Shortest win price
Valorous Power (2)
3.90
Canterbury dishes up a Benchmark 72 handicap at 1550 metres on a Good 4 track under lights at 8:00 pm AEDT. Miss Hades heads the win market, with Me Me and Valorous Power next shortest. Satness and Luskaire follow, while Belleistic Kids rounds out the main chances. The race shape hinges on pace: Satness and Belleistic Kids will press early, while Luskaire and Miss Hades sit offpace. Valorous Power plots the midfield.
Miss Hades and Valorous Power are the clear short-priced focal points. Miss Hades rates a real chance despite recent form that saw her start $51 at Randwick when safely held. The mare's sectional data points to genuine early pace, and jockey James McDonald is a quality booking from barrier one. Valorous Power showed fast finishing sectionals last start and comes back from a Scone placing over 1600 metres. Tim Clark's recent POT sits below his career average, but the form comment suggests the mare is fitter second-up and can play a role. Satness also merits attention—the seasoned 82-start gelding hasn't been far away at his last two runs and breaks from barrier two with Tommy Berry aboard. Berry is performing 30 per cent better than his career average lately.
Me Me is among the dangers further down. The mare's latest form is genuinely hard to fault: a close third at Kembla Grange over 1400 metres, then just missed the minors when she worked late at the same track over 1500 metres. AAP rates her solid, and despite both jockey and trainer showing recent patchy stats, Me Me's rating of 85 and first-up record of two wins from five starts suggest genuine claims from barrier three. Luskaire carries the insider edge with jockey Mollie Fitzgerald outperforming her career average by 26 per cent in her last 100 rides—a big tick for early racing value.
Shortest win price
Valorous Power (2)
3.90
Most career wins
Satness
10-15-11 from 82 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Onpace
Leader
Luskaire · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Valorous Power · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Miss Hades · Negative
Trainer A2E
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Satness · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Career
26: 6-4-3
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 3-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 2-0-1
Going Soft
11: 1-3-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Mollie Fitzgerald winning at 17% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (17-weeks). Form mixed last prep but given two decent trials and has placed first-up. Effective this grade. Each-way claims fresh.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Was $8.00 and lost ground in the run home when 11th last start at Randwick on a heavy rated track. Should race on the speed. Minor claims.
RP
Finished last of 11 at Randwick over 1m1f (handicap) in July; has winning track form; he can be competitive at this level; back from an absence here; in with a big shout as finished second five months ago.
RSIS
Racing fresh today after a break. Started 7/1 and gave away some ground when 11th last time at Randwick on a heavy surface but up against weaker rivals.
Career
10: 2-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-1-0
Track Curragh
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 2011m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Tim Clark current POT is 13% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
AAP
Found enough to place in small field at Scone first run back. Fitter second-up. Can play a role.
ILB
Finished strongly when 2nd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Scone. Finishes off strongly. Attracts support.
RP
A respectable runner-up of seven at Scone last month; produced several respectable runs lately; also engaged in race 4 at Canterbury.
RSIS
Attacked the line when 2nd last time at Scone. Will be motoring home late. Will not be far away.
Career
27: 6-2-4
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
7: 1-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
7: 1-0-2
Track Canterbury
2: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1410m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1550m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
19: 5-2-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Canterbury
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 5kg more than LS
AAP
Started $51 when safely held in Benchmark 88 company at Randwick. Has some claims.
ILB
Couldn't stay in touch when 7th last start at Randwick but drops back to a suitable class. Should muster plenty of early speed. Drawn well. Rising in weight. Watch betting.
RP
Beaten 6l into seventh at Randwick last Tuesday when just behind Belleistic Kids; this C&D holds no fears; she can be competitive at this level; James McDonald booked; she shouldn't be far away.
RSIS
Looked outclassed when 7th last run at Randwick but matched against less formidable competition. Will be positive in the run early. Jockey James Mcdonald is a strong choice aboard.
Career
82: 10-15-11
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
3: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
6: 0-2-0
Track Kembla Grange
35: 7-9-5
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-2-2
Distance 1400m
24: 2-6-2
Going Good
48: 7-9-7
Going Heavy
14: 1-3-2
Going Soft
20: 2-3-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Tommy Berry 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Seasoned performer. The gelding hasn't been far away at last two runs including when kept on evenly at Randwick. Breaks from a low barrier and deserves some attention here.
ILB
Came in 5th last run at Randwick but has a positive draw. Shows good early pace. Must respect.
RP
He can be competitive at this level; not beaten that far at Randwick last month.
RSIS
Finished 5th last run at Randwick but will try to take advantage of the stall. Has plenty of early pace. Represents value in this race.
Career
60: 8-9-5
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 0-2-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 2-2-0
Track Canberra
9: 3-1-2
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
12: 2-2-0
Going Good
21: 4-3-1
Going Heavy
9: 0-2-0
Going Soft
30: 4-4-4
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 6kg weight here
AAP
Experienced campaigner. Started $16 when safely held in Benchmark 88 company at Randwick. Back in easier class and not without a hope.
ILB
Started at $16.00 and was well beaten when 6th last run at Randwick. Should bounce back and challenged by less formidable competitors. Expecting to settle positively. Going up in weight. Has every chance.
RP
Could not manage better than sixth at Randwick last week; this is his level; was successful three starts back and shouldn't be far away.
RSIS
Odds of 15/1 and faded away to finish 6th last time at Randwick. Capable of a strong comeback and goes down in grade. Should muster plenty of early toe. Should progress and will be close.
Career
25: 3-3-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Warwick Farm
5: 0-1-1
Track Randwick
5: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
7: 0-1-2
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 2-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
14: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
5: 2-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
AAP
Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Warwick Farm. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Finished 6th last run at Warwick Farm. Does take a while to get into stride.
RP
Came home sixth, beaten 5½l, over 7f at Warwick Farm (handicap) 16 days ago; not a great record on second run back after a layoff and makes little appeal.
RSIS
Came in 6th last start at Warwick Farm. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Warwick Farm over longer test. Has placed this t/d but lift needed.
ILB
Average performance when 9th last time at Warwick Farm and coming back in trip. Ms Alysha Collett is a suitable booking.
RSIS
Fairly underwhelming when 9th last start at Warwick Farm and will be dropping in distance. Ms Alysha Collett is a bonus.
Career
21: 2-5-4
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 2-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-1-0
Track Moruya
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
12: 2-4-2
Going Good
17: 2-5-4
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -73% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4.5kg from LS run
AAP
Latest form hard to fault. Solid showing here two back over 1400m. Put in some good work late when just missed the minors at Kembla Grange. Among the dangers.
ILB
Started at $5.00 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last time at Kembla Grange but facing formidable opponents. Will be motoring home late. Should go close.
RP
Fifth, beaten less than a length, at Kembla Grange last month; running consistently but all her winning form has come at Kembla Grange (two successes).
RSIS
At 4/1 ran on into 5th last run at Kembla Grange but facing a stronger group of contenders. Will be hitting the line strongly. Will benefit with the weight drop. Strong prospects in this race.
Career
27: 2-10-4
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-0-2
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-3-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-3-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-1-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-4-3
Going Heavy
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
11: 1-4-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 33% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Led, gave away under pressure at Muswellbrook when second-up. Can go forward and one for exotics here.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Port Macquarie but competing in a higher grade. Getting better in recent performances.
RP
Was on the premises (third, beaten 1½l) at Port Macquarie yesterday; recent efforts have generally been solid; was due to run at Port Macquarie Thursday.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Tidy effort when 3rd last start at Port Macquarie and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. Competing at a higher grade.