

ILB

Odds of $9.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last start at Horsham. Overlooking the last run and will appreciate the drop in class. Should be going forward early. Winning chance.

A course winner; no impression when tenth of 11 at Horsham over 5½f (handicap) last month; this looks a decent race so looks opposable.

RSIS

At 8/1 didn't threaten when 10th last start at Horsham. Should improve and taking on a lower class of opponents. Should put in a decent effort.

2Cudmore StreetJ: Jackson Radley·T: Ms A Bence861.5kg4 1 3 2 420: 2-2-5$14.00$3.60

Career

20: 2-2-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Moe
5: 0-1-1
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-2
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1628m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
9: 0-1-1

Last starts

4Stony Creek2100m30 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD41.9L
2Moe2050m14 Dec 2025 · 0-62 · GOOD45L
3Traralgon1900m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · HEAVY93.4L
1Traralgon1900m1 Nov 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD-2.25
4Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.4L
4Bairnsdale2200m7 Sept 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.6L
9Moe2050m24 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT611L
5Bairnsdale1600m12 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 315 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (45-weeks). Off decent break but tends to race well first-up without winning and placed only time this track and trip. Won a Moe jump out. Treat warily.

ILB

First up after a break of 45 weeks. At $5.00 came in 4th last run at Stony Creek and back to a shorter trip. Large claim helps. Facing a difficult task.

Not disgraced when fourth over 1m2½f at Stony Creek (handicap) last December; produced several respectable runs lately; returns from a break today; this line-up contains some strong opposition so easy enough to take on.

RSIS

First run back from a 45 week break. Started 4/1 and finished 4th last time at Stony Creek and back in trip. The large claim from Dylan Dean should help.

3Cherry HillsScratched13––––

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Caulfield Heath1500m27 May 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT79.6L
1Bendigo1300m13 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.4
1Caulfield Heath1400m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.8

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 22% lower than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 34% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (23-weeks). Debut winner at Bendigo 13 May. Won latest Pakenham synthetic jump out. Can challenge fresh in this company.

ILB

First up after 23 weeks and finished hard to win first up last preparation at Bendigo. Facing less formidable opponents. Down in distance.

Just her third outing so still early days; last of ten over 7½f at Caulfield (handicap) in May; layoff to overcome; this only her second start in handicap company; plenty of appeal if excused most recent run as achieved maiden success two runs back.

RSIS

Resuming and rocketed home when winning resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Facing a weaker group of contenders. Down in trip.

4GliskJ: Jade Smith·T: P G Moody & Katherine Coleman1061kg5 9 1 12 95: 1-0-0$21.00$4.00

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1243m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Ballarat Synthetic1400m16 June 2026 · BM66 · SYNTHETIC28.5L
12Sandown1400m23 May 2026 · 3Y FILLIES BM78 HCP · SOFT722.4L
1Geelong1243m1 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD4-1
9Pakenham1100m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD35L
5Yarra Valley1209m29 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD47.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
P & K Moody & Coleman striking at just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 55%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 61% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Broke maiden first-up last prep but really struggled after that. Tuned with two jump outs. Watch betting.

ILB

First up and ran home strongly to win first up last preparation at Geelong. Jade Smith provides some weight relief and goes down in class. Others make far more appeal.

Tailed off at Ballarat over 7f (handicap) in June; returning from a layoff here; was successful three starts back and wouldn't rule out a big run.

RSIS

Resuming and ran on hard when winning resuming last preparation at Geelong. Large claim helps and competing in a lower grade.

5Grouse MountainJ: Ryan Houston·T: Logan Mcgill1261kg7 9 8 7 920: 3-7-3$61.00$7.50

Career

20: 3-7-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 0-3-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
2: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-5-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
15: 3-6-2
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.56L
7Seymour1200m10 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT510.33L
8Pakenham Synthetic1000m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC13.7L
9Cranbourne1200m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD35.1L
7Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD42.5L
2Caulfield1000m19 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD40.1L
1Cranbourne1400m30 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD4-1.5
2Cranbourne1300m16 May 2025 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD30.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Didn't finish it off over 1200m 3yo+ (Bm56) this track. Needs a form spike.

ILB

Weakened to finish 9th last start around here. Winkers go on for the first time. The wide gate shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Watch betting.

Out of the frame (beaten 4½l in ninth) three weeks ago; shown she can be competitive fairly recently and likely to be involved.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 9th last start at the track. Cheekpieces go on for the first time. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Has some claims.

