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Mornington (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Mornington (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 10 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 10 NovMornington (VIC)Change

Race 8 — Sportsbet Same Race Multi (Bm56) 1500m · jumps

Race preview

Mornington hosts a competitive 1500m contest for the Sportsbet Same Race Multi BM56 on a Good 4 track under overcast skies. The win market points to Jenni Poppins heading the chances closely followed by Flying Jude, Our Pierro, and Alexander Thegreat in the early betting order. Up ya go, let us dive into the form and find some value.

Jenni Poppins comes in fresh after breaking through at Bendigo before failing to threaten from a wide draw at Cranbourne, but this drop in class suits. Our Pierro is another key player after clearing maiden ranks at Kyneton and putting in a reasonable effort there last time out, now benefiting from a 2kg claim and better conditioning. Alexander Thegreat is a debut winner at Mildura who battled into fifth here previously and holds claims from barrier 11 with Sam Kennedy in the saddle.

Looking further down the order, Flying Jude resumes here after a 15-week break for a new stable and has won a Cranbourne jump out to prepare, making her an interesting each way angle fresh. Alexander Thegreat and She Nailed It map as the leaders dictating terms early, so expect a solid tempo. The numbers say Jenni Poppins rates a real chance in this company, but keep safe and enjoy the race.

Race notes

  • 3UP BM56 HCP,3yo+,BM56,Benchmark 56
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 12 runners

Shortest win price

Jenni Poppins (6)

3.30

Most career wins

Count Of Toulouse

6-1-2 from 35 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Express Guard

Offmidfield

  • 13Night Eruption
  • 4Our Pierro

Midfield

  • 5Chambers Bay
  • 8Russian Benefits
  • 11I'm Dynamite

Offpace

  • 3Count Of Toulouse
  • 6Jenni Poppins

Onpace

  • 9It's Gnarly
  • 10Flying Jude

Leader

  • 2Alexander Thegreat
  • 12She Nailed It
  • Alexander Thegreat · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Count Of Toulouse · Positive

    Profitable Trainer

    Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Our Pierro · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides

  • Chambers Bay · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1British ColumbiaScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure for new trainer in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Pakenham. Back in class helps but has a tricky draw and a hefty impost.

ILB

Folded up in the straight when 11th last start at Pakenham but competing at a lower level of competition.

RSIS

Tailed off to finish 11th last run at Pakenham but facing a weaker group of contenders.

2Alexander ThegreatJ: Sam Kennedy·T: Shawn Mathrick1162.5kg1 52: 1-0-0$6.50$2.30

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mildura

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1409m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.7L
  2. 1Mildura1409m6 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy 43% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Debut winner at Mildura 6 Sep 2025. Battled home into 5th in the small field this venue at longer odds. Has some claims.

ILB

Faded away to finish 5th last time at this track but stepping down to a lower level. Jockey Sam Kennedy is currently in strong form for this stable. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

This just his third race; creditable effort to finish fifth, beaten just under 3l over 6f here (handicap) three weeks ago; running in a handicap for only the second time; capable if in the mood so has to be taken seriously.

RSIS

Struggled with the pace when 5th last start at this venue but facing less formidable opponents. Jockey Sam Kennedy and trainer Shawn Mathrick work well together. Can't leave out of your calculations.

3Count Of ToulouseJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: Dale Short262kg6 7 7 1 1035: 6-1-2$19.00$3.90

Career

35: 6-1-2

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1717m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    7: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 0-1-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Moe1600m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY1018.7L
  2. 1Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT7-0.8
  3. 7Pakenham Synthetic1600m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC3.4L
  4. 7Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY109L
  5. 6Sale1717m3 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD36.3L
  6. 3Cranbourne1600m24 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.3L
  7. 8Mornington1500m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD32.9L
  8. 1Yarra Valley1500m24 Mar 2026 · BM56 · SOFT5-1.75

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (12-weeks). Effective at this level last campaign and capable of making an impact fresh in this affair.

ILB

Fresh from a break. Was $11.00 and didn't threaten when 10th last run at Moe but gets a favourable draw. Large claim helps. Considering others.

RP

Held in tenth over 1m at Moe (handicap) in August; this is his grade; should figure given he won a handicap two runs back.

RSIS

Resumes from a break. Started 10/1 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Moe but gets a favourable draw.

4Our PierroJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes461kg2 2 1 64: 1-2-0$7.00$2.45

Career

4: 1-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1479m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1514m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 6Kyneton1479m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.05L
  2. 1Kyneton1856m31 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.4
  3. 2Stawell1600m4 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43L
  4. 2Yarra Valley1514m19 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD31L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 48% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels 62% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 173%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels winning at 45% POT in last 100 rides

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Cleared maiden ranks at Kyneton 31 Jan. First run for new trainer reasonable effort without seriously threatening at Kyneton. Better conditioned and takes a 2kg claim. Key player.

