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Dunkeld (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Dunkeld (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovDunkeld (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Bet365 William Thomson Dunkeld Cup 1800m · jumps

Race preview

The Bet365 William Thomson Dunkeld Cup hits the turf at 4:41 pm AEDT on Saturday over 1800 metres on soft going. It's an open handicap for horses aged three and older, and the win market is led by Stay Humble, followed by Navy King, Dubai Watch, and New York Hurricane. Three leaders shape up in this race—Navy King, Stay Humble, and Flying Basil—while Any Luck and Gregolimo will hunt a one-paced profile from mid-field. That early group will give the trailing runners something to chase on a Soft 5 track under overcast skies.

Stay Humble sits shortest after wins at Geelong over similar distances, including a maiden victory on the Soft 5 at 1765 metres just recently. The form reads solid, though a strike rate of just 8% from the Maher stable gives some pause. Navy King, next in the market, showed promise before fading late when prominent at Hamilton on a Soft 5 over 1600 metres, and the comment suggests he can have a major say in this company. Dubai Watch, the third line of betting, won at Geelong over 1700 metres and is now stretching to 1800 metres after finding the back half at Flemington over 2000 metres. New York Hurricane, at fourth pick, shapes as each-way value according to the notes—a seasoned performer sent out at $51 when never getting into it at Flemington over this same journey.

Switch Hit rates a real chance here. The runner posted the fastest finishing sectionals last start and comes from a stable outperforming market expectations by a massive 380%. Scalextrics also clocked quick closing sectionals and has early good form, though the jockey-trainer combo is under heat. At the back of the speed groups, Overpriced runs from off-pace and carries the best jockey booking metric in the race—the combination is outperforming expectations by 94%—so there's genuine appeal in stretching the odds for a late charge across the Soft 5.

Race notes

  • 3UP HCP ,3yo+,DUNKELD CUP,Open
  • SOFT5
  • Overcast
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Stay Humble (7)

3.60

Most career wins

Flying Basil

14-3-5 from 56 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3New York Hurricane

Offmidfield

  • 11Scalextrics
  • 12Switch Hit

Midfield

  • 8Dubai Watch

Offpace

  • 10Overpriced

Onpace

  • 1Any Luck
  • 5Gregolimo

Leader

  • 6Navy King
  • 7Stay Humble
  • 9Flying Basil
  • Any Luck · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

  • New York Hurricane · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 45% in Last 100 Rides

  • Gregolimo · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Navy King · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Any LuckJ: Kate Walters·T: Wayne Walters459kg5 7 4 8 852: 8-10-8$21.00$3.80

Career

52: 8-10-8

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Bordertown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    5: 1-1-0

  • Track Casterton

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    7: 0-3-1

  • Distance 1880m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 2150m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    20: 6-4-4

  • Going Good

    22: 0-4-4

  • Going Heavy

    10: 2-2-0

Last starts

  1. 8Horsham2100m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.52L
  2. 8Hamilton2200m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.96L
  3. 4Coleraine1800m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD31.3L
  4. 7Casterton2000m7 June 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · HEAVY87.6L
  5. 5Mount Gambier2050m22 May 2026 · MT G CUP · SOFT710.9L
  6. 1Warrnambool2350m7 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY10-0.1
  7. 4Warrnambool2350m5 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY83.3L
  8. 4Terang2150m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP HCP · HEAVY104.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Horsham over longer assignment at longer odds. Can go forward.

ILB

Started at $26.00 and gave away some ground when 8th last run at Horsham. Should jump out and bowl along. Respect the betting.

RP

Beaten 8l over 1m2½f at Horsham (handicap) four weeks ago; this is her grade; might have a say if replicating her best form.

RSIS

At 25/1 folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Horsham. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.

2Foujita SanScratched1––––

Career

40: 4-6-2

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    7: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Sandown

    4: 2-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    26: 3-5-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Caulfield1700m10 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM80 GRAND HCP · GOOD31L
  2. 11Mornington1600m26 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · SOFT55.86L
  3. 5Flemington2000m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD32.9L
  4. 11Terang2150m12 Apr 2026 · 3UP HCP · HEAVY1024.1L
  5. 3Caulfield2000m14 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.3L
  6. 2Flemington2000m28 Feb 2026 · BM84 · GOOD40.4L
  7. 8Randwick2000m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM88 HCP · GOOD49.6L
  8. 7Randwick2400m13 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 35 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Courageous effort in the 3yo+ (Bm80) at Caulfield when second-up. All the better, can figure.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last start at Caulfield and stepping down to a lower level. Gets the perfect alley.

