Penola horses tips & previews

Friday 16 October 2026

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Penola, with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Friday 16 October 2026

Race 7 — Barry Maney Ford Hcp (54) 1600m · jumps 5:40 pm AEDT

Race notes

0-54,0-54 HCP,Restricted 54
SOFT5
Fine
12 runners

Shortest win price

Hasta La Prince (8) and On The Map (11)

5.00

Most career wins

Rippa Buddy and Hasta La Prince

5 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

5Tudaya
6By Nine
1Bellsym

Offpace

8Hasta La Prince
9Aussie Pharoah
13Black Bugatti

Onpace

3Rippa Buddy
14Detoron
4Rob The Bank
7Hubristic

Leader

11On The Map
12Drink Then Kiss

Bellsym · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%
Rippa Buddy · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Rob The Bank · Negative
Jockey Booking
Cian Macredmond current POT is 44% below Career Avg.
Tudaya · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1BellsymJ: Campbell Rawiller·T: P A Preusker260kg10 5 6 8 412: 1-0-26.002.25

Career

12: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
3: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-2

Last starts

4Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD42.6L
8Donald2218m11 July 2026 · 2UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY87.6L
6Donald2200m20 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY99.7L
5Casterton2000m7 June 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · HEAVY84.5L
10Geelong1700m22 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · SOFT55.7L
1Horsham1800m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.1
5Donald850m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial1.9L
5Mount Gambier1214m8 Aug 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY103.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 87%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 72% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Warmed up nicely late at Donald. Best on top of the ground. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Started at $8.50 and crept into 4th last start at Donald and drawn nicely. Finishes off strongly. Good prospects.

Not far behind Tudaya when fourth at Donald five weeks ago; hasn't really fired since his success in a maiden at Horsham in April; this is competitive and has questions to answer.

RSIS

Was 15/2 and overtook some late when 4th last run at Donald and will try to take advantage of the stall. Can go through the gears. Has strong claims.

2Our BeauScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -44% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Never in the call at Morphettville. Fringe place hope at best.

ILB

On a quick back up. Started $15.00 and below par when 11th last run at Morphettville but matched against a less competitive field. Goes up in weight.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Was 14/1 and well beaten when 11th last run at Morphettville but up against a less competitive field. Has to cope with a weight increase.

3Rippa BuddyJ: Alana Kelly·T: D J Cannon1060kg7 7 5 3 1042: 5-3-57.502.65

Career

42: 5-3-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
2: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1629m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
16: 1-2-3
Going Good
25: 4-0-2

Last starts

10Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.68L
3Kilmore1450m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.5L
5Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT75L
7Stawell2000m17 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD47.85L
7Avoca1860m29 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD35.2L
4Mount Gambier1815m13 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD40.7L
3Colac2000m1 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.3L
12Terang1606m20 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD499L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent out $9 when unable to threaten at Coleraine over this trip. Winner at only other start at Penola. Distant place hope only.

ILB

Started at $9.00 and didn't threaten when 10th last start at Coleraine. Should be rolling forward early from the wide gate. Watch the betting.

Finished tenth of 12 at Coleraine 21 days ago; has scored over C&D; useful in this grade; strong contender.

RSIS

At 8/1 weakened under pressure when 10th last time at Coleraine. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4Rob The BankJ: Cian Macredmond·T: Jyi Lukey359.5kg7 5 6 4 529: 3-2-36.502.40

Career

29: 3-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
5: 1-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
4: 0-0-1
Track Halidon
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
16: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-1
Going Good
18: 3-0-2

Last starts

5Halidon1380m11 Oct 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD32.65L
4Strathalbyn1200m27 Sept 2026 · CG&E 0-56 · SOFT51.62L
6Gawler1100m23 Sept 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD43.45L
5Bordertown1200m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT62.7L
7Gawler1200m27 May 2026 · CG&E 0-56 · HEAVY1010.2L
2Horsham1200m19 May 2026 · 2UP CG&E BM56 HCP · HEAVY81L
5Murray Bridge1400m10 Apr 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT50.2L
5Balaklava1200m1 Apr 2026 · CGE 0-56 · GOOD41.4L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Cian Macredmond current POT is 44% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 176%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 59% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Ran on okay without troubling at Halidon. Warrants attention.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Was $8.00 and got going late when 5th last time at Halidon. Capable of winning this.

Fair effort at Halidon over 7f (handicap) on Sunday; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so looks risky.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started at 7/1 and edged past some when finishing 5th last run at Halidon. Capable of winning this.

