Shortest win price
Scuro Star (9)
1.60
Gosford hosts a ripping 1100m Benchmark 64 clash on a Good 4 surface under fine skies for the Mr & Mrs Duggan 44Th Anniversary. The win market lines up with Scuro Star sitting right at the top of the order, followed closely by Navy Steel, Zoukerino, and Ex Wife making up the early market fancies as they prepare to jump at 4:50 pm AEDT.
Scuro Star jumps off the page kicking off a second campaign after a 19-week break, having previously put together a sharp debut win at Hawkesbury and a strong Warwick Farm placing before a quiet Randwick trial. Meanwhile, Ex Wife carries 60kg for Glen Milligan from barrier 7, bringing a dominant Port Macquarie win over this exact 1100m trip and rating a real chance to figure right in the mix again despite stable form pointers.
Looking further down the speed maps and market order, Can't Touch This maps well for Matthew Smith from barrier 2 and goes hard early, while Zoukerino comes off a solid minor placing over 1200m at Nowra for J C Coyle. The numbers say keep a close eye on how the onpace runners like Scuro Star and Ex Wife handle the early sectionals in this lively Gosford sprint field.
Shortest win price
Scuro Star (9)
1.60
Most career wins
Navy Steel
5-2-1 from 18 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Ex Wife · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Navy Steel · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Outback Angel · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Can't Touch This · Positive
Form At Track
1 time winner here at Gosford
Career
13: 3-1-5
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-3
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Taree
3: 2-1-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 1-0-3
Distance 1005m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 2-1-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 36% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Won in dominant fashion at Port Macquarie over this journey. On pacer. Right in the mix again.
ILB
Gave them all something to chase when winning by 1 1/4L last run at Port Macquarie. In good shape this campaign. Good potential.
RP
Record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 3-13); got the job done by just over 1l at Port Macquarie last month; may have to settle for supporting role despite that win last time.
RSIS
Set the pace to win by 1 1/4L last start at Port Macquarie. Performing well recently. Has strong claims.
Career
18: 5-2-1
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
4: 2-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
8: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 3-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Midfield, picked up solidly at Muswellbrook. One for exotics.
ILB
Jumped at $7.50 and ran 4th last start at Muswellbrook. Looking past the last run and going down in class. Will have to carry extra weight. Good prospects.
RP
Career wins-runs record of 5-18; not beaten too far (just under 2l) at Muswellbrook over 6½f (handicap) 31 days ago; trainer is ticking along nicely; plenty of appeal.
RSIS
At 13/2 ran 4th last run at Muswellbrook. Has the ability to turn things around and competing at a lower class. Rising in weight. Definite contender.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Racing with some conviction. Solid 62.5kg winner at Goulburn 6 Oct. Sent forward, outgunned late but boxed on at Kembla Grange. Been competitive this level.
ILB
Placed 2nd last run at Kembla Grange.
RSIS
Tidy effort when 2nd last time at Kembla Grange.
Career
19: 4-4-2
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 1-0-0
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1000m
5: 1-0-1
Going Good
17: 3-4-2
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran on late from the back at Canberra second-up. Form sound this level without winning. Sharper now, goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Jumped at $10.00 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last start at Canberra and facing weaker opposition. Izzy Neale takes a large claim. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.
RP
Producing solid form figures; successful four times from 19 career runs; respectable effort when fourth over 5f at Canberra (handicap) last month; on the shortlist if building on last performance.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and chased well when 4th last time at Canberra and competing in a less challenging grade. Izzy Neale takes a large claim and drawn the rails. Has definite claims.
Career
8: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-1-2
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1150m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 12% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Picked up strongly from back half at Kembla Grange. Form sound this level without winning. Can make his presence felt if things pan out.
ILB
Attacked the line when 3rd last start at Kembla Grange. Has been a model of consistency since resuming from a spell.
RP
Has maintained his consistent level of form; went close when third over 5f at Kembla Grange (handicap) last month.
