Warren (NSW) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 3:39 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warren (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 8 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sun, 8 NovWarren (NSW)Change

Race 1 — Elders (Bm58) 1000m · jumps Sun 8 Nov, 1:45 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Warren for race one, the Elders Benchmark 58 Handicap over the 1000m dash on a Good 4 surface under fine skies with a 1:45 pm AEDT jump. Looking at the early win market order, Wellspring sits at the head of affairs, followed closely by Denman Force, Miss Capricorn, and Divine Sinner. The numbers say this 1000m sprint is wide open, so let us rip into the form and find some value for the punters!

The market order is backed up by some serious recent efforts. Wellspring heads the market following a terrific effort when just shaded at Orange over 1000m in Benchmark 50 grade, backed up by a win at Grenfell prior. With a claiming apprentice engaged again, Wellspring makes a strong case in this company. Denman Force sits next in the betting from barrier 3 for Brett Thompson, coming off an honest second at Narromine over 800m on a soft deck. Miss Capricorn jumps from barrier 2 for Connie Greig, dropping back in class after a strong late effort to fill the minors in Benchmark 66 grade at Dubbo over today's trip, boasting the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start. Divine Sinner rounds out the top four in the market and could add some value to exotics after battling home in Benchmark 66 company at Dubbo.

Digging deeper into the speed map and runners further down the order, we see Ilikesooboogie marked as the leader from barrier 4 with Kody Nestor steering, while Tampa Bay maps off pace for Connie Greig. Wellspring and Wellspring's rivals will need to handle the speed group dynamics nicely on this tight track. Miss Capricorn rates a real chance back in easier class with Gabrielle Johnston in the saddle, and the overall numbers point to a cracking contest. Get on board, and up ya go!

Race notes

BM58,BM58 HCP,Benchmark 58
GOOD4
Fine
7 runners

Shortest win price

Wellspring (5)

3.20

Most career wins

Miss Capricorn and Divine Sinner

5 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

1Miss Capricorn

Midfield

3Divine Sinner

Offpace

5Wellspring
8Tampa Bay

Onpace

2Denman Force
4Jet Empress

Leader

7Ilikesooboogie

Miss Capricorn · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Denman Force · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Divine Sinner · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Jet Empress · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 7% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Miss CapricornJ: Gabrielle Johnston·T: Connie Greig263kg7 6 3 1 248: 5-8-5$3.90$1.95

Career

48: 5-8-5

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Bathurst
3: 1-0-0
Track Coonamble
2: 0-1-0
Track Tuncurry
6: 0-0-3
Distance 1000m
11: 1-1-1
Distance 1007m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1012m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
26: 3-6-1
Going Heavy
8: 0-0-2
Going Soft
14: 2-2-2

Last starts

2Dubbo1000m31 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD31.36L
1Bathurst1100m16 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD4-0.01
3Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY84.08L
6Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT65.17L
7Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD48L
5Bathurst1100m17 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY81.9L
3Mudgee1100m5 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD30.5L
2Newcastle1150m23 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 66 · SOFT61.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 9% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 33%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Experienced mare racing with some conviction. Ridden in back half, strong late to fill the minors (Bm66) at Dubbo over today's trip. Back in easier class. Rates highly.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Managed to run into 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last start at Dubbo and has been racing in stronger company. Should be swooping on the field late. One of the punters top hopes.

Went down by 1½l when second at Dubbo last week.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Nice run when finishing 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L last time at Dubbo and facing weaker opposition. Expected to be flashing home. Has a good draw. Good chance in this.

2Denman ForceJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: Brett Thompson361.5kg5 4 2 4 212: 3-2-2$3.30$1.70

Career

12: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
2: 1-1-0
Track Dubbo
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 800m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-2-0

Last starts

2Narromine800m17 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT50.33L
4Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY84.58L
2Wellington900m15 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT65.29L
4Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47L
5Narromine800m23 Aug 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY83.5L
5Warren1000m1 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT74.4L
12Gosford1000m9 May 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD410.6L
1Wellington900m12 Apr 2026 · BM66 · SOFT5-0.4

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 61%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Honest type. Sent forward and stuck to the task bravely on a soft deck in the (Bm58) at Narromine. Nice gate. Key player.

