Darwin (NT) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:38 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Darwin (NT), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 14 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 14 NovDarwin (NT)Change

Race 2 — Ladbrokes Wet Season Series - Heat 1 (Bm54) 1200m · jumps Sat 14 Nov, 4:39 pm AEDT

Race preview

Heat 1 of the Ladbrokes Wet Season Series is a BM54 sprint over 1200m at Darwin on a Good track under fine conditions. The race jumps at 4:39 pm AEDT. Damo Dayz is shortest in the win market, with Ankle Rolex and Silver Smash next in line. Rivers Of Babylon, Debating, and All Inclusive round out the early movers. This looks a wide-open affair with genuine speed on the front, and the market is split across multiple chances.

Damo Dayz sits in barrier 1 and brings a rating of 94 with early pace credentials. The form suggests first-up runs suit — three wins from five first-up attempts is impressive — and Paul Shiers recorded a solid effort at Fannie Bay over 1200m last time despite running fifth. Ankle Rolex, at barrier 8, is the backmarker type who's won before at this track and distance but recent results are patchy. The rider's record sits 45 per cent below career average. Silver Smash at barrier 2 is a first-up runner for the new stable with a fresh up win on the ledger. The combo of Danielle Hirini and D Leech is firing at 26 per cent return on turnover, though this is a step up in class. Rivers Of Babylon from barrier 4 rates a real chance at double figures — nearly won in maiden company first-up last campaign and has a lone victory over this exact trip. Fresh after 17 weeks, the form line warrants attention despite the trainer's strike rate concerns.

Three leaders will dominate the early running: All Inclusive, Rivers Of Babylon, and Debating share the front end, which is an advantage on this circuit. Debating brings genuine class with a 23 per cent career strike rate and goes hard early from barrier 7. All Inclusive has early speed in its favour but the combo with Jarrod Todd and G Clarke is under water at minus 38 per cent return on turnover. Gunnie Gunfighter, from barrier 10 in the midfield, is worth noting — the Tommy Logan stable is outperforming market expectations by 22 per cent and the combo with Billy Cray is running at plus 171 per cent return on turnover, a standout number in this race.

Race notes

BM54,BM54 HCP,Benchmark 54
GOOD
Fine
10 runners

Shortest win price

Ankle Rolex (1)

4.40

Most career wins

Ankle Rolex

11-3-8 from 48 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

5Damo Dayz

Offmidfield

1Ankle Rolex

Midfield

6Silver Smash
10Pleasing Smile

Offpace

7Gunnie Gunfighter

Onpace

8Debating
4Stylish Prince

Leader

2All Inclusive
3Rivers Of Babylon
9Predicting

Ankle Rolex · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.
All Inclusive · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Rivers Of Babylon · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Stylish Prince · Negative
Trainer SR
Jason Manning striking at just 8%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Ankle RolexJ: Raymond Vigar·T: Patrick Johnston861.5kg1 3 3 3 548: 11-3-8$4.40$1.75

Career

48: 11-3-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Katherine
1: 0-0-1
Track Alice Springs
3: 2-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
43: 9-3-7
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
7: 1-1-0
Distance 1100m
8: 1-1-1
Going Good
37: 5-2-6
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-2
Going Soft
7: 5-1-0

Last starts

5Fannie Bay1600m3 Nov 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD5.2L
3Fannie Bay1200m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD31.82L
3Fannie Bay1100m17 Oct 2026 · BM54 · GOOD2.66L
3Fannie Bay1300m23 May 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD3.4L
1Fannie Bay1300m9 May 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD-5.7
1Fannie Bay1200m24 Apr 2026 · BM54 · GOOD-1.3
1Fannie Bay1300m2 Apr 2026 · 0 - 58 · SOFT-0.5
3Fannie Bay1300m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 58 · FAST3.8L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 45% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 25%
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely this course at $6.50. Switching to 1200m. One for exotics.

ILB

Started $6.50 and finished 5th last time at this venue and down in trip. Jockey Raymond Vigar and trainer Patrick Johnston deserve respect as a team. Watch for a sign in the market.

Held when fifth beaten just over 5l over 1m here (handicap) 11 days ago; has won nine times here; warrants respect.

