Shortest win price
Miss Trombari (7)
4.20
Bordertown serves up a Creaser Constructions Handicap at 1550 metres on a SOFT6 track under overcast skies at 4:30 pm AEDT. The Tank sits shortest in the win market, with Miss Trombari and Our Beau next in line. Let It Ride, On The Map, and Sazerac round out the market order. It's a tight affair across a restricted 54 field, but the numbers jump out for a couple of runners here.
The Tank is the one punters like, and the form backs it. This one came off an extended spell to close the race off solidly at Murray Bridge in a Restricted 54 environment — exactly this grade — and strips fitter. That partnership with Will Price and Grant Young is performing 44 per cent above market expectations lately. Miss Trombari draws gate one and rates a real chance on first-up form; she's a winner at this level with a solid campaign behind her, and the stable is posting big numbers. Our Beau maps well at Bordertown and overperforms expectations by 7 per cent in this spot — the last two runs show a third at Strathalbyn on SOFT5 and a battler at Morphettville, so fitness could be the play.
Let It Ride sits fourth-favourite and brings plenty of career traction: Todd Pannell's recent strike rate runs 30 per cent better than his career average, a real edge for this rider. Bucks Night is worth a look further down the order with Alana Kelly aboard; Kelly's recent form is 19 per cent above her career standard. The pace looks set with Miss Trombari leading, Backflips on pace, and a fleet of midfielders and offmidfielders stacked through the group — The Tank and Sazerac sit in that midfield corridor and can hunt from there.
Shortest win price
Miss Trombari (7)
4.20
Most career wins
Back Me Up Benny
6-7-3 from 59 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Bucks Night · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Let It Ride · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Our Beau · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Back Me Up Benny · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Career
11: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Waverley
3: 0-1-0
Track Hawera
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced at Murray Bridge Gh off spell. Better for the outing. Has an adverse draw. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Started at $14.00 and edged past some when finishing 5th last time at Murray Bridge.
RP
A few throw outs since his success in a maiden at New Plymouth Raceway 12 months ago; respectable effort over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) when dropped in distance 16 days ago.
RSIS
Was 13/1 and ran past a few when 5th last time at Murray Bridge.
Career
8: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
2: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Alana Kelly 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Under a hold, only battled home at Echuca second-up. Hard to warm to.
ILB
Jumped at $81.00 and tailed off when 9th last start at Echuca. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Best to watch and see.
RP
Not disgraced in ninth at Echuca over 7f (handicap) last week; clear chance as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and shown he can win fairly recently.
RSIS
Started 80/1 and struggled when 9th last time at Echuca. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
17: 1-4-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Matamata
3: 0-2-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 1-4-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Started $21 when safely held in Benchmark 58 company at Murray Bridge Gh off extended spell. Better conditioned. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and folded up in the straight when 7th last start at Murray Bridge. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Close up behind Black Sea when seventh over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) beaten 5l two weeks ago; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
At 20/1 struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Murray Bridge. Betting is the best guide.
Career
13: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-1
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 7kg more than LS
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Never sighted at Morphettville. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Jumped at $15.00 and well beaten when 11th last run at Morphettville. Giving another go here and matched against less formidable competition. Has a nice turn of foot. Good chance of taking this out.
RP
Last of 11 at Morphettville last month; sole victory becoming a distant memory; others more likely.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and mediocre performance when 11th last time at Morphettville. Giving another chance here and matched against less formidable competition. Has a great burst of pace late. Good chance in this.
Career
59: 6-7-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Murray Bridge
10: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
6: 1-0-1
Track Clare
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 2020m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
22: 1-2-0
Going Good
32: 5-5-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 28 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring
AAP
Freshened. Settled close but dropped right out at Penola over longer test. Since trialled at Murray Bridge Gh 29 Oct. Latest below par and lift required.
ILB
Jumped at $4.00 and didn't threaten when 8th last time at Penola and coming back in distance. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Came up short at Penola when eighth of 12 over 1m2f (handicap) four weeks ago; has won at this course; useful at this level; prospects.
RSIS
Started at 3/1 and faded to finish 8th last run at Penola and coming back in trip.
Career
14: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1516m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 2010m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 2-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 215%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Went home tamely at Murray Bridge Gh at $9. Usually gets back. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Jumped at $9.00 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last time at Murray Bridge. May see an upturn in form and stepping down to a lower level. Gets a chance against these.
RP
Close up behind The Tank when eighth over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) last month; a few throw outs since her success in a handicap at Penola in April; passed over.
RSIS
Odds of 8/1 and didn't threaten when 8th last start at Murray Bridge. Can show a better performance this time and drops back to a suitable class. Serious contender.
Career
16: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
4: 1-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 7kg more than LS
AAP
Run down in the shadows at Morphettville. Gets the gun run. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Gave ground late when 4th last run at Morphettville and challenged by less formidable competitors. Should muster plenty of early toe. Drawn beautifully. Rises in weight. Strong claims in this.
