Round 11 of the EPL brings an intriguing early-morning clash as Hull City host Brighton & Hove Albion on Mon 23 Nov, 1:00 am AEDT. The hosts enter this fixture sitting third on the ladder after winning both of their opening two matches without conceding a single goal. Meanwhile, ninth-placed Brighton travel north aiming to bounce back following a high-scoring seven-goal thriller in their previous outing.

Who Takes Out The Head To Head?

The numbers say Hull City have made a flawless start to their campaign. The Tigers hold a 2-0-0 overall record with six points, scoring three goals while keeping back-to-back clean sheets. Their most recent start produced a 1-0 away victory over Coventry City on 30 Aug, following an impressive 2-0 home victory against Manchester United on 22 Aug. That spotless defensive record jumps off the page for a side sitting third on the ladder.

Brighton & Hove Albion sit ninth with a 1-0-1 record and three points. They are coming off a tight 4-3 defeat against Chelsea on 30 Aug, having previously swept aside Aston Villa 4-0 at home on 23 Aug. While Brighton hold favouritism in head-to-head market pricing, Hull's perfect defensive start means the home side rates a real chance. For punters following weekly epl predictions, Hull's defensive structure makes this match-winner market very attractive.

Win/Draw/Win
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Hull City. Undefeated with two wins from two outings, Hull City offer solid value to claim all three points at home.

Tipped at $6.00 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

1.5Season avg goals for3.5
0Season avg goals against2
100%Season win rate50%
1.5Last 2 avg goals for3.5
100%Last-five win rate50%

Line Analysis: Value On The Home Start

The line market sets Hull City with a +2 goal start. Given Hull are yet to concede a goal across their two outings this season—boasting a 3-0 cumulative scoreline—getting two goals on the handicap gets a big tick.

Brighton produced four goals in their home win against Aston Villa but conceded four on the road to Chelsea in their last start. Hull's solid defensive shape gives them a strong platform to keep this contest tight and cover the line.

Line
Odds correct as at . Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Hull City +2. Hull City have kept clean sheets in both matches this season, providing a sturdy base to cover the +2 start.

Tipped at $1.60 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Hull City+2last 2

Cover rate100%2/2
Avg margin (+1.5)avg 1.5vs -2
-65.5

Brighton & Hove Albion-2last 2

Cover rate50%1/2
100%Cover % (form)50%