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Seymour (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Seymour (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Thu 12 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Thu, 12 NovSeymour (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Bet365 Bet Boost (Bm62) 1000m · jumps

Race preview

Seymour hosts race 7, a Benchmark 62 for 3yo and up over 1000 metres on Good 3 track this Friday at 6:00 pm AEDT. The market has Gunz as the shortest-priced runner, with Hey Kleine Maus and Killiana next in line. This is a tight affair across the board — no standouts, just a competitive field where the numbers matter. Gunz jumps from barrier 11 as the leading chance, while Killiana pairs with jockey Nadia Daniels from barrier 5 and Hey Kleine Maus resumes from 21 weeks out in barrier 9.

Killiana's form is hard to ignore. The runner posted a dominant one-length victory at Swan Hill fresh over 975 metres in Good 4, and before that scored at the same track. Last starts read 4 1 2 2 1 — a genuine closer with engine. Nadia Daniels' recent strike rate sits 51 per cent above her career average, and she's been booked 68 per cent above market expectation in her last 100 rides. The rating sits at 100, and the comment flags a game win just off the pace first-up back. Hey Kleine Maus is resuming but shows early-up credentials; last campaign pitched against stronger opposition in a Sandown 1200-metre outing and a Caulfield Heath 1000-metre run where the runner fought home fifth in Soft 6. The stable is out-performing market by 59 per cent, and the jockey-trainer combo (Jett Stanley and Gavin Bedggood) are out-performing by 97 per cent. Gunz holds the favourite's tag but enters off a fourth at Ballarat at 1000 metres in Heavy 8, then a barrier trial second. S Jokic's strike rate is just 5 per cent.

Early speed shapes the race — Gunz and Cumboogle lead the charge, while Killiana and Skjaldmo press on-pace. Killiana's recent record first-up is 3: 2-1-0, a big tick for the pattern. The jockey argument leans Daniels' way on recent form. Cumboogle has early speed and an advantage on this circuit with Sam Kennedy riding 33 per cent above his career average, though the runner sits further down the order. Hey Kleine Maus with a full fresh campaign rates a real chance in a field without a dominant type.

Race notes

  • 3yo+,BM62,BM62 HCP,Benchmark 62
  • GOOD3
  • Fine
  • 11 runners

Shortest win price

Soju (9)

3.30

Most career wins

Cumboogle

10-5-3 from 49 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 11Shyleah

Offmidfield

  • 10Mordialloc Beach
  • 9Soju

Midfield

  • 4Commands Success
  • 8Hey Kleine Maus

Offpace

  • 2Maximillius
  • 6Flying Awasita

Onpace

  • 1Killiana
  • 7Skjaldmo

Leader

  • 3Gunz
  • 5Cumboogle

  • Killiana · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 51% better than Career Avg.

  • Maximillius · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Gunz · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Commands Success · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Jamie Gibbons current POT is 12% below Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1KillianaJ: Nadia Daniels·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes562.5kg2 1 6 9 18: 3-2-0$6.00$2.10

Career

8: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 2-0-0

  • Track Caulfield

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1013m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 3-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Swan Hill975m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD4-0.5
  2. 9Cranbourne1000m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT75.3L
  3. 6Caulfield Heath1000m27 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT72.8L
  4. 1Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
  5. 2Sale1013m19 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.1L
  6. 2Warrnambool1000m29 Apr 2025 · 2Y FILLIES SW · SOFT70.3L
  7. 1Bendigo1100m12 Apr 2025 · 2Y SW · GOOD4-0.5
  8. 4Caulfield1200m15 Mar 2025 · 2Y SW · GOOD41.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 51% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels 68% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 163%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Nadia Daniels winning at 50% POT in last 100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Game win from just off the pace at Swan Hill first run back. Takes a handy claim and is a major player.

ILB

Ran on hard when winning last start at Swan Hill. Has shown early pace in races to date. The testing material.

RP

Got the job done in a handicap by half a length at Swan Hill with Commands Success and Maximillius behind 16 days ago; plenty of appeal.

RSIS

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last start at Swan Hill. Should come to hand quickly. Attracts support.

2MaximilliusJ: Sarah Field·T: Michael Jones662.5kg8 9 2 1 829: 3-2-2$34.00$5.00

Career

29: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    10: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    8: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Swan Hill

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    10: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    23: 2-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Swan Hill975m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD45.21L
  2. 1Swan Hill975m21 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD3-0.5
  3. 2Swan Hill975m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD30.2L
  4. 9Wangaratta1170m28 Feb 2026 · BM66 · GOOD37.4L
  5. 8Caulfield1000m31 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.1L
  6. 7Pakenham1000m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD35.86L
  7. 1Bendigo800m13 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial-0.5
  8. 9Sandown1000m26 Dec 2025 · BM70 · GOOD46.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Swan Hill off long break. Strips in better shape and takes a 1.5kg claim here. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Odds of $9.00 and disappointing display when 8th last start at Swan Hill. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Could not compete with Killiana when eighth at Swan Hill last month; can be a player at this level; in with a shout as would have leading chance if back in the same form he showed when winning two starts ago.

