Shortest win price
Rentier (8)
1.95
Welcome to Hamilton for the Sinclair Wilson Mdn Plate over the 1400m journey on a Good 4 track under fine skies! The win market order has Rentier leading the way, closely followed by Never Pegasus, Abydos, and Piklemegranmother holding down the early market muscle. Let us dive straight into the numbers and find some winners, mate!
Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, Rentier comes in with a solid rating after finishing midfield and picking up nicely over 1200m at Swan Hill, suggesting the rise in trip will suit down to the ground. Never Pegasus rates a real chance following a brave on-pace effort when going down narrowly in a thrilling finish at Naracoorte. Abydos also drops back to a suitable class and maps well from barrier eight to outperform market expectations, while Piklemegranmother brings plenty of fitness from a recent Warrnambool run and a previous placing right here at Hamilton.
Further down the speed maps, Vaulted brings early speed from barrier five which is a big tick on this circuit, backed by a hot jockey and trainer combination outperforming market expectations. With several on-pacers like Balgownie Lad and Rentier expected to push forward early, the race sets up nicely for a tactical battle. Grab your race book, back your judgment, and enjoy the action at Hamilton!
Shortest win price
Rentier (8)
1.95
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Abydos · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Al's Diemen · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Balgownie Lad · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Better Shape Up · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $14 when unable to threaten on a soft deck at Sale at second outing. Stripping fitter, sound claims.
ILB
Odds of $14.00 and came in 7th last start at Sale. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Sale (beaten just under 5l) last month; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Was 13/1 and came in 7th last start at Sale. Not at all out of this race.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Colac
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jack Hill 27% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
Symon Wilde in good form, out performing market 56%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 35% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (39-weeks). Given more time since debut. Finished second in recent Mortlake jumpout. Suitable trip for resumption.
ILB
Back from a break of 39 weeks. Odds of $12.00 and ran 7th last start at Colac but fitter for debut run. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Never posed a significant threat on his debut (wore cheekpieces) at Colac at 11-1 in February; back from an absence here; easy to see him making an impression.
RSIS
Back from a 39 week break. Was 11/1 and ran 7th last run at Colac but fitter for debut run.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Melissa Julius 31% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Melissa Julius in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 31%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Led, soon under pressure and dropped off at Warrnambool latest outing. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Odds of $151.00 and gave away some ground when 8th last run at Warrnambool. Shows good early pace. Will need to find a few more lengths.
RP
Held when eighth beaten 7l over 6½f at Warrnambool (maiden) three weeks ago; there is limited recent form on offer in this race so ought to be on the premises.
RSIS
Started at 150/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last run at Warrnambool. Displays good tactical pace.
Career
8: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1147m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (33-weeks). Ex Archie Alexander in Victoria. Second in latest Mortlake jumpout behind a Group 3 placegetter. Can measure up on stable debut.
ILB
First up from a spell of 33 weeks. Started at $61.00 and performed below standard when 9th last run at Echuca. Change in trainer. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Finished ninth, beaten 7l, at Echuca in March upped to 6f; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; form of the trainer is a plus; layoff to overcome; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Fresh after a 33 week break. At 60/1 ordinary performance when 9th last time at Echuca. Coming to a new trainer. A 8 start maiden.
Career
6: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-1-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1430m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-2
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Raced on the pace and went down in a thrilling stoush at Naracoorte. This looks a nice race for the gelding.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Just missed last start at Naracoorte. Likely to be well placed early. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Showing great form this campaign. Win bet the play.
RP
Been running well without managing to get his head in front; found one too strong when beaten a head at Naracoorte last Sunday; not been able to get his head in front lately so makes little appeal.
RSIS
On a short back up. Close up last run at Naracoorte. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Should muster plenty of early toe. Exhibiting good form of late. Should go well.
Career
13: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
2: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Robert Schultz striking at just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 71%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 76% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Trimmed margin late at St Arnaud off spell. Has an adverse draw and leaning towards others here.