6Power CableJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Luke Oliver360.5kg7 5 9 8 929: 5-1-2$18.00$3.90

Career

29: 5-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 3-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1419m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
21: 3-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 2-0-0

Last starts

9Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.4L
8Pakenham Synthetic1400m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.5L
9Wangaratta1170m14 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1012.8L
5Pakenham1200m22 May 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT62.1L
7Kyneton1479m10 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD44.7L
7Pakenham1400m23 Jan 2026 · BM66 · GOOD35.9L
4Cranbourne1400m3 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD30.9L
1Yarra Valley1514m19 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD3-0.1

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 52%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 3 from 5 when resuming

Comments

AAP

First-up (15-weeks). Not seen at best last prep but effective fresh and nicely drawn. Check markets.

ILB

Has multiple wins first up. Was $61.00 and underperformed when 9th last run Ballarat Synthetic and will be down in distance. Bailey Kinninmont provides some weight relief. Entitled to be a big price.

Finished ninth of 12 at Ballarat over 7½f (handicap) in July; has scored over C&D; subpar since successful in a handicap at Yarra Glen last December; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

Could build on a strong first run back record. Started 60/1 and below par when 9th last run Ballarat Synthetic and back to a shorter trip. Large claim helps.

7Fearless MonarchJ: Liana Wood·T: A R Mcgregor160kg1 6 4 1 616: 2-3-2$11.00$3.10

Career

16: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 0-2-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-1

Last starts

6Bendigo1600m29 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD45.3L
1Mornington1500m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT6-2.8
4Cranbourne1400m24 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 62 · GOOD42.7L
6Hamilton1400m7 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · HEAVY85.7L
1Mount Gambier1563m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.1
6Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.8L
2Murray Bridge1400m4 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L
8Camperdown1400m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 94%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Given two pipe opener jump outs. Capable and nicely placed with claim and inside gate. One for exotics fresh.

ILB

First up from a break. Started $12.00 and finished 6th last run at Bendigo but competing at a lower level of competition. Large claim helps and drawn the rails. Rough chance.

Has winning track form; could not manage better than sixth over 1m at Bendigo (handicap) in May; back from an absence here; easy to oppose as running in what looks to be a hot race.

RSIS

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Started 11/1 and came in 6th last run at Bendigo but competing in a less challenging grade. Large claim helps.

8Arabian MythJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Vincent Hall459.5kg10 9 5 8 118: 2-0-2$10.00$2.90

Career

18: 2-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Colac
1: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
1: 1-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1109m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 2-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Avoca1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.75
8Bendigo1300m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY910.7L
5Bendigo1100m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.55L
9Echuca1109m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT74.8L
10Mornington1200m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT65.9L
4Wangaratta1100m3 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY83.3L
5Mornington1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.9L
7Colac1200m20 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 48% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Nadia Daniels 62% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 195%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 126%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Nadia Daniels in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 62%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

Showed plenty of fight to secure victory at Avoca first up. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last start at Avoca. A difficult test here.

Narrow success in a handicap at Avoca three weeks ago; boasts winning form over C&D; he can be taken on despite the last time out success.

RSIS

Finished hard to win last time at Avoca.

9Bliss BombJ: Logan Bates·T: Lloyd Kennewell259.5kg10 3 6 5 28: 1-2-2$3.90$1.65

Career

8: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
5Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 · GOOD44.65L
6Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.9L
3Ballarat Synthetic1100m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.25L
10Sandown1000m15 July 2026 · 3Y BM64 · HEAVY99.7L
2Ballarat Synthetic1000m26 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.8L
1Seymour1100m16 Jan 2025 · Maiden · GOOD4-1.5
3Morphettville1000m26 Dec 2024 · Set Weights plus Penalties · GOOD42.47L

Insights

Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Kyneton. Drawn to get a conservative run. Has some claims.

ILB

Amongst the placegetters when 2nd last time at Kyneton and can find a nice position from the draw. Displays good tactical speed. Getting better in recent performances. Major player who should go very close.

Minor honours in a handicap last month (13-8) at Kyneton; capable of going well if building on promise shown last time.

RSIS

Was competitive when 2nd last run at Kyneton and has a good draw. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Stamps its reason for consideration.

10SayaleroScratched15––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Insights

Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Let down with a raking drive to get up in final bounds at Echuca off long break. Stays under strong notice.

ILB

Rocketed home when winning last start at Echuca but goes up in weight.

