Shortest win price
Zandari (10)
1.90
Gatton's Barrier Reef Pools Maiden Plate kicks off at 1:57 pm AEDT over 860m on a Soft 5 track in fine conditions. It's a three-year-old maiden sprint, and the win market has Zandari shortest, followed by Montagnola, Black Rhino, and Mishani Adios. This is a competitive juvenile line-up with several runners who've trialled well or shown early promise, but no horse has broken through for a maiden win yet.
Zandari rates a real chance at the top of markets. She's a four-start maiden with two placings already, most recently second at this very track over 860m on Soft 5 going. Trainer Stuart & Bayley Kendrick have her better conditioned this time. The data suggests she goes hard early, and that track experience at Gatton is a tick. Montagnola, rated 94 by IRD, arrives fresh off a debut at Eagle Farm where she left a solid impression. She's dropping back to 860m here and maps on pace, which suits. Black Rhino has trialled twice with placings at both Gold Coast tracks, drawn well at barrier two, and the close margins in trials suggest she's knocking hard on the door. Mishani Adios is placed and leads, mapping well at this circuit where she's outperformed market expectations by nine per cent.
The leader group—Concerned, Mishani Adios, and Little Khan—will set early tempo. Montagnola and Zandari sit on pace and should track that lead. Watch for Paul Duncan's Initialed, who jumps from barrier seven as a first-starter; Duncan's stable has gone at 31 per cent profit on turnover across 100 recent runners. Coolazcanbe looks well drawn at one in a backmarker spot, and the Jake Molloy and Nick Keal pairing has outperformed market odds by 72 per cent, which is a standout edge in this field.
Shortest win price
Zandari (10)
1.90
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Concerned · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Mishani Adios · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Black Rhino · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Coolazcanbe · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 41% lower than Career Avg.
Career
3: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (19-weeks). Placed at Toowoomba on debut last campaign. Can show more this time in. Among chances.
ILB
First up and right up there first up last preparation at Toowoomba. Expecting to settle positively. Back in trip. Can measure up against these.
RP
Finished last of ten over 6f at Toowoomba (maiden) in June; three-race maiden though does have a second place to his name; returning from a layoff here; others more likely.
RSIS
Resuming and narrowly denied victory resuming last preparation at Toowoomba. Should be going forward early. Coming back in distance. Should be in the finish.
Career
3: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (18-weeks). Placed at Sunshine Coast on debut last campaign while having an easy trial in readiness. Leads, handy. Not out of it fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up and felt the pinch late when 3rd first up last preparation at Sunshine Coast. Finished 7th in a trial at Aquis Park Gold Coast Poly on Oct 29th. Could be in the mix.
RP
Beaten seventh of ten at Gold Coast over 6f (maiden) four months ago; without a win in three attempts although has finished second; returns from a break here; easy to oppose.
RSIS
Resuming and started off strong but faded towards the end when 3rd beaten by more than 2 1/2L resuming last preparation at Sunshine Coast. Promising career start. Watch betting.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (2:0-2-0). Knocked on the door in both trials, latest at Gold Coast Poly. Drawn well. Market watch advised.
ILB
3yo by Jonker having first race start for Nicole Luke and has a positive gate. Has placed in all trials. The large claim from William Galloway helps. Follow the money.
RP
First start under rules for this daughter of Jonker; ought to be considered.
RSIS
Nicole Luke 3yo by Jonker on debut and can find a nice position from the draw. Placed in all trials. The large claim from William Galloway helps.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 41% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 55% in L100 rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Went home just tamely in sloppy conditions at Toowoomba at $14. At best, a place hope.
ILB
Was $14.00 and edged past some when finishing 4th last time at Toowoomba on a heavy surface and has a nice advantage with a good barrier. Looks hopeful.
RP
Tried in blinkers when dropped down to this trip at Toowoomba last month on debut for this trainer; trainer is ticking along nicely; others more appealing.
RSIS
Started at 13/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last run at Toowoomba on a heavy track and gets a favourable draw.
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Firststart
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 43%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Just a pass mark in only trial and will need to show more on debut. Market may offer more insight.
ILB
Hellbent 3yo on debut for Paul Duncan. Ran 4th in a barrier trial at Sunshine Coast@inner Track on Oct 13th. Watch the betting.
