Hamilton (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:46 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hamilton (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 9 NovHamilton (VIC)Change

Race 8 — ACE Radio Hcp (56) 1400m · jumps Mon 9 Nov, 5:00 pm AEDT

Race preview

Hamilton hosts the Ace Radio Hcp over 1400m on a Good 4 track in fine weather at 5:00 pm AEDT. This is a restricted 0–56 handicap for three-year-olds and older. Youarenotalone is shortest in the market, with Hidden Witness and Hellish Lee next in line, followed by Frederick. The form here is competitive across the top end, with several runners carrying recent placing records at this track and distance.

Youarenotalone comes off the back of a brave on-pace effort at this course over this trip, finishing third at 1400m just four weeks ago on a Soft 5. The jockey–trainer combo with Linda Meech and Smiley Chan is outperforming market expectations by 104 per cent. Hidden Witness, second pick, has also shown form at 1400m, running a close third at Bendigo and a solid second at Echuca more recently, with a career rating of 100 (IRD) and a consistent record at this level. Hellish Lee sits next shortest after winning at Manangatang off an extended spell, though the pack notes that form carries questions over depth. Jockey Dean Yendall is performing 24 per cent above market expected in recent rides. Frederick rates a chance second-up, with the comment suggesting he'll be fitter, but trainer Michael Huglin's camp is struggling with a 3 per cent strike rate.

Speed is split across the track, with Youarenotalone leading and a cluster of on-pace runners—Misty Emotions, Steely Hustler, Hellish Lee and Simply Excels—fighting for position. Juniors Queen maps well suited to Hamilton and suggests early pace will be slow. Triomphe was the fastest finisher last start and carries some appeal as a fresh option in the midfield. Youarenotalone rates a real chance at shortest odds given the on-pace form and the jockey–trainer combo firing, whilst Hidden Witness and Hellish Lee present angles further down the market for punters hunting value.

Race notes

0 - 56,0 - 56 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 56
GOOD4
Fine
14 runners

Shortest win price

Youarenotalone (1)

2.75

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

13Les Vosges

Offmidfield

12Barclaps
10Dangerous Secret

Midfield

6Hidden Witness
5Triomphe
14They Call Me Dusty

Offpace

3Misty Emotions
7Nicking Gracie
15Hellish Lee
2Frederick

Onpace

1Youarenotalone
8Steely Hustler

Leader

11Juniors Queen
16Simply Excels

Youarenotalone · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Frederick · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Misty Emotions · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Triomphe · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1YouarenotaloneJ: Linda Meech·T: Smiley Chan1360kg6 6 8 3 311: 1-0-4$2.75$1.36

Career

11: 1-0-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
3: 1-0-2
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
6: 0-0-2

Last starts

3Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.15L
3Wodonga1300m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY93L
8Bendigo1300m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY95L
6Bairnsdale1200m12 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY83.9L
6Mornington1000m25 May 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.5L
10Caulfield1200m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM70 C · SOFT69.2L
1Wodonga1200m16 Sept 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5
6Warrnambool1100m21 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT55.2L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 104%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Brave on-pace performance this course over this trip. Placed to effect here.

ILB

Good result placing 3rd beaten by 2L last start here. Linda Meech and Smiley Chan deserve serious attention as a team. Has claims.

Solid effort when beaten just over 2l to finish third four weeks ago; others have more pressing claims as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

Outgunned at the finish when 3rd beaten by 2L last run around here. Jockey Linda Meech and trainer Smiley Chan are a formidable team. Solid prospects.

2FrederickJ: Jett Stanley·T: Michael Huglin559kg5 4 3 8 421: 2-2-2$16.00$3.90

Career

21: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1109m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-1

Last starts

4Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.35L
8Donald1206m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY88.6L
3Swan Hill1200m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT61.5L
4Echuca1109m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT71.6L
5Caulfield Heath950m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.7L
2Great Western1200m24 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT50.8L
1Kerang1100m27 Dec 2025 · BM52 · GOOD3-2
11Werribee1408m15 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.3L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 60%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 66% Profit on Turnover

Comments

AAP

Made limited headway at Moe. Fitter second-up. Right in this.

ILB

Started at $6.50 and crept into 4th last run at Moe. Should go close.

Useful in this grade; not disgraced when fourth over 6f at Moe (handicap) three weeks ago; his best form stacks up so no surprise to see him go well.

RSIS

At 11/2 hit the line well when 4th last start at Moe. Chance and can measure up.

