Shortest win price
Cracked It (4)
2.65
Welcome to Dunkeld for race two on the card, the Carlton Draught Mdn Plate over the 1000m sprint trip. Conditions are listed as Soft 6 with an overcast sky above, and the market points to Cracked It as the one heading the win market order. Sitting right behind in the betting are Light Filled, Parak, and He's Fierce, rounding out the early fancies for this maiden affair. Jump time is locked in for 1:41 pm AEDT, so let's dive straight into the numbers and see how this field shapes up.
Looking closely at the form behind those shorter prices, Cracked It kicks off a fresh campaign here from barrier 5 with Lucinda Boyd in the saddle after a previous preparation that featured a third placing at Swan Hill over 975m. Light Filled draws nicely in barrier 1 for the new stable of Michael Hickmott, coming off a third at Donald over this exact 1000m trip and boasting a solid rating figure of 100 that jumps off the page. Parak is another stepping out first-up after a minor placing at Sale in a previous campaign, bringing a hot trainer and jockey combination that rates a real chance to sneak into the minor money.
The speed map shows plenty of early action up front with Cracked It, Light Filled, and Something White all mapped as leaders on this circuit, which could suit any runners looking to pounce from just off the pace. Floyd's Prediction sits further down the win market order from barrier 10 for Wayne Walters, bringing a 14-start career and a recent placing at the back end of last prep, while He's Fierce tries to bounce back from Traralgon with Lachlan King steering for Michael Huglin. The numbers say keep an eye on the leaders early, but check the live odds before locking in your selections.
Shortest win price
Cracked It (4)
2.65
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
He's Fierce · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Malawi Man · Negative
Jockey Booking
Campbell Rawiller current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Parak · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Cracked It · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Career
7: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-1
Track Traralgon
1: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -66% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 60%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
AAP
Went home just tamely at Traralgon at $21. Fitter second-up. Can improve with a kinder setup here.
ILB
Edged past some when finishing 5th last start at Traralgon. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Not far behind Inner Thoughts when fifth at Traralgon over 5½f (maiden) last month; has taken a step forward the last twice; hard to ignore as he finished third in June and had excuses last time (crowded).
RSIS
Crept into 5th last run at Traralgon. Respect the betting.
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
Jockey Booking
Negative
Campbell Rawiller current POT is 28% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 28% in L100 rides
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (22-weeks). Latest trial was solid enough. Expect will need this.
ILB
First up today. Was $17.00 and didn't attack the line when 13th last run at Swan Hill and coming back in distance. A 16 start maiden. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Towards the rear of 14 over 1m at Swan Hill (maiden) in June; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 16; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role with a few rivals in good form.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Was 16/1 and struggled with the pace when 13th last time at Swan Hill and will be down in distance.
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 192%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 15%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
First-up (23-weeks). In the minors at Sale first-up last campaign while brought on by a comfortable trial win. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
First up and came on strongly to finish 3rd first up last preparation at Sale. Won a barrier trial at Bet365 Colac on Oct 22nd and drawn nicely. A long shot.
RP
Fourth, not beaten that far (28-1) at Swan Hill in June; has taken a step forward the last twice but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 12; is passed over given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
Resuming and displayed good finishing pace when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L resuming last preparation at Sale. Won a trial at Bet365 Colac on Oct 22nd.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-1
Track Colac
1: 0-1-0
Distance 975m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Lucinda Boyd 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (32-weeks). Should be prominent. Right in this fresh.
ILB
Back after a 32 week spell. Odds of $2.40 and looked outclassed when 6th last run at Avoca. Shows good early pace. Must be considered here.
RP
Four-race maiden though does have a second place to her name; disappointing to see her finish sixth in March given market expectations at Avoca over 5½f (maiden); she can be taken on.
RSIS
First run back after a break of 32 weeks. Started at 7/5 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last start at Avoca. Solid chance.
Career
10: 0-3-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Rachael Cunningham striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
AAP
Up on the pace early and kept on courageously 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Traralgon. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Ran well when 2nd last time at Traralgon. Large claim helps. Possible place chance.
RP
Comfortably beaten finishing second at Traralgon over 5½f (maiden) just ahead of He's Fierce 14 days ago; stepped up on her last two starts but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at ten.