RP
Makes first racecourse appearance; sire can inject some quality; poses a threat.
RSIS
First start at the races 3yo by Hellbent for Paul Duncan. Ran 4th in a trial at Sunshine Coast@inner Track on Oct 13th.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Capitulated to finish out of the money in soft going at Rockhampton at second appearance. Gate a worry. Coming back in distance. Place preferred option.
ILB
At $6.00 gave away some ground when 4th last time at Rockhampton and will be down in distance. Have to respect the recent David Vandyke form. Slim chance.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 4l in fourth) last month at Rockhampton in a handicap; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started at 5/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 4th last time at Rockhampton and coming back in trip. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (35-weeks). More mature now. In the minors at Ipswich on debut last campaign while brought on by 2 trials. Fair debut, but failed to build on it next time out. Capable of making an impact fresh in this company.
ILB
First up and improved to place when 3rd first up last preparation at Ipswich. Unplaced in all barrier trials and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Will struggle to compete in this race.
RP
Found life tough when 18l back in seventh over 5½f at Doomben (maiden) in March; returning from a layoff here; others are preferred.
RSIS
Resuming and finished strongly when 3rd resuming last preparation at Ipswich. Finished 6th in a trial at Aquis Beaudesert on Mar 19th and back to a shorter distance.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Left a decent impression on debut at Eagle Farm following market easing 21 Oct. Benefits from the experience. Back in easier affair. Dropping back to 860m here. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
Started $9.00 and came in 5th last start at Eagle Farm. Has the potential to improve sharply and fitter for debut run. Must be considered here.
RP
Not disgraced on her debut at Eagle Farm at 8-1 last month; entitled to have come on for that run.
RSIS
At 8/1 finished 5th last start at Eagle Farm. Should bounce back and having second race start. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Win will not surprise.
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Key Rider
Positive
Tahlia Fenlon 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 53%
Key Jockey
Positive
Tahlia Fenlon winning at 11% POT in last 100 rides
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
On Debut
Positive
First race start
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Wasn't all that far away in only trial Toowoomba Inner. However, stiff opening test here and would need a betting push.
ILB
Initial appearance 3yo by Lean Mean Machine for Ken Jones. Ran 4th in a barrier trial at Toowoomba Inner Track on Oct 30th. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
First start under rules for this daughter of Lean Mean Machine; strong contender as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
Ken Jones 3yo by Lean Mean Machine having first race start. Ran 4th in a trial at Toowoomba Inner Track on Oct 30th. Betting is the best guide.
Career
4: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
3: 0-1-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Continues to race well. Secured second in a staggered finish this venue for new trainer. Better conditioned. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Showed a good turn of foot when 2nd last run at this track. Displays good tactical speed. Gets a solid chance here.
RP
Respectable effort to finish second last month on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
Flashed home late into 2nd last run here. Should jump out and bowl along. Will be in the finish.
Career
5: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1110m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Let-up (51-days). Ex Peter Robl in QLD. Started $51 when safely held in Maiden company at Doomben. Market watch under new trainer.
ILB
Let up. Appeared lacklustre when 7th last start at Doomben and coming back in trip. First race for a new trainer.
RP
Best form so far in last two starts; not disgraced when seventh at Doomben over 5½f (maiden) 51 days ago; first start for current stable.
RSIS
Back from a freshen up. Basic showing when 7th last start at Doomben and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Change in trainer.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
AAP
Safely contained this track on debut at healthy odds 16 Oct. Looks a work in progress and others with more to offer.
ILB
Ran on into 5th last time at the track and having second career run.
RP
Never posed a significant threat on his debut (28-1) three weeks ago (behind Zandari) over C&D; should be better for that run.
RSIS
Edged past some when finishing 5th last time around here and was on debut last time.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (23-weeks). Ex Holly Williams in NSW. Finished down the track in both runs. Looks up against it.
ILB
Racing fresh after a break. Struggled when 8th last time at Gunnedah. Coming to a new trainer.
RP
Finished eighth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 5l, Gunnedah) in May in a handicap; returns from a break here; first run for stable.
RSIS
First run back from break. Underwhelming when 8th last start at Gunnedah. First appearance for a new trainer.