RSIS
Was strong late when 3rd beaten by 1/2L last time at Kembla Grange. Exhibiting good form of late.
Career
38: 6-6-7
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Port Macquarie
2: 1-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
4: 1-1-1
Track Taree
7: 3-3-0
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1308m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
24: 4-5-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
12: 2-0-3
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
AAP
Secured third in a staggered finish at Hawkesbury. Coming back in distance. Needs to lift again here.
ILB
Ran on strongly when 3rd last time at Hawkesbury.
RP
Not disgraced when third of six over 6½f at Hawkesbury (handicap) last month; has won here before; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Came on strongly when 3rd beaten by almost 4L last run at Hawkesbury.
Career
16: 4-0-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 2-0-0
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Gosford
AAP
Let-up (55-days). Finished well held at Tuncurry off long spell. Since trialled at Hawkesbury 20 Oct. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Freshened up. Was $8.00 and weakened under pressure when 9th last run at Tuncurry but up against weaker rivals. Displays good tactical speed.
RP
Has won at this course; finished ninth of 12 at Tuncurry over 6f (handicap) two months ago; more than capable if on song so should not be far away.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Started 7/1 and faded away to finish 9th last time at Tuncurry but competing at a lower level of competition. Displays good tactical pace.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (18-weeks). Two solid trials have brought her on nicely and has placed first-up. Even so, faces a tough assignment here.
ILB
Fresh from a spell. Odds of $6.50 and gave away some ground when 9th last start at Randwick Kensington.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started at 11/2 and faded to finish 9th last time at Randwick Kensington.
Career
2: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 1-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (19-weeks). Good debut at Hawkesbury 4 Jun. Wasn't extended in latest Randwick trial 6 Oct. Highly fancied for a winning return.
ILB
Resuming after a break. In the money when 2nd last run at Warwick Farm. Finished 6th in a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 6th. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Lightly raced (running for just the third time); went close when runner-up at Warwick Farm in June; returning from a layoff here; running in a handicap for only the second time; should be on the premises.
RSIS
First run back after a break. In the money when 2nd last start at Warwick Farm. Ran 6th in a trial at Royal Randwick on Oct 6th. Will not be far away.
Career
15: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 20% better than Career Avg.
Hot Trainer
Positive
Craig Carmody in good form, out performing market 57%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 41% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Winona Costin in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 26%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 32%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
AAP
Let-up (48-days). Delivered in dominant style at Canberra. Speedy although might encounter more pressure. Can make her presence felt again.
ILB
Back from a let up. Made every post a winner to win by 1 1/2L last time at Canberra. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
First success for some time at Canberra over 5f (handicap) 48 days ago, getting the job done by 1½l; others appeal more despite that win last time.
RSIS
Let up. Dictated terms in front to win by a margin of 1 1/2L last run at Canberra. Should muster plenty of early pace.
Career
22: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
2: 0-0-0
Track Warwick Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 33% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened after return. Last win was 24 Feb 2024 and went home tamely at Hawkesbury off spell at $51. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Odds of $51.00 and below par performance when 7th last start at Hawkesbury. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Appears tested.
RP
Held in seventh at Hawkesbury when dropped down to this trip 28 days ago; has won at this track; a while since she's been in the winners' enclosure (last win in 2024); a few rivals look in good form so hard to recommend.
RSIS
Odds of 50/1 and not up to scratch when 7th last run at Hawkesbury. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
Career
41: 2-4-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
3: 0-0-1
Track Nowra
1: 0-1-0
Track Canterbury
6: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
17: 2-2-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-0-0
Going Good
24: 0-4-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Louise Day current POT is 55% below Career Avg.
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Nowra. Not out of this.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last time at Nowra and will appreciate the drop in weight. Will need a big effort to win this.
RP
Unfancied when going close over 6f at Nowra (handicap) last month; not won for some time now; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Missed by a narrow margin last time at Nowra and will appreciate the drop in weight.