Shortest win price
Stonecrest (5)
1.45
The Central Coast Community News Super Mdn Plate runs over 1200m at Gosford on a Good 4 track in fine conditions at 1:55 pm AEDT. It's a maiden affair, and the win market has Stonecrest shortest, followed by Pearl Of Dubai, Thyme To Go, and North Counsel. Three of the first four runners line up as first-starters, so the form edges are crucial here.
Stonecrest rates a real chance as the market leader. The $650k purchase is a full brother to G2 winner Best of Bordeaux, and the form detail backs it in—two trial runs showing a win at Randwick on a Good 4, then a close second at Randwick before that. Tim Clark stays aboard for debut, though his recent POT sits 25% below career average. North Counsel is another first-starter worth close attention. He trialled at Rosehill over 900m, finishing third and running on nicely, and sits in a good yard. The numbers say he's ready to debut. Pearl Of Dubai comes with a rating of 100 IRD and has raced at this distance before. She battled home first-up at Rosehill on a Soft 6, and the comment suggests she'll strip fitter second-up. Her on-pace map suits Gosford, outperforming market expectations by 9%.
Thyme To Go maps to the lead from barrier 1 and carries a rating of 99 IRD. First-up after 19 weeks, the latest trial work at Muswellbrook was very good, and the form to date shows capable racing. Being perfectly placed fresh and inside the gate jumps off the page. Mollie Fitzgerald rides Titan Of Fury and rates 37% above market expected in her last 100 rides—she showed fastest overall finishing sectionals last start, which could be a real edge over 1200m at Gosford.
Shortest win price
Stonecrest (5)
1.45
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Onpace
Leader
Mister Dee Jay · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fizz Wizz · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
North Counsel · Negative
Watch Betting
If supported, follow in
Stonecrest · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 25% lower than Career Avg.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 30 days
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (3:0-0-0). Dam unraced. Half brother to Grp 1-placed Stray. Reasonable trial work without threatening and needs to step up on raceday. Watch markets.
ILB
Jim Lee & Greg Lee 5yo by Your Song having first race start. Has not placed in all barrier trials. Watch the market moves.
RP
Already gelded; related to 7f winner Stray; first start for this son of Your Song; warrants respect.
RSIS
Initial appearance 5yo by Your Song for trainer Jim Lee & Greg Lee. Ran 5th in a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 23rd.
Career
12: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
9: 0-2-1
Track Wyong
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
AAP
First-up (16-weeks). Brought on with two trial hitouts and has placed first-up. Awkwardly drawn this time. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
First run back after spell. Jumped at $3.20 and showed some merit late when 4th last start at Newcastle but back to a shorter distance.
RP
Not disgraced when fourth at Newcastle in July upped to 1m1f; form has an up and down look to it and yet to open his account after 12 starts; he can be taken on.
RSIS
First run back from break. Started 11/5 and kept chasing when 4th last time at Newcastle but down in distance.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-1
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Winona Costin 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Encouraging debut placing Mdn at Canberra 18 Sep. Settled back and didn't figure at second outing. in the Super Mdn at Scone. All the better, not out of it.
ILB
Started $13.00 and ran 6th last time at Scone. Does take a while to get into stride. Hard to recommend.
RP
Lightly raced with this just his third appearance; fair effort when beaten 4l, finishing sixth of 11 in a handicap at Scone two weeks ago.
RSIS
At 12/1 finished 6th last run at Scone. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-1). Half brother to Headwall. Set for debut now after running on nicely in latest Rosehill trial. In good yard. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
North Pacific 3yo on debut for Matthew Smith. Placed 3rd in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Oct 19th. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
This son of North Pacific is running for the first time; related to Grade 3 winner Headwall; could be hard to beat with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Debutant 3yo by North Pacific for trainer Matthew Smith. Finished 3rd in a trial at Rosehill Gardens on Oct 19th.
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Firststart
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 25% lower than Career Avg.
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 37% in L100 rides
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (4:1-1-1). $650k purchase. Full brother to G2 winner Best of Bordeaux. It's all systems go now for this colt after latest trial win on a good 4 at Randwick. Tim Clark stays aboard for debut. Bears close watching.
ILB
Snitzel 3yo trained by Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott on debut. Winner in a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 23rd. Respect the betting.
RP
Related to Grade 2 winner Best Of Bordeaux; yard more than capable of readying a newcomer, especially over this sort of distance; sire capable of getting smart offspring; he shouldn't be far away as some good aspects to his profile and the trainer is in good nick.
RSIS
Initial race appearance 3yo by Snitzel for Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott. Winner in a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 23rd. Watch betting.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 61%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 47% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here
AAP
Kept fresh. No impact in 3 career outings. Ordinary performance in small field at Newcastle for new trainer. Needs to show more.
ILB
Jumped at $101.00 and was well beaten when 7th last run at Newcastle but back to an increased distance. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Looks too tough.
RP
Finished last of seven over 4½f at Newcastle (handicap) on her first start for this trainer last month; lightly raced (this just her fourth race); makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and faded to finish 7th last start at Newcastle but returns to a longer distance. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Found the debut assignment beyond him at Hawkesbury as an outsider 15 Oct. Better for it. Has a fair bit to find. Place perhaps.
ILB
Started at $41.00 and weakened under pressure when 6th last time at Hawkesbury but fitter for debut run. Won't be far away during the run. Prefer others.
RP
Ran green when held on her debut at Hawkesbury at 40-1 three weeks ago; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
At 40/1 faded away to finish 6th last run at Hawkesbury but having second career run. Has shown early pace in races to date.
Career
8: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-2-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 27% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Off pace but only battled home to cross the line at Rosehill first up. Strips fitter. Can have a major say.
ILB
Started at $13.00 and finished 5th last run at Rosehill. Giving another chance here and gets a favourable gate. Likely to be well placed early. Major chance.
RP
No impression when fifth of ten (Rosehill) last month; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Was 12/1 and came in 5th last run at Rosehill. Expecting improvement and gets a favourable stall. Has plenty of early pace. Has to be in the finish.
Career
5: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (19-weeks). Form to date fair. Capable fresh and latest trial work very good. Perfectly placed to make a winning return.
ILB
Fresh after a spell. Did well to run into 3rd last start at Kembla Grange and putting a tidy record together. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
RP
Third when 5-6 over 5f at Kembla Grange (maiden) in June; has found improvement of late; returns from a layoff here.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Finished with intent when 3rd last time at Kembla Grange and drawn by the rails. Expecting to settle positively. Unbeaten in all trials. Will show up at the business end.