ILB

Right in contention last time at Narromine. Has shown early pace in races to date. Jake Pracey Holmes is a key engagement. Holds a major chance.

Recent form has a decent look to it; admirable career strike-rate (three from 12 to date); just denied when second favourite at Narromine over 4f (handicap) in front of Divine Sinner last month; plenty of appeal if backing up last run.

RSIS

Competed in a tight contest last run at Narromine. Jake Pracey Holmes rates highly aboard. Has early pace and positions nicely. Will show up at the business end.

3Divine SinnerJ: Zoe Hunt·T: Kieren Hazelton160kg9 9 6 3 639: 5-4-4$4.80$2.25

Career

39: 5-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
7: 0-1-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-2
Third-up
6: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Dubbo
6: 1-0-0
Track Coonamble
1: 0-0-0
Track Cowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 800m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-2-2
Going Good
30: 4-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1

Last starts

6Dubbo1000m31 Oct 2026 · BM66 · GOOD34.04L
3Narromine800m17 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT50.55L
6Narromine1100m21 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD33.27L
9Dubbo1400m18 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47.3L
9Mudgee1400m5 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD34.5L
2Warren1400m21 Mar 2026 · BM74 (72) · GOOD40.6L
5Dubbo1400m15 Mar 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.5L
1Orange1280m14 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-0.8

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -76% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Started $61 when battled home in Benchmark 66 company at Dubbo. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Ran 6th last time at Dubbo but lining up against easier rivals. Has drawn to do little work. Will have to carry more weight. Watch betting.

Close up behind Miss Capricorn when sixth at Dubbo last week; has shown some capability here and there and expected to be in the thick of things.

RSIS

On a short back up. Came in 6th last run at Dubbo but competing in a less challenging grade. Will appreciate a good stall. Goes up in weight. Watch for a sign in the market.

4Jet EmpressJ: Diego Montes De Oca·T: Douglas Fernando759.5kg11 9 7 5 829: 4-2-2$81.00$16.00

Career

29: 4-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 2-1-1
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warren
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
15: 3-2-1
Distance 1012m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 3-1-1
Going Soft
9: 1-1-1

Last starts

8Moree950m30 Oct 2026 · BM66 · SOFT58.75L
5Come By Chance1000m26 Sept 2026 · Open9.14L
7Tamworth1000m14 Sept 2026 · BM82 · GOOD45.1L
9Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD45.3L
11Tamworth1000m17 July 2026 · BM82 · GOOD46.6L
5Goondiwindi1000m5 July 2026 · BM743.9L
11Tamworth1000m26 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT56.6L
7Warren1000m14 June 2026 · CANNONBALL BM82 · SOFT66.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 7% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 1%
Key Rider
Positive
Diego Montes De Oca 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 80%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 76% Profit on Turnover
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Long losing streak. Failed to threaten at Moree at cricket score odds. Keener on others.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last start at Moree but competing in an easier class. Won't be far away during the run. Needs too much luck.

Last of eight at Moree last month; brings winning C&D form to the table; this is her level; likely to go well.

RSIS

Was 100/1 and looked outclassed when 8th last run at Moree but has been racing in stronger company. Should come to hand quickly.

5WellspringJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Ms S Jeffries659.5kg6 2 3 1 217: 2-2-4$3.20$1.70

Career

17: 2-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Orange
1: 0-1-0
Track Wangaratta
4: 0-0-1
Track Towong
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-2
Going Unknown
4: 1-0-1
Going Good
9: 1-1-2
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Orange1000m19 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 50 · GOOD40.15L
1Grenfell1000m26 Sept 2026 · BM58-1.9
3Gulargambone1200m29 Aug 2026 · CL11.9L
2Warren1000m21 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT50.3L
6Cowra950m11 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT53.3L
9Wangaratta1170m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT53.85L
3Wagga1200m29 Nov 2025 · BM50 · GOOD42.2L
7Tumut1000m1 Nov 2025 · BM503.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 30%
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

In peak form and fitness. Terrific effort when just shaded at Orange 19 Oct. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Right up there last run at Orange. Jockey Jacob Stiff and trainer Sharon Jeffries form a proven partnership. Tracking very well this campaign. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

Good effort when close up at Orange last month.