RP

Not beaten far when runner-up at 66-1 over 1m½f at Caulfield (handicap) last month; latest effort was encouraging so has a shout.

RSIS

Did well to finish 2nd last time at Caulfield and taking on easier opposition. Has minimal work to do from the draw.

3New York HurricaneJ: Jack Hill·T: Liam Howley359kg7 8 8 6 952: 8-10-5$6.00$2.10

Career

52: 8-10-5

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 0-3-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 2-1-0

  • Track Caulfield

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Camperdown

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1765m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    33: 4-7-4

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 3-3-1

Last starts

  1. 9Flemington1800m3 Nov 2026 · CUP DAY PLATE · GOOD46.91L
  2. 6Seymour1600m11 Oct 2026 · LISTED · SOFT52.56L
  3. 8Ballarat1600m18 Sept 2026 · GOLD NUGGET · GOOD45.44L
  4. 8Sandown1600m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.4L
  5. 7Flemington1620m1 Aug 2026 · BM78 · GOOD35.5L
  6. 10Sandown1600m22 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT66.5L
  7. 1Pakenham Synthetic1400m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-0.5
  8. 2Yarra Valley1950m15 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 45% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jack Hill 51% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Jack Hill winning at 30% POT in last 100 rides

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Dry Spell

    Negative

    Recent form uninspiring

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 5kg now

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Sent out $51 when never got into the race at Flemington over this journey. Each-way.

ILB

Disappointing effort when 9th last start at Flemington. Should improve here and matched against less formidable competition. Has a nice turn of foot. Going up in weight. Will be competitive.

RP

Not always shown an awful lot since winning a handicap at Wangaratta in February and recent form leaves something to be desired; finished ninth, beaten 7l, at Flemington 11 days ago in a Listed handicap; might find this company a little easier but he can be taken on.

RSIS

Clearly outclassed when 9th last start at Flemington. Should improve and lining up against easier rivals. Possesses good closing pace. Has more weight to carry. Will show up at the business end.

4Age Of KingsScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Off pace, no response and trudged home at Morphettville over today's trip. Needs to lift to figure.

ILB

Didn't find the line when 10th last start at Morphettville but will find this grade more suitable.

RSIS

Faded away to finish 10th last start at Morphettville but up against a less competitive field.

5GregolimoJ: Eoin Walsh·T: Glen Thompson656.5kg7 5 10 8 140: 5-8-6$8.50$2.65

Career

40: 5-8-6

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    7: 2-0-2

  • Third-up

    6: 0-4-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-1-2

  • Track La Teste De Buch

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    6: 0-2-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1950m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 1-0-2

  • Going Good

    25: 3-7-4

Last starts

  1. 1Kyneton1856m4 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY10-1.75
  2. 8Geelong1700m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD44.42L
  3. 10Caulfield2000m27 June 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT78.2L
  4. 5Mornington2000m8 June 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT75.5L
  5. 7Flemington1800m16 May 2026 · BM84 · GOOD43.8L
  6. 13Albury2000m20 Mar 2026 · ALBURY CUP · SOFT69.8L
  7. 5Yarra Valley1950m15 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD43.1L
  8. 2Wangaratta2000m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Broke a long run of outs when winning at Kyneton when second-up. Stripping fitter, has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Showed promise when winning by 1 3/4L last time at Kyneton but facing stiffer opposition. Should muster plenty of early toe. Carrying less weight this time. Can win this.

RP

Halted losing run over 1m1f at Kyneton (handicap) last week, scoring by just under 2l; despite that Kyneton success, has some questions to answer.

RSIS

Finished on top by 1 3/4L last start at Kyneton on a heavy surface but competing at a higher class. Expecting to settle positively. Gets a reduction in weight. Definitely worth considering.

