Shortest win price
Pincer Movement (4)
2.70
Bunbury is primed for the Duncan Equine Group Hcp (C3) over 1685m on a good4 track under fine weather conditions, with the win market currently ordered by Pincer Movement, Centre Bond, Vancouver Storm, Squad Goal, Gilded Reign, Buster Biff, and Molly's My Pal. The numbers jump off the page here for some sharp combinations, so let us dive straight into the form and find out who rates a real chance in this class 3 showdown!
Pincer Movement heads the win market for trainer Michael Grantham, returning from a nineteen-week break following a solid first prep and a recent Lark Hill trial, with William Pike in the saddle delivering a big tick for connections. Centre Bond sits next in the order for G C Ballantyne, coming off a close-up effort at Ascot and a hard-fought run at Belmont Park, showing he has the campaign fitness to figure among the dangers. Squad Goal brings winning form straight from Northam over 1600m where a steely performance got the job done, and the map shows this runner is well suited to the track with an advantage over market expectations.
Shortest win price
Pincer Movement (4)
2.70
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Buster Biff · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Centre Bond · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Pincer Movement · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 36% better than Career Avg.
Squad Goal · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Career
8: 2-1-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Track Ascot
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1677m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 2-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 43% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
David Harrison striking at just 9%
Key Rider
Positive
Chanel Cooper 44% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 25%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Chanel Cooper in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Metro winning gelding. Sent out $18 when unable to threaten at Northam off long spell. Better conditioned and gets a 1.5kg allowance here. Profiles well.
ILB
Odds of $18.00 and finished 6th last start at Northam. Best to watch and see.
RP
Beaten 5l in sixth over 7f at Northam (handicap) 14 days ago; has winning form at this track; has to be considered based on the pick of his form.
RSIS
At 17/1 finished 6th last time at Northam.
Career
20: 2-4-3
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Belmont
10: 1-2-2
Track Pinjarra
3: 0-1-0
Track Ascot
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1400m
9: 0-2-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 1-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-3-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 69%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 70% Profit on Turnover
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
AAP
Close-up at Ascot 14 Oct. There to threaten just couldn't quite finish it off at Belmont Park. Placed only other time here. A few runs under his belt this campaign, among the dangers.
ILB
Tired late when 5th last time at Belmont. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Will go close.
RP
Finished fifth beaten just under 3l at Belmont Park over 7f (handicap) last month; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Didn't finish off when 5th last run at Belmont. Displays good tactical pace. Can lift.
Career
16: 3-1-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Pinjarra
4: 1-0-0
Track Ascot
2: 0-0-0
Track Bunbury
7: 2-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
Off pace, home okay into the placings this course 3 Nov. Deep into his campaign, can make his presence felt.
ILB
Did well to finish 2nd last time at this venue. Sharni Webster provides some weight relief.
RP
Good effort when 2l runner-up last week; track has proven suitable before; one to take seriously as latest run was an encouraging one.
RSIS
Finished strongly when 2nd last time at the track. Sharni Webster takes a large claim.
Career
3: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Belmont
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
1: 1-0-0
Track Bunbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2013m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 36% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
William Pike 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Back for second campaign (19-weeks). Wasn't all that far away in his first prep. Since trialled at Lark Hill. Big show fresh in this affair with even breaks.
ILB
First up after 19 weeks and ran home strongly to win first up last preparation at Albany on a heavy rated track. Jockey William Pike is an asset. Highly respected.
RP
Lightly raced with this just his fourth appearance; first-time blinkers had no impact when a disappointing fourth upped to 1m2f in June; back from an absence here; William Pike a good booking; can be in the thick of things as a number of his rivals have questions to answer and has proved he knows how to win.
RSIS
Resuming and bold effort when winning resuming last preparation at Albany. Added confidence jockey with William Pike doing the steering. Strong winning chance.
Career
4: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Northam
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Delivered a steely performance to score 3yo+ Mdn at Northam. Can again play a role with even luck.
ILB
Picked up late to win last time at Northam but taking on stronger rivals. Showing improvement in recent outings. Respect the betting.
RP
Successful by 1½l when getting off the mark at the fourth time of asking at Northam last month in a maiden; should prove competitive given there is limited recent form on offer in this race.
RSIS
Reeled them in when winning last time at Northam but challenged by a tougher grade. Form has been improving over recent runs.
Career
13: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Northam
1: 0-0-0
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-0
Track York
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1675m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -29% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 26%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
AAP
Started $26 when safely held in Class 3 company this track. Looks up against it.
ILB
At $26.00 didn't find the line when 5th last start at this venue. Slim chance.
RP
Not far behind Point Rocks when fifth last week; passed over.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and gave away some ground when 5th last run at this venue.
Career
36: 2-1-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Narrogin
5: 1-0-3
Track Moora
1: 0-0-1
Track Kalgoorlie
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1675m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
3: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
11: 2-0-0
Going Good
23: 0-1-5
Jockey Booking
Negative
Jessica Valas current POT is 38% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 72% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Long winning drought. Raced midfield, couldn't match it but not disgraced at Collie over longer test. Drops to shorter trip. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
At $12.00 was making up some late ground when 4th last time at Collie and drawn beautifully. Likely to get back in the run. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Others are more appealing.
RP
Not a frequent winner; not disgraced when fourth of eight at Collie over 1m2f (handicap) 19 days ago; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Was 11/1 and chased well when 4th last start at Collie and has the ideal stall. Might be ridden for luck. Up against a higher level of opposition.
Career
35: 2-5-2
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track York
1: 0-0-0
Track Geraldton
1: 0-0-0
Track Albany
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
5: 1-2-0
Going Good
20: 2-5-0
Going Soft
15: 0-0-2
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Natasha Faithfull 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 21%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Just missed at Northam 4 Oct. Finished well held at Northam. Well into preparation now, can play a role.
ILB
Started $7.00 and weakened under pressure when 7th last run at Northam but has a positive barrier. Always seems to find the line well. Keep safe.
RP
Has not been firing consistently and doesn't win often; fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing seventh of nine at Northam over 1m (handicap) last month; he can be taken on.
RSIS
Started 6/1 and didn't threaten when 7th last start at Northam but gets a favourable stall. Will be motoring home late.