RSIS

Was eating up the ground late when winning last start at Echuca but rises in weight.

11Sistine TunnelJ: Holly Durnan·T: Andrew Noblet659.5kg4 4 5 2 516: 2-2-2$3.50$1.50

Career

16: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 1-1-1
Going Good
6: 1-2-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Geelong1247m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.7L
2Mornington1200m17 Sept 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD40.15L
5Ballarat Synthetic1000m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC3L
4Swan Hill1200m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT51.9L
4Ballarat Synthetic1000m26 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC5.5L
3Ballarat1200m24 Oct 2025 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT50.6L
1Ballarat1200m14 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.2
8Bendigo1100m17 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.1L

Insights

Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Went close at Mornington 17 Sep. On pace but found little at the business end at Geelong. One for multiples.

ILB

Ran 5th last run at Geelong but up against weaker rivals. Should go very close.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Geelong (beaten just under 5l) five weeks ago; makes limited appeal given many of her rivals are in good form.

RSIS

Ran 5th last start at Geelong but up against a less competitive field. Should go very close.

12Regal VisionsJ: Chelsea Thompson·T: T Kilgower1157kg1 6 5 9 118: 1-0-0$126.00$16.00

Career

8: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1450m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1457m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

11Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD315.1L
9Ballarat1500m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD413.06L
5Kilmore1450m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.4L
6Echuca1600m16 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD38.8L
1Kilmore1457m31 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT6-2.3
6Wodonga1400m18 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD38L
6Benalla1206m26 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD39.6L
6Pakenham1400m8 May 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Ex Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in Victoria. Finished out the back at Cranbourne when second-up at a mammoth price. Happy to watch.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last run at Cranbourne but lining up against easier rivals. Racing for a new trainer. Will be a difficult assignment.

Been generally quiet since successful in a maiden at Kilmore in March; finished last of 11 over 6½f at Cranbourne (handicap) 32 days ago; first run for stable; others have more pressing claims as has a lot on her plate here.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and didn't find the line when 11th last run at Cranbourne but up against weaker rivals. Change in trainer. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time.

13Smashing RubyJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: J F Rattle754kg10 8 11 2 346: 3-5-6$19.00$4.00

Career

46: 3-5-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
4: 0-1-1
Track Mornington
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1107m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
6: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
21: 1-3-3

Last starts

3Yarra Valley1209m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.77L
2Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 · GOOD42.75L
11Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.2L
8Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY910.5L
10Kilmore1107m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY98.7L
8Kilmore1212m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · SOFT65L
3Kilmore1200m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY93.5L
10Geelong1312m10 Apr 2026 · BM56 · SOFT55.7L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted. Solid rally into the placings at Yarra Glen second-up. Strikes a harder race but could again sneak a place.

ILB

Finished well when 3rd last start at Yarra Valley. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this campaign. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Will be facing a challenge.

Was on the premises (third, beaten just under 3l) at Yarra Glen two weeks ago; produced a string of consistent efforts.

RSIS

Good run when placing 3rd last time at Yarra Vstall. Been in the top three each attempt recently. Likely to get back in the run.

14Dominant MissJ: Hayley Spitse·T: K E Horobin554kg6 7 9 7 630: 2-0-1$51.00$7.50

Career

30: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 1-0-0
Second-up
6: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
8: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
14: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 1-0-1
Going Good
14: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-0-1

Last starts

6Mornington1000m1 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.8L
7Mornington1000m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.55L
9Mornington1000m8 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT74.4L
7Mornington1200m25 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT52.7L
6Mornington1000m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.3L
6Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.8L
6Cranbourne1200m10 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT615.7L
7Cranbourne1200m3 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD311.4L

Insights

Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Sent back to last and safely held in the small field this venue. Remains unplaced from 8 starts here and leaning towards others.

ILB

Jumped at $71.00 and looked outclassed when 6th last start at this track. The large claim from Hayley Spitse helps. Very unlikely.

Useful at this level; finished last of six here over 5f (handicap) nine days ago.

RSIS

Started 70/1 and was well beaten when 6th last time at this venue. Hayley Spitse provides some weight relief.

15Juniors QueenScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Hasn't done much since breaking her maiden. Fresh stats point to others. Failed to come up last prep and may need this.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Was nothing special when 14th last start at Hamilton.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Well beaten when 14th last start at Hamilton.

Odds correct as at Tue 10 Nov, 3:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races