RSIS
Was competitive when 2nd last time at Traralgon. Hayley Spitse takes a large claim.
Career
6: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
3: 0-1-0
Track Donald
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1000m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 70%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 34%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (22-weeks). Ex Robert Hickmott in Victoria. Adept fresh and good recent trial. Can hit the ground running for new stable.
ILB
First up from a break. Claimed late when 3rd last start at Donald and drawn the rails. Alyssa Webb and Michael Hickmott form a proven partnership. Displays good tactical speed. Good chance today.
RP
Has raised her game the last twice and normally pretty consistent; came up a bit short, beaten 2l when favourite, at Donald in June; capable of making an impact.
RSIS
Back from a break. Couldn't shake them off when 3rd last time at Donald and drawn the rails. Won't be far away during the run. This race suits.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
$15k purchase. Out of an unraced mare. Tassort 4yo lining up for her first official race start. Well held in jumpouts but has a positive with Linda Meech.
ILB
4yo debutant sired by Tassort for Lloyd Kennewell. Watch the market moves.
RSIS
Lloyd Kennewell 4yo by Tassort having first race start.
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer SR
Negative
Luke Oliver striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
AAP
Out of a three-quarter-sister to G1 winner Hurtle Myrtle. Star Witness racemare who has obviously needed time. Placed in recent jumpout. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
Luke Oliver trained 4yo by Star Witness on debut. Betting as a guide.
RP
Sibling of Flying Molly (5f winner); sole debutant in the line up; big chance with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
4yo debutant by Star Witness for Luke Oliver.
Career
9: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-2
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (17-weeks). May need this.
ILB
First run back after a break. Was $61.00 and weakened to finish 8th last start Ballarat Synthetic. Tongue tie go off for the first time. Should come to hand quickly. A demanding task.
RP
Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at nine; beaten eighth of nine at Ballarat four months ago; easy enough to take on with this looking like a hot contest.
RSIS
Racing fresh today after a break. Started at 60/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last run Ballarat Synthetic. Should race on the pace.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-1
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 487 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (69-weeks). Placed at Donald on debut last campaign. Testing first-up assignment.
ILB
First up from a break of 69 weeks and finished well when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L first up last preparation at Donald. Considerable improvement needed.
RP
Without a win in three attempts although has finished third; came home fourth, beaten 6l, at Ballarat last July; returns from a lengthy absence.
RSIS
Resuming and claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd resuming last preparation at Donald. Tongue strap go off for the first time. Large claim helps.
Career
14: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
8: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1417m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 1003 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming after a (143-weeks) spell. Trialled quietly at Mt Gambier. Awkwardly drawn. Hard to see threatening at this stage.
ILB
Back from a spell of 143 weeks. Couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last run at Hamilton and will be down in distance. Prefer to watch.
RP
Finished ninth but wasn't beaten too far (4½l) at Hamilton over 7f (maiden) in 2024; long absence to overcome.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break of 143 weeks. Gave away some ground when 9th last time at Hamilton and dropping back to a shorter trip.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.
Hot Jockey
Positive
Jack Hill in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 51%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
In the minor spoils but still well held at Mildura. Switching to 1000m. Needs to lift again here.
ILB
Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Mildura.
RP
Appears to be going forwards and signs of improvement on last two runs; out of the frame (beaten just over 4l in third) over 5½f at Mildura (maiden) last week.
RSIS
Did well when 3rd last time at Mildura.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 100%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (17-weeks). Well down the track at Ballarat Synthetic on debut at double-figure odds. Happy to risk at this stage.
ILB
Back from a break. Jumped at $18.00 and weakened under pressure when 6th last run Ballarat Synthetic but having second career run. Might be ridden for luck.
RP
Completely tailed off on his debut at Ballarat at 22-1 in July; should benefit for having a run under his belt.
RSIS
First run back today. Started 17/1 and faded away to finish 6th last time Ballarat Synthetic but was a debutant last start. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 109%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 109%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Wasn't up to it in first two campaigns. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Didn't find the line when 13th last run at Sale. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide gate.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 14 at Sale in June.
RSIS
First run back. Weakened to finish 13th last run at Sale on a heavy surface. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.