5TudayaJ: Melissa Julius·T: P A Chow459.5kg11 7 4 2 620: 1-1-46.502.40

Career

20: 1-1-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-2
Going Soft
9: 1-0-2

Last starts

6Coleraine1600m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.62L
2Donald1620m12 Sept 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD40.3L
4Casterton2000m30 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.9L
7Casterton2000m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT76.8L
11Murtoa2050m25 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT723.5L
3Donald1628m11 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY81.5L
3Donald1620m20 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY91.3L
4Swan Hill1600m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT61L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Key Rider
Positive
Melissa Julius 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
Weight Rise
Negative
Carrying 4.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Just missed at Donald 12 Sep. Kept finding the line without threatening at Coleraine over this distance. Jumps from better barrier. Can challenge.

ILB

Started $5.00 and ran 6th last run at Coleraine. Giving another go here but has to carry more weight this time. Will be motoring home late. Good chance and definitely has claims.

Managed just one success in his career to date; not disgraced when sixth at Coleraine three weeks ago; been struggling to get his head in front recently so others more likely.

RSIS

Started 4/1 and finished 6th last start at Coleraine. Expecting improvement here but has more weight to carry. Possesses very good closing pace. Definite claims.

6By NineJ: Margaret Collett·T: Leighton Colgrave1159kg4 2 10 5 730: 3-5-371.009.00

Career

30: 3-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 1-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
7: 1-4-0
Track Kembla Grange
5: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-2-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
20: 3-4-2

Last starts

7Mount Gambier1550m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD45.08L
5Mount Gambier1000m20 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)9.8L
10Bordertown1550m27 June 2025 · 0 - 54 · HEAVY109.6L
2Mount Gambier905m11 June 2025 · Barrier Trial0.1L
4Horsham800m20 May 2025 · Barrier Trial7L
11Mount Gambier1550m2 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD413.23L
3Kembla Grange2000m10 Aug 2024 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD41L
6Warwick Farm2200m31 July 2024 · BenchMark 72 · SOFT65.46L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when third up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Mt Gambier at $151. Better for the outing. Two of his wins were this distance. Not out of this.

ILB

At $151.00 ran 7th last start at Mount Gambier. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Prefer to watch.

Seventh beaten 5l at Mt Gambier nine days ago; has posted some fair efforts in defeat and has a competitive shout.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and ran 7th last run at Mount Gambier. Prefers to settle towards the rear.

7HubristicJ: Connor Murtagh·T: Garret Lynch758.5kg1 3 1 2 519: 3-1-217.003.90

Career

19: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Track Roxby Downs
1: 0-1-0
Track Strathalbyn
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1075m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 2-0-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-0

Last starts

5Port Augusta1396m23 Aug 2026 · BM56 · GOOD9L
2Roxby Downs1400m1 Aug 2026 · BM584.6L
1Port Augusta1498m19 July 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD-1
3Port Augusta1498m5 July 2026 · BM56 · GOOD7.1L
1Port Augusta1396m21 June 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD-0.6
8Mount Gambier2050m10 June 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY910.6L
8Mount Gambier1400m22 May 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT73L
5Strathalbyn1350m17 May 2026 · Benchmark 56 · GOOD44.7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Garret Lynch striking at just 8%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (54-days). Failed to threaten at Port Augusta. Has early speed. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Freshened for this. Odds of $4.80 and ran 5th last start at Port Augusta. Respect the betting.

No impression when fifth of nine over 7f at Port Augusta (handicap) two months ago; track has proven suitable before; useful at this level; one to consider as has wins in her back catalogue.

RSIS

Back from a let up. Started at 4/1 and came in 5th last start at Port Augusta. Could feature here.

8Hasta La PrinceJ: Teagan Voorham·T: Ms S Murphy1258kg12 2 2 9 248: 5-8-55.002.00

Career

48: 5-8-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Penola
6: 1-0-2
Distance 1550m
13: 2-3-2
Distance 1555m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
2: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
29: 2-3-4
Going Heavy
5: 0-3-0

Last starts

2Mount Gambier1550m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD40.39L
9Naracoorte1430m28 Aug 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY94.5L
2Naracoorte1430m24 July 2026 · 0-54 · HEAVY83.1L
2Bordertown1550m28 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY82.7L
12Bordertown2000m1 May 2026 · BM58 · GOOD318.1L
10Naracoorte2000m19 Apr 2026 · BM60 · GOOD43.2L
5Mount Gambier2050m22 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 74 · GOOD48.2L
4Edenhope1850m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.4L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while

Comments

AAP

Just beaten in the Hcp (56) at Mt Gambier. Has an adverse draw. Deep into his campaign, one for multiples.

ILB

Right up there last run at Mount Gambier. Others preferred.

Went off 28-1 when good runner-up at Mt Gambier last week; had several of these rivals behind him; has won here previously; not seen the winners' enclosure for a while now (last win in 2023).

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last start at Mount Gambier.

