Shortest win price
Mahmoa (3)
2.30
One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Gatton (QLD), with capture times on every price.
Gatton hosts the Barrier Reef Pools Mdn Plate over 1600 metres on a Soft 5 track in fine conditions at 1:17 pm AEST. The race has jumped. Mahmoa sits shortest in the market, with Quartzopolis and Grandstander next. Moonlight Odyssey follows. This is a maiden plate for horses rated between 80 and 100 on the IRD scale, and the field spread across the barriers shows a typical hunting ground for patient punters.
Mahmoa, from barrier 5 with Leslie Tilley aboard, rates a real chance off the back of some hard data. The jockey is outperforming career average by 23 per cent in the last 100 rides — that's the kind of edge that jumps off the page. Mahmoa has been on the map in two of eight career starts, and while the Jesse Townsend-trained gelding hasn't broken through, the comment flags this as a nice race for him. His recent run at Beaudesert was a touch unlucky, and stepping up to 1600 metres here holds appeal. Quartzopolis, from barrier 6 with Anthony Allen, rounds out the first two in the market. The Brent Gray stable runner picked up a minor placing from six starts and has been knocking hard without reward. Last time he got under pressure early at Eagle Farm and weakened badly. The shift to 1600 metres is a positive move, and the trainer's recent form — 18 per cent POT in the last 100 runners — adds some weight to his chances.
Grandstander rates a real chance at bigger odds. The K J Jones stable is performing 286 per cent above market expectations with the Archie Mc Colm partnership, and while Grandstander hasn't won, his last two runs show he's settling better for his new trainer. The comment notes he didn't figure in the E&G Mdn Plate at Doomben, but there's enough there to merit a look. Moonlight Odyssey, rated 88 on the IRD scale, is a minor money chance at best. Recent form shows grit at Dalby and Kilcoy, and Kayla Barker is 32 per cent above market expectation, but this is his first look at 1600 metres and the gaps in his placings say he needs one more run to fire.
Shortest win price
Mahmoa (3)
2.30
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Mahmoa · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Moonlight Odyssey · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Ole Ali · Negative
Jockey Booking
Kenji Yoshida current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Panzer Ready · Negative
Trainer SR
Doig Greer striking at just 6%
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Tahlia Fenlon 31% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Eagle Farm. Switching to 1600m. Can have a major say.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Faded away to finish 7th last start at Eagle Farm. Yet to fire this campaign with no placings from 6 runs.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Was well beaten when 7th last run at Eagle Farm. Struggling recently with no placings from 6 attempts.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
AAP
Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Toowoomba. Not out of it.
ILB
Honest race when 2nd last run at Toowoomba and on an upward trajectory in recent races.
RSIS
Nice run when 2nd last start at Toowoomba and getting better in recent performances.
Career
8: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-1
Track Casino
1: 0-1-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1240m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten at Beaudesert when in the market. This looks a nice race for the gelding.
ILB
At $3.00 faded to finish 6th last start at Beaudesert. May see an upturn in form. Has early speed and positions nicely. Should feature prominently.
RP
Comfortably beaten when sixth at 2-1 at Beaudesert upped to this distance last month; passed over.
RSIS
At 2/1 faded away to finish 6th last start at Beaudesert. Expected to rebound. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Will show up at the business end.
Career
9: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Binnaway
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
3: 0-0-0
Track Scone
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 38% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Kayla Barker 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Kayla Barker winning at 22% POT in last 100 rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Game in both runs for this stable. Kept working to line behind dominant winner at Dalby second-up. Has his first look at 1600m here. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
Nice run when 3rd last start at Dalby. Placed at every start this campaign. Definitely worth considering.
RP
Appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs; well held when third at Dalby over 7f (maiden) 18 days ago; passed over stepping into the unknown over new trip.
RSIS
Tidy effort when 3rd last time at Dalby. Been in the top three each start recently. Capable type.
Career
11: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Talwood
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1890m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Kenji Yoshida current POT is 48% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 11 starts
AAP
Form modest reading. Ordinary performance in small field at Talwood. New to Gatton. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Was $9.00 and not up to scratch when 5th last run at Talwood. Hasn't fired a shot in 11 attempts. Has struggled so far this preparation. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Not disgraced in fifth at Talwood over 7f (maiden) two weeks ago; has run 11 times without getting off the mark; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
At 8/1 lacklustre showing when 5th last run at Talwood. Hasn't fired a shot in 11 runs. Yet to fire lately with no placings from 10 runs.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Track Springsure
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Doig Greer striking at just 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and always among the cab-catchers at Dalby at his second race start. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Odds of $71.00 and came in 6th last time at Dalby. Needs a lot of luck in this race.