RSIS

Started 8/1 and was nothing special when 8th last start at Swan Hill.

3GunzJ: Jordan Childs·T: S Jokic1161kg2 1 10 2 49: 2-3-1$4.00$1.60

Career

9: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Albury

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 975m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    6: 1-2-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-2-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Ballarat1000m2 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.52L
  2. 2Tatura850m30 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  3. 10Caulfield1000m27 June 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT79L
  4. 1Albury1000m16 June 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY9-2
  5. 2Seymour1000m21 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · SOFT60.2L
  6. 4Bendigo1100m2 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD32.4L
  7. 1Swan Hill975m12 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-1.8
  8. 2Bendigo1100m7 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY91L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Battled home into 4th in the small field at Ballarat when in the market. Better for the outing and can play a role with even breaks.

ILB

Jumped at $3.90 and came in 4th last run at Ballarat. Can show a better performance this time. Has the speed to overcome the wide barrier. Should go close.

RP

Respectable effort (beaten 2½l) at Ballarat last week; easy enough to take on as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

Was 3/1 and ran 4th last time at Ballarat. Can make a comeback. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw. Good winning chance.

4Commands SuccessJ: Jamie Gibbons·T: Dwayne Reid1060.5kg5 8 7 3 439: 6-6-5$23.00$4.20

Career

39: 6-6-5

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 3-1-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Track Albury

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-2

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    28: 5-4-4

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    10: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Swan Hill975m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.5L
  2. 3Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53L
  3. 7Ballarat1000m30 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.5L
  4. 8Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.23L
  5. 5Ballarat1000m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.9L
  6. 4Caulfield Heath1200m18 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
  7. 1Caulfield Heath1000m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
  8. 3Pakenham1000m26 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.7L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Jamie Gibbons current POT is 12% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -36%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 29%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Home track advantage and has never missed a placing here in three starts. Goes into wider exotics.

ILB

At $11.00 was making up some late ground when 4th last time at Swan Hill. Questions at this level.

RP

A C&D winner; creditable effort behind Killiana at Swan Hill when fourth beaten 2½l last month; not been able to get his head in front lately so passed over.

RSIS

Started at 10/1 and hit the line well when 4th last time at Swan Hill.

5CumboogleJ: Sam Kennedy·T: L E Robertson459kg2 9 7 8 249: 10-5-3$26.00$4.40

Career

49: 10-5-3

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Parkes

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    6: 1-0-1

  • Distance 975m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    33: 8-4-1

  • Going Good

    22: 4-3-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    20: 3-2-2

Last starts

  1. 2Echuca1000m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.02L
  2. 8Seymour1000m11 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.71L
  3. 7Tatura1000m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.25L
  4. 9Ballarat1000m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.98L
  5. 2Tatura1000m7 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.5L
  6. 7Bendigo1000m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84L
  7. 6Ballarat Synthetic1000m14 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.36L
  8. 4Ballarat Synthetic1000m2 July 2026 · BM70 · SYNTHETIC1.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 33% better than Career Avg.

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Short course specialist. Showed courage and tenacity when nailed late at Echuca over today's trip. This is tougher.

ILB

Narrowly denied a win last time at Echuca but rising in grade. Will be pushing for a forward position early. This is a tough race.

RP

Good effort when close up at Echuca three weeks ago; proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking an 11th career win); shortlisted if backing up last run.

RSIS

Missed by a narrow margin last time at Echuca but facing a stronger group of contenders. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

6Flying AwasitaJ: Lachlan King·T: Charmaine Barnes258kg1 152: 1-0-0$10.00$2.90

Career

2: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wangaratta

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 15Flemington1200m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y SWP · GOOD48L
  2. 1Wangaratta1000m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.2

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 42% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Lachlan King 53% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 162%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 38% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (36-weeks). Recent Wodonga jumpout winner. Drawn for all the favours.

ILB

First up and displayed a good turn of foot when winning first up last preparation at Wangaratta. Facing less formidable opponents. Has a positive draw. Sound chance.

RP

Few miles on the clock with this her third race; finished last of 15 at Flemington in February in a conditions race; returns from an absence here; can be on the premises as would have leading chance if back in the same form she showed when winning two starts ago and had excuses last time (hampered).

RSIS

Resuming and finished well when winning resuming last preparation at Wangaratta. Going down in grade. Gets a favourable draw.

7SkjaldmoJ: Changgyun Ma·T: R D Griffiths357.5kg1 10 4 3 16: 1-0-1$9.00$2.70

Career

6: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Morphettville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Ballarat1000m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-1
  2. 3Cranbourne1200m31 Oct 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43L
  3. 4Ballarat1000m6 Oct 2025 · 3Y FILLIES MDN-SW · SOFT60.8L
  4. 10Ballarat1000m19 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L
  5. 1Caulfield800m2 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial-2
  6. 8Morphettville1000m5 Apr 2025 · Set Weights · GOOD43.33L

Insights

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Consistent

    Positive

    Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Toughed it out on the pace at Ballarat after lengthy absence at $1.90, second has won since. Has upside.