RSIS

Odds of 11/2 and finished 5th last start at this track and down in distance. Raymond Vigar and Patrick Johnston demand respect when they team up. Watch betting.

2All InclusiveJ: Jarrod Todd·T: G Clarke561kg5 3 1 7 817: 3-1-2$9.00$2.70

Career

17: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
14: 2-1-2
Track Doomben
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
8: 1-0-1
Distance 1110m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
16: 3-1-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Fannie Bay1200m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD313.22L
7Fannie Bay1300m3 Oct 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD22.15L
1Fannie Bay1200m19 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD-1.16
3Fannie Bay1100m5 Sept 2026 · BM54 · GOOD31.8L
5Fannie Bay1100m29 July 2026 · CL2 · GOOD1L
5Fannie Bay1100m27 Dec 2025 · 0 - 64 · GOOD5.5L
5Fannie Bay1100m4 Nov 2025 · CL2 · GOOD2.7L
2Fannie Bay1000m23 Aug 2025 · CL2 HCP · GOOD32.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Was a long way from the action in 1200m Hcp (64) this course. Leads, handy. Keener on others.

ILB

Jumped at $8.50 and faded to finish 8th last start at the track. Overlooking the last run but has to cope with a weight increase. Definite contender.

Behind Ankle Rolex when last of eight 21 days ago; grade looks suitable; respected if in the same form he showed when winning three starts back.

RSIS

Started 15/2 and was well beaten when 8th last time at this track. Happy to forgive that run but rises in weight. Definitely worth considering.

3Rivers Of BabylonJ: Shuichi Terachi·T: Rhonda Cole461kg2 2 1 2 119: 1-5-0$5.00$1.90

Career

9: 1-5-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Fannie Bay
7: 1-5-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 1-5-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
9: 1-5-0

Last starts

11Fannie Bay2050m18 July 2026 · 3Y-SW · GOOD10.5L
2Fannie Bay1600m4 July 2026 · 3Y-SW · GOOD4.8L
1Fannie Bay1200m27 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD-2.5
2Fannie Bay1200m13 June 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD4L
2Fannie Bay1200m6 June 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD2.2L
2Fannie Bay1100m23 May 2026 · 3yo · GOOD1.8L
2Fannie Bay1100m9 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD0.5L
5Yarra Valley1209m19 Dec 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34.4L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 72%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (17-weeks). Nearly won in Maiden company first-up last campaign. Lone victory was over this trip. Warrants attention fresh.

ILB

First up and outgunned at the finish when 2nd first up last preparation here. Won't be far away during the run. Will appreciate the drop in class. Have to look elsewhere.

11th of 12 in a conditions race four months ago upped to 1m2f; is passed over.

RSIS

Resuming and put together a strong on-pace performance when 2nd beaten by 1/2L resuming last preparation here. Will be positive in the run early. Lining up against easier rivals.

4Stylish PrinceJ: Vanessa Arnott·T: Jason Manning361kg3 4 8 2 17: 1-2-1$15.00$3.70

Career

7: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1461m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Stawell1607m17 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.3
2Kyneton1461m28 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.1L
8Cranbourne1500m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.5L
4Pakenham1400m28 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT57.6L
3Cranbourne1400m23 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD31.2L
7Kilmore1607m5 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD47.4L
2Kilmore1600m5 Apr 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD31.3L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Jason Manning striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (30-weeks). Ex A & J Williams in Victoria. Ran a bottler in Maiden company at Kyneton first-up last prep. Can make a positive start for new trainer off the lengthy break.

ILB

Back after a 30 week spell. Picked up late to win last start at Stawell but back in trip. Interesting gear change of winkers on first time. Has some claims.

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; won a maiden by just over 1l, breaking his duck at the seventh time of asking at Stawell in April; returns from a layoff; runs for a new trainer here; considered given that not many of these impressed last time out.

RSIS

Resumes from a 30 week break. Strong effort to the line to win last start at Stawell and showing improvement in recent outings. Will be down in distance. Watch for a sign in the market.

