Shortest win price
Hakeba (2)
3.30
Welcome to Bordertown for the Sportsbet Green Tick Mdn Plate over 1100m on a Soft 5 track with overcast skies, getting underway at 2:35 pm AEDT. The win market order has Mr Kimble heading proceedings, closely followed by Hakeba, Serilo, and Buffo shaping up next in the betting.
Taking a closer look at the form, Mr Kimble sits at the top of the market and brings a rating of 100 into this affair following a brave effort when fighting to the wire in the 4yo+ Mdn Plate at Murray Bridge over 1000m. The numbers say he strips in better shape here and rates a real chance with Todd Pannell steering. Buffo is another prominent contender in the market order, dropping back to a shorter trip after failing to threaten over a longer test at Morphettville Parks, though a hot trainer and jockey combination gives this runner a big tick.
Further down the line, speed maps point to Hasta La Barood and Buffo pushing forward as leaders, while Magic Mariner and Mr Kimble settle midfield. Serilo catches the eye as a backmarker carrying the fastest overall finishing sectionals from the previous start, adding plenty of interest to an open race where the form suggests several runners can make their presence felt.
Shortest win price
Hakeba (2)
3.30
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Dedset Magic · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hakeba · Positive
Ideal Map
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Magic Mariner · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Mr Kimble · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Grant Young in good form, out performing market 31%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Form doesn't leap off the page. Not disgraced at Murray Bridge Gh at $26. Place preferred option.
ILB
Weakened to finish 5th last time at Murray Bridge. Good chance and definitely has claims.
RP
Fair effort when beaten just over 3l, finishing fifth of eight at Murray Bridge Gh over 5f (maiden) last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Faded away to finish 5th last run at Murray Bridge. Has a credible chance.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
3: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs
AAP
Resuming (29-weeks). Thereabouts at times without posing a serious threat. Looked in good order in latest trial, although the long spell could tell late. Remote place hope at best fresh.
ILB
Back from a 29 week spell. Started $19.00 and didn't attack the line when 6th last run at Murray Bridge. Should not be far away.
RP
Finished just behind Mr Kimble when sixth over 6f at Murray Bridge Gh (maiden) in April; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; has had some time off; not been able to get his head in front lately so is passed over.
RSIS
Resumes from a break of 29 weeks. Was 18/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time at Murray Bridge. Can take this out.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 534 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (76-weeks). Ex A J Gluyas in SA. Not pushed out Murray Bridge Gh trial 29 Oct. Check betting.
ILB
Resuming after a break of 76 weeks. Started $3.60 and fairly underwhelming when 7th last run at Gawler. First race for a new trainer. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Held when seventh of nine at Gawler over 6f (maiden) 18 months ago; has taken a step forward the last twice; been off the track a long time; first start for trainer; definite chance as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest and he ran well in defeat two starts back.
RSIS
First run back from a break of 76 weeks. Started 13/5 and below standard effort when 7th last time at Gawler. First race for a new trainer. Betting is the best guide.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (22-weeks). Still chasing a breakthrough and unplaced fresh. Latest trial was solid enough. Expect will find these too sharp.
ILB
Fresh today. Jumped at $17.00 and lost ground in the run home when 13th last time at Swan Hill and dropping in distance.
RSIS
First run back. Started 16/1 and weakened under pressure when 13th last time at Swan Hill and coming back in trip.
Career
6: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1107m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Shown some ability. Fought bravely to the wire in the 4yo+ Mdn Plate at Murray Bridge Gh off extended spell. Strips in better shape. Rates highly in this affair.
ILB
Finished strongly when 2nd beaten by 1 3/4L last run at Murray Bridge. Jockey Todd Pannell and trainer Sue Jaensch & Jason Jaensch are a pair that can't be ignored. Strong chance today.
RP
Produced a good effort to finish runner-up over 5f at Murray Bridge Gh (maiden) when little between him and Dedset Magic (fifth) last month; seems to be improving based on last two runs; he's a serious player given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest and there was plenty to like about his latest performance.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 2nd last run at Murray Bridge. Jockey Todd Pannell and trainer Sue Jaensch & Jason Jaensch are a formidable team. Good chance today.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Sent out $31 when never got into the race at Morphettville first up. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Advanced late into 5th last start at Morphettville.
