Shortest win price
Talk About Layla (8)
3.00
Eagle Farm hosts a Class 1 Handicap at 1600 metres on soft ground under overcast skies, set to jump at 12:33 pm AEDT. Talk About Layla is shortest in the market, with Castaway and Pink Dogwood next in line. Victoria and Lady Tangalooma complete the shorter-priced brigade. The track is genuinely testing at SOFT7, which will sort out the genuine stayers from the pretenders over the mile.
Talk About Layla has won at Gold Coast two starts back and came within a whisker at this track in Class 1 company over 1400 metres on a heavier surface. That form reads well, and the step up to 1600 metres should suit a runner who profiles as strong on the longer assignment. Daniel Moor is performing above his career average in the last 100, which adds genuine credentials. Castaway won fresh at Sunshine Coast over 1400 metres and showed early speed there; the trainer G K Taylor is returning 16 per cent profit on turned runners over the past hundred, so fresh angles matter here. Pink Dogwood let down with a raking drive to get up at this track second-up on heavy ground and rated highest on last-start finishing sectionals, so the raw speed is present.
The Leader group—Show'Em Who's King, Castaway, and Victoria—will shape up to dominate early. Victoria broke her maiden at Gold Coast and wasn't beaten far here last time on rain-affected ground; she's in a decent barrier and the stats say Tahlia Fenlon is 28 per cent above expectation in her recent 100 rides. Lady Tangalooma ran on hard last start with jockey Ben E Thompson outperforming his career average by 22 per cent, which suggests real value potential further down the market.
Shortest win price
Talk About Layla (8)
3.00
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Show'Em Who's King · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today
Castaway · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Simply Fun · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 56% lower than Career Avg.
Outta Reef · Positive
Blinkers On
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Career
6: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
3: 1-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1625m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1710m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-2
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 19%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Cleared maiden ranks at Gold Coast 4 Jul. Midfield, picked up solidly at Gold Coast first up. Strips in better shape. Can play a role if things pan out.
ILB
Started at $11.00 and got tired late when 4th last run at Gold Coast. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Should be in the finish.
RSIS
At 10/1 faded at the finish when 4th last run at Gold Coast. Has shown early pace in races to date. Definite contender.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Remains fresh. Triumphant on speed display at Sunshine Coast for new trainer. Can show early speed. Handy last start. Could sneak into the minors.
ILB
Was much too speedy in front to win by 3 3/4L last start at Sunshine Coast and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Rising in grade. Watch for a sign in the market.
RSIS
Went to the front and never looked back when winning by a margin of 3 3/4L last run at Sunshine Coast and has the ideal draw. Expecting to settle positively. Watch betting.
Career
27: 1-2-4
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Doomben
7: 0-0-3
Track Ipswich
5: 1-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-2-0
Going Good
17: 1-0-4
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 56% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 85%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 60% in L100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Long losing streak. Not disgraced at Ipswich. Goes into wider exotics.
ILB
Was $16.00 and inched into 5th last run at Ipswich and gets a favourable barrier. Place hope.
RSIS
At 15/1 made up ground when 5th last start at Ipswich and has a good draw.
Career
6: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2020m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Started $8 when safely held in Class 1 company at Ipswich second-up. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Jumped at $8.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last start at Ipswich. Should muster plenty of early speed. Watch the betting.
RSIS
Odds of 7/1 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Ipswich. Should be going forward early. Watch the betting.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ellerslie
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5kg now
AAP
Ex New Zealander. Third start in Australia. Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Doomben when second-up. Warrants attention.
ILB
Folded up in the straight when 7th last time at Doomben but challenged by less formidable competitors. Should jump out and bowl along. Rises in weight.
RSIS
Weakened to finish 7th last time at Doomben but facing weaker opposition. Should muster plenty of early pace. Will have to carry more weight.
Career
10: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
3: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2020m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Super run coming from back half in Class 1 company at Ipswich at $12. Usually gets back. Encouraging latest and warrants inclusion.
ILB
Right up there last start at Ipswich. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RSIS
Just shy of the win last start at Ipswich. Could be in the mix.
Career
2: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let down with a raking drive to get up in final bounds this course at second start. Encouraging latest but needs to progress further here.
ILB
Bold effort when winning last start at this venue but up against a higher level of opposition. Jockey Ryan Maloney and trainer Christian Frederick Waller have a solid working relationship. Betting is the best guide.
RSIS
Picked up late to win last run around here on a heavy rated track but up in grade. Jockey Ryan Maloney and trainer Christian Frederick Waller are an imposing duo. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Career
7: 1-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
3: 0-1-1
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1312m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1313m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Kris Lees striking at just 8%
Key Rider
Positive
Daniel Moor 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 32% Profit on Turnover
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Bolted in at Gold Coast two back. Super run coming from back half in Class 1 company this venue at $13. Suited by the longer assignment now. Profiles well.
ILB
Close to a win last start at the track. Very competitive this preparation. Has strong claims.
RSIS
Just missed last run around here. Displaying good ability recently. Strong claims.
Career
3: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
2: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 14% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Tahlia Fenlon 28% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Tahlia Fenlon winning at 11% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
AAP
Broke maiden at Gold Coast 10 Oct. On pace, not beaten far in rain affected ground this venue last outing. Decent alley. Can have a major say.
ILB
At $17.00 didn't attack the line when 6th last start here on a heavy surface. Should improve and putting a tidy record together. Should be going forward early. Good prospects.
RSIS
Started 16/1 and faded to finish 6th last time at this venue on a heavy surface. Capable of a strong comeback and good career start. Should race on the pace. Very tidy performer.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Came from the clouds to score with authority in Maiden company at Gold Coast Poly. Capable of figuring again if she gets the breaks.
ILB
Spaced the field to win by a margin of 3 3/4L last time at Gold Coast Poly and good career start. In strong racing shape this preparation.
RSIS
Was a comprehensive winner by 3 3/4L last time at Gold Coast Poly and showing consistent performance in races. Displaying good ability since resuming from a break.
Career
20: 1-2-3
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gold Coast Poly
3: 0-0-2
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-1-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-0-0
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
AAP
Let-up (47-days). All honours in the small field at Gold Coast. Finds a harder setup.
ILB
Let up. Rocketed home when winning last run at Gold Coast and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Up against stronger competition.
RSIS
Back from a freshen up. Rocketed home when winning last run at Gold Coast and form has been improving over recent runs. Challenged by more formidable competitors.
Career
4: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 22% POT in L100 Runners
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company