Shortest win price
Bodmin Moor (2)
2.45
Lismore hosts Class 1 action at 4:40 pm AEDT over 1220 metres on a Good 4 track in fine conditions. Bodmin Moor leads the win market, with Nomomeikushi and Military Legend the next two in, followed by Revamped. The field spreads across the track with Nomomeikushi mapping as the leader, while Revamped and Sol Filia sit in the offmidfield zone. Bodmin Moor and She's A Dame sit midfield, giving the shorter-priced runners a spread of tactical options.
Bodmin Moor shapes as a real chance despite a poor last-up showing at Ipswich. The Chris and Corey Munce stable is firing at 17% profit on turnover across their last 100 runners, and Andrew Mallyon is aboard from barrier 6. The map position here suits this track — the data shows runners from this barrier and lane outperforming market expectations by 10%. Nomomeikushi holds the leader's mantle from barrier 3 but the stable is down 24% on turnover and underperforming by 31% at the track. Revamped, second pick in the market, is a fast finisher with the quickest closing sectionals last start and rates a real chance despite a rider change. The four-year-old was just beaten in a Class 1 handicap at Moree and carries promise at 1220 metres.
Sol Filia pairs an early-speed advantage on this circuit with Danny Peisley's hot jockey-trainer combo hitting 39% profit on turnover across their last 100 races. The jockey is overperforming career average by 29% over his recent 100 rides. Military Legend pulls triple figures from the Chau-Galloway combination — they're outperforming market expectations by 89% — but rates less suitable for the jockey booking and comes off an ordinary performance at Gold Coast Poly. Revamped, Bodmin Moor and Sol Filia all rate chances worth following in this one.
Shortest win price
Bodmin Moor (2)
2.45
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Revamped · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Bodmin Moor · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
She's A Dame · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Nomomeikushi · Negative
Trainer A2E
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Career
4: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Moree
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
AAP
Just beaten in the Hcp (C1) at Moree for new stable. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last run at Moree and has a good draw. Has a great burst of speed late. Definite contender.
RP
Beaten narrowly over 6½f at Moree (handicap) ten days ago on debut for this trainer; not had much racing - fifth outing here; plenty of appeal.
RSIS
Rattled home nicely into 2nd last start at Moree and has a positive stall. Will be hitting the line strongly. Strong claims in this.
Career
5: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Failed to threaten at Ipswich but not out of this.
ILB
Started $15.00 and ran 5th last run at Ipswich. Expecting improvement. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
RP
Held in fifth over 5½f at Ipswich (handicap) last month; stepped up on his last two starts; rates a likely contender as would have leading chance if back in the same form he showed when winning two starts ago.
RSIS
Started at 14/1 and ran 5th last start at Ipswich. Expecting improvement here. Will be competitive.
Career
15: 1-1-8
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-3
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-1
Track Grafton
4: 0-0-3
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 0-0-5
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-3
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 39% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Danny Peisley in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 28%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sound two back in a Class 2. Unable to make an impression in rain affected going this venue over longer test. Form sound this level without winning. Can show more here.
ILB
Was $5.00 and tailed off to finish 6th last time at this venue. Looking for an improved run and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Gets a solid chance here.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 8l into sixth) here over 7½f (handicap) last month; this is competitive and has some questions to answer.
RSIS
Started at 4/1 and weakened to finish 6th last run at the track. Can show a better performance this time and has minimal work to do from the draw. Winning chance.
Career
6: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 1-0-0
Track Casino
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1204m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 24% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Lismore
AAP
Racing consistently. Against own gender when ran on okay without troubling at Ipswich. Has some claims.
ILB
On a short back up. Just shy of the win last start at Gold Coast and drawn the rails.
RP
A previous winner here; not beaten far (Gold Coast) at the weekend; in the mix.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Narrowly denied victory last time at Gold Coast and drawn well.
Career
16: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a quick back-up. Ordinary performance in small field at Gold Coast Poly. A few runs under her belt this campaign, can fill the minors here.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Started at $21.00 and gave away some ground when 7th last time at Gold Coast Poly. Large claim helps. Small possibility.
RP
Finished last of seven over 5½f at Gold Coast (handicap) last week; others more appealing given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Was 20/1 and well beaten when 7th last time at Gold Coast Poly. The large claim from William Galloway helps.
Career
10: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
1: 0-0-0
Track Casino
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballina
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1181m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1190m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 303%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Close enough but couldn't capitalize at Coffs Harbour second-up. Fitter now.
ILB
Started $17.00 and faded away to finish 6th last run at Coffs Harbour. Likely to get back in the field. Others much better.
RP
Last of six at Coffs Harbour nine days ago upped to 6½f; others are preferred given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
At 16/1 couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last time at Coffs Harbour. Gets back and needs luck.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (22-weeks). Lone career win was over 1300m at Gold Coast in last campaign. Check markets off the decent break.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Below expectations when 7th last run at Gold Coast but has a positive alley.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Well beaten when 7th last run at Gold Coast but will try to take advantage of the stall.
Career
14: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Murwillumbah
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
5: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1526m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1630m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 39%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class