Penola (SA) horses tips & previews

Friday 16 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Penola (SA), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 16 October 2026

Race 1 — Access Capital Finance Brokers Mdn Plate 1075m · jumps 1:55 pm AEDT

Race notes

3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,Maiden
SOFT5
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Lucifer's Girl (8)

3.00

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Onpace

1Arizona Wildfire
3Egyptians Reign

Firststart

4Hasta La Barood
7Bubble Art
8Lucifer's Girl

Backmarker

6Stella's Charm

Midfield

5Antonette

Leader

2Calm The Press
9Tai Po Jewel

Arizona Wildfire · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Calm The Press · Positive
Drawn In
Suited drawn down low
Egyptians Reign · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Hasta La Barood · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Arizona WildfireJ: Harry Grace·T: S & J Jaensch158kg8 7 10 10 106: 0-0-15.501.90

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Gawler1706m13 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT518.4L
10Murray Bridge1200m22 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.7L
10Balaklava1400m15 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.8L
7Oakbank1050m6 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.8L
8Morphettville1250m21 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD47.6L
3Morphettville1000m10 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.05L
2Murray Bridge800m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial7.5L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (22-weeks). Light on form with just one Morphettville Parks placing. Nice draw for return. Capable of figuring fresh. Back to a country Maiden and warrants attention fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Fresh after a break. Was $26.00 and gave away some ground when 10th last run at Gawler but drawn well. Won't be far away during the run. Keep safe.

Winless in six starts but has shown promise with third his top showing; finished last of ten at Gawler in May upped to 1m½f; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Odds of 25/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last start at Gawler but gets the perfect stall. Should muster plenty of early toe. Down in distance.

2Calm The PressJ: Tala Hutchinson·T: S & J Jaensch258kg2 6 8 4 613: 0-1-04.801.70

Career

13: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
3: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
4: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Mount Gambier1200m7 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD44.91L
4Mount Gambier1200m20 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT52.29L
8Naracoorte1200m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY99.6L
6Mount Gambier900m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY107.3L
2Naracoorte1100m24 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY81.3L
5Murray Bridge1100m17 July 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT64.8L
8Naracoorte1200m28 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
8Naracoorte1430m31 Aug 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT715.2L

Insights

Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Handily placed but lacked the necessary pick-up at Mt Gambier. Good draw. Big show.

ILB

Came in 6th last start at Mount Gambier but has a positive draw. Expecting to settle positively. Do not dismiss.

Not disgraced in sixth at Mt Gambier over 6f (maiden) last Wednesday; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 13; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Came in 6th last run at Mount Gambier but gets a favourable stall. Should muster plenty of early pace.

3Egyptians ReignJ: Andrew Stead·T: Ms R Day658kg13 13 4 3 104: 0-0-131.004.40

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Naracoorte1430m19 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.2L
3Penola1400m5 Apr 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.9L
4Strathalbyn1000m26 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
13Murray Bridge1200m13 Aug 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT524L
13Balaklava1050m30 July 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY918.7L
5Morphettville1050m3 July 2025 · Barrier Trial5.4L
4Morphettville800m12 June 2025 · Barrier Trial4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Andrew Stead 62% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (25-weeks). In the minors at Penola first-up last campaign. This is no soft return.

ILB

First up and tidy effort when 3rd first up last preparation here. Can go through the gears. Back in trip. Respect the betting.

Some promise; closest he has come to winning after four starts was a third; beaten a fair way when tenth over 7f at Naracoorte (maiden) in April; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd resuming last preparation at this venue. Will be trying to topple them late. Will be down in distance. Has some claims.

4Hasta La BaroodJ: Campbell Rawiller·T: Ms S Murphy858kg–4.801.75

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Patiently-handled 5 year-old lining up for first start. Trials (1:0-0-1). Stepping out for first time after a Bordertown trial placing 11 Sep. Alley makes it tough but big watch on debut.

ILB

Career debut 5yo by Barood for Sue Murphy. Follow the money.

