Shortest win price
Bowling Harry (1) and Running On Empty (3)
3.70
Welcome to Gatton for the Qn Hotel Laidley Mdn Plate over the 1100m journey on a Good 4 surface with fine weather overhead. The win market points early support toward Bowling Harry holding the shortest quote, followed closely by Running On Empty, Zoubuca Shots, and Hellavalegacy rounding out the top end of betting. It shapes as an interesting maiden test with a mix of fresh runners and seasoned triallers.
Taking a look at the form behind the market leaders, Bowling Harry for Paul Butterworth jumps from barrier 7 with Cejay Graham steering, looking to bounce back after finishing down the track at Doomben over 1350m prior to a let-up. Zoubuca Shots maps well from barrier 10 for Corey and Kylie Geran, coming off a fourth at this venue over 1400m where it led before feeling the pinch late, making the switch down to 1100m an interesting tactical move. Meanwhile, Hellavalegacy draws nicely in barrier 2 for P J Wallace and comes in off a solid runner-up effort at Toowoomba when run down in the shadows of the post.
Looking further through the speed groups, early pressure is expected from the front line with Zoubuca Shots and Hellavalegacy listed among the leaders, while Bowling Harry and Why So Angry map on-pace. Running On Empty brings an intriguing profile as a first-starter showing the fastest overall finishing sectionals in a recent trial. The numbers suggest the on-pace runners will give themselves every chance around this tight circuit, and Zoubuca Shots rates a real chance if able to dictate terms over the shorter trip.
Shortest win price
Bowling Harry (1) and Running On Empty (3)
3.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Firststart
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Bowling Harry · Negative
1st Up
May need this run
Divinity Star · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Running On Empty · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Harlem Tickle · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 186%
Career
7: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (72-days). Led, soon under pressure and dropped off at Doomben.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. At $31.00 looked outclassed when 8th last time at Doomben and back to a shorter distance. Has some claims.
RP
Not disgraced in eighth over 6½f at Doomben (maiden) in August; signs of improvement on last two runs but has lacked consistency of late; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Started 30/1 and struggled with the pace when 8th last start at Doomben and dropping in distance. Not without a chance.
Career
3: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-2
Going Good
3: 0-0-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Jess Emmerson winning at 22% POT in last 100 rides
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (24-weeks). Ex Stephen Matthews in QLD. Two quiet trials for return.
ILB
Resuming. Good run when placing 3rd last run at Toowoomba and solid career start. Racing for a new trainer. Jess Emmerson rates highly aboard. Has not placed in all trials. Will attract plenty of interest.
RP
Finished third when 85-40 at Toowoomba in May in a handicap; has had some time off; now running for a new trainer; should not be far away given there's a paucity of good recent form on offer in this contest.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last run at Toowoomba and promising career start. Racing for a new trainer. Will show up at the business end.
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Firststart
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 77%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-1). Clearly not up to winner but did enough to place in his Toowoomba Inner trial. Look to betting.
ILB
Paul Nolan (Jnr) trained 4yo by Exceedance having first race start. Ran 3rd in a barrier trial at Toowoomba Inner Track on Oct 30th. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Already a gelding; first rules outing for this four-year-old son of Exceedance; poses a threat as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
Exceedance 4yo having first start for Paul Nolan (Jnr). Fitter for a trial at Toowoomba Inner Track on Oct 30th. Watch the market moves.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Backing up quickly. Went home tamely at Moree over longer test at $71. Drops to shorter trip.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Moree and coming back in distance.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Was well beaten when 9th last start at Moree and coming back in trip.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure in sloppy conditions in the Mdn Plate at Toowoomba.
ILB
Was $9.00 and ran on into 5th last start at Toowoomba on a heavy track.
RSIS
Was 8/1 and picked up some late ground when 5th last run at Toowoomba.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -69% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Okay at latest when settled back.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. Struggled when 7th last run at Ipswich.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Mediocre attempt when 7th last start at Ipswich.
Career
13: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moruya
2: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Cooma
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1650m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 186%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 100% Profit on Turnover
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 35 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
5 weeks since last run. Ex Scott Collings in NSW. Failed to threaten at Moruya over longer test at healthy odds.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Moruya and down in trip. First race for a new trainer. Still a maiden after 13 runs. Very minor chance.
RP
Finished seventh, beaten 10l, last month at Moruya upped to 1m; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13; now running for a new yard; passed over.
RSIS
Started 20/1 and faded away to finish 7th last start at Moruya and back in trip. First appearance for a new trainer. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 13 starts.