5Damo DayzJ: Paul Shiers·T: Paul Shiers160kg4 5 6 5 426: 4-2-1$5.00$1.95

Career

26: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 3-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
7: 3-0-1
Track Fannie Bay
11: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 1-1-0
Going Soft
6: 3-1-1

Last starts

4Fannie Bay1100m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD33.06L
5Fannie Bay1200m6 June 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD5.3L
6Fannie Bay1100m9 May 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD6.9L
5Fannie Bay1000m10 Apr 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD4L
4Fannie Bay1300m26 Sept 2025 · 0 - 64 · GOOD4.9L
4Fannie Bay1100m6 Sept 2025 · 0 - 70 · GOOD5.4L
8Fannie Bay1000m23 Aug 2025 · BM76 HCP · GOOD38.5L
4Fannie Bay1000m4 Aug 2025 · HCP · GOOD6.9L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Winless since 13 Nov 2024. Snagged back and worked home okay in Hcp (58) this venue first run back. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $7.00 and hit the line well when 4th last time at the track and drawn beautifully. Has a nice turn of foot. Very tidy performer.

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame here (beaten just over 3l) over 5½f (handicap) 21 days ago; can be in the thick of things based on the pick of his form.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and edged past some when finishing 4th last start around here and gets a favourable stall. Should be swooping on the field late. Forward showing expected.

6Silver SmashJ: Danielle Hirini·T: D Leech260kg4 2 3 7 611: 2-1-0$6.00$2.20

Career

11: 2-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
6: 2-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 2-1-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-1-0

Last starts

6Sunshine Coast1400m27 Sept 2026 · 3-4yo · GOOD45.07L
7Ipswich1350m9 Sept 2026 · 0 - 65 · GOOD43.97L
3Doomben1000m25 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2L
2Sunshine Coast1200m2 Aug 2026 · CL2 · SOFT61L
4Rockhampton1200m9 July 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD45.8L
5Doomben1000m18 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)3.6L
5Sunshine Coast1400m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT63.3L
1Sunshine Coast1200m6 Mar 2026 · 3Y HCP · HEAVY10-0.8

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 26% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (48-days). Ex Natalie McCall in QLD. Unable to make an impression at Sunshine Coast. Keeping safe at first run for new stable.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Jumped at $3.80 and weakened to finish 6th last start at Sunshine Coast. Looking for an improved run. Coming to a new trainer. Chance and can measure up.

Finished sixth, beaten 5l, over 7f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) 48 days ago; runs for a new trainer here; others more likely.

RSIS

Let up. Odds of 11/4 and struggled with the pace when 6th last start at Sunshine Coast. Likely to bounce back and will try to take advantage of the stall. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

7Gunnie GunfighterJ: Billy Cray·T: Tommy Logan1059.5kg1 4 2 7 415: 2-4-1$15.00$3.70

Career

15: 2-4-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Thangool
1: 0-0-1
Track Bluff
1: 1-0-0
Track Middlemount
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 1-3-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
3: 1-1-0

Last starts

4Fannie Bay1100m3 Nov 2026 · CL2 · GOOD1.3L
7Fannie Bay1000m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD312.09L
2Yeppoon1200m1 Aug 2026 · 3yo+1.8L
4Middlemount1000m25 July 2026 · BM604L
1Bluff1000m4 July 2026 · 0 - 50-3.3
1Emerald1100m29 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1.2
8Rockhampton1050m19 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT58.8L
3Thangool800m1 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT51.1L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 171%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 22%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Steps out for third run new stable/region. Gave good account Hcp (C2) this venue at longer odds. Awkwardly drawn. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Was $31.00 and didn't find the line when 4th last start at the track. Considering others.

Fourth, not beaten that far (28-1) over 5½f here (handicap) last week.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and tired late when 4th last run at this track.

8DebatingJ: Stan Tsaikos·T: Ella Clarke759kg10 4 3 1 1032: 5-8-5$7.00$2.40

Career

32: 5-8-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-3
Second-up
4: 0-2-2
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Avoca
1: 0-1-0
Track Fannie Bay
26: 5-6-3
Track CurrentTrack
26: 5-6-3
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
9: 0-1-3
Distance 1200m
13: 3-5-1
Going Good
26: 5-7-4
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1

Last starts

10Fannie Bay1100m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD37.37L
1Fannie Bay1200m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD3-2.09
3Fannie Bay1200m29 Aug 2026 · BM54 · GOOD0.6L
4Fannie Bay1000m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD32.2L
10Fannie Bay1600m28 Feb 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD11.2L
5Fannie Bay1200m14 Feb 2026 · BM54 · GOOD31.3L
5Fannie Bay1200m31 Jan 2026 · BM54 · SOFT7.5L
2Fannie Bay1300m9 Jan 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD4.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Positive
Proven stable with a S/R of 23%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten this course when fancied. Right at home this track and distance. Can show more here.