6Navy KingJ: Linda Meech·T: Symon Wilde856.5kg2 2 14 9 527: 5-3-1$4.80$1.85

Career

27: 5-3-1

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 2-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 3-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Hamilton1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.25L
  2. 9Sandown1600m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT74.9L
  3. 14Sandown1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT79.4L
  4. 2Geelong1200m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial2.5L
  5. 2Kyneton2006m5 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.3L
  6. 1Hamilton2200m11 Oct 2025 · 3UP HCP · SOFT5-0.2
  7. 7Flemington2550m21 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD410.8L
  8. 4Moonee Valley2040m6 Sept 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD40.7L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 38% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 35 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Prominent before fading late at Hamilton. Can have a major say.

ILB

Was $10.00 and tired in the closing stages of the race when 5th last start at Hamilton but facing formidable opponents. Dropping weight. Strong claims in this.

RP

Useful at this level; not disgraced when fifth over 1m at Hamilton (handicap) last month; hard to ignore if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and was outsprinted late when 5th last time at Hamilton but up against a higher level of opposition. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Solid prospects.

7Stay HumbleJ: Cian Macredmond·T: C Maher1054kg2 4 2 1 320: 3-4-5$3.60$1.50

Career

20: 3-4-5

Rating · IRD

93

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    5: 2-2-1

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1765m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-0-2

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    6: 1-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    13: 2-2-3

Last starts

  1. 3Geelong1700m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD40.41L
  2. 1Geelong1765m7 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT5-0.75
  3. 2Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.5L
  4. 4Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT52.5L
  5. 2Geelong1547m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT70.3L
  6. 2Sandown1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71L
  7. 9Sandown1400m22 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT66.3L
  8. 3Sandown1200m8 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY82.8L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ciaron Maher striking at just 8%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 58% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 6kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Edged out late after making the pace at Geelong when supported. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Missed by a narrow margin last start at Geelong but racing against tougher rivals. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide alley. Very tidy performer.

RP

Normally pretty consistent; favourite and not beaten far at Geelong over 1m½f (handicap) 24 days ago, a race won by the reopposing Dubai Watch.

RSIS

Threw down a serious challenge last start at Geelong but facing formidable opponents. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw. Showing positive results in recent runs. Could go close.

8Dubai WatchJ: Zac Spain·T: Vincent Hall154kg3 5 5 1 1625: 5-1-3$6.50$2.30

Career

25: 5-1-3

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Echuca

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Geelong

    5: 3-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1800m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    14: 3-1-2

  • Going Good

    10: 2-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 16Flemington2000m3 Nov 2026 · BM80 · GOOD410.23L
  2. 1Geelong1700m21 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD4-0.06
  3. 5Bendigo1600m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT62.3L
  4. 5Sandown1800m15 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY95L
  5. 3Randwick1600m20 June 2026 · 3&4Y BM72 · SOFT51.7L
  6. 5Mornington1600m8 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT73.9L
  7. 9Pakenham1600m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 · SOFT52.9L
  8. 9Seymour1600m26 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT511.9L

Insights

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Vincent Hall in good form, out performing market 109%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Flemington. Switching to 1800m. A few runs under his belt this campaign, right in the mix.

ILB

Started at $91.00 and didn't attack the line when 16th last start at Flemington but will try to take advantage of the alley. Not without a chance.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 18 (Flemington) last week upped to 1m2f; easy to oppose with a number of his rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Was 90/1 and gave away some ground when 16th last start at Flemington but will try to take advantage of the draw.

9Flying BasilJ: Ryan Houston·T: Shane Jackson754kg6 7 11 7 1456: 14-3-5$41.00$5.50

Career

56: 14-3-5

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    9: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    6: 2-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 3-0-1

  • Track Sale

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Woolamai

    2: 1-1-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    3: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1628m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1608m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    37: 9-2-4

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 5-1-1

Last starts

  1. 14Bendigo1400m28 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.82L
  2. 7Casterton2000m17 May 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT622.5L
  3. 11Warrnambool1700m5 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY87.5L
  4. 7Edenhope2000m7 Mar 2026 · HCP · GOOD47.4L
  5. 6Colac2000m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  6. 1Great Western1950m24 Jan 2026 · 3UP HCP · SOFT5-1.5
  7. 8Burrumbeet1800m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.3L
  8. 8Wodonga1590m28 Nov 2025 · Open · GOOD36.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't come on at Bendigo off long spell. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Was $201.00 and average performance when 14th last run at Bendigo but going back up in trip. Has the necessary speed to mitigate the wide draw. Won't find this easy.

