Shortest win price
Buttercup (10)
1.60
Welcome to the Sunshine Coast for race two on the card, the Dse Mdn Plate over the 1000m sprint trip on a good four surface under fine skies. The win market order has Buttercup sitting right at the top of calculations, followed closely by Tillys Last Wish, Varejao, and Fat Barry rounding out the shorter selections in what shapes as a fascinating four-up maiden showdown. The numbers say we are in for a ripping contest as these contenders battle it out over the short course. Kick off your evening with a sharp eye on the form as we break down the leading chances.
Buttercup takes the mantle near the head of the market for trainer J W Healy, bringing a solid rating of 100 into the clash after getting back and running home steadily at Eagle Farm last time out over 1200m in heavy going. With Michael Rodd in the saddle, this racemare has credible results over this distance and a strong SP profile. Varejao is another prominent chance for the stable combination of Stuart and Bayley Kendrick, coming off a reasonable effort over this exact 1000m course last start where the runner kept trying without threatening. While awkwardly drawn, the fit runner boasts home track advantage and rates a real chance in this company.
Further down the order, Tillys Last Wish jumps off the page as an intriguing runner on debut for the Kendrick yard, partnered by Ben E Thompson with the benefit of some solid trial experience under the belt including a nice poly track win. Fat Barry is another newcomer to monitor closely under Daniel Moor, fronting up for a new campaign after transferring from New South Wales and logging multiple trials since last appearing. Keep an eye on how the speed maps play out with I Tried So Hard pushing forward from gate four, while Buttercup settles off the pace ready to pounce when it counts.
Shortest win price
Buttercup (10)
1.60
Back left · leaders right
Offmidfield
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Alabamadon · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Fat Barry · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
I Like Big Boats · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Varejao · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 850m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ex A J Mead in QLD. Solid rally into the placings at Bundaberg for new stable. Prefer to see.
ILB
Ran well when 2nd last time at Bundaberg. Change in trainer. The large claim from Kayla Johnston should help. This will be a test.
RP
Has kicked on in his last couple of races; not beaten too far when second over 4f at Bundaberg (maiden) just ahead of I Like Big Boats last week; first run for trainer.
RSIS
Did well when 2nd last start at Bundaberg. First appearance for a new trainer. The large claim from Kayla Johnston helps.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (35-weeks). Ex Ms K Buchanan in NSW. Seen in 3 trials since he last faced the starter. Place preferred option fresh.
ILB
Resumes from a break of 35 weeks. At $41.00 struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Muswellbrook and will be facing a significant drop in distance. May find these too slick.
RP
Could not manage better than seventh over 6½f at Muswellbrook (maiden) in March; returns from a break here; first start for new trainer; should not be far away given there is limited recent form on offer in this race and he ran well in defeat three starts ago; also engaged in race 5 at Ballina.
RSIS
Back from a break of 35 weeks. At 40/1 struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Muswellbrook and down in trip. Blinkers go on for the first time.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Bundaberg
1: 0-0-0
Distance 850m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $2.40 when battled home in Maiden company at Bundaberg. Keener on others.
ILB
Started at $3.60 and came in 4th last run at Bundaberg but drawn nicely. Quietly confident of a big run at decent odds.
RP
Finished just behind Alabamadon when fourth at Bundaberg over 4f (maiden) dropped back in distance on debut for new trainer last Tuesday; others more likely.
RSIS
Started 13/5 and came in 4th last start at Bundaberg but has a good draw. Competitive type.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Ex Chris Anderson. Trained here now. On pace but soon under pressure and he knocked up badly this course over today's trip. Can put last run behind him.
ILB
Odds of $7.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time at the track. First start for a new trainer. Very competitive this campaign.
RSIS
Started at 6/1 and faded to finish 6th last start at this venue. First start for a new trainer. In a purple patch of form of late.
Career
16: 0-5-4
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
10: 0-2-2
Track CurrentTrack
10: 0-2-2
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
12: 0-3-3
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 0-4-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Last start this trip reasonable effort without seriously threatening this course. Home track advantage but awkwardly drawn. Fit from racing, only for the minors here.
ILB
Started at $7.00 and didn't maintain the pace when 4th last run here. Interesting gear change of blinkers off first time. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Good potential.
RP
Fair effort when ahead of Seaphira ten days ago; yet to open his account after 16 starts; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.
RSIS
At 6/1 lost ground when 4th last run at the track. Interesting to see the blinkers go off for the first time. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Let-up (68-days). Ex Chris & Corey Munce in QLD. Finished down the track in both runs. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Started $11.00 and was well beaten when 11th last time at this venue. First appearance for a new trainer.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Was 10/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last start at the track. First start for a new trainer.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Two modest trials leading in. Sticky gate but betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
4yo by Peltzer having first race appearance for Trevor Thomas. Respect the betting.
