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Armidale (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Armidale (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 8 NovArmidale (NSW)Change

Race 6 — Watson McNamara & Watt Guyra Cup 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Armidale for the Watson Mcnamara & Watt Guyra Cup over 1400m on a good four surface with fine weather overhead. The race has jumped at 4:55 pm AEDT. Looking at how the win market is ordered, Shamedy leads the way as the shortest runner, closely followed by Zamborghini, Ghost Walker, and Get Some Fun sitting next in the betting order. The numbers jump off the page for a competitive Open handicap where early speed and recent sectionals will play a massive role on this circuit.

Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Shamedy comes in fresh after thrashing a small field at Bundarra over this exact trip, ticking the track and distance win box nicely. The stats show Luke Rolls is riding in great touch, outperforming career average profit on turnover by twenty-six percent in recent rides, and this runner rates a real chance despite a stiffer task here. Zamborghini is another catching the eye after holding on well for the minors over 1600m at Scone, and switching back down to 1400m with early speed mapped out suggests another bold showing is on the cards.

Further down the win market order, Get Some Fun holds strong claims after a sound effort finishing third behind the winner in a benchmark eighty-six at Taree over 1300m. Importantly, that runner has already tasted success in their only previous appearance at Armidale and boasts early speed which is a proven advantage on this track. Ghost Walker brings early pace to the table from barrier one for Paul Snowden and Ben Looker, making them a logical inclusion for multiples in what shapes up as an absolute cracker of a Guyra Cup.

Race notes

  • GUYRA CUP BM84,GUYRA CUP HCP ,Open
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Zamborghini (7)

2.70

Most career wins

Shamedy

11-9-4 from 43 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3King Kikau

Offmidfield

  • 11Haze

Midfield

  • 6Night Fighter

Offpace

  • 2Shamedy
  • 7Zamborghini
  • 1Indifference

Onpace

  • 5Ghost Walker

Leader

  • 8Get Some Fun

  • Indifference · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Shamedy · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • King Kikau · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Ghost Walker · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1IndifferenceJ: Paige Fergusson-Smith·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough862kg6 7 3 4 842: 7-1-4$11.00$2.60

Career

42: 7-1-4

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    6: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 2-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1512m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1610m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1615m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    17: 2-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Soft

    22: 3-1-2

Last starts

  1. 8Scone1100m23 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 82 · SOFT53.65L
  2. 4Tamworth1600m26 June 2026 · BM82 · SOFT53.5L
  3. 3Port Macquarie1512m14 June 2026 · HCP · SOFT73.1L
  4. 7Gunnedah1600m24 May 2026 · GUNN CUP BM92 · SOFT55.2L
  5. 6Scone1400m15 May 2026 · Benchmark 84 · GOOD42.9L
  6. 9Tamworth1400m24 Apr 2026 · Open · GOOD410.8L
  7. 5Wellington1700m12 Apr 2026 · HCP · SOFT59.6L
  8. 6Muswellbrook1500m27 Mar 2026 · MWBK CUP · SOFT52.3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Scone first up. Strips fitter and takes a 3kg claim. Distant place hope only.

ILB

Odds of $17.00 and came in 8th last run at Scone but back to more ground. Paige Fergusson Smith provides some weight relief. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

RP

Track has proven suitable before; not beaten too far when eighth at Scone over 5½f (handicap) last month; interesting as shown promise on occasion and he has scored on second run after a break before.

RSIS

Odds of 16/1 and came in 8th last run at Scone but back over more ground. The large claim from Paige Fergusson Smith helps. Expecting a strong showing.

