Aston Villa vs Sunderland: Round 11 stats preview — our tips

Round 11 of the EPL brings a Sunday morning clash as 19th-placed Aston Villa host 11th-placed Sunderland at 2:00 am AEDT on Sunday, 22 November. The numbers jump off the page in this matchup, with Villa searching for their first points and first goal of the season after failing to score in their opening two fixtures.

Check out our premier league predictions as we dive into the ladder positions, recent form, and key stats heading into this encounter.

Who Will Win?

The numbers say Aston Villa are under early pressure this season. Sitting 19th on the ladder with a 0-0-2 record, Villa have conceded five goals without scoring. They are coming off a 0-1 defeat at home to Arsenal on 1 September, following a 0-4 loss away to Brighton & Hove Albion on 23 August.

Sunderland arrive in solid touch, occupying 11th position on the ladder with a 1-0-1 record. They come off a 1-0 victory over Fulham at home on 30 August, bouncing back from a narrow 1-2 loss away to Ipswich Town on 23 August.

In the head-to-head market, Aston Villa are priced at 1.70, the Draw is 3.80, and Sunderland sit at 4.50. Given Villa's goal shortage and Sunderland's recent win, Sunderland at 4.50 rates a real chance to make an impact on the road.

Line Analysis

The line market has Aston Villa getting a 2-goal start (+2) priced at 1.05, while Sunderland -2 is available at 25.

Villa were competitive at home in their most recent start, keeping Arsenal to a 1-0 margin. Meanwhile, both of Sunderland's matches this season have been decided by a single goal (a 1-0 win and a 1-2 loss). Taking Villa with the +2 line offers a safety cushion that gets a big tick based on recent close margins.