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Canterbury (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Canterbury (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 13 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 13 NovCanterbury (NSW)Change

Race 2 — Piccolo Me Mdn Hcp 1250m · jumps

Race preview

Canterbury hosts the Piccolo Me Maiden Handicap at 6:30 pm AEDT over 1250 metres on a Good 4 track under overcast skies. Esteemed leads the market, with Divine Offering and Three Prophets next in line. The field shapes as a three-runner battle up front between Darn Lucky and Jammed, then a cluster of first-starters and improvers hunting from behind.

Esteemed comes through a $400k purchase pedigree—half-sister to Group 1 winner Kenedna—trained by C J Waller's in-form stable. James McDonald takes the ride, and Waller's runners are outperforming market expectations by 21 per cent. The trial form is modest, but the stable's 13 per cent profit on turnover in the last 100 runners suggests punters should back their judgment here. Divine Offering drops from second favouritism despite just missing at Canterbury on debut last campaign while placed here; he's got the rail barrier, ratings of 84, and the fastest finishing sectionals last start out of the trials. Three Prophets, a $300k buy out of a Group 2-winning mare, rates a real chance fresh. Sam Clipperton's 21 per cent ROI edge and the mare's pedigree stack appeal, though Ciaron Maher's 9 per cent stable strike rate is a brake on enthusiasm.

Threesome earned a rating of 100 and was barely edged out at Kembla Grange just over a month ago, running on hard late. Peter Snowden's improver maps well at this track—12 per cent above market expectation—and Kerrin McEvoy stays aboard. Darn Lucky has early speed and ran on well last start, while Tommy Berry's 30 per cent ROI advantage on Gerroa is noteworthy, but that runner's form dip through mid-field suggests better races lie ahead.

Race notes

  • 3Y MDN,3Y MDN HCP,3yo,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Divine Offering (7)

3.60

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Firststart

  • 2November Gold
  • 3Three Prophets
  • 8Esteemed

Backmarker

  • 7Divine Offering

Midfield

  • 5Gerroa

Offpace

  • 6Threesome

Leader

  • 1Darn Lucky
  • 9Jammed

  • Darn Lucky · Positive

    Early Splits

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • November Gold · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides

  • Three Prophets · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

  • Gerroa · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Darn LuckyJ: Regan Bayliss·T: Brad Widdup558kg6 2 2 41: 0-0-0$11.00$2.70

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Hawkesbury1100m27 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.81L
  2. 2Warwick Farm813m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.7L
  3. 2Hawkesbury800m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
  4. 6Wyong845m17 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)6.2L

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Highly encouraging debut performance at Hawkesbury 27 Oct. Better for it. Profiles well.

ILB

Jumped at $9.00 and ran on into 4th last time at Hawkesbury and having second career run. Has shown early pace in races to date. Can win.

RP

Gave it a good shot on his debut when fourth over 5½f at Hawkesbury at 8-1 last month; should benefit for having a run under his belt; running in a handicap for just the second time.

RSIS

Was 8/1 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last time at Hawkesbury and was a debutant last start. Should race on the pace. Solid chance.

2November GoldJ: Nash Rawiller·T: Matthew Smith858kg8 2 3$6.00$1.90

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 3Warwick Farm815m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.2L
  2. 2Warwick Farm740m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC4.5L
  3. 8Hawkesbury800m15 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial12.9L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 10% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Nash Rawiller 26% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:1-1-1). Out of a half-sister to G1 winner Pierata. Ready to greet the starter after some decent trial work. Sticky gate but follow betting leads.

ILB

3yo debutant sired by Pierro for trainer Matthew Smith. Blinkers go on for the first time. Success in a trial at Gosford on Oct 28th. Market as guide.

RP

This son of Pierro makes first rules appearance; needs to be respected.

RSIS

Debutant 3yo by Pierro for Matthew Smith. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Winner in a trial at Gosford on Oct 28th.

3Three ProphetsJ: Sam Clipperton·T: C Maher258kg5 6$4.60$1.55

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 6Warwick Farm798m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.5L
  2. 5Warwick Farm815m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.2L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Ciaron Maher striking at just 9%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 44% Profit on Turnover

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Debutant

    Positive

    First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). $300k purchase. Out of a Group 2-winning mare. Making debut after two lead-up trials. Nice gate. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

Debutant 3yo by Lonhro for Ciaron Maher and has a positive barrier. Ran 5th in a trial at Warwick Farm on Oct 13th. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Related to 5f winner Prophet's Lass; yard can ready a debutant; deserves respect.

RSIS

First race appearance 3yo by Lonhro for trainer Ciaron Maher and will try to take advantage of the stall.

4ZouvoltScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 31%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 21% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (18-weeks). Gave a sight on debut at Sale 9 Jul. Had two subsequent trials and looks capable of making an impact fresh with even breaks.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Zipped home into 2nd last time at Sale and having second race start. Won't be far away during the run.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd last start at Sale on a heavy rated track and having second career run.