2ShamedyJ: Luke Rolls·T: T G Payne660.5kg3 6 2 11 143: 11-9-4$3.20$1.28

Career

43: 11-9-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Townsville

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Walcha

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 3-2-0

  • Distance 1400m

    14: 7-3-1

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 3-1-3

  • Going Unknown

    2: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    29: 6-8-1

Last starts

  1. 1Bundarra1400m3 Oct 2026 · BUNDARACUP-12.19
  2. 11Newcastle1500m18 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD34.77L
  3. 2Moree1400m6 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.8L
  4. 6Dubbo1420m10 Aug 2026 · BM85 HCP · HEAVY94.6L
  5. 3Grafton1400m19 July 2026 · MACLEANCUP BM87 · SOFT54.2L
  6. 1Inverell1400m19 June 2026 · BM82 · GOOD4-0.3
  7. 7Walcha1440m6 Feb 2026 · Open · GOOD35.3L
  8. 2Glen Innes1400m10 Jan 2026 · BM74 HCP · GOOD30.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Luke Rolls 38% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 44%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Thrashed a small field at Bundarra over this trip. Ticks the track and distance win box. Stiffer task now but don't undersell.

ILB

Gave nothing else a chance when winning by more than 12L last time at Bundarra and solid performer at this distance in the past. Challenged by more formidable competitors. Tough competitor.

RP

Clear-cut winner by 12l (Bundarra) last month; this C&D holds no fears; every chance.

RSIS

Ran away with a win by over 12L last run at Bundarra and strong performer at this trip in the past. Tracking very well lately but facing stiffer opposition. Winning chance.

3King KikauJ: Mikayla Weir·T: W T Wilkes260kg5 1 6 16 246: 7-6-4$14.00$3.00

Career

46: 7-6-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    6: 3-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 1-1-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Gosford

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Coffs Harbour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2100m

    5: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1506m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 3-3-3

  • Going Good

    19: 2-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    12: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Muswellbrook1000m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.7L
  2. 16Gosford2100m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD414L
  3. 6Tamworth2100m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP HCP · GOOD46.6L
  4. 1Tamworth2100m10 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
  5. 5Hawkesbury2000m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.4L
  6. 1Hawkesbury1800m7 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM64 HCP · SOFT5-0.2
  7. 4Tamworth1600m23 Feb 2026 · HCP · GOOD40.8L
  8. 6Walcha1440m6 Feb 2026 · Open · GOOD33.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 25%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (26-weeks). Seasoned galloper best over longer these days. First time around Armidale. Tough ask fresh off the long lay-off.

ILB

Resumes after a 26 week spell. Odds of $201.00 and weakened to finish 16th last start at Gosford but has a good draw. Back to a shorter trip. Tough ask.

RP

Last of 16 over 1m2½f at Gosford (handicap) in May; others more appealing as doesn't have a good record when fresh.

RSIS

Fresh after break of 26 weeks. Started 200/1 and faded to finish 16th last run at Gosford but gets a favourable stall. Will be dropping in distance. Rising in weight.

4New PharoahScratched4––––

Career

20: 5-4-1

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 3-1-0

Last starts

  1. 5Scone1100m7 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.9L
  2. 10Tamworth1200m26 June 2026 · BM82 · SOFT53.6L
  3. 2Dubbo1400m5 June 2026 · BM82 · HEAVY93.9L
  4. 1Inverell1520m22 May 2026 · BM82 (81) · GOOD4-0.9
  5. 11Scone1400m15 May 2026 · Benchmark 84 · GOOD46.4L
  6. 6Newcastle1500m23 Apr 2026 · BM68 HCP · SOFT53.9L
  7. 1Albury1500m20 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT6-0.7
  8. 12Muswellbrook1280m8 Mar 2026 · CLASS 5 SW · GOOD47.9L

Insights

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (19-weeks). Opened last prep with a win at Beaumont while returning off a Scone trial. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this company.

ILB

First up and ran home strongly to win first up last preparation at Newcastle. Suited at this trip historically.

RP

Proven that he knows how to get his head in front (seeking a sixth career win); not beaten that far over 6f at Tamworth (handicap, not far behind Zamborghini) in June; returning from a layoff here; poses a threat.

RSIS

Resuming and flew home to win resuming last preparation at Newcastle. Strong form at the distance.