9Aussie PharoahJ: Harry Grace·T: Robert Schultz157.5kg2 12 8 6 730: 2-5-323.004.40

Career

30: 2-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-2-0
Track Parkes
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Avoca
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1212m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
3: 0-0-2
Going Good
19: 1-4-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
10: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Mount Gambier1400m7 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD47.96L
6Mount Gambier1550m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT57L
8Bordertown1550m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT612.6L
12Morphettville1400m22 Aug 2026 · CG&E 0-68 · SOFT710.9L
2Hamilton1100m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY101.3L
8Avoca1860m29 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD35.6L
5Mount Gambier1550m22 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD42.5L
2Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD41.3L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Robert Schultz striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 57%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Last win was 10 Feb 2024. Failed to threaten at Mt Gambier. First time around Penola. Has to lift considerably.

ILB

At $16.00 didn't attack the line when 7th last run at Mount Gambier but drops back to a suitable grade. Has a nice advantage with a good alley. Strong claims in this.

An infrequent winner; found life tough when 8l back in seventh over 7f at Mt Gambier (handicap) last Wednesday; easy enough to take on as running in what looks to be a hot race.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Mount Gambier but facing less formidable opponents. Drawn well. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

10Fantastic HostScratched9––––

Career

62: 7-4-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Penola
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Swan Hill
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 0-3-0
Distance 1700m
5: 2-0-1
Distance 1800m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
34: 3-2-4
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
25: 3-2-0

Last starts

5Strathalbyn2050m27 Sept 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT56.9L
10Murray Bridge1600m9 Sept 2026 · 0-58 · GOOD48.4L
8Strathalbyn1600m30 Aug 2026 · 0-58 · SOFT75.5L
1Murray Bridge1400m12 Aug 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY8-2.5
8Murray Bridge1800m17 July 2026 · BM56 · SOFT64.5L
7Morphettville1600m8 July 2026 · 0-58 · SOFT75.6L
3Bordertown1550m28 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY83.1L
13Swan Hill1600m6 June 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT69.6L

Insights

Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Well back and made limited headway at Strathalbyn over longer test. Drops to shorter trip. Has plenty to find on current form.

ILB

Started $10.00 and ran past a few when 5th last time at Strathalbyn but will be dropping in distance. The large claim from Stephanie Wright should help.

Missed the frame (beaten 7l into fifth) at Strathalbyn last month upped to 1m2f; possesses winning form at this track; this looks a fair heat so one to tread carefully with.

RSIS

Started 9/1 and closed off nicely when 5th last start at Strathalbyn but dropping back to a shorter trip. Large claim helps.

11On The MapJ: Tala Hutchinson·T: L J Cadzow557.5kg7 5 4 2 319: 1-1-25.002.00

Career

19: 1-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
4: 0-1-2
Track Naracoorte
1: 0-0-0
Track Bordertown
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1550m
5: 0-1-1
Distance 1600m
5: 1-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1

Last starts

3Mount Gambier1550m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD42.4L
2Mount Gambier1550m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT52.18L
4Bordertown1550m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT63.9L
5Naracoorte1430m28 Aug 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY94.4L
7Warracknabeal1600m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT63.9L
4Hamilton1400m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY100.8L
13Morphettville1500m20 June 2026 · 4UP 0-64 · HEAVY107.5L
4Mount Gambier1550m10 June 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY91.7L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 72%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Made steady inroads but the winner was out of reach at Mt Gambier. Only win to date was this distance. Profiles well.

ILB

Ran home into 3rd beaten by almost 2 1/2L last time at Mount Gambier. Will be positive in the run early. Expecting a strong showing.

Been a while since she achieved her only career win; favourite when third (Mt Gambier) last week; hard enough to fancy as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Managed to finish 3rd last time at Mount Gambier. Should jump out and bowl along. Must be considered here.

12Drink Then KissJ: Kate Walters·T: Wayne Walters956.5kg3 4 12 11 1341: 4-5-351.007.00

Career

41: 4-5-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
8: 1-2-0
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Avoca
1: 0-0-0
Track Coleraine
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1284m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
15: 3-2-0
Going Good
26: 3-5-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
12: 1-0-1

Last starts

13Mount Gambier1550m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD47.36L
11Coleraine1300m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD311.06L
12Casterton1400m17 May 2026 · BM66 · SOFT621.9L
4Ararat1600m8 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD42.4L
3Great Western1600m24 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT50.2L
1Stawell1600m4 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-1
2Nhill1650m26 Dec 2025 · BM52 · GOOD30.2L
9Stawell1600m13 Dec 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD410.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Kate Walters 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Mt Gambier second-up. On pacer. Can find a few lengths here.

ILB

Was $41.00 and well beaten when 13th last start at Mount Gambier. The wide alley shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Will struggle to compete in this race.

Towards the rear of 15 at Mt Gambier upped to this distance last week; this is her level; capable if in the mood so ought to be considered.

RSIS

Started at 40/1 and gave away some ground when 13th last time at Mount Gambier. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide stall.

