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Hamilton (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Hamilton (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Mon 9 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Mon, 9 NovHamilton (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Michael Stewart Memorial (Bm56) 1200m · jumps

Race preview

It's a tight BM56 sprint at Hamilton on GOOD4 going this arvo at 4:00 pm AEDT, and the win market is bunched right up. Becauseyou're Mine leads the order, followed by The Birthday Party, then Ramelle and All The Way Baby. The early lead is set to be genuinely contested — three runners map to the front in Becauseyou're Mine, French Navy, and Ramelle, with Dazzling Sky and Saint Lazare sitting offmidfield ready to run.

Becauseyou're Mine has jumped off the page. Won last start at Mortlake over 1100m in SOFT5, hitting the line hard from an awkward gate. Sectionals suggest this horse goes early and stays there, which suits 1200m on this circuit. The AAP notes it copped more weight for the win but rates a real chance to salute again. Ramelle also won most recently at Mortlake over the same trip, gutsy on the pace in a first-up return. She's trained by Symon Wilde, a stable in red-hot form, and the numbers there are running 56% above market. The Birthday Party is another with genuine claims — won decisively at Kyneton over 1218m, and the combo of Holly Durnan and the Corstens-Larkin team are firing, outperforming market by 89%. The form reads strong here.

All The Way Baby rates a real chance further down. Dean Yendall is riding at 24% above market expected in the last hundred rides, and the mare's record at first-up over this distance sits at 5 starts for a win and two placings. Recent form has been a few lengths off best, sure, but that recent-rider edge is worth a tick. French Navy also deserves a mention — early speed runner trained by Symon Wilde with Jack Hill aboard, a jockey outperforming career average by 28% in the last ton. Hamilton suits front-runners, and with three pushing for the lead, this one could find room late if the tempo stacks up.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM56,BM56 HCP,Benchmark 56
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Becauseyou're Mine (4)

2.10

Most career wins

Saint Lazare

4-2-2 from 26 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Infer

Offmidfield

  • 1Dazzling Sky
  • 2Saint Lazare

Offpace

  • 9All The Way Baby
  • 12Drover's Yarn

Onpace

  • 10Costae

Leader

  • 4Becauseyou're Mine
  • 8Ramelle
  • 5French Navy

  • Dazzling Sky · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 63% lower than Career Avg.

  • Saint Lazare · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 86%

  • Becauseyou're Mine · Positive

    Fast Early

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • French Navy · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Dazzling SkyJ: Christine Puls·T: Barry Ainsworth361.5kg7 11 9 5 1115: 2-1-2$34.00$4.40

Career

15: 2-1-2

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    6: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 11Sandown1800m24 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.9L
  2. 5Seymour1600m11 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT65L
  3. 9Bendigo1400m28 Aug 2025 · 0 - 64 · HEAVY99.4L
  4. 11Bendigo1300m13 July 2025 · 2yo+ · HEAVY89.2L
  5. 7Bendigo1000m26 June 2025 · 2yo+ · HEAVY83.6L
  6. 7Seymour1600m19 Dec 2024 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD36.21L
  7. 1Bendigo1400m3 Dec 2024 · BenchMark 58 · HEAVY9-3
  8. 4Mornington1200m3 Nov 2024 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD33L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 63% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 75% in L100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 411 day break (> 300 days)

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (58-weeks). Ex A W Noonan in Victoria. Fourth in only Mortlake jumpout. Fitness could tell.

ILB

First run back after break of 58 weeks. Jumped at $101.00 and didn't attack the line when 11th last time at Sandown but facing a weaker group of contenders. Watch the betting.

RP

11th of 12 over 1m1f at Sandown (handicap) last September; this is his level; been off the track a long time; first start for new stable; needs to be respected.

RSIS

Back after a 58 week break. Odds of 100/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last start at Sandown but competing at a lower level of competition.

