Shortest win price
Friday's Jet (12)
3.70
The Club Hotel Hcp at Chinchilla over 1070 metres on Good 3 turf jumps at 6:12 pm AEDT. Friday's Jet sits shortest in the win market, with New Prospect and Kobe Ascot next to them. Drums Of War and Hoffman complete the close-up runners. This is a restricted class field on a short sprint where early position can matter.
Friday's Jet rates a real chance here. The form suggests three placings from the last four starts, including a close third at Injune over 1000 metres in the BM50 and a fourth at Kumbia over 1200 metres first-up back from a break. Jess Emmerson in the saddle has outperformed market expectation by 38 per cent across the latest 100 rides. New Prospect owns a win at Gympie two starts back but has been under pressure since, running sixth at Dalby over the longer 1400 metres. The numbers say there is room for improvement, though a rider change brings some uncertainty. Kobe Ascot showed fast finishing splits at the last outing and Amy Graham is up 33 per cent on career average over the past 100 rides, a tick in the box for a quick sprint.
Drums Of War and Destiny Gungho will press forward from the onpace group, with Gunna Reign keen to lead from barrier eight. Drums Of War has won only three from 21 starts and the last two runs have disappointed, finishing tenth at Charleville and ninth at Dalby, both over 1000 metres. The comment flags a deep campaign. Friday's Jet from barrier seven can slot midfield and pick up the pieces in a finish that may well be decided in the final strides.
Shortest win price
Friday's Jet (12)
3.70
Most career wins
Drums Of War and Blame The Bubbles
3 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Drums Of War · Negative
Trainer SR
Cheryl Rogers striking at just 5%
New Prospect · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hoffman · Negative
Trainer SR
Mel Birt striking at just 7%
Kobe Ascot · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Career
21: 3-1-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 0-1-2
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-1
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-1-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Cheryl Rogers striking at just 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
AAP
On a short back-up. Finished well down the track in (Bm50) at Charleville last outing. Deep into his campaign, not out of this.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Odds of $5.00 and disappointing display when 10th last run at Charleville. Happy to forgive that run and has the ideal draw. Good chance today.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 over 5f at Charleville (handicap) on Tuesday on debut for this trainer; grade looks suitable; chance if finding his best form.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Was 4/1 and lacklustre showing when 10th last start at Charleville. Giving another chance here and drawn by the rails. Highly respected.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
First-up (32-weeks). Returns from HK and now with M Park. Latest trial was solid enough. Can hit the ground running for new stable after long spell.
ILB
Back from a 32 week spell. Didn't attack the line when 10th last run at Happy Valley but up against a less competitive field. Racing for a new trainer.
RSIS
Back after a 32 week break. Tailed off to finish 10th last run at Happy Vstall but challenged by less formidable competitors. First appearance for a new trainer.
Career
9: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-1-0
Track Gympie
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1170m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
1: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a quick back-up. Donkey-licked them at Gympie two back. Failed to threaten at Dalby over longer test at double-figure odds. Can put last run behind him.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Gave away some ground when 6th last run at Dalby. Expected to rebound and gets a favourable draw. Tongue tie go off for the first time. Should go very close.
RP
Finished sixth, beaten 8l, at Dalby over 7f (handicap) a week ago; signs of improvement on last two runs; this just his second run in a handicap; others more likely.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Couldn't stay in touch when 6th last run at Dalby. Has the talent to rebound quickly and drawn nicely. Down in trip. Definitely worth considering.
Career
15: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Dalby
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-0-0
Track Roma
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 1-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Going Unknown
6: 1-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Mel Birt striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (49-days). Ordinary performance in small field at Morven. New to Chinchilla. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Freshened for this. Started $71.00 and below par performance when 6th last start at Morven and has more weight to carry. Tongue tie go off for the first time. Place claims at best.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 6l, finishing sixth of seven over 6f at Morven (handicap) 49 days ago; clear chance.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Started at 70/1 and below standard effort when 6th last start at Morven and has to cope with a weight increase.
Career
32: 2-10-4
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-2-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-0
Track Charleville
3: 0-1-0
Track Goondiwindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Roma
3: 0-0-0
Distance 870m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-1
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
17: 0-6-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Leonard Mawn striking at just 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept fresh. Eclipsed by winner but kept whacking away to place in the Hcp (50) at Taroom for new trainer. Leads, handy. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Freshened up. Placed 3rd last start at Taroom. Interesting to see the ear muffs go on for the first time. Gets back and needs luck. Keep safe.