RP
Few miles on the clock with this his third race; beaten 17l (sixth) at Dalby upped to 7f two weeks ago in a handicap; one to consider.
RSIS
Started 70/1 and came in 6th last start at Dalby.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-1
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On pace but soon under pressure and he knocked up badly at Eagle Farm. Switching to 1600m. Worth a look.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Was $11.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at Eagle Farm. May see an upturn in form. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
RP
Beaten 7l at Eagle Farm a week ago upped to 1m1f; some promise; closest he has come to winning after six starts was a third; has strong claims given that not many of these impressed last time out and he has posted some fair efforts in defeat in the past.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. At 10/1 weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Eagle Farm. Has the talent to rebound quickly. Expecting a solid performance.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 46%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 2%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ridden back and never a factor at Warwick for new trainer. Quickly up in trip now. Looks more a place prospect.
ILB
Was $101.00 and below standard effort when 8th last start at Warwick but stepping up in trip. Others are more appealing.
RP
Not had much racing - third outing here; came home eighth, beaten 10l, three weeks ago on first run for current trainer upped to 6f at Warwick in a handicap; he should go close.
RSIS
At 100/1 average at best when 8th last start at Warwick but stepping up in trip.
Career
9: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Eric Ropiha in good form, out performing market 82%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 64% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Plenty of chances, little return. Started $41 when safely held in Maiden company at Warwick. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Started at $41.00 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Warwick. Yet to fire a shot in 9 starts. Tough race, will need luck.
RP
Attempts to score at the tenth time of asking; was seventh of nine, beaten 6l, a week ago at Warwick upped to 6½f; others appeal more.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Started 40/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last run at Warwick. Unplaced in career. Does take a while to get into stride.
Career
10: 0-1-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 82%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 64% POT in L100 Runners
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Finished out the back at Toowoomba second-up at longer odds. Significantly up in distance. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Sub-standard effort when 8th last time at Toowoomba but racing over a longer distance. Drawn nicely. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Beaten eighth of nine (Toowoomba) three weeks ago behind Ole Ali, in a handicap; yet to win, defeats are stacking up and form has been a bit mixed lately; others more appealing.
RSIS
Disappointing outing when 8th last start at Toowoomba but has a positive draw. Facing a rise in trip. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
10: 0-4-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-3-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Stuck to her guns to fill the minors at Armidale. Leads, handy. Unexposed at trip. Fit from racing, more a minor money chance here.
ILB
Faded at the finish when 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at Armidale.
RP
Decent effort when 14-1 second last month (Armidale) in a handicap; appears to be on the upgrade judged on two most recent runs but form has been up and down of late; steps into the unknown over new trip and passed over.
RSIS
Although fading at the finish still placed 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Armidale.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Well down the track at Warwick on debut at long odds. Significantly up in distance for second outing. Needs to find a few lengths.
ILB
Odds of $61.00 and was well beaten when 10th last start at Warwick but fitter for debut run. Large claim helps and rising in distance. Will need to lift.
RP
Held on her debut at Warwick (behind Rusty Bolt) at 66-1 last month; one to note.
RSIS
Started at 60/1 and didn't threaten when 10th last run at Warwick but fitter for debut run. Large claim helps and going up in distance.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Track Bundaberg
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
4: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Jason Hancock striking at just 2%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 66%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten at Nanango. Unexposed at trip. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Odds of $16.00 and unsatisfactory performance when 8th last start at Nanango but stepping up in distance. Has drawn to do little work. Would be more keen on the chance of others.
RP
Not yet off the mark in six attempts although has finished third; beaten 9l when eighth of 11 at Nanango over 5f (maiden) last month.
RSIS
Started 15/1 and well beaten when 8th last time at Nanango but going over more ground. Will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 286%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 51%
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Limited
Negative
Yet to break through after 8 starts
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure for new stable in the E&G Mdn Plate at Doomben. Hard fit, capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started at $201.00 and ran 6th last run at Doomben. Struggling this preparation. Needs to improve.
RP
Not disgraced when sixth at Doomben over 6½f (maiden) on his debut for this trainer two weeks ago.
RSIS
Started 200/1 and finished 6th last time at Doomben. Struggling recently.
Career
7: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warra
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Unable to make an impression at Talwood. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Odds of $13.00 and subpar when 6th last start at Talwood. Needs a mighty effort to win this.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 8l in sixth) at Talwood over 7f (maiden) last month when just behind Ole Ali.
RSIS
At 12/1 unimpressive effort when 6th last run at Talwood.