Shortest win price
Thunderous (1)
2.45
Gatton hosts a Restricted 58 handicap over 1100m in fine conditions on a Good 4 track. This is a competitive sprint where the market is tight at the top. Brave Horatius sits shortest, followed by Thunderous and Claudio. The race shapes as a genuine puzzle — three leaders will likely compete for position early, with Thunderous, Silver Spoon and Bee Two all mapping to take the racing, while Brave Horatius and Claudio are primed to run on from offpace and onpace respectively.
Brave Horatius rates a real chance from barrier one. The form suggests a runner getting fitter. Back from a spell, he's finished well held at Toowoomba off a long layoff, and the comment flags he shapes as a genuine second-up improver. His trainer-jockey combo with Dan Mc Gillivray are outperforming market expectations by 98 per cent — a handy stat edge. Thunderous has won three from 28 starts and profiles well according to the form. He's in highly competitive form, posted a solid effort in defeat at Lismore (BM58) off a Good 3 track at Warwick, and draws gate two. The negative is a recent rider change with Dylan Turner. Claudio jumps out on the numbers — fresh, he was a commanding winner at Tabulam by over five lengths, and his claiming apprentice is engaged again. His trainer-jockey combo are outperforming by 108 per cent. An eye to Zouslayer, who ran fourth at Dalby (Good 4, 0–58) off a short backup and draws barrier three, though the last start at Gold Coast reads poorly.
The early sectional data suggests a slow pace is likely, which should suit runners out the back. Roigard showed the fastest finishing sectionals last start, and Aidan Keeley is outperforming his career average by 36 per cent in his last 100 rides — a rider on song. The speed shape looks to play into the onpace brigade early, with Almond Gold and Claudio positioned to capitalise if the tempo stalls. All eyes on whether the leaders can dictate or if the midfield and backmarkers get a chance to strike.
Shortest win price
Thunderous (1)
2.45
Most career wins
Mister Selfie
5-5-3 from 34 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Thunderous · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Brave Horatius · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Silver Spoon · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Almond Gold · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Career
28: 4-3-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Murwillumbah
3: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
6: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-0-2
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 4%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Highly competitive lately. Solid performance in defeat in the (Bm58) at Lismore. Good gate. Profiles well.
ILB
Zipped home into 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Lismore and can find a nice position from the draw. Won't be far away during the run. Good winning chance.
RP
Beaten narrowly at Lismore last month; a C&D winner; string of consistent efforts of late; hard to ignore.
RSIS
Displayed good finishing pace when 3rd last run at Lismore and has a positive draw. Should muster plenty of early pace. Exhibiting good form recently. Strong competitor.
Career
5: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Finished well held at Toowoomba off long spell. Fitter second-up. Breaks from a low barrier. Back to a country Restricted 58 and warrants attention.
ILB
Started at $11.00 and finished 5th last time at Toowoomba but gets the perfect draw. Must be considered here.
RP
No impression when fifth of nine at Toowoomba (dropped back to this trip) three weeks ago; can be on the premises if finding his best form.
RSIS
Started 10/1 and ran 5th last time at Toowoomba but drawn well. Stands out as good value.
Career
17: 3-1-2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 2-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 1-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
12: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Rochelle Pereira striking at just 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Jess Emmerson 38% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Settled midfield and never a serious challenger at Gold Coast Poly for new stable. Better suited back on turf. Can play a role with even luck.
ILB
Looked outclassed when 10th last run at Gold Coast Poly.
RP
Form has an up and down look to it; beaten 10l (tenth, Gold Coast) on debut outing for new trainer 13 days ago; this is competitive and easy to oppose.
RSIS
Looked outclassed when 10th last start at Gold Coast Poly.
Career
11: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 27% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 25% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (22-weeks). Good recent trial hit-out. Pace influence. Has some claims fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up today. Jumped at $9.50 and didn't find the line when 7th last start at Ipswich and back in trip. Should be going forward early. Rough chance.
RP
Held in seventh at Ipswich over 6½f (handicap) five months ago on debut for this trainer; back from an absence here; a few rivals look in good form so may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Was 17/2 and weakened to finish 7th last start at Ipswich and will be facing a significant drop in distance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -60% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (31-weeks). Looked forward enough in latest trial. On pacer. Yet, others with stronger appeal here.
ILB
First up from a break of 31 weeks. At $11.00 lost ground in the run home when 7th last start at Roma and down in trip.
RSIS
First run back from a break of 31 weeks. Started 10/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Roma and back to a shorter trip.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -53% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 53% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Ipswich. Capable of playing a key role in this.
ILB
Odds of $9.00 and faded away to finish 5th last start at Ipswich but returns to a longer distance.
RSIS
Started 8/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last start at Ipswich but back to an increased distance.