RSIS

Threw down a serious challenge last time at Orange. Jacob Stiff and Sharon Jeffries are a strong duo. In a purple patch of form since coming back from a break. Can feature today.

6EnchaantedScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Won Hcp (C1) Dubbo 2 Oct. Sent out $16 when unable to threaten at Coonamble. Warrants attention.

ILB

Jumped at $16.00 and struggled with the pace when 11th last start at Coonamble and rises in weight.

RSIS

Odds of 15/1 and tailed off to finish 11th last time at Coonamble and bit of extra work to do with more weight.

7IlikesooboogieJ: Kody Nestor·T: Joseph Hodgson458kg1 9 3 7 222: 3-5-4$18.00$5.00

Career

22: 3-5-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 2-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Come By Chance
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1170m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
13: 2-4-1
Going Soft
5: 0-1-1

Last starts

2Mudgee1100m24 Oct 2026 · BM50 · GOOD41.06L
7Coonamble1100m11 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD32.01L
3Come By Chance800m26 Sept 2026 · Open3.13L
9Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · CL3 · GOOD46.8L
1Gilgandra800m1 Aug 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-0.2
1Come By Chance800m27 Sept 2025 · Open-1.9
4Walgett1300m14 June 2025 · Class 16.2L
4Moree950m3 June 2025 · BenchMark 58 · SOFT61.73L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Kody Nestor winning at 9% POT in last 100 rides
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Brave in defeat (Bm50) at Mudgee. Up in class but very fit, each way.

ILB

Finished 2nd last time at Mudgee and dropping weight. Expecting to settle positively. Racing consistently this campaign. Minor claims.

Has maintained his consistent level of form; a respectable runner-up of eight at Mudgee over 5½f (handicap) two weeks ago.

RSIS

Competitive effort when 2nd last run at Mudgee and gets a reduction in weight. Won't be far away during the run. Very competitive of late.

8Tampa BayJ: Izzy Neale·T: Connie Greig556.5kg1 1 1 4 926: 3-4-3$14.00$4.20

Career

26: 3-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-1
Track Gosford
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
6: 0-1-1
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-1
Going Unknown
1: 1-0-0
Going Firm
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-2-0

Last starts

9Dubbo1200m31 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD35.07L
4Harden1100m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM23.02L
1Young1100m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM2-1.75
1Come By Chance1200m26 Sept 2026 · Open-5.49
1Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.1
5Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD46L
2Narromine1100m23 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY80.2L
4Dubbo1120m10 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY95.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -48% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Dubbo. Drops to shorter trip. Super fit from racing, capable of making an impact.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Folded up in the straight when 9th last run at Dubbo. Modest contender.

Finished ninth of 12 at Dubbo over 6f (handicap) last month; passed over with a few rivals in good form.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Faded away to finish 9th last time at Dubbo.

9Sir FreddieScratched4––––

Career

42: 3-2-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 1-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-2
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
5: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-0
Track Scone
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
29: 2-2-1
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
5: 1-1-1
Going Soft
16: 2-0-1

Last starts

5Muswellbrook1000m1 Nov 2026 · BM58 CL2+ · SOFT63.56L
12Muswellbrook1000m19 Oct 2026 · BM58 · GOOD47.58L
6Muswellbrook900m5 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD43.38L
7Taree1008m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL3 · SOFT66.46L
6Coffs Harbour1014m13 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD44.2L
6Scone1000m1 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT52.3L
9Tamworth1000m25 Aug 2026 · CL3 BM66 · SOFT54.6L
9Gunnedah1000m14 Aug 2026 · BM58 · SOFT65.9L

Insights

Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Snagged back and worked home okay in (Bm58) at Muswellbrook over this trip. Usually gets back and doesn't win out of turn.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Started $20.00 and inched into 5th last time at Muswellbrook. Likely to get back in the field. Struggling this preparation with no placings from 9 starts.

Useful at this level; out of the frame (beaten 3½l in fifth) at Muswellbrook last Sunday; he shouldn't be far away.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Was 19/1 and chased well when 5th last run at Muswellbrook. Likely to get back. Struggling recently.

Odds correct as at Sun 8 Nov, 1:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.