ILB

At $8.00 mediocre attempt when 6th last start at Kyneton. Expecting improvement here and taking on a lower class of opponents. Showing consistent performance in races. Worth strong consideration.

RP

Far from disgraced (beaten 2l) when dropped down to this trip (Kyneton) last month on debut for this trainer; not had much racing - fifth outing here; this only her second handicap outing.

RSIS

Was 7/1 and basic showing when 6th last run at Kyneton. Looking for an improved run and matched against a less competitive field. Solid career start. Good chance today.

5Chambers BayJ: Brad Rawiller·T: M C Watts1260.5kg7 1 3 5 1037: 5-1-4$34.00$5.50

Career

37: 5-1-4

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    11: 1-1-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 0-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    4: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 2-0-1

Last starts

  1. 10Mornington1500m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD35.85L
  2. 5Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT53.75L
  3. 3Moe1200m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.35L
  4. 1Mornington1500m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT5-1.3
  5. 7Mornington1500m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.3L
  6. 11Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD415.1L
  7. 6Cranbourne1500m10 Apr 2026 · BM62 · SOFT610.2L
  8. 7Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.7L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 17% better than Career Avg.

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent out $31 when unable to threaten this course over today's trip. On pacer. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Odds of $31.00 and gave away some ground when 10th last run at this venue. Rough chance.

RP

Winning form over C&D; tenth of 12 upped to this trip last month; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Was 30/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last start at the track.

6Jenni PoppinsJ: Jamie Melham·T: Lloyd Kennewell960.5kg2 2 2 1 77: 1-3-0$3.30$1.45

Career

7: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1113m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD37.5L
  2. 1Bendigo1600m5 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY9-2
  3. 2Sale1400m10 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.8L
  4. 2Pakenham1200m22 May 2026 · 2UP F&M MDN-SW · SOFT62L
  5. 2Pakenham1200m16 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY81.5L
  6. 2Traralgon950m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L
  7. 4Sale1113m25 June 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT64.6L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened since resuming. Cleared maiden ranks at Bendigo then failed to threaten (wide draw) at Cranbourne first run back. Major player back in this class.

ILB

Started at $10.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Cranbourne but matched against a less competitive field. Has some claims.

RP

No impression when seventh of 11 over 6½f at Cranbourne (handicap) four weeks ago; signs of improvement on last two runs; running in a handicap for just the second time; entitled to respect as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and was successful two starts back.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and faded to finish 7th last start at Cranbourne but has been racing in stronger company. Has some claims.

7Express GuardJ: Luke Nolen·T: Brad Cunningham1060kg3 3 7 4 721: 2-1-3$11.00$3.20

Career

21: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1213m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    7: 1-0-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    12: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 7Wangaratta1300m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.12L
  2. 4Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT53.65L
  3. 7Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT66.8L
  4. 3Pakenham Synthetic1400m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.7L
  5. 3Pakenham Synthetic1400m22 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC0.9L
  6. 7Pakenham1400m29 May 2026 · 0 - 66 · HEAVY85.7L
  7. 5Pakenham1200m8 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.7L
  8. 8Sale1213m19 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD47.1L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 55% lower than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 50%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Last success was 20 Mar 2025. Trimmed margin late at Wangaratta. Not disgraced last couple. Trifecta hope.

ILB

Started $19.00 and finished 7th last time at Wangaratta. Might be ridden for luck. Place best.

RP

Not beaten too far when seventh of 14 over 6½f at Wangaratta (handicap) two weeks ago; form has an up and down look to it; booking of Luke Nolen takes the eye; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Started at 18/1 and came in 7th last run at Wangaratta. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

8Russian BenefitsJ: Luke Cartwright·T: M J Mehegan559.5kg7 10 4 5 524: 2-3-0$12.00$3.40

Career

24: 2-3-0

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Moe

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1217m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    6: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Mornington1200m22 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.61L
  2. 5Moe1200m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.25L
  3. 4Moe1217m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.6L
  4. 10Sandown1300m1 July 2026 · Benchmark 66 · HEAVY97L
  5. 7Mornington1200m8 June 2026 · Benchmark 78 · SOFT73.76L
  6. 8Sandown1200m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.2L
  7. 1Mornington1200m23 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD4-0.3
  8. 12Bendigo1100m13 July 2025 · 2yo+ · HEAVY89.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 62% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Luke Cartwright 53% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 315%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Warmed up nicely late this track when fancied. Unexposed at trip. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Started $3.90 and ran past a few when 5th last time at the track. Could feature here.

RP

Finished fifth but only beaten 2½l over 6f here (handicap) last month; a previous winner here; struggled a bit since winning a handicap at Mornington last December; been struggling to get her head in front recently so others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

At 3/1 showed some merit late when 5th last run at the track. Watch betting.