ILB
Jumped at $151.00 and advanced late into 5th last start at St Arnaud and returns to more ground. Still in maiden grade after 13 runs. Pass.
RP
Not disgraced when fifth over 5½f at St Arnaud (maiden) last month; yet to open his account after 13 starts; is passed over.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and made ground when closing off to finish 5th last start at St Arnaud and returns to an increased distance. Still in maiden grade after 13 runs.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track St Arnaud
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Christine Puls current POT is 63% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Offered little to catch the eye on debut at St Arnaud at wide odds 24 Oct. Much to learn and others carry more punch.
ILB
Just average when 10th last start at St Arnaud but was a debutant last start. Likely to get back in the field.
RP
Some way behind the fifth, Tarin's Rock, in St Arnaud maiden over 5½f when last of ten on his debut with cheekpieces fitted at 66-1 last month; prospects.
RSIS
Moderate showing when 10th last time at St Arnaud but having second race start. Might be ridden for luck.
Career
3: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
93
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1103m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Midfield, picked up solidly at Swan Hill latest outing. Should relish the rise in distance. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
Started at $14.00 and came in 4th last start at Swan Hill. Capable of bouncing back and solid career start. Winkers go on for the first time. Strong claims.
RP
Three-race maiden though does have a third place to his name; respectable effort in defeat (beaten three-quarters of a length) over 6f at Swan Hill (maiden) last month.
RSIS
At 13/1 finished 4th last run at Swan Hill. Looking past the last run and promising career start. Cheekpieces go on for the first time. Expecting to settle positively. Strong chance to be considered.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
Reasonable debut performance when battled to line at Echuca. Took valuable lessons. Worth a look.
ILB
Started $15.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Echuca but having second race start. Prefer a return to something a lot easier.
RP
Fair debut effort over 6f at Echuca at 14-1 three weeks ago; could improve although needs to.
RSIS
At 14/1 faded to finish 8th last run at Echuca but having second career run. Should race on the pace. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (21-weeks). Since trialled at Colac. Has a tricky draw. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
First up after a break. Odds of $10.00 and came in 6th last run at Donald and will be dropping in distance.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Started at 9/1 and finished 6th last time at Donald and will be down in distance.
Career
10: 0-5-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Casterton
2: 0-1-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
4: 0-3-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced in a Emerging Stars heat at Warrnambool. Super fit from racing, warrants attention.
ILB
At $21.00 hit the line well when 4th last run at Warrnambool. Showing positive results since resuming from a break. Can run into the placings.
RP
Creditable effort in fourth (beaten 2l) at Warrnambool over 6f (maiden) last month; has shown some recent improvement but yet to open her account after ten starts; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
At 20/1 got going late when 4th last run at Warrnambool. Running with confidence since coming back from a break.
Career
13: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
3: 0-0-1
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1525m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1563m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Terry Mulder striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Raced in back half and never likely at Warrnambool off spell. New to Hamilton. Form falls short of this.
ILB
Started at $51.00 and finished 7th last start at Warrnambool but racing over more ground. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Drawn nicely. Unfortunately, it seems unlikely.
RP
Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13; held when seventh of 11 at Warrnambool over 5f (maiden) last month; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Was 50/1 and came in 7th last time at Warrnambool but facing a rise in trip. Should muster plenty of early pace. Yet to break maiden status after 13 starts.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
$55k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Platinum Command. Fifth in latest Pakenham jumpout. Nice gate but prefer to watch on debut.
ILB
4yo runner on debut by Lucky Vega for trainer John Salanitri. Betting as a guide.
RP
The only newcomer; first racecourse start; holds leading claims with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Initial appearance 4yo by Lucky Vega for John Salanitri.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
3: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Yet to get seriously involved and has plenty to find. Race performances have lacked merit. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Odds of $91.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Kilmore but has a nice advantage with a good draw. May find these too slick.
RP
Best she's managed so far is fifth from six career starts; missed the frame (beaten 11l into tenth) at Kilmore over 5½f (maiden) last month; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Started at 90/1 and was well beaten when 10th last time at Kilmore but will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.