3Misty EmotionsJ: Tom Madden·T: J P Salanitri158kg2 2 8 6 416: 1-2-3$10.00$3.00

Career

16: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
2: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-2-1

Last starts

4Ararat1300m3 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.8L
6Ballarat1200m14 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD43.6L
8Bendigo1300m13 July 2025 · 2yo+ · HEAVY87.9L
2Moe1200m19 June 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT70.1L
2Geelong1300m5 June 2025 · 0 - 64 · SOFT61.3L
4Sale1212m18 May 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT51L
5Kilmore1457m5 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD43.96L
3Sale1400m20 Apr 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD40.46L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (35-weeks). Two quiet jumpouts ahead of resumption. Rates highly fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Resuming after a break of 35 weeks. At $7.50 made some ground when 4th last run at Ararat and has drawn to do little work. Others are better.

Not beaten that far over 6½f at Ararat (handicap) in March; just the one win to her name and form has an uneven look to it; has had some time off; passed over as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

First run back after a break of 35 weeks. Started 13/2 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last run at Ararat.

4Sweet But SassyScratched16––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Won in decisive fashion at Mildura non-tabs. Just out of her maiden and facing tougher challenge here.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Left nothing to chance when winning by 1L last time at Mildura.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Was all too good winning by 1L last start at Mildura.

5TriompheJ: Zac Moore·T: Ann-Jeanette Tindale457.5kg11 11 11 8 323: 2-3-5$16.00$3.90

Career

23: 2-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
3: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1860m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-2-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
8: 1-0-2

Last starts

3Mortlake1300m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.35L
8St Arnaud1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
11Hamilton1400m10 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT57.07L
11Morphettville1250m27 June 2026 · 4UP BM66 · SOFT64.7L
11Werribee1425m30 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT67.6L
2Stawell1300m18 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY91.8L
3Ararat1300m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.4L
2Horsham1400m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.4L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long winning drought. Midfield, let down intently into the placings at Mortlake. Claiming apprentice sticks but this looks tougher.

ILB

Ran on when 3rd last start at Mortlake. The large claim from Zac Moore helps. Definite winning chance.

Has been fairly consistent lately; split Steely Hustler and Dangerous Secret over 6½f at Mortlake (handicap) last month when a respectable third; assuming he steps up from most recent effort then is capable of making an impact.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 3rd last start at Mortlake. Zac Moore takes a large claim. Must be considered here.

6Hidden WitnessJ: Neil Farley·T: Brittany Raymond756.5kg6 2 2 2 322: 1-6-3$3.30$1.45

Career

22: 1-6-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
3: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1147m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-3-2
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-3-0

Last starts

3Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.02L
2Echuca1209m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42L
2Ballarat Synthetic1200m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC0.1L
2Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC1.5L
6Kyneton1461m28 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT53.8L
3Geelong1312m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.8L
5Kilmore1600m13 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.5L
4Great Western1600m24 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT51.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Consistent galloper who has finished fourth in a Ballarat jumpout between runs. Form sound this level without winning. Warrants attention.

ILB

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Bendigo. Placed at every start this campaign. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

Not beaten far when third at Bendigo three weeks ago; managed just one success in her career to date; looks more likely to place than win so hard to recommend.

RSIS

Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 1L last run at Bendigo. Has run into the money all attempts of late. Winning chance.

7Nicking GracieJ: Melea Castle·T: Tori Madigan1054.5kg11 3 5 5 729: 2-2-3$41.00$6.50

Career

29: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
5: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1117m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
15: 1-0-2
Going Soft
11: 1-1-1
Going Good
13: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Avoca1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.25L
5Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.41L
5Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.6L
3Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.3L
11Yarra Valley1500m7 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD418.8L
2Camperdown1400m17 Jan 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD30.8L
4Burrumbeet1350m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
5Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M 0 - 56 HCP · HEAVY107L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long time since last saluted. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Odds of $4.80 and was well beaten when 7th last start at Avoca. Needs a mighty effort to win this.

A long time since her last win; held in seventh with blinkers tried (Avoca) on her debut for new trainer over 6f (handicap) last month; facing a testing assignment and not easy to fancy.

RSIS

Odds of 4/1 and tailed off to finish 7th last time at Avoca.

8Steely HustlerJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Jamie Edwards1154kg6 4 5 6 222: 2-3-1$14.00$3.70

Career

22: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Manangatang
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-1
Going Good
13: 1-2-0

Last starts

2Mortlake1300m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51L
6St Arnaud1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.05L
5Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.91L
4Donald1000m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.8L
6Penshurst1476m22 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD39.1L
12Echuca1400m4 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT13.3L
9Murtoa1200m4 Oct 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD414.1L
9Warrnambool1200m22 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT511.5L

Insights

Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Mortlake when in the market. Each-way.

ILB

Caught the eye when 2nd last start at Mortlake. Has shown early pace in races to date. Lines up against a competitive field.

Ahead of Triomphe and Dangerous Secret when runner-up (beaten 1l) over 6½f at Mortlake (handicap) last month; has been consistent of late; assuming she steps up from most recent effort then could have a say.