RSIS
4yo first starter by Peltzer for trainer Trevor Thomas.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (49-days). Has generally struggled to make an impression. Failed to flatter this course second-up. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Let up. At $41.00 performed below standard when 9th last run at the track. Likely to settle back in the field. Cannot have under these circumstances.
RP
Not far behind Seaphira when ninth 49 days ago in a handicap; yet to get off the mark in four attempts (eighth her best finish); probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Started at 40/1 and subpar when 9th last run at this track. Does take a while to get into stride.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Jockey Booking
Negative
Georgina Cartwright current POT is 56% below Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 23%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Against own sex when settled close and ran an honest race in testing conditions at Eagle Farm. Coming back in distance. All the better, can play a role with even breaks.
ILB
Started at $10.00 and tired late when 4th last start at Eagle Farm on a heavy surface.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and didn't stay in touch when 4th last run at Eagle Farm.
Career
11: 0-6-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Camperdown
1: 0-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-3-1
Distance 1018m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-5-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 78%
Hot Trainer
Positive
James Healy in good form, out performing market 34%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Good SP profile. Got back and ran home steadily at Eagle Farm. Credible results this trip. This looks a nice race for the racemare.
ILB
Started at $4.20 and moved through the field into 5th last run at Eagle Farm on a heavy surface. Jockey Michael Rodd and trainer James Healy are an imposing duo. Good chance today.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice but still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce); not beaten that far in fifth (just under 4l) over 6f at Eagle Farm (maiden) last month; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
At 10/3 improved late to finish 5th last time at Eagle Farm. Jockey Michael Rodd and trainer James Healy form a proven partnership. Displaying good ability recently. Strong winning chance.
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 12% POT in L100 Runners
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-1). Just the one official trial and wasn't all that far from the winner 13 Oct. Prefer to see at this stage.
ILB
Shaun Dwyer Jnr trained 4yo by Bellevue Hill having first race start. Placed 3rd in a trial at Sunshine Coast@inner Track on Oct 13th. Watch the betting.
RP
First start under rules for this daughter of Bellevue Hill; strong claims with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
4yo first starter sired by Bellevue Hill for Shaun Dwyer Jnr. Fitter for a trial at Sunshine Coast@inner Track on Oct 13th.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 322 day break (> 300 days)
AAP
Second campaign (46-weeks). A very soft debut performance this venue at wide odds 26 Dec. Experience helps. Two trials since, latest at Sunshine Coast Inner 13 Oct. Open to improvement.
ILB
Back after a 46 week break. Finished 8th last time at the track but was on debut last time. Has a positive gate.
RSIS
First run back from a break of 46 weeks. Ran 8th last start at this track but having second career run. Can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 35% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Rob Thorburn 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Rob Thorburn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 28%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Last assignment this trip when reasonable effort without seriously threatening this venue. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
Was $51.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run around here. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
Finished just behind Varejao when seventh last Tuesday; could be dangerous as a number of her rivals have questions to answer and has been on the scene in the recent past.
RSIS
Was 50/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at this track.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 322 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Second campaign (46-weeks). Trial was pleasing. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Back from a break of 46 weeks. Was $6.00 and picked up some ground to run 5th last time at Warwick but will be dropping in distance. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
No impression when fifth of 11 at Warwick last December upped to 7½f; returns from a layoff; others appeal more.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 46 weeks. Started at 5/1 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Warwick but will be down in distance.
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 99%
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (3:2-0-0). Ben Thompson rides. Races on the home circuit. Big watch.
ILB
Written Tycoon 4yo having first start for Stuart Kendrick. Success in a trial around here on June 23rd. Market as guide.
RP
Sibling of Sounds Fun (6½f winner); sire's stock can be smart performers; should be thereabouts with signs of encouragement in profile and the hot form of the trainer is a bonus.
RSIS
First time at the races 4yo by Written Tycoon for trainer Stuart Kendrick. Won a trial around here on June 23rd. Watch the betting.
Career
6: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-1-0
Track Bundaberg
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 32% in L100 rides
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely in soft going in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Dalby first up. Drops to shorter trip. Not fancied.
ILB
Did well when 2nd last time at Dalby and drawn well. Remote chance at best.
RP
Has shown some recent improvement; outran 20-1 odds when a close runner-up over 6f at Dalby (maiden) 13 days ago.
RSIS
Was competitive when 2nd last start at Dalby and drawn by the rails.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Cejay Graham current POT is 24% below Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
David Murphy striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Has found it difficult to make an impact. Failed to threaten at Gold Coast Poly at wide odds. Coming back slightly in distance. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Started $81.00 and looked outclassed when 6th last run at Gold Coast Poly. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Better to look elsewhere.
RP
Beaten 7l at Gold Coast over 5½f (maiden) last month.
RSIS
Started 80/1 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last start at Gold Coast Poly. Should jump out and bowl along.