9It's GnarlyJ: Ryan Houston·T: Logan Mcgill859kg11 9 9 7 49: 1-0-0$15.00$3.80

Career

9: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.77L
  2. 7Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.7L
  3. 9Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT57.9L
  4. 9Ballarat Synthetic1000m18 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC6.5L
  5. 11Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC6.4L
  6. 12Yarra Valley1500m24 Mar 2026 · BM56 · SOFT515.97L
  7. 6Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · BM56 · SOFT65.3L
  8. 1Werribee1400m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran an honest race and not beaten far at Bendigo. On pacer. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Was $5.50 and lost momentum late when 4th last start at Bendigo. Will be positive in the run early. Appears tested.

RP

Slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Werribee in February; far from disgraced (beaten just under 2l) at Bendigo over 7f (handicap) 24 days ago.

RSIS

Was 9/2 and didn't maintain the pace when 4th last time at Bendigo. Displays good tactical pace.

10Flying JudeJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Alexander Rae158.5kg10 1 2 6 1110: 2-1-0$3.90$1.60

Career

10: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat Synthetic

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1760m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC8.5L
  2. 6Geelong1760m10 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY86.3L
  3. 2Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.5L
  4. 1Bendigo1400m13 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT5-0.4
  5. 10Balaklava1400m3 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD37.5L
  6. 10Mornington1200m10 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.2L
  7. 4Wangaratta1170m27 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.4L
  8. 9Kyneton1454m9 Oct 2025 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD318.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Alexander Rae in good form, out performing market 59%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 37% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 6%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 3 when resuming

Comments

AAP

Resuming (15-weeks). Ex Gemma Rielly in Victoria. Won a Cranbourne jump out in readiness for return. Generally competitive fresh and looks an each way chance in this company.

ILB

First up and finished with purpose when winning first up last preparation at Bendigo. Expecting to settle positively. First start for a new trainer and has the ideal barrier. Place hope.

RP

11th of 12 when dropped back to this trip (Ballarat) in July; first run for stable; one to consider as shown she can win fairly recently - goes well fresh.

RSIS

Resuming and picked up nicely to win resuming last preparation at Bendigo. Should come to hand quickly. Change in trainer and drawn by the rails.

11I'm DynamiteJ: Sheridan Clarke·T: Susie Wells757.5kg4 5 9 7 466: 4-4-10$71.00$8.50

Career

66: 4-4-10

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Werribee

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1514m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1217m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    11: 2-2-1

  • Going Soft

    22: 2-0-4

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD42.75L
  2. 7Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT75.7L
  3. 9Sale1400m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT64.6L
  4. 5Wangaratta1400m31 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY95.8L
  5. 4Sale1400m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65L
  6. 8Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT77.4L
  7. 2Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY82.8L
  8. 1Werribee1425m30 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT6-0.3

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -31% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track And Dist

    Negative

    Has a poor record at this track and trip

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Ran on okay without troubling at Kilmore. Perhaps a place.

ILB

Odds of $26.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time at Kilmore. Will be tested.

RP

Respectable effort finishing fourth (beaten just under 3l) four weeks ago at Kilmore upped to this trip; has won previously at this course; largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Werribee five months ago.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and improved when 4th last start at Kilmore.

12She Nailed ItJ: Hayley Spitse·T: Tim Hughes656kg4 10 8 12 317: 1-0-2$18.00$3.90

Career

17: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1207m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 · GOOD43.5L
  2. 12Moe1614m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY916.1L
  3. 8Sale1717m10 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY88.6L
  4. 10Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY1013.1L
  5. 4Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD35.4L
  6. 2Traralgon950m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
  7. 14Moe1600m16 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD419L
  8. 9Sale1411m14 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh. Long time since last saluted but made a solid rally into the placings at Kilmore off spell. Not roughest.

ILB

Good run when finishing 3rd last time at Kilmore. Should muster plenty of early speed. The large claim from Hayley Spitse should help. Others are more appealing.

RP

Third of ten when sent off 14-1 at Kilmore over 6f (handicap) last month; managed just one success in her career to date.

RSIS

Managed to run 3rd last time at Kilmore. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Hayley Spitse provides some weight relief.

13Night EruptionJ: Holly Durnan·T: Paul Worthington354kg13 7 10 7 1149: 2-0-8$126.00$15.00

Career

49: 2-0-8

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sale

    10: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1110m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    12: 1-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 11Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD37.55L
  2. 7Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.58L
  3. 10Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY87.3L
  4. 7Pakenham1200m22 May 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT64.1L
  5. 13Geelong1715m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD416L
  6. 4Stony Creek1600m15 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.5L
  7. 4Moe1600m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.2L
  8. 6Pakenham1400m9 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 4%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Moe when second-up at healthy odds. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Odds of $21.00 and struggled with the pace when 11th last start at Moe. Does take a while to get into stride. Cannot have.

RP

Not won for some time now and been out of sorts of late; last of 11 at Moe over 6f (handicap) last month; easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and folded up in the straight when 11th last run at Moe. Likely to get back in the run.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Thu 22 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Sat 26 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Thu 17 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 4 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races