RSIS

Good effort to run 2nd last run at Mortlake. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

9AdkiScratched12––––

Career

86: 10-9-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
6: 0-0-2
Third-up
6: 2-1-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-1-0
Track Ararat
2: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
5: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
13: 1-1-0
Distance 1450m
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
45: 5-2-3
Going Heavy
16: 3-2-2

Last starts

5Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD43.05L
10Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD314.06L
6Tatura1450m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT710.4L
6Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.4L
3Warracknabeal1200m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT62.3L
8Wodonga1300m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY911.6L
7Seymour1000m19 July 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY95.2L
6Wangaratta1000m6 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY104.7L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 36% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 27 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Made the pace but got a stitch late at Kilmore. Leader. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Was $4.80 and came in 5th last time at Kilmore. Jockey Amy Herrmann is very comfortable steering.

Not beaten too far when fifth of ten at Kilmore last month upped to 7f; every chance as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

At 4/1 ran 5th last time at Kilmore. Jockey Amy Herrmann has been successful aboard previously.

10Dangerous SecretJ: Sarah Field·T: Bob & Kane Post254kg10 7 3 5 729: 1-2-3$71.00$9.00

Career

29: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1610m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-0-2
Going Good
12: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-0-3

Last starts

7Mortlake1300m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.67L
5Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.61L
3Mount Gambier900m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT50.23L
7Hamilton1400m26 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY108.8L
10Stawell2000m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD410.8L
6Hamilton1600m7 Apr 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY83.1L
7Avoca1300m29 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.3L
6Mount Gambier1563m13 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.1L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Backmarker who needs everything to fall into place. Unplaced from 4 starts here.

ILB

At $16.00 looked flat when 7th last start at Mortlake but can find a nice position from the draw. Might be ridden for luck. Gets a reduction in weight. Can't have in this.

Been a while since she achieved her only career win; out of the frame (beaten 4½l in seventh) over 6½f at Mortlake (handicap) last month; this looks a decent race so she can be taken on.

RSIS

Was 15/1 and lacked competitiveness when 7th last run at Mortlake but drawn nicely. Likely to settle back in the field. Goes down in weight.

11Juniors QueenJ: Holly Durnan·T: T T Walsh354kg4 10 6 13 522: 1-0-1$51.00$7.50

Career

22: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Balnarring
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Kilmore2007m1 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY96.5L
13Mornington2050m25 May 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT514.6L
6Mornington2030m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.4L
10Kilmore1600m18 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD412.5L
4Balnarring1200m4 Apr 2026 · Restricted8.7L
9Woolamai1608m3 Jan 2026 · Restricted8.4L
6Drouin1200m26 Dec 2025 · Open5.1L
10Cranbourne1200m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD320L

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Third in a recent Mornington jumpout. Didn't measure up last prep and looks a risk fresh.

ILB

First up today. Jumped at $31.00 and lost ground late when 5th last start at Kilmore on a heavy track but dropping in distance. Could not recommend.

Fifth of 12 beaten 7l over 1m2f at Kilmore (handicap) five months ago; just the one win to her name; back from an absence here; this looks a fair heat so may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Resuming after break. Odds of 30/1 and started to tire late when 5th last start at Kilmore but dropping back to a shorter trip. Has plenty of early pace.

12BarclapsJ: Kate Walters·T: Wayne Walters1254kg10 6 9 10 1115: 1-0-2$126.00$16.00

Career

15: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Track Coffs Harbour
2: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-1
Distance 910m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1012m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-0-1

Last starts

11Horsham1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD316.67L
10Mortlake1300m1 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM52 HCP · GOOD323L
9Penola1600m17 Oct 2025 · 0-54 · GOOD48.7L
6Mount Gambier1400m21 Sept 2025 · 0-54 · HEAVY84.87L
10Casterton1200m8 June 2025 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY88.6L
5Mount Gambier900m25 May 2025 · 0-56 HCP · SOFT54.7L
9Mount Gambier1200m22 Dec 2024 · 0 - 56 · SOFT510.18L
10Naracoorte1430m29 Nov 2024 · 0 - 54 · SOFT611.3L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Recent form doesn't read well and is awkwardly drawn. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

At $151.00 faded to finish 11th last start at Horsham but has been racing in stronger company. Likely to settle back in the field. Returns to more ground. Looks hopeful at best.

Finished last of 11 over 5½f at Horsham (handicap) three weeks ago; shown only moderate recent form and subpar record of 1-15; may have to settle for supporting role with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Started at 150/1 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last time at Horsham but will appreciate the drop in grade. Stepping back up in trip.