ILB

Jumped at $3.00 and folded up in the straight when 10th last start around here. Can make a comeback. Should come to hand quickly. Expect a forward showing.

Multiple course winner; last of ten when favourite over 5½f here (handicap) last month; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Was 2/1 and folded up in the straight when 10th last run around here. Should improve. Won't be far away during the run. Have to respect the recent stable form. Good chance at a nice price.

9PredictingJ: Dakota-Lee Gillett·T: Ms T Halter959kg6 1 1 5 824: 4-1-2$19.00$3.90

Career

24: 4-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
16: 3-0-2
Track Kununurra
2: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 2-0-2
Going Good
19: 3-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

8Fannie Bay1100m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD35.6L
5Fannie Bay1000m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD37.33L
1Fannie Bay1000m19 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD-1.33
1Kununurra1100m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 45+ HCP · GOOD3-1.1
6Kununurra1200m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.4L
6Fannie Bay1100m29 July 2026 · CL2 · GOOD2.3L
1Fannie Bay1200m2 Apr 2026 · CL2 · SOFT-3.5
5Fannie Bay1100m27 Mar 2026 · BM76 · FIRM99.9L

Insights

Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form at Dist
Negative
Poor strike rate over this distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Led, soon under pressure and dropped off this track. Can play a role with even luck.

ILB

Odds of $13.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run at this venue. Can show up in this at odds.

Knows this place inside out (three course wins); could not manage better than eighth here over 5½f (handicap) last month; others more appealing.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and didn't threaten when 8th last run around here.

10Pleasing SmileJ: Wayne Davis·T: Rhonda Cole658.5kg7 3 6 7 1015: 1-3-2$17.00$3.80

Career

15: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Alice Springs
1: 0-0-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1300m
5: 0-0-1
Going Firm
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-3-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Fannie Bay2050m18 July 2026 · 3Y-SW · GOOD9.5L
7Fannie Bay1600m4 July 2026 · 3Y-SW · GOOD12L
6Fannie Bay1300m20 June 2026 · 3Y BM66 · GOOD3.5L
3Fannie Bay1200m6 June 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD2.2L
7Alice Springs1600m18 Apr 2026 · 3Y-SW · GOOD8L
1Fannie Bay1200m27 Mar 2026 · 3Y C2/MDN SC-SW · FIRM-3
4Fannie Bay1300m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 58 · FAST4.4L
4Fannie Bay1300m6 Mar 2026 · 3&4Y BMNT 60 · GOOD32.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -57% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 72%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (17-weeks). In the minors first-up last campaign. Tested against better opposition last prep. Can fill the minors here fresh.

ILB

First up from a break of 17 weeks and was strong late when 2nd beaten by 2L first up last preparation at this venue. Competing in a lower grade. Struggle to recommend.

Tenth of 12 upped to 1m2f in July in a conditions race; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd beaten by 2L resuming last preparation around here. Might have to make up considerable ground.

11Charlie MagicScratched11––––

Career

24: 2-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
8: 1-0-1
Track Mudgee
1: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-3-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Fannie Bay1300m3 Nov 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD1L
4Fannie Bay1600m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD7.65L
5Fannie Bay1200m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD34.69L
4Fannie Bay1000m29 Aug 2026 · CL2 · GOOD5.2L
10Fannie Bay1100m29 July 2026 · CL2 · GOOD8.8L
8Warren1200m1 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT76.6L
3Parkes1300m17 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT62.2L
4Narromine1300m26 Apr 2026 · BM50 · GOOD41.3L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Solid performance in defeat in the Hcp (58) this track. Awkwardly drawn. This looks a sterner test.

ILB

Was competitive when 2nd last time at this venue and getting better in recent performances.

Ran encouragingly when 1l second here over 6½f (handicap) last week; producing solid form figures; hasn't won for a while.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 2nd last time around here and on an upward trajectory in recent races.

Odds correct as at Sat 14 Nov, 4:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 5 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 5 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 4 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races