Already gelded; this son of Barood is having his first start under rules; warrants respect with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Barood 5yo having first start for trainer Sue Murphy. Market as guide.

5AntonetteJ: Anna Jordsjo·T: Scott Irlam556kg2 101: 0-0-014.003.40

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Gawler1100m5 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD43.55L
2Mount Gambier1000m20 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.1L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 4%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Reasonable debut performance when battled to line at Gawler. Wiser for experience. Major player here.

ILB

Jumped at $21.00 and folded up in the straight when 10th last run at Gawler but having second career run. Displays good tactical speed. Very minor chance.

Not beaten far on her debut at Gawler at 20-1 last week; possible improver with outing under her belt although has plenty to find.

RSIS

At 20/1 didn't find the line when 10th last run at Gawler but was a debutant last start. Won't be far away during the run.

6Stella's CharmJ: Margaret Collett·T: J Hickmott & C Riggs756kg9 6 6 9 78: 0-0-034.004.80

Career

8: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
1: 0-0-0
Track Oakbank
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Murray Bridge1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.5L
9Strathalbyn1200m1 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.5L
6Penola1300m16 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD42L
6Oakbank1050m9 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD35.3L
9Morphettville1250m26 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD310.4L
7Murray Bridge1100m7 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD410.9L
6Bordertown1100m27 June 2025 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY106.6L
10Balaklava1200m4 June 2025 · 2UP MDN SW · GOOD410.3L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -23% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 55%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 60% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (36-weeks). Modest maiden. Only for exotics.

ILB

First up after a 36 week break. Started at $71.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at Strathalbyn. Hasn't fired a shot in 8 attempts. Facing a difficult task today.

Beaten ninth of 14 over 6f at Strathalbyn (maiden) in January; generally struggled of late and yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at eight; passed over.

RSIS

Fresh from a break of 36 weeks. Was 70/1 and well beaten when 9th last time at Strathalbyn. Yet to fire a shot in 8 runs. Likely to get back.

7Bubble ArtJ: Alysha Warren·T: S & J Jaensch354kg–19.003.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 35% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 48% in L100 rides
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

By Flying Artie and making debut without an official trial. Nice gate. Odds may prove best guide here.

ILB

3yo first starter by Flying Artie for Sue Jaensch & Jason Jaensch. Watch the market.

First rules outing for this three-year-old daughter of Flying Artie; one to note as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

3yo debutant sired by Flying Artie for trainer Sue Jaensch & Jason Jaensch. Betting as a guide.

8Lucifer's GirlJ: Shayleigh Ingelse·T: P A Preusker454kg–3.001.34

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 77% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 106%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Paul Preusker in good form, out performing market 88%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 72% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Shayleigh Ingelse winning at 79% POT in last 100 rides
On Debut
Positive
First race start

Comments

AAP

Newcomer by Ribchester and out of the Sebring mare Mazikeen. Good draw. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

First appearance at the races 3yo by Ribchester for Paul Preusker. Watch for a sign in the market.

New Zealander bred; this daughter of Ribchester makes first rules appearance; every chance with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo by Ribchester having first race start for trainer Paul Preusker. Watch the market moves.

9Tai Po JewelJ: Stacey Metcalfe·T: Ms N Irwin954kg8 6 41: 0-0-06.002.05

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Gawler1100m27 May 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · HEAVY109.7L
6Murray Bridge800m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3L
8Murray Bridge800m19 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial7.1L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (20-weeks). Ex R & C Jolly in SA. Had a low-key debut at Gawler 27 May. Must show improvement off that run.

ILB

First run back from a break. Started at $7.50 and performed below standard when 4th last run at Gawler but having second race start. Racing for a new trainer. Will need everything to go right.

Beaten 10l when fourth on her debut at Gawler at 13-2 five months ago; entitled to have come on for that run; first start for stable.

RSIS

Racing fresh after a break. At 13/2 just average when 4th last start at Gawler but was on debut last time. First start for a new trainer.

Odds correct as at 10:21 am AEDT. Odds can change.