Shortest win price
Elegant Anders (8)
3.40
Bathurst sees the Horse of the Year Scopics Maiden Plate run 1100 metres on a soft track under fine skies at 2:00 pm AEDT. Dwight heads the market, with Elegant Anders and Diamond Dice next shortest, followed by Apiarist. The race shapes as a genuine contest across a field where several runners rate a real chance fresh or second-up. Dwight profiles as a pace influence from barrier 5, while the onpace group of Soviet Storm, Hard Rattle, and Diamond Dice will fight for position around him. Apiarist and the first-starters complete the picture.
Dwight's jockey-trainer combo has lost 21 per cent on turnover across their last 100 races—a concerning trend—but the stable itself is performing 29 per cent better than the market suggests. The horse fought hard late at Newcastle over 1250 metres and has shown sharp work since. His rating of 97 sits well above the field, and the form reads as genuine in this maiden field. Elegant Anders, out of a half-sister to G3 winner Pedrena, trialled solidly at Randwick and looks ready to debut off a good draw. Diamond Dice rates a real chance fresh after 21 weeks away; two quiet recent trials frame him perfectly for this stepping stone. His career record shows minor placings, and the rating of 84 backs his appeal.
Apiarist, drawn in the backmarker slot at barrier 6, boasts the fastest finishing sectionals from his last outing and returns after 23 weeks out. A close second in his trial at Rosehill and the pick of multiple trials, he brings maturity upside to a maiden field. Hard Rattle and Jess Taylor combine well—the jockey sits 75 per cent above market expectation across her recent rides—making the onpace runner worth following. The numbers say there's genuine depth here; watch the market for steers on first-starters Elegant Anders and Diamond Dice, both of whom bring decent form signals to the line.
Shortest win price
Elegant Anders (8)
3.40
Back left · leaders right
Onpace
Firststart
Backmarker
Leader
Dwight · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Soviet Storm · Negative
Trainer SR
Gary Portelli striking at just 4%
Hard Rattle · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 70% better than Career Avg.
Karlin · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Career
7: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 22%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fought hard but outpointed late at Newcastle. Pace influence. Sharper now, profiles well.
ILB
Was $9.00 and didn't attack the line when 4th last start at Newcastle. Overlooking the last run. Displays good tactical speed. Expect a bold effort.
RP
Seven-race maiden but has managed to finish second; solid run when fourth at Newcastle last Tuesday in a handicap; been struggling to get his head in front recently so unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
At 8/1 didn't find the line when 4th last run at Newcastle. Can show a better performance this time. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has to be in the finish.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Goulburn
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Nowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Gary Portelli striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 47%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 33% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
Brave after showing speed at Goulburn over this journey. Good draw. Handy last start and can measure up.
ILB
Claimed late when 3rd beaten by 1L last time at Goulburn. Should be going forward early. Worthy of strong consideration.
RP
Solid effort when beaten less than a length to finish third (Goulburn) last Tuesday; trainer has been going through a quiet spell.
RSIS
Was in the race for a long way when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Goulburn. Will be positive in the run early. Watch the market moves.
Career
21: 0-2-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-0
Track Scone
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
9: 0-2-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-1
Going Soft
9: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 70% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jess Taylor 76% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Jess Taylor winning at 58% POT in last 100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Failed to threaten in soft going at Wellington when second-up when pushed out in the market. Low percentage horse.
ILB
Was $51.00 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Wellington. Expecting to settle positively. Still in maiden grade after 21 starts. Can't recommend.
RP
Yet to open her account after 21 starts; tenth of 12 at Wellington over 4½f (handicap) four weeks ago; is passed over.
RSIS
Odds of 50/1 and gave away some ground when 10th last run at Wellington. Has plenty of early pace. Trying to win after 21 starts.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (5:0-0-1). Dam retired unplaced. Half sister to 10-time winner Bear Arms. Latest trial was fair but this looks tough. Gets a soft draw. Follow betting leads.
ILB
Prague 4yo having first race appearance for trainer Jarrod Austin and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Fitter for a trial at Hawkesbury on Sept 29th. Follow the money.
RP
Having her first start in public; from the same family as Dawn Flight, a winner over 7f; difficult to oppose with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Jarrod Austin trained 4yo by Prague on debut and can find a nice position from the draw. Placed 3rd in a trial at Hawkesbury on Sept 29th.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Dubbo at her second race start. Sharper now, can make her presence felt if things pan out.
ILB
Was overpowered late when 3rd beaten by 4 1/2L last start at Dubbo.
RSIS
Was quite a handful for the competition when 3rd last run at Dubbo.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Has run some cheeky races without looking likely. Snagged back and worked home okay in Country Boosted Mdn at Dubbo. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Moved ahead of some to finish 4th last time at Dubbo.
RSIS
Improved when 4th last start at Dubbo on a heavy surface.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Wyong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -41% POT in their L100 Races
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (23-weeks). Maturity upside. Trialled twice since, latest at Rosehill 22 Sep. Not out of it fresh in this affair.
ILB
First run back from a break. Started at $11.00 and didn't threaten when 5th last start at Wyong and back to a shorter trip. Can go through the gears. Watch the betting.
RP
Found life tough when 6l back in fifth over 6½f at Wyong (handicap) in May; has had some time off.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Started 10/1 and didn't threaten when 5th last time at Wyong and back to a shorter trip. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Firststart
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 61% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 12%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 58%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 69% in L100 rides
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-1). $42.5k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Pedrena. Latest was the pick of his trials. Good draw. Follow betting leads.
ILB
First time at the races 3yo by Anders for trainer David Pfieffer. Finished 3rd in a barrier trial at Warwick Farm on Sept 28th. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Already gelded; first start under rules for this son of Anders; ought to be of interest.
RSIS
Anders 3yo trained by David Pfieffer on debut. Fitter for a trial at Warwick Farm on Sept 28th.
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Firststart
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Trials (2:1-0-0). Half sister to dual Vic country winner Lilidan. Showed good improvement to win her latest trial at Hawkesbury. Good draw. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
3yo first starter by Danerich for trainer Tommy Wong and gets the perfect gate. Winkers go on for the first time. Won a barrier trial at Hawkesbury on Sept 29th. Watch betting.
RP
First start under rules for this daughter of Danerich; poses a threat.
RSIS
Danerich 3yo having first race appearance for Tommy Wong and gets the perfect draw. Interesting gear change of cheekpieces on first time.
Career
3: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Second campaign (21-weeks). Further matured. Two quiet trials for return. Makes strong appeal fresh in this company.
ILB
First up from a spell. Did well to run into 3rd beaten by almost 7L last time at Kembla Grange and honest performer putting a tidy record together. Can take this out.
RP
Well held third of nine in May at Kembla Grange in a handicap; returning from a layoff here.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Zipped home into 3rd beaten by nearly 7L last start at Kembla Grange and solid career start. Blinkers go off for the first time. Very capable of taking this out.