2Saint LazareJ: Sarah Field·T: Jarrod Robinson261.5kg11 10 7 12 1326: 4-2-2$13.00$2.90

Career

26: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1225m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    10: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1447m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    20: 4-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 13Swan Hill1300m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.1L
  2. 12Echuca1400m8 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD413.5L
  3. 7Seymour1400m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD413.25L
  4. 10Echuca1400m10 Aug 2025 · BM70 HCP · SOFT617.7L
  5. 11Mildura1400m18 July 2025 · MILDURA CUP · GOOD46.8L
  6. 9Swan Hill1300m8 June 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT77.6L
  7. 11Warrnambool1400m30 Apr 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT633.8L
  8. 13Bendigo1300m12 Apr 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD416.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 86%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (34-weeks). Ex C V Kelly in Victoria. Won recent Seymour jumpout. Gets tongue-tie on for new trainer and could surprise first-up. Keep safe.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break of 34 weeks. Was $151.00 and gave away some ground when 13th last start at Swan Hill but has a good draw. Best to watch only.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 over 6½f at Swan Hill (handicap) in March; useful at this level; returns from a layoff; runs for a new stable here; ought to be competitive.

RSIS

First run back from break of 34 weeks. Started 150/1 and looked outclassed when 13th last time at Swan Hill but has a positive stall.

3NicalohaScratched5––––

Career

10: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mildura

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-1-2

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    6: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Murray Bridge1200m28 Oct 2026 · 0-60 · GOOD42.83L
  2. 1Mount Gambier1200m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.17
  3. 3Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.11L
  4. 11Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47L
  5. 5Ararat1300m25 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.5L
  6. 5Bordertown1200m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD6.7L
  7. 10Morphettville1250m23 Aug 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT56.4L
  8. 3Murray Bridge1200m2 Aug 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Neil Farley 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Latest attempt this journey when ran on okay without troubling at Murray Bridge Gh. Rates highly.

ILB

Started at $9.00 and crept into 4th last time at Murray Bridge.

RP

Has displayed improved form on last two starts; solid run when fourth at Murray Bridge Gh last month; unexposed in handicaps with this his second start in this company; meeting some horses in good form and hard to recommend.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and moved through the field into 4th last start at Murray Bridge.

4Becauseyou're MineJ: Tom Madden·T: Shane Jackson960.5kg10 6 4 9 115: 3-1-0$2.10$1.16

Career

15: 3-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-1-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Mortlake1100m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-2.5
  2. 9Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD44.4L
  3. 4Warrnambool1000m21 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.16L
  4. 6Donald1000m2 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.3L
  5. 10Warrnambool1200m26 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT614.6L
  6. 10Mount Gambier1211m13 Mar 2026 · BM68 · GOOD49.7L
  7. 8Terang1206m20 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD44.3L
  8. 4Colac1200m6 Feb 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Great win from the deep gate at Mortlake. Cops more weight for last win this grade but can do it again.

ILB

Made every post a winner to win by 2 1/2L last time at Mortlake and have to respect the form at the distance. Won't be far away during the run. Highly respected.

RP

Scored by 2½l at Mortlake over 5½f (handicap) last month; despite that Mortlake success, others make more appeal.

RSIS

Dictated the tempo to win by a margin of 2 1/2L last time at Mortlake and solid performer at this distance in the past. Should muster plenty of early pace. Will attract plenty of interest.

5French NavyJ: Jack Hill·T: Symon Wilde460.5kg7 7 9 11 97: 1-1-0$11.00$2.65

Career

7: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Mount Gambier

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Colac800m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8.6L
  2. 11Mount Gambier1412m25 Jan 2026 · BM64 · GOOD427.8L
  3. 9Warrnambool1200m11 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD36.5L
  4. 7Warrnambool1700m9 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.2L
  5. 7Sandown1600m20 Aug 2025 · 4Y BM64 HCP · GOOD46.2L
  6. 1Warrnambool1400m24 July 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY9-2.5
  7. 2Warracknabeal1200m12 July 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY83.3L
  8. 3Colac800m19 June 2025 · Barrier Trial1.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Symon Wilde in good form, out performing market 56%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 35% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Jack Hill winning at 13% POT in last 100 rides

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (41-weeks). Third in recent Mortlake jumpout. Right in this fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up after a break of 41 weeks. Was well beaten when 11th last start at Mount Gambier. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Could take this out.

