Aston Villa take on Brentford in Round 6 of the EPL on Sun, 11 Oct, with kickoff set for 1:00 am AEDT. The early season numbers jump off the page in this matchup, with Brentford sitting 5th on the ladder while Villa find themselves down in 19th position.

For punters searching for the sharpest epl predictions ahead of this clash, analyzing early defensive records and recent results provides a massive clue on where the value sits.

Who Wins The Head To Head?

Brentford enter this fixture unbeaten through two matches with a 1-1-0 record. They come off a 1-1 draw away against Leeds United on 30 August, following an impressive 3-0 home win over Tottenham Hotspur in their season opener.

Aston Villa are searching for their first points of the campaign after a 0-0-2 start. Villa were beaten 0-1 at home by Arsenal in their most recent start on 1 September, after opening their season with a 0-4 defeat away to Brighton & Hove Albion. Villa are yet to score a goal this season and hold a -5 goal differential.

In the head-to-head market, Brentford rate a real chance at 2.50 to take the victory, with Aston Villa sitting at 2.55 and the draw offered at 3.50.

Win/Draw/WinOdds correct as at 12:14 pm AEST. Odds can change.
Aston Villa2.55Our tipBrentford2.50
Big tickOur tip: Brentford. Brentford are undefeated with a 1-1-0 record and a +3 goal differential, whereas Villa have lost both fixtures without scoring.

Tipped at $2.50 (5:14 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

0Season avg goals for4
2.5Season avg goals against1
0%Season win rate100%
0Last 2 avg goals for2
0%Last-five win rate50%

Line Handicap Breakdown

The line market for this fixture is set at 2 goals. Aston Villa are priced at 1.17 with the 2-goal advantage, while Brentford are listed at 12.0 giving up the start.

Villa have conceded five goals across their first two matches without finding the back of the net. Meanwhile, Brentford have allowed just one goal all season, giving them a big statistical tick in form and structure.

LineOdds correct as at 12:14 pm AEST. Odds can change.
Aston Villa +21.17Our tipBrentford -212.00
Light tickOur tip: Brentford -2. Brentford showed explosive attacking ability in their 3-0 win against Spurs and face a Villa defense that conceded four to Brighton.

Tipped at $12.00 (5:14 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Aston Villa+2last 2

Cover rate50%1/2
Avg margin (-2.5)avg -2.5vs -2
-76

Brentford-2last 2

Cover rate50%1/2
50%Cover % (form)50%