5GerroaJ: Tommy Berry·T: C J Waller657.5kg5 6 8 5 51: 0-0-0$13.00$3.10

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.3L
  2. 5Warwick Farm1100m15 July 2026 · 2YCG MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L
  3. 8Rosehill900m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)3.8L
  4. 6Warwick Farm818m26 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)2.2L
  5. 5Rosehill900m2 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.7L
  6. 6Rosehill900m24 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5.7L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Tommy Berry 32% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 21%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Tommy Berry winning at 21% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (17-weeks). From top stable however had no answers when the pressure went on at Warwick Farm debut at double-figure odds 15 Jul. Trialled twice since, latest at Rosehill 4 Nov. Place preferred option fresh.

ILB

Fresh from a spell. Started at $31.00 and made up ground when 5th last time at Warwick Farm and was on debut last time. Knockout chance.

RP

Held fifth of nine but was making his first appearance at Warwick Farm at 28-1 in July; returns from a break here; hard to see him getting off the mark second time up.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started at 30/1 and made up ground when 5th last run at Warwick Farm and having second race start.

6ThreesomeJ: Kerrin Mc Evoy·T: Peter Snowden757.5kg1 6 4 6 23: 0-1-0$4.80$1.60

Career

3: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Kembla Grange1200m24 Oct 2026 · 3UP CG&E MDN-SW · GOOD40.3L
  2. 6Hawkesbury1000m8 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.99L
  3. 4Randwick740m11 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.1L
  4. 6Rosehill1100m8 Nov 2025 · 2yo · GOOD45.8L
  5. 1Warwick Farm818m31 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.2
  6. 7Warwick Farm805m17 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial6.1L

Insights

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Overraced badly when just edged out at Kembla Grange 24 Oct. Improver from strong yard. Right in this.

ILB

Close to claiming the win last run at Kembla Grange. Strong claims.

RP

Beaten narrowly in a maiden at Kembla Grange last month.

RSIS

Just short of the win last start at Kembla Grange. Highly respected.

7Divine OfferingJ: Tom Sherry·T: Peter Snowden156kg3 9 7 6 33: 0-0-1$3.60$1.36

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canterbury

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Warwick Farm798m30 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.4L
  2. 6Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.4L
  3. 7Warwick Farm1100m15 July 2026 · 2YCG MDN-SW · GOOD46.5L
  4. 9Newcastle1300m27 June 2026 · 2Y HCP · SOFT76.4L
  5. 3Canterbury1250m8 June 2026 · 2Y C&G MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L
  6. 4Randwick737m15 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)2.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

Comments

AAP

Fronting up for second campaign (17-weeks). Placed at Canterbury on debut last campaign while brought on by 2 trials. Has figured In the placings here. Can challenge fresh.

ILB

First up and kept chasing when 3rd beaten by 1L first up last preparation at this track. Finished 3rd in a barrier trial at Warwick Farm on Oct 30th. Has definite claims.

RP

Close up behind Gerroa when seventh at Warwick Farm in July in a maiden; some promise; closest he has come to winning after three starts was a third; returns from a break here; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Resuming and rattled home nicely into 3rd resuming last preparation at the track. Ran 3rd in a trial at Warwick Farm on Oct 30th. Strong claims.

8EsteemedJ: James Mc Donald·T: C J Waller356kg7$5.00$1.65

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 7Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.2L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 21%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners

  • Debutant

    Positive

    First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). $400k purchase. Half-sister to G1 winner Kenedna. With premier stable but comes through two modest trials before her first start. Good draw. Look to betting.

ILB

3yo first starter by The Autumn Sun for trainer Christian Frederick Waller. Has not placed in multiple barrier trials. James Mcdonald is a pivotal booking. Watch the betting.

RP

Newcomers from this stable are capable of striking; there's hope from the pedigree that she has some ability; could be hard to beat as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

3yo first starter sired by The Autumn Sun for Christian Frederick Waller. Has not placed in multiple trials. James Mcdonald is a key booking.

9JammedJ: Beany Panya·T: G M Brown454kg1 6 9 83: 0-0-0$126.00$13.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Wyong1000m29 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID MDN HCP · GOOD48.11L
  2. 9Warwick Farm1100m19 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT514.3L
  3. 6Muswellbrook1000m26 July 2026 · 2Y MDN · GOOD43.8L
  4. 1Warwick Farm793m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)-2

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Beany Panya current POT is 41% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 37%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 54% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Off pace, only battled home at Wyong at huge odds. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

At $101.00 faded to finish 8th last start at Wyong. Shows good early pace. Not likely to pull off the victory.

RP

Held when eighth beaten 8l over 5f at Wyong (handicap) 15 days ago; yet to manage better than sixth in his three races; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

At 100/1 tailed off to finish 8th last run at Wyong. Has plenty of early pace.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races