RP

Finished tailed off in January at Mt Gambier upped to 7f; returns from a layoff here; knows how to win so could go close.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 41 weeks. Didn't find the line when 11th last run at Mount Gambier. Displays good tactical pace. Good potential.

6The Birthday PartyScratched1––––

Career

6: 2-0-0

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wodonga

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1
  2. 4Wodonga1100m15 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.75L
  3. 11Sale1008m17 May 2026 · 0-66 · GOOD48.3L
  4. 8Mornington1000m28 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.7L
  5. 9Yarra Valley1000m24 Mar 2026 · BM56 · SOFT54.5L
  6. 1Swan Hill975m28 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.3

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 89%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Terrific from the wide gate when had blinkers on first time at Kyneton. Durnan sticks but has to take on the boys now. Strong claims.

ILB

Went to the front and never looked back when winning by 1L last run at Kyneton and drawn beautifully.

RP

14-1 winner by 1l at Kyneton last month; every chance.

RSIS

Set the pace when winning by 1L last run at Kyneton and has a nice advantage with a good stall.

7AttainScratched8––––

Career

48: 4-10-4

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1050m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-4-0

  • Going Good

    35: 3-5-4

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Morphettville1200m3 Nov 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD44.17L
  2. 5Horsham1100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.07L
  3. 9Mildura1200m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.37L
  4. 5Swan Hill1300m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.9L
  5. 7Morphettville1050m12 Sept 2026 · 4UP 0-64 · GOOD43L
  6. 2Mildura1208m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.8L
  7. 6Morphettville1400m15 Aug 2026 · 0-72 · HEAVY82.5L
  8. 5Mildura1400m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.8L

Insights

  • Better for last start

    Positive

    Improved with last few runs

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. A few runs under his belt this campaign, has some claims.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Flashed home late into 2nd last time at Morphettville.

RP

Shade disappointing to finish only second when 85-40 (Morphettville) last week.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Ran home into 2nd last start at Morphettville.

8RamelleJ: Jett Stanley·T: Symon Wilde759kg5 5 8 9 16: 1-0-1$4.00$1.38

Career

6: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mortlake

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Donald

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Mortlake1100m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-1.5
  2. 9Colac800m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.8L
  3. 8Bendigo1300m30 July 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · SOFT65.5L
  4. 5Donald1206m11 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY82.9L
  5. 5Donald1000m20 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY95.4L
  6. 3Warrnambool1400m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.8L
  7. 6Terang1200m16 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Symon Wilde in good form, out performing market 56%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 35% POT in L100 Runners

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Really gutsy performance on the speed at Mortlake first run back. Will have her admirers.

ILB

Was eating up the ground late when winning last time at Mortlake. Should muster plenty of early speed. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Has found improvement of late; got the job done by 1½l in a maiden at Mortlake, breaking her duck at the sixth time of asking last month; easy enough to take on despite that win last time.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last run at Mortlake. Has plenty of early pace. Watch for a sign in the market.

9All The Way BabyJ: Dean Yendall·T: M J Williams558.5kg1 8 7 10 622: 3-5-2$4.60$1.50

Career

22: 3-5-2

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Murtoa

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Kyneton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1406m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1114m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    14: 2-5-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 6Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT53.9L
  2. 10Geelong1750m22 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD412.5L
  3. 7Ararat1600m3 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.8L
  4. 8Ballarat1600m14 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD410.1L
  5. 1Camperdown1600m17 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD3-0.2
  6. 4Terang1400m2 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD33.3L
  7. 10Terang1400m16 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD36.1L
  8. 9Geelong1307m14 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD6.71L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Dean Yendall 24% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -26%

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Been a few lengths off her best of late. Not out of this.

