Darwin (NT) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:39 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Darwin (NT), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovDarwin (NT)Change

Race 3 — Sportsbet Special Conditions Plate 1100m · jumps Sat 14 Nov, 5:15 pm AEDT

Race notes

3Y C2 SC-SWP,3yo+,Special Condition
GOOD
Fine
5 runners

Shortest win price

Wendell (6)

1.20

Most career wins

Mistifyzou

1-1-0 from 7 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

2Tenacious Zeus
5Mistifyzou

Onpace

6Wendell

Leader

1Brave Heritage
4Karmaroa

Brave Heritage · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Tenacious Zeus · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Karmaroa · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Mistifyzou · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Brave HeritageJ: Shuichi Terachi·T: Philip Cole559kg6 3 3 3 812: 0-0-3$34.00$4.20

Career

12: 0-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Healesville
1: 0-0-0
Track Nhill
1: 0-0-0
Track Yea
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-2
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-3
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Fannie Bay1300m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD37.15L
3Fannie Bay1100m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD3.28L
3Fannie Bay1100m25 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31L
3Fannie Bay1000m5 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31.5L
6Katherine1300m15 Aug 2026 · BM54 · SOFT14.5L
6Fannie Bay1300m29 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD9.3L
5Fannie Bay1100m25 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD1.9L
7Healesville1650m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+7.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sent to lead, made a rapid retreat back through the field this venue. Can go forward. Coming back in distance. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Started $15.00 and struggled with the pace when 8th last time at this venue. Has shown early pace in races to date. Rough hope.

Beaten 7l (eighth) over 6½f here (maiden) 21 days ago; has shown some recent improvement; warrants respect.

RSIS

Started at 14/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last start at this track. Likely to be well placed early.

2Tenacious ZeusJ: Vanessa Arnott·T: Jason Manning359kg8 10 3 4 68: 0-0-1$31.00$4.00

Career

8: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Fannie Bay1300m27 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD7.9L
4Fannie Bay1200m6 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD8.6L
3Fannie Bay1100m9 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4.9L
10Balaklava1400m12 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD36L
8Morphettville1200m4 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT11.3L
8Strathalbyn1350m22 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT717L
8Gawler1200m6 Oct 2025 · 3UP CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD48.2L
7Balaklava1050m16 Apr 2025 · Maiden · GOOD43.18L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 38%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (20-weeks). Placed first-up last campaign. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

First up after 20 weeks and came in 3rd first up last preparation at the track. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Modest hope.

Beaten sixth of ten here over 6½f (maiden) five months ago; returns from an absence here.

RSIS

Resuming and did well when 3rd resuming last preparation at this track. Will be giving the leaders a big start.

3Long ReignScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

Comments

AAP

Held midfield spot, couldn't summon enough late this venue for new trainer. Building fitness. Coming back in distance. Looks a safer place proposition.

ILB

At $5.50 ran 5th last start around here.

RSIS

Started 9/2 and finished 5th last time at the track.

4KarmaroaJ: Paul Shiers·T: Chloe Baxter456.5kg91: 0-0-0$4.20$1.26

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.6L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (18-weeks). Ex Clayton Douglas in Victoria. Towards rear but not totally disgraced at Pakenham Synthetic as an outsider. Wiser for it. Can make a positive start for new trainer.

ILB

Resumes after a spell. Started at $71.00 and faded to finish 9th last run at Pakenham Synthetic but having second race start. First start for a new trainer. Long shot.

Far from disgraced, finishing ninth, on his debut at Pakenham at 66-1 in July; starts out for new stable; layoff to overcome; should improve with a run under his belt although it was only a modest start.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Was 70/1 and gave away some ground when 9th last time at Pakenham Synthetic but having second career run. First start for a new trainer.

5MistifyzouJ: Wayne Davis·T: Philip Cole156.5kg6 6 8 2 117: 1-1-0$13.00$2.90

Career

7: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
2: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-0

Last starts

11Fannie Bay1100m3 Nov 2026 · CL2 · GOOD11.6L
2Fannie Bay1100m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD3.14L
8Ballarat1000m24 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD46.9L
6Wagga1200m1 May 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD46.8L
6Mornington1000m18 Apr 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD43.9L
1Geelong1100m1 Apr 2026 · 2YF MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.3
6Sandown1000m11 Mar 2026 · 2Y HCP · GOOD45.2L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 27% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Philip Cole striking at just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 49% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 49% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Third run now in new stable/region. Finished a long way from the action Hcp (C2) this track. Good gate helps. Sharper now, good enough to figure.

ILB

Didn't find the line when 11th last run at the track. Looking for an improved run and drawn beautifully. Carrying more weight than last time. Attracts support.

Finished last of 11 last week in a handicap; could be hard to beat as shown she can get her head in front.

RSIS

Was well beaten when 11th last run at this venue. Has the ability to turn things around and drawn nicely. Bit of extra work to do with more weight. Right in the mix.

6WendellJ: Jarrod Todd·T: Ella Clarke256.5kg6 1 2 6 114: 0-1-0$1.20$1.02

Career

4: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Hawkesbury1400m5 Sept 2026 · CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD48.3L
6Warwick Farm1300m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo · SOFT55.8L
2Wyong1200m2 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.9L
1Randwick1050m20 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)-7.5
6Rosehill900m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
10Gold Coast1000m17 Jan 2026 · 2Y SW · GOOD413.7L
1Rosehill900m23 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial-2.9

Insights

Top Stable
Positive
Ella Clarke performing 16% above market expectation
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (70-days). Ex G Waterhouse & A Bott in NSW. Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Hawkesbury over longer assignment. Big watch under new trainer.

ILB

First up and ran out of steam towards the end when 2nd beaten by 2L first up last preparation at Wyong. Jarrod Todd is in form for this stable. Looks well placed in this.

Last of 11 over 7f at Hawkesbury (maiden) in September; without a win in four attempts although has finished second; now running for a new trainer; others more likely.

RSIS

Resuming and was in the race for a long way when 2nd resuming last preparation at Wyong. Interesting to see the tongue strap go off for the first time. Fierce competitor and will take all the beating.

Odds correct as at Sat 14 Nov, 5:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 5 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 5 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 4 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races