RP
Finished behind Destiny Gungho over 5f at Taroom (handicap) when a respectable third 42 days ago on debut for this trainer; does not win very often.
RSIS
Freshened up. Finished 3rd last run at Taroom. Interesting gear change of hood on first time. Does take a while to get into stride.
Career
28: 1-7-3
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Mitchell
1: 0-0-0
Track Morven
1: 0-0-1
Track Surat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1650m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
10: 1-1-2
Going Good
13: 0-6-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 25% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 72% in L100 rides
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
AAP
Let-up (42-days). Led, dug deep into his reserves but shaded late over 1000m in the Hcp (50) at Taroom. Can lead or take a sit. Can play a role.
ILB
Let up. Did well when 2nd last start at Taroom and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Won't be far away during the run. Will need to find a new peak.
RP
Good effort when close up at Taroom over 5f (handicap) six weeks ago; boasts winning form over C&D; others more persuasive as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Ran 2nd last time at Taroom and showing improvement in recent outings. Should come to hand quickly.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Onpace
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a quick back-up. Finished it off only fairly at Kumbia. Rough exotics hope.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Not up to standard when 6th last run at Kumbia.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Not in contention when 6th last start at Kumbia.
Career
20: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Thangool
2: 0-0-0
Track Gayndah
2: 1-0-0
Track Morven
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 850m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-1-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
10: 3-2-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (49-days). Failed to threaten at Morven for new stable. New to Chinchilla. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Back from a let up. Odds of $16.00 and ordinary performance when 9th last start at Morven. Displays good closing speed. Has some claims.
RP
Finished last of nine over 5f at Morven (handicap) on debut for new trainer 49 days ago; can be a player at this level; capable of going well if finding her best form.
RSIS
Let up. At 15/1 disappointing effort when 9th last run at Morven. Expected to be flashing home. Watch the betting.
Career
14: 1-3-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 0-0-0
Track Lightning Ridge
1: 0-1-0
Distance 860m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 950m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Gold Coast Poly. Has early speed. Better suited back on turf. Hard fit, one for multiples.
ILB
Was well beaten when 11th last run at Gold Coast Poly. Shows good early pace. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Last of 11 at Gold Coast last month; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Didn't find the line when 11th last time at Gold Coast Poly. Should muster plenty of early pace. Has some claims.
Career
11: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gympie
1: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1015m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-0
Going Unknown
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Largely struggled in her post maiden runs. Failed to threaten at Gatton for new stable at cricket score odds. First time around Chinchilla. Not fancied.
ILB
Lost ground in the run home when 10th last start at Gatton.
RP
Beaten 8l in tenth at Gatton on debut outing for new trainer upped to this trip last month; few of her rivals come into this off the back of good runs so looks a likely player.
RSIS
Lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Gatton.
Career
21: 1-1-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Track Charleville
2: 0-0-1
Track Goondiwindi
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
10: 0-0-3
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 65%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 34 days
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Ex Colin Storch in QLD. Long winless run. Went home tamely at Charleville at $6.
ILB
Started at $81.00 and below par when 10th last run at Charleville. First start for a new trainer. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Slim possibilty.
RP
Last of ten over 5f at Charleville (handicap) five weeks ago; patchy form recently and one win to her name was achieved a fair way back; now running for a new trainer; makes limited appeal.
RSIS
Odds of 80/1 and below par performance when 10th last start at Charleville. First start for a new trainer. Likely to settle back in the field.
Career
34: 2-3-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
9: 0-1-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Surat
1: 0-0-0
Track Tara
1: 0-0-0
Track Toowoomba
2: 0-0-0
Distance 825m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1050m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 1-1-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 15% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jess Emmerson 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Jess Emmerson winning at 26% POT in last 100 rides
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
On a quick back-up. Kept on in busy finish at Kumbia first run back. Better for the outing. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
On a quick back up. Just short of the win last time at Kumbia. Jockey Jess Emmerson is in form. Could be in the mix.
RP
Posted respectable effort when beaten half a length at Kumbia over 6f (handicap) four days ago; does not win very often; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so he can be taken on.
RSIS
On a short back up. Just missed last time at Kumbia. Jockey Jess Emmerson rates highly. Could be in the mix.