ILB

Started at $17.00 and finished 6th last start at Kyneton. Dean Yendall takes the reins today. Definite contender.

RP

A few throw outs since her success in a handicap at Camperdown in January; finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 4l) back down to this trip at Kyneton four weeks ago; this looks a fair heat so others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 16/1 and ran 6th last run at Kyneton. Good to see Dean Yendall is jumping on. Has strong claims.

10CostaeJ: Teodore Nugent·T: Ms H Burns658.5kg4 10 7 7 1313: 2-1-1$11.00$2.65

Career

13: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ellerslie

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Cambridge Synthetic

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1343m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 13Swan Hill1200m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD410.37L
  2. 7Avoca1300m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310L
  3. 7Mildura1200m6 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.12L
  4. 10Ballarat1400m20 Nov 2025 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD37.4L
  5. 4Mornington1200m23 Oct 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT53.35L
  6. 12Caulfield1400m10 May 2025 · 3Y F BM70 HCP · GOOD48.1L
  7. 9Flemington1400m25 Apr 2025 · 3Y FILLIES BM70 HCP · GOOD44.9L
  8. 7Geelong1343m1 Apr 2025 · 3UP BM64 HCP · GOOD47.4L

Insights

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Swan Hill over this trip. Has plenty to find on latest offerings.

ILB

Folded up in the straight when 13th last run at Swan Hill. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Rates as one of the key chances.

RP

Generally been out of sorts of late and hasn't won for a while; last of 13 (Swan Hill) 13 days ago; this looks a decent race so may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 13th last time at Swan Hill. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go off for the first time. Good chance of taking this out.

11InferJ: Amy Herrmann·T: Robert Schultz1058.5kg5 1 6 8 726: 1-0-4$41.00$4.80

Career

26: 1-0-4

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Echuca

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casterton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7St Arnaud1100m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.7L
  2. 8Murtoa2050m25 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT714L
  3. 6Wodonga1590m27 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY86.1L
  4. 1Swan Hill1600m7 June 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-1.8
  5. 5Mount Gambier1550m22 May 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT75.6L
  6. 6Kilmore1462m15 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT67.7L
  7. 6Seymour1600m26 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT57.1L
  8. 4Terang1400m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY103.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 71%

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to flatter at St Arnaud for new trainer. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Odds of $71.00 and average performance when 7th last time at St Arnaud. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Looks hopeful.

RP

Finished seventh, beaten 10l, at St Arnaud over 5½f (handicap) on debut for this trainer last month; this looks a fair heat so has questions to answer.

RSIS

Started 70/1 and mediocre display when 7th last time at St Arnaud. Likely to get back in the run.

12Drover's YarnJ: Sarah Robbins·T: Bryan Dowsett854kg9 11 8 8 656: 1-3-3$101.00$8.50

Career

56: 1-3-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    14: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    11: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    8: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Ipswich

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1830m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    29: 0-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    9: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Avoca1300m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.75L
  2. 8Murtoa1200m25 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT721L
  3. 8Ballarat Synthetic1200m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC7.35L
  4. 11Bordertown1550m14 Nov 2025 · 0-54 · GOOD14.31L
  5. 9Jerilderie1400m27 Sept 2025 · BM509.1L
  6. 8Casterton1200m31 Aug 2025 · 0 - 58 · SOFT75.9L
  7. 12Horsham1400m22 Dec 2024 · 0 - 58 · GOOD310.88L
  8. 11Naracoorte1430m29 Nov 2024 · 0 - 54 · SOFT611.4L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Bryan Dowsett striking at just 1%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Hasn't done much since breaking his maiden. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Was $151.00 and clearly outclassed when 6th last run at Avoca. Can't have on what it has been showing.

RP

Missed the frame (beaten 9l into sixth) over 6½f at Avoca (handicap) last month; achieved just the one win and generally struggled of late; a lot on his plate here and hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Odds of 150/1 and moderate showing when 6th last time at Avoca.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Mon 14 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races