Career
8: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
4: 0-0-1
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 7% POT in L100 Runners
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Ran on late from the back at Dalby second-up. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Jumped at $14.00 and came in 6th last run at Dalby. Will be tested.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; fair effort over 5f at Dalby (handicap) last week; others more likely as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Started 13/1 and finished 6th last run at Dalby.
Career
29: 4-1-5
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Toowoomba
5: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
5: 1-1-1
Distance 1175m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-0-1
Going Good
10: 2-0-2
Going Soft
10: 0-1-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Hannah Richardson current POT is 18% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 44% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
Resuming (19-weeks). Placed at Taroom first-up last campaign while warmed up with 2 trials. Finished last prep out of form. Strikes a competitive race.
ILB
First up from a break of 19 weeks and nice run when 3rd first up last preparation at Taroom. Should jump out and bowl along. This won't be easy.
RP
Recent form nothing to write home about; beaten 6l into sixth at Kilcoy over 6f (handicap) in June; returns from a break today; others are preferred as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Resuming and placed 3rd resuming last preparation at Taroom. Has early pace and positions nicely. Ran 3rd in a trial at Toowoomba Inner Track on Oct 30th.
Career
7: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 1-0-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 108%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fresh. Commanding winner at Tabulam. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Has claims for a repeat.
ILB
Was dominant when winning by a margin of more than 5L last run at Tabulam. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Expecting a solid performance.
RP
Won in emphatic fashion five weeks ago (Tabulam) in a conditions race; can make his presence felt.
RSIS
Thrashed the field when winning by over 5L last start at Tabulam. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw. Good chance at a nice price.
Career
34: 5-5-3
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Goondiwindi
2: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 1-0-0
Track Toowoomba
7: 0-0-2
Distance 1200m
7: 0-1-2
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-1
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 3-4-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4.5kg now
AAP
Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Toowoomba. Drops to shorter trip. Rough exotics hope.
ILB
Was $16.00 and weakened to finish 8th last run at Toowoomba. Capable of a strong comeback but has to carry more weight this time. Definitely worth considering.
RP
Last of eight over 6½f at Toowoomba (handicap) last month; has proven competitive in a race of this nature; could go well given he was second (albeit some way back) two starts ago.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and didn't attack the line when 8th last time at Toowoomba. Capable of a strong comeback but has more weight to carry. Should get going late. Commands respect.
Career
29: 2-1-5
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-0-2
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
4: 0-1-1
Track Goondiwindi
2: 1-0-0
Track Beaudesert
3: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-2
Going Good
18: 1-1-3
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened. Long winless run. Got back, never a serious danger but not disgraced at Sunshine Coast. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Started $15.00 and mediocre attempt when 9th last start at Sunshine Coast. Need a lot of luck to be close to winning this.
RP
Quite a while since he tasted success; finished ninth but wasn't beaten too far (3½l) over 5f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) five weeks ago; makes limited appeal as running in what looks to be a hot race.
RSIS
Started 14/1 and not competitive when 9th last time at Sunshine Coast.
Career
27: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 1-0-0
Track Home Hill
2: 0-0-1
Track Stanthorpe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
8: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Never sighted at Gold Coast Poly. New to Gatton. Form doesn't inspire.
ILB
Jumped at $101.00 and sub-standard effort when 11th last time at Gold Coast Poly. Has to improve out of sight.
RP
Last of 11 at Gold Coast over 6f (handicap) last month; managed just one success in his career to date; meeting some horses in good form and others appeal more.
RSIS
Started 100/1 and below par performance when 11th last time at Gold Coast Poly.
Career
20: 2-1-2
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-1-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 54%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 41% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a short back-up. Finished well down the track in Hcp (58) at Gold Coast last outing. New to Gatton. Distant place hope only.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Odds of $16.00 and faded to finish 10th last time at Gold Coast. Has the ability to turn things around. Gets a chance against these.
RP
This is his level; beaten 11l (tenth) over 6f at Gold Coast (handicap) on Saturday.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Started at 15/1 and didn't find the line when 10th last start at Gold Coast. Can make a comeback. Must respect.
Career
30: 2-0-6
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Track Mudgee
1: 0-0-1
Track Cowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 0-0-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 36% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Aidan Keeley 58% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 25%
Key Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley winning at 51% POT in last 100 rides
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
AAP
First-up (23-weeks). Not a known fresh performer and best over a touch further. Has a tricky draw for return. Faces a solid line-up.
ILB
First up after a break. Solid effort when winning by 2 3/4L last start at Nanango but will be facing a significant drop in distance. Likely to get back. Simply cannot have.
RP
Scored by just under 3l at Nanango over 1m (handicap) in May; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
Fresh today after a break. Chimed in with a win by 2 3/4L last run at Nanango but down in distance. Likely to settle back in the field.