5Ghost WalkerJ: Ben Looker·T: Paul Snowden157kg7 5 3 3 829: 4-8-5$5.50$1.65

Career

29: 4-8-5

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    5: 2-2-0

  • Track Rosehill

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Gundagai

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1500m

    4: 0-2-0

  • Distance 1505m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1512m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-3-1

  • Going Good

    16: 4-5-3

Last starts

  1. 8Newcastle1350m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT58.49L
  2. 3Port Macquarie1000m10 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
  3. 3Newcastle1600m1 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · SOFT55.4L
  4. 5Grafton1610m12 July 2026 · Open · GOOD42.7L
  5. 7Coffs Harbour1505m28 June 2026 · HCP · HEAVY109.6L
  6. 2Port Macquarie1512m14 June 2026 · HCP · SOFT71.2L
  7. 2Wagga1600m30 Apr 2026 · 4UP BM66 HCP · GOOD45.9L
  8. 1Wagga1600m19 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 20% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Ben Looker 27% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Form 3rd Up

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 3 when third up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Newcastle. Has early speed. One for multiples.

ILB

Odds of $12.00 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Newcastle. Happy to overlook that run and drawn the rails. Good prospects.

RP

Last of eight dropped back in distance at Newcastle last month; others are preferred as has a lot on his plate here.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and gave away some ground when 8th last start at Newcastle. May see an upturn in form and drawn nicely. Solid chance.

6Night FighterJ: Jenny Duggan·T: Ms S Grills356.5kg3 5 11 1 832: 6-3-3$14.00$3.10

Career

32: 6-3-3

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Track Armidale

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Quirindi

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Coonamble

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    11: 3-3-1

  • Distance 1250m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1280m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    22: 4-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 8Coonamble1200m11 Oct 2026 · BM85 SPRINT · GOOD36.56L
  2. 1Tamworth1200m28 Sept 2026 · BM82 HCP · GOOD4-0.25
  3. 11Newcastle1250m19 Sept 2026 · BM64 · GOOD45.21L
  4. 5Tamworth1200m25 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 82 · SOFT54.2L
  5. 3Tamworth1000m5 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L
  6. 13Grafton1175m16 July 2026 · CTRYASSOC - CL6 · GOOD35.58L
  7. 2Tamworth1200m22 Jan 2026 · BM82 · GOOD30.9L
  8. 4Inverell1400m1 Jan 2026 · INVL CUP BM88 · GOOD41.8L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 53% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan 65% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Tamworth winner two back. Sent out $13 when never got into the race at Coonamble. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Started at $13.00 and tailed off to finish 8th last start at Coonamble. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Beaten 7l when eighth of nine over 6f at Coonamble (handicap) last month; others more appealing with this looking like a hot contest.

RSIS

Odds of 12/1 and looked outclassed when 8th last time at Coonamble. Could feature here.

7ZamborghiniJ: Zac Wadick·T: D J Hatch756kg1 9 3 8 339: 6-1-5$2.70$1.24

Career

39: 6-1-5

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 3-0-0

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Tamworth

    4: 0-1-0

  • Track Randwick Kensington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1523m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    27: 6-1-3

Last starts

  1. 3Scone1600m23 Oct 2026 · BM82 · SOFT52.75L
  2. 8Coonamble1600m11 Oct 2026 · BM77 · GOOD34.99L
  3. 3Scone1400m25 Sept 2026 · BM74 · GOOD44.33L
  4. 9Randwick Kensington1550m9 Sept 2026 · 5UP BM72 HCP · GOOD46.8L
  5. 1Newcastle1500m22 Aug 2026 · 5UP BM64 HCP · GOOD4-0.2
  6. 4Wyong1630m2 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.3L
  7. 2Tamworth1600m17 July 2026 · BM82 · GOOD40.9L
  8. 8Tamworth1200m26 June 2026 · BM82 · SOFT52.4L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Zac Wadick current POT is 19% below Career Avg.

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 128%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 27% in L100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Felt pinch late but held on for the minors at Scone. Has early speed. Switching to 1400m. Warrants attention.

ILB

Worked hard to place 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Scone. Will need to elevate.

RP

Not beaten too far (just under 3l) at Scone over 1m (handicap) two weeks ago; can be in the mix if duplicating the form of his most recent win.

RSIS

Put together a strong on-pace performance when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last run at Scone.