ILB

Controlled the pace to win by 1L last time at Ballarat but challenged by a tougher grade. Will be positive in the run early. Large claim helps. Would be more keen on the chance of others.

RP

Seems to be improving based on last two runs and lightly raced; opened account at the fifth time of asking at Ballarat last month when successful by 1l in a maiden; easy to oppose despite that win at Ballarat.

RSIS

Made every post a winner to win by 1L last time at Ballarat but competing at a higher class. Should jump out and bowl along.

8Hey Kleine MausJ: Jett Stanley·T: Gavin Bedggood957kg6 1 2 5 125: 1-1-0$5.00$1.90

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 12Sandown1200m13 June 2026 · 3YF BM70 · HEAVY814.7L
  2. 5Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · 3Y BM64 · SOFT61.6L
  3. 2Pakenham1000m8 May 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY80.1L
  4. 1Caulfield Heath850m23 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.2
  5. 6Geelong1100m3 Jan 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD35.7L
  6. 1Cranbourne1000m19 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.5

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 59%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 39% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 29%

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 1 from 2 when resuming

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (21-weeks). Third in latest Cranbourne jumpout. Last campaign was against better opposition. Capable of making an impact fresh in this company with even breaks.

ILB

First up and narrowly denied a win first up last preparation at Pakenham. Taking on a lower class of opponents. Respect the betting.

RP

Last of 12 over 6f at Sandown (handicap) in June; has had some time off; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Resuming and competed in a tight contest resuming last preparation at Pakenham. Dropping in grade. Could feature here.

9SojuJ: Damian Lane·T: Reece Goodwin857kg2 5 7 5 832: 4-3-4$3.30$1.40

Career

32: 4-3-4

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-0-2

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Mornington

    3: 1-1-0

  • Distance 955m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    26: 4-1-4

  • Distance 1005m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    20: 2-2-4

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Sale1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY107.75L
  2. 5Bendigo1000m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.1L
  3. 7Sale1000m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT611.1L
  4. 5Sandown1000m22 July 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT62.6L
  5. 2Sale1005m28 June 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY80.5L
  6. 4Mornington1000m8 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT71.3L
  7. 4Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · BM66 · SOFT61.4L
  8. 14Warrnambool1000m6 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY109.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 96%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 30%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 38% Profit on Turnover

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 29%

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Winless Prep

    Negative

    Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and never likely at Sale for new stable. Speedy filly who gets the services of D Lane. Has some claims.

ILB

Odds of $17.00 and finished 8th last run at Sale. Likely to settle back in the field. Rough chance today.

RP

Came home eighth, beaten 8l, at Sale two weeks ago on debut for this trainer; all four wins have come over this trip; this is competitive and looks risky.

RSIS

Started 16/1 and finished 8th last start at Sale. Gets back and needs luck.

10Mordialloc BeachJ: Jackson Radley·T: D M Noonan154.5kg4 7 4 11 913: 1-0-2$126.00$15.00

Career

13: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1114m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 9Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.91L
  2. 11Seymour1100m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP CL1 HCP · SOFT710.7L
  3. 4Geelong1325m20 Jan 2026 · CL1 · GOOD31.8L
  4. 7Yarra Valley1514m29 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD46.3L
  5. 4Mornington1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD31L
  6. 3Pakenham1400m21 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.9L
  7. 5Ballarat1200m24 Oct 2025 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT52.3L
  8. 10Geelong1340m25 Sept 2025 · 0 - 62 · GOOD37.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 34% in L100 rides

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (53-days). Ex Ms W Kelly in Victoria. Got back and only battled to wire at Bairnsdale last outing. Prefer to see.

ILB

Let up. At $10.00 struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Bairnsdale but has the ideal barrier. First start for a new trainer. Might be ridden for luck. Unlikely to feature.

RP

One win to her name was achieved a fair way back; finished ninth of 12 at Bairnsdale over 6f (handicap) 53 days ago; now running for a new trainer; a lot on her plate here and not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Let up. Odds of 9/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last time at Bairnsdale but drawn the rails. Racing for a new trainer. Gets a reduction in weight.

11ShyleahJ: Samantha Noble·T: S G Noble754kg5 4 3 5 627: 1-3-5$71.00$8.50

Career

27: 1-3-5

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-3

  • Second-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1106m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1114m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 0-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-1-2

Last starts

  1. 6Mortlake1100m31 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.2L
  2. 5Coleraine1000m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.06L
  3. 3Casterton1000m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT51.27L
  4. 4Moe1000m13 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY100.9L
  5. 5Wodonga1100m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY92.7L
  6. 7Pakenham1100m12 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
  7. 6Pakenham1200m26 Feb 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD42.4L
  8. 8Cranbourne1200m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.41L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Well back and never a factor at Mortlake. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Started $31.00 and ran 6th last start at Mortlake and racing in stronger company. Likely to get back. Needs a lot of luck in this race.

RP

Finished sixth, beaten just over 5l, at Mortlake over 5½f (handicap) last month; generally struggled with a record of 1-27; makes limited appeal with several rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Started 30/1 and came in 6th last time at Mortlake and matched against a stronger field. Expected to settle towards the rear.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 11 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
  • Thu 10 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races