Big EPL action is locked in for early Sunday morning! Newcastle United host Arsenal on Sun 22 Nov at 4:30 am AEDT in a Round 11 clash packed with quality. Arsenal arrive sitting second on the ladder after picking up two wins from their opening two games without conceding a single goal. Newcastle aren't far back in sixth spot, also undefeated with a win and a draw to start their campaign.

Both sides enter in fine touch after winning their previous starts away from home. If you are searching for premier league predictions ahead of this weekend's fixtures, the stats give us plenty to digest for this matchup.

Who Takes The Match-Winner Market?

Arsenal jump off the page as 1.58 match favourites, and the numbers back up that position. The Gunners hold second place on the ladder with a perfect 2-0-0 record, scoring four goals and conceding zero. They come off a solid 1–0 victory over Aston Villa on Tue 1 Sept, which followed a 3–0 win over Coventry City on Sat 22 Aug.

Newcastle United sit sixth on the ladder with four points from a 1-1-0 record. The Magpies enter coming off a 2–0 away victory against Tottenham Hotspur on Sun 30 Aug, having opened their season with a 2–2 home draw against Liverpool on Mon 24 Aug. Newcastle are currently priced at 5.25 to win, while the draw is on the board at 4. Arsenal's flawless defensive record gives them a slight edge, but Newcastle's stubborn form makes them dangerous.

Win/Draw/Win
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Newcastle United$5.25Our tipArsenal$1.58
Big tickOur tip: Arsenal. Arsenal have opened their campaign with two straight wins and zero goals conceded, rating a real chance to claim all three points.

Tipped at $1.58 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

4Season avg goals for2
2Season avg goals against0
100%Season win rate100%
2Last 2 avg goals for2
50%Last-five win rate100%

Line Market Analysis

The line for this contest is set at 3 goals. Home side Newcastle United get a +3 start at 1.18, while Arsenal lay -3 at 11.

Newcastle have shown plenty of grit across their opening two games, allowing only two goals total while claiming a 2–0 win last start. Arsenal have won both outings comfortably, but covering a 3-goal margin on the road against an unbeaten Newcastle squad is a huge line to clear. Taking Newcastle with the +3 start rates a real chance based on early-season defensive displays.

Line
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Our tipNewcastle United +3$1.18Arsenal -3$10.50
Solid tickOur tip: Newcastle United +3. Newcastle are undefeated across two fixtures this season, making the +3 goal start a solid option on home soil.

Tipped at $1.18 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Newcastle United+3last 2

Cover rate100%2/2
Avg margin (+1)avg 1vs -3
-76

Arsenal-3last 2

Cover rate0%0/1
100%Cover % (form)0%