RP
Posted respectable effort when beaten 1½l at Morphettville three weeks ago; low strike-rate of 1-16 and patchy form recently.
RSIS
Outsprinted when 4th last time at Morphettville and matched against a less competitive field. Has shown early pace in races to date. Will appreciate a good stall. Definite winning chance.
Career
32: 2-3-4
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Morphettville
5: 0-0-1
Track Strathalbyn
9: 1-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
8: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
28: 2-3-4
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Got back, closed the race off solidly at Murray Bridge Gh off extended spell. Strips fitter. Usually gets back. Worth a look back in a country Restricted 54.
ILB
Came on strongly to finish 3rd when beaten by 1L last start at Murray Bridge and up against a less competitive field. Going up in weight. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Solid run when third at 20-1 over 7f at Murray Bridge Gh (handicap) last month; wins infrequently; passed over.
RSIS
Good run when placing 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Murray Bridge and competing at a lower class. Has more weight to carry. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
49: 5-8-5
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Penola
7: 1-0-2
Distance 1706m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
15: 2-2-1
Distance 2050m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
29: 2-3-4
Going Heavy
5: 0-3-0
Going Soft
14: 2-2-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 71%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Freshened. Great run at Mt Gambier 7 Oct. Rearward and made minor headway in the strung out finish at Penola. Keener on others.
ILB
Jumped at $8.50 and improved late to finish 4th last run at Penola. Likely to settle back in the field. Outside chance.
RP
Held when fourth beaten 7l at Penola last month; has won here before; useful in this grade; some claims.
RSIS
Started 15/2 and made up ground when 4th last run at Penola. Does take a while to get into stride.
Career
13: 1-2-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Donald
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1512m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1606m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 1-1-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 10kg from LS run
AAP
Led, empty late on a soft deck at Echuca. Right down in the weights. Can step up from latest.
ILB
Jumped at $6.00 and faded to finish 6th last start at Echuca. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Came home sixth, beaten 8l, at Echuca last week; should go close given that not many of these impressed last time out and she has shown bits and pieces of promise.
RSIS
At 5/1 didn't find the line when 6th last start at Echuca. Blinkers go off for the first time. Watch the betting.
Career
20: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
4: 0-1-2
Track Balaklava
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Dylan Caboche current POT is 20% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 47% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 28 days
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Freshened. Competitive in Restricted 56 7 Oct. Safely held but not totally disgraced at Penola. Among the dangers.
ILB
Was $4.60 and ran 6th last start at Penola. Watch the betting.
RP
One win to her name was achieved a fair way back; found life tough when 10l back in sixth at Penola four weeks ago; others more likely.
RSIS
Started 7/2 and finished 6th last time at Penola. Keep safe.
Career
9: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1112m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1180m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 72% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse 105% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 245%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 10% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse winning at 74% POT in last 100 rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Game performance at Mildura for new stable. Best results on firm going. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Was $8.50 and competed in a tight contest last start at Mildura but drawn nicely. Jockey Shayleigh Ingelse is currently in strong form for this stable. Could feature here.
RP
Running consistently; fourth at Mildura but only beaten half a length ten days ago over 7f (handicap) on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
Odds of 15/2 and threw down a serious challenge last time at Mildura but gets a favourable stall. Shayleigh Ingelse and Raharna Mcdonald make a formidable team. Watch betting.
Career
36: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
7: 0-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1550m
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
23: 2-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 245%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 73%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Morphettville. Unbeaten at track and distance. Very fit, has some claims.
ILB
Odds of $17.00 and came in 5th last start at Morphettville but strong performer at the distance. Looking at others.
RP
Unbeaten over this C&D after two runs; beaten 11l when fifth of nine at Morphettville last Tuesday.
RSIS
At 16/1 came in 5th last run at Morphettville but suited at this distance in the past.
Career
21: 1-2-2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
5: 1-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Track Oakbank
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Dry Spell
Negative
Recent form uninspiring
AAP
Hasn't done much since breaking his maiden. In trailing position but couldn't show a turn of foot at Morphettville. Has an adverse draw. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Started at $19.00 and couldn't finish off when 4th last time at Morphettville. Yet to fire this preparation with no placings from 7 runs.
RP
This is his level; producing solid form figures; beaten 10l in fourth at Morphettville where just ahead of Sazerac last week.
RSIS
Was 18/1 and outmuscled in the run home when 4th last start at Morphettville. Yet to fire in recent runs with no placings from 7 runs.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
Resuming (15-weeks). Hasn't done much since breaking her maiden. Comes off a good trial. Strikes a competitive race.
ILB
First up after a break. Disappointing run when 10th last start at Morphettville but taking on a lower class of opponents. Dropping back to a shorter trip.
RSIS
Back after a break. Well beaten when 10th last time at Morphettville but challenged by weaker competitors. Will be down in distance.