13Les VosgesJ: Shayleigh Ingelse·T: K M Elford1454kg5 7 11 14 725: 1-1-2$61.00$8.00

Career

25: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1867m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Naracoorte1100m1 Nov 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD45.67L
14Mount Gambier1550m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD48.58L
11Warrnambool1400m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.93L
7Hamilton1100m14 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT64.9L
5Casterton1200m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT54.3L
11Mount Gambier1400m22 May 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT78.8L
3Ararat1100m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT70.55L
7Geelong1325m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.3L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 79% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse 114% above market expected in L100 Rides
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 114%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Winless since 6 Jul 2025. Went home tamely at Naracoorte at $26. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

On a quick back up. Was $26.00 and ran 7th last run at Naracoorte but coming back up in distance. Expected to settle towards the rear. Prefer a race with easier competition.

First-time blinkers didn't work at Naracoorte over 5½f (handicap) when beaten 6l (seventh of 12) a week ago; recent form nothing to write home about; this looks a decent race so hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. At 25/1 ran 7th last start at Naracoorte but back over extra ground. Expected to settle towards the tail.

14They Call Me DustyJ: Melissa Julius·T: P A Preusker954kg2 6 4 6 1125: 1-5-1$41.00$6.50

Career

25: 1-5-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1213m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
11: 1-2-0
Going Good
8: 0-1-0

Last starts

11Mount Gambier1400m28 Nov 2025 · 0-54 · SOFT55.6L
6Bordertown1550m14 Nov 2025 · 0-54 · GOOD3.72L
4Naracoorte1430m2 Nov 2025 · 0-54 · GOOD3L
6Penola1600m17 Oct 2025 · 0-54 · GOOD45L
2Mount Gambier1562m8 Oct 2025 · 0-56 · HEAVY93L
5Mount Gambier1400m21 Sept 2025 · 0-54 · HEAVY83.57L
9Mount Gambier1564m8 Aug 2025 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY1016.2L
2Mount Gambier1550m11 July 2025 · 0 - 54 · HEAVY100.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Melissa Julius 31% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 80%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 64% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 346 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

First-up (49-weeks). Ex D Kolpin & V Hutchinson in SA. Resumes here without a trial or jumpout. Happy to watch off the long layoff.

ILB

Fresh from a break of 49 weeks. Started $21.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Mount Gambier. First start for a new trainer. Entitled to be big odds.

You have to go back a fair way to find his only win; finished towards the rear of 13 at Mt Gambier last November; returns from a layoff; runs for a new trainer here; this looks a decent race so there are better alternatives here.

RSIS

Resuming after a 49 week break. Started at 20/1 and didn't threaten when 11th last time at Mount Gambier. Change in trainer.

15Hellish LeeJ: Dean Yendall·T: Andrew Bobbin858kg4 3 6 4 19: 1-0-2$6.50$2.40

Career

9: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Dunkeld
1: 0-0-1
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-2

Last starts

1Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.75
4Warrnambool1400m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.5L
6Mount Gambier1563m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.6L
3Ararat1600m3 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT71.5L
4Naracoorte1430m8 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD49.9L
4Mount Gambier1412m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN PLTE · GOOD42.4L
5Horsham1100m21 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT77.4L
10Stawell1100m13 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Freshened after returning. Sheer display of grit and determination at Manangatang off extended spell. Questionable depth to that form but has upside.

ILB

Dashed home to win last run at Manangatang and form has been improving over recent runs. Facing a difficult task.

Narrow success in a maiden, breaking her duck at the ninth time of asking (Manangatang, dropped to 6f) last month; shown recent signs of improvement.

RSIS

Flew home to win last run at Manangatang and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.

16Simply ExcelsJ: Jack Hill·T: Andrew Bobbin659.5kg8 14 8 10 517: 2-3-3$26.00$4.80

Career

17: 2-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 1-1-1
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Track Manangatang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 2-2-2
Going Good
8: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
5: 2-2-0

Last starts

5St Arnaud1100m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.6L
10Manangatang1175m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.8L
8Stawell1300m18 May 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY912.2L
14Warrnambool1300m7 May 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY1024.5L
8Horsham1100m27 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD35.8L
6Eagle Farm1200m4 Feb 2026 · BM65 · GOOD43.8L
2Sunshine Coast1200m1 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD40.3L
7Ipswich1100m3 Dec 2025 · CG&E CL3 · GOOD43.3L

Insights

Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Safely held but not totally disgraced at St Arnaud. Any give helps.

ILB

Jumped at $15.00 and finished 5th last time at St Arnaud but going back up in distance. Expecting to settle positively. Prefer in an easier race.

Useful at this level; beaten a fair way when fifth over 5½f at St Arnaud (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Was 14/1 and came in 5th last run at St Arnaud but back to more ground. Has early pace and positions nicely.

Odds correct as at Mon 9 Nov, 5:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Mon 14 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races