8Get Some FunJ: Madeline Owen·T: Ms K Owen455kg6 6 3 9 326: 4-2-5$10.00$2.50

Career

26: 4-2-5

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Hawkesbury

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Rosehill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    5: 1-0-3

  • Distance 1200m

    7: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1250m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1258m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    11: 2-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    11: 2-0-2

Last starts

  1. 3Taree1300m16 Oct 2026 · BM86 HCP · SOFT63.03L
  2. 9Port Macquarie1500m9 Oct 2026 · HASTINGS BM87 · GOOD43.57L
  3. 3Bowraville1370m19 Sept 2026 · BOWRAVILLE CUP · GOOD31.29L
  4. 6Tuncurry1200m11 Sept 2026 · BM74 · GOOD34.7L
  5. 6Tamworth1200m25 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 82 · SOFT54.6L
  6. 7Coffs Harbour1000m7 Aug 2026 · BM74 · SOFT54.1L
  7. 4Taree1250m30 Jan 2026 · CL4 PREV · SOFT51.3L
  8. 1Taree1300m2 Jan 2026 · BM66 · SOFT5-0.25

Insights

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

Comments

AAP

Sound effort without troubling winner at Taree. Won only other time at Armidale. Can fill the minors here.

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by more than 3L last time at Taree. Should be going forward early. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Solid run when third at 16-1 at Taree over 6½f (handicap) last month; possesses winning form at this track.

RSIS

Picked up late ground when 3rd last run at Taree. Has early pace and positions nicely. Watch the betting.

9KaihokoScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 14%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Racing well in recent weeks. Put in some big strides late at Port Macquarie. Right in the mix again.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Tidy effort when 3rd last time at Kempsey.

RP

Not beaten far when third at Kempsey on Friday; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so others make more appeal.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Competitive effort when 3rd last time at Kempsey.

10Navy BuoyScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

First-up (17-weeks). Wasn't extended in latest Beaumont trial 12 Oct. Has a tricky draw for return. Hard to make a case beyond the minors fresh in this line-up.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Odds of $9.00 and disappointing effort when 10th last run at Kempsey.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Started 8/1 and only fair when 10th last time at Kempsey.

11HazeJ: Adam Farragher·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough555kg2 5 8 10 1219: 4-3-1$23.00$3.70

Career

19: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1750m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 12Tamworth1600m23 Feb 2026 · HCP · GOOD44L
  2. 10Tamworth1600m22 Jan 2026 · BM82 · GOOD311.9L
  3. 8Randwick2400m20 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.1L
  4. 5Rosehill2000m29 Nov 2025 · 4UP SW · GOOD41.9L
  5. 2Scone1100m19 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.8L
  6. 3Rosehill2400m29 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY84.3L
  7. 1Scone2200m13 Oct 2025 · BM74 · GOOD4-1.9
  8. 1Scone1600m26 Sept 2025 · CTRY CL2 · GOOD4-1.89

Insights

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (36-weeks). Had a quiet trial at Scone. Likely to need the run.

ILB

First up after a 36 week break. At $26.00 didn't attack the line when 12th last run at Tamworth. Finished 6th in a barrier trial at Scone on Oct 7th. Keep safe.

RP

Record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 4-19); finished towards the rear of 14 over 1m at Tamworth (handicap) in February; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as record when fresh is not entirely persuasive.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break of 36 weeks. Started 25/1 and was well beaten when 12th last time at Tamworth. Watch betting.

12Golden CopperScratched10––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Aiden St Vincent striking at just 7%

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Won a 1506m Benchmark 66 at Port Macquarie two back. Got the wobbles late after leading at Port Macquarie. Among the dangers.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Solid effort when winning by almost 2 1/2L last run at Kempsey.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Scored a victory by nearly 2 1/2L last time at Kempsey.

13Need A MiracleScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Just got there in a gripping finish at at Tamworth. Handles the wet. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last run at Tamworth but competing at a higher level of competition. Very competitive this preparation and getting better in recent performances.

RSIS

Ran on strongly to win last time at Tamworth and showing improvement in recent outings. Taking on stronger rivals. Gets some weight relief.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 20 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races