RSIS
Improved late to finish 5th last run at Morphettville.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 84%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Written By 4yo lining up for his first official race start. No public trials to gauge. Market may offer more insight.
ILB
First appearance at the races 4yo by Written By for David Jolly & Justin Potter. Watch the market moves.
RSIS
4yo first starter by Written By for trainer David Jolly & Justin Potter.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-1). Unplaced latest trial but her earlier trial work was fair. Benefit of decent alley. Can make a winning debut.
ILB
Initial race appearance 4yo by Shamus Award for trainer Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Keep your eye on the market.
RSIS
First start at the races 4yo by Shamus Award for trainer Will Clarken & Charlotte Sorby and has a good draw.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 72% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse 105% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 105%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (19-weeks). Comes off a solid trial. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
First up and zipped home into 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L first up last preparation at this track. Displays good closing speed. Drawn nicely. Forward showing expected.
RP
Not yet off the mark in three attempts although has finished third; beaten 9l in seventh over 6½f here (maiden) with blinkers applied in June; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
Resuming and flashed home late into 3rd resuming last preparation at this venue. Success in a trial at Thomas Farms Rc Murray Bridge on Oct 29th. Gets a chance against these.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Well down the track at Morphettville on debut as a despised outsider. Looks a work in progress and others with more to offer.
ILB
Didn't threaten when 11th last run at Morphettville but was on debut last time.
RSIS
Didn't find the line when 11th last run at Morphettville but having second career run.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Alysha Warren current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 60%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Resuming (23-weeks). Ex Peter Hardacre. Trained here now. Furnished with time and won a trial at Murray Bridge Gh. Wasn't really up to it in her earlier campaigns but will have matured further over the long break.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Gave away some ground when 12th last start at Swan Hill. Racing for a new trainer. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
RP
Towards the rear of 14 at Swan Hill over 6f (maiden) in June; first start for new stable; layoff to overcome; must be respected.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Couldn't maintain the pace when 12th last start at Swan Hill. First appearance for a new trainer. Prefers to settle towards the tail.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1075m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
AAP
By far the best of her 3 runs to date was latest placing at Naracoorte. Switching to 1100m. Warrants attention.
ILB
Faded at the finish when 2nd last time at Naracoorte. Respect the betting.
RP
Turned in a solid effort in defeat 12 days ago, when second at Naracoorte over 6f (maiden).
RSIS
Honest run on the pace before fading to finish 2nd last time at Naracoorte. Could be in the mix.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Penola
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1075m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Unremarkable debut performance at Penola 16 Oct. Improvement needed and leaning towards others.
ILB
Odds of $5.50 and didn't find the line when 8th last time at Penola but was a debutant last start. Should race on the speed.
RP
Never posed a significant threat on his debut at Penola (not far behind Tai Po Jewel) at 9-2 last month; potential to improve; should be better for that run.
RSIS
Was 9/2 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Penola but fitter for debut run. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.
Career
6: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-1-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 69%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Failed to threaten (outside alley) at Morphettville Parks over longer test as a market drifter. Drops to shorter trip. Looks a serious player.
ILB
On a short back up. Odds of $6.00 and faded to finish 7th last run at Morphettville and back to a shorter trip. Has plenty of early speed. Can win.
RP
Beaten 9l in seventh at Morphettville over 7f (maiden) last week; not yet off the mark in six attempts although has finished second.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Was 5/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last time at Morphettville and will be dropping in distance. Displays good tactical pace. Definite winning chance.
Career
20: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Strathalbyn
3: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-1-1
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
Resuming (20-weeks). Longstanding maiden with a poor first-up record. Reasonable tick-over trial for return. Looks vulnerable.
ILB
First up after a break. Jumped at $12.00 and weakened under pressure when 10th last run at Port Augusta and coming back in distance. Looks hopeful.
RP
Last of ten at Port Augusta five months ago upped to 1m; this is her level; has had some time off.
RSIS
Fresh today after a break. Started 11/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last start at Port Augusta and down in trip.