Career
6: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-1-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Third outing for new trainer/ this region. Run down in the shadows after a giving a kick from on pace in the Mdn Plate at Toowoomba first run back. On pacer.
ILB
Couldn't keep the pace going when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Toowoomba and gets a favourable alley. Should muster plenty of early speed. Solid claims.
RP
Has raised her game the last twice; close up second at Toowoomba over 4½f (maiden) 13 days ago.
RSIS
Grabbed towards the finish when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Toowoomba and can find a nice position from the draw. Has early pace and positions nicely. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 50%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (13-weeks). Blew the cobwebs away with recent trial placing.
ILB
First up and placed 3rd first up last preparation at Toowoomba. Coming back in trip.
RSIS
Resuming and came in 3rd resuming last preparation at Toowoomba. Dropping back to a shorter trip.
Career
6: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
AAP
Ex Matthew Hoysted in QLD. Led, gave away final stages this venue over longer test. On pacer. Switching to 1100m.
ILB
Started $3.50 and couldn't stay in touch when 4th last time at the track but dropping in distance. First appearance for a new trainer. Strong chance.
RP
Not yet off the mark in six attempts although has finished second; ran a bit below expectations (sent off 5-2) when fourth over 7f here (maiden) 21 days ago; starts out for new stable.
RSIS
Was 5/2 and found wanting late when 4th last run here but down in trip. First start for a new trainer. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Major player who should go very close.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $14 when battled home to finish 4th in heavy ground at Toowoomba.
ILB
Started $14.00 and picked up some late ground when 4th last start at Toowoomba.
RSIS
Odds of 13/1 and overtook some late when 4th last run at Toowoomba on a heavy track.
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Firststart
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Paul L Shailer in good form, out performing market 38%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 19% POT in L100 Runners
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (4:0-0-2). Check betting.
ILB
First time at the races 3yo by Lucky Vega for Paul Shailer. Placed 3rd in a barrier trial at Aquis Park Gold Coast on June 23rd. Large claim helps. Watch betting.
RP
First start for this daughter of Lucky Vega; sibling of Modesto (4½f winner); strong contender as some good aspects to her profile and the stable is in good nick.
RSIS
3yo runner on debut by Lucky Vega for Paul Shailer. Fitter for a trial at Aquis Park Gold Coast on June 23rd. Watch betting.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Backing up quickly. Steps out for third run new stable/region. Settled back and didn't figure in soft going second-up in the Mdn at Ipswich.
ILB
On a quick back up. Was $51.00 and well beaten when 9th last run at Ipswich. Likely to settle back in the field. Would rather look at others.
RP
Beaten 7l when ninth of ten in a handicap at Ipswich seven days ago.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Was 50/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at Ipswich. Expected to settle towards the rear.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Georgina Cartwright current POT is 60% below Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Disappointing debut performance at Ipswich 15 Oct. Reverts to slightly shorter trip.
ILB
Was $81.00 and disappointing display when 13th last run at Ipswich but having second race start. Likely to get back in the run. Would be more keen on the chances of others.
RP
Finished last of 13 on his debut sporting blinkers at Ipswich over 6f at 80-1 last month; could improve; should benefit for having a run under his belt.
RSIS
Started 80/1 and below standard effort when 13th last run at Ipswich but having second race start. Likely to get back in the field.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 335 day break (> 300 days)
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (47-weeks). Ex Michael Freedman in QLD. Tuned up by a pleasing trial performance.
ILB
Resuming after a break of 47 weeks. Couldn't maintain the pace when 13th last run at Gold Coast and will be dropping in distance. Racing for a new trainer.
RSIS
Resuming after a 47 week break. Couldn't stay in touch when 13th last time at Gold Coast and will be down in distance. Racing for a new trainer.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 54%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Never sighted at Toowoomba at second start.
ILB
Started $81.00 and subpar when 7th last start at Toowoomba. Cannot be tipped.
RP
Beaten 8l over 4½f at Toowoomba (maiden, behind Hellavalegacy) last month.
RSIS
Started 80/1 and underperformed when 7th last time at Toowoomba.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 105%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened since return. Off pace, no response and trudged home at Sunshine Coast off long spell.
ILB
Freshened for this. Started at $51.00 and tailed off to finish 11th last time at Sunshine Coast but can save some energy from the barrier. Prefer in something weaker.
RP
Finished last of 11 over 6f at Sunshine Coast (handicap) six weeks ago.
RSIS
Back from a freshen up. Started 50/1 and looked outclassed when 11th last start at Sunshine Coast but drawn nicely.