13Black BugattiJ: Rochelle Milnes·T: L A Creek857kg13 4 5 4 427: 1-2-38.002.75

Career

27: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1850m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1890m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 0-2-1

Last starts

4Mount Gambier1550m7 Oct 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD42.55L
4Mount Gambier1550m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT54.1L
5Strathalbyn1200m30 Aug 2026 · CG&E 0-56 · SOFT73.9L
4Strathalbyn1600m29 July 2026 · BM56 · SOFT73L
13Murray Bridge1600m17 July 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT66.7L
4Mount Gambier1550m12 July 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY104.7L
7Mount Gambier1550m10 June 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY96.5L
9Mount Gambier1400m22 May 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT74.7L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Lee Creek striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 58%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Honest type. Settled close and ran an honest race at Mt Gambier. Deep into his campaign, among the dangers.

ILB

At $7.00 finished 4th last run at Mount Gambier. Struggling this campaign with no placings from 9 starts. Keep safe.

Finished fourth but only beaten 2½l (Mt Gambier) last week; has hit the frame in several recent runs; he can be competitive at this level.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and finished 4th last time at Mount Gambier. Struggling of late. Watch for a sign in the market.

14DetoronJ: Polly Brewster·T: Heath Montgomerie654kg11 11 1 3 835: 1-5-715.003.90

Career

35: 1-5-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
6: 0-1-1
Going Good
17: 1-2-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
15: 0-2-3

Last starts

8Mount Gambier1550m20 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT57.62L
3Bordertown1550m11 Sept 2026 · 0-54 · SOFT61.6L
1Halidon1200m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-10.2
11Naracoorte2000m31 Aug 2025 · BM58 · SOFT726.43L
11Morphettville1950m23 Aug 2025 · BM78 HCP · SOFT512L
11Mount Gambier2065m11 June 2025 · CL1-SW · HEAVY826.9L
12Horsham1800m19 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD2.5L
13Murray Bridge1400m30 Apr 2025 · BM60 HCP · GOOD410.9L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 49% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Key Jockey
Positive
Polly Brewster winning at 9% POT in last 100 rides
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Mt Gambier second-up. Leads, handy. Gets in light. Sharper now, can make her presence felt.

ILB

At $8.00 gave away some ground when 8th last run at Mount Gambier. Displays good tactical speed. Will be tested.

Behind three of these when beaten 8l (eighth of 14, Mt Gambier) four weeks ago; this is her level.

RSIS

Started 7/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last time at Mount Gambier. Has early pace and positions nicely.

15I Run On AirScratched16––––

Career

19: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Augusta
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track Strathalbyn
5: 0-2-1
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
9: 1-2-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-0

Last starts

4Strathalbyn1600m27 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT56.26L
4Balaklava1400m16 Sept 2026 · 4UP 0-56 · GOOD46.31L
7Balaklava1400m26 July 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT79.8L
7Murray Bridge1600m7 July 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT67.3L
8Port Augusta1396m21 June 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD14.2L
12Morphettville1400m19 July 2025 · CL2 HCP · SOFT58.3L
10Balaklava1600m9 July 2025 · 0 - 58 · HEAVY87.5L
12Murray Bridge1800m2 July 2025 · BM56 HCP · GOOD420.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Found it tough since shaking his maiden. Went home just tamely at Strathalbyn at $21. Has a tricky draw. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Faded at the finish when 4th last time at Strathalbyn.

Finished fourth, beaten a fair way at Strathalbyn last month; useful at this level.

RSIS

Tired late when 4th last start at Strathalbyn.

16ArchdeaconScratched13––––

Career

72: 3-9-12

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Strathalbyn
8: 0-0-3
Track Murray Bridge
10: 0-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1498m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1550m
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
8: 1-0-1
Going Good
42: 2-4-6

Last starts

3Strathalbyn1350m27 Sept 2026 · BM56 · SOFT55.55L
6Murray Bridge1600m9 Sept 2026 · 0-58 · GOOD46.2L
4Strathalbyn1350m30 Aug 2026 · BM56 · SOFT71.77L
5Quorn1400m15 Aug 2026 · 0-525.4L
3Balaklava1400m15 July 2026 · 0-56 · HEAVY83L
2Murray Bridge1600m7 July 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT60.3L
10Ballarat Synthetic1500m3 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC11.1L
11Port Augusta1498m7 June 2026 · 0-54 · GOOD14.9L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs

Comments

AAP

Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Strathalbyn. This looks a deeper race.

ILB

Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by over 5 1/2L last start at Strathalbyn. Likely to settle back in the field.

Comfortably beaten finishing third (6l) at Strathalbyn over 6½f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd beaten by more than 5 1/2L last start at Strathalbyn. Expected to settle towards the rear.

Odds correct as at 12:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.