RP

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 14-57 but largely disappointing since successful in a handicap at Great Western in January; last of 14 at Bendigo over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; this looks a decent race so easy to oppose.

RSIS

Was 200/1 and below expectations when 14th last time at Bendigo but coming back up in distance. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.

10OverpricedJ: Sheridan Clarke·T: D Binaisse554kg10 3 10 1 19: 3-1-2$9.00$2.70

Career

9: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Moe

    3: 1-1-1

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1614m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 3-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 1Sale1600m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY10-0.46
  2. 1Warrnambool1700m1 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY9-0.46
  3. 10Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.64L
  4. 3Mornington1500m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT51.2L
  5. 10Flemington1700m18 July 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT67.8L
  6. 1Moe1628m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY10-2
  7. 2Moe1614m18 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY91L
  8. 5Bendigo1400m29 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD44.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Sheridan Clarke current POT is 25% below Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 94%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 48% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 34% in L100 rides

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 5.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

On target for hat-trick. Terrific from the wide gate at Sale. Can make his presence felt again.

ILB

Was much too speedy in front when winning by a margin of 1/2L last run at Sale on a heavy rated track but competing in a higher grade. Others are better.

RP

Gained narrow success in a handicap at Sale three weeks ago; aiming to complete a hat-trick; every chance.

RSIS

Assumed control from the start when winning by a margin of 1/2L last run at Sale on a heavy track but testing ability against stronger contenders.

11ScalextricsJ: Sarah Field·T: Taige Weir954kg1 6 11 2 236: 7-3-3$12.00$3.30

Career

36: 7-3-3

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Randwick Kensington

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Nowra

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    7: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    7: 3-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 3-1-3

  • Going Good

    16: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Wycheproof1800m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.25L
  2. 2Avoca1860m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.5L
  3. 11Randwick1600m22 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM78 HCP · SOFT59.7L
  4. 6Canterbury1900m5 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.8L
  5. 1Canterbury1580m22 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT7-0.2
  6. 9Randwick Kensington1550m1 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · HEAVY86.8L
  7. 5Warwick Farm1600m20 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY85.2L
  8. 9Randwick Kensington1550m27 Apr 2026 · 5UP BM78 HCP · GOOD43.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Racing well for new stable.Knuckled down for second at Wycheproof over this journey when fancied. Well into preparation now.

ILB

Ran on strongly when 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L last time at Wycheproof but facing a stronger class. Might have to make up considerable ground. Keep safe.

RP

Behind Switch Hit when better was expected (went off 5-4, Wycheproof) 14 days ago; the Taige Weir operation is running hot currently.

RSIS

Caught the eye when 2nd beaten by 3 1/4L last start at Wycheproof but racing against tougher rivals. Gets back and needs luck.

12Switch HitJ: Chelsea Taylor·T: Mitchell Freedman254kg2 2 2 4 123: 4-5-2$13.00$3.40

Career

23: 4-5-2

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    3: 0-0-2

  • Track Kilmore

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1414m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    10: 3-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 1Wycheproof1800m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-3.25
  2. 4Swan Hill1600m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.31L
  3. 2Kilmore1607m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD43L
  4. 2Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.1L
  5. 2Bordertown1300m11 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT61.3L
  6. 7Seymour1414m27 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY85.3L
  7. 3Geelong1225m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY80.4L
  8. 3Geelong1200m31 July 2026 · 2UP CG&E BM56 HCP · SOFT74.5L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 380%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Won after racing back and let down powerfully at Wycheproof over this trip. Super fit from racing, can show up again at fair odds.

ILB

Won by a huge margin of 3 1/4L last start at Wycheproof but testing ability against stronger contenders. Tracking very well this preparation. Likely to get back in the field. Facing a difficult task.

RP

Good winner at Wycheproof last month.

RSIS

Thrashed the field when winning by 3 1/4L last run at Wycheproof but matched against a stronger field. Racing consistently in recent runs. Likely to get back in the field.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.