Minnesota Wild sit sixth on the NHL ladder with a strong 4-1-1 record, and their special teams numbers are jumps-off-the-page elite. We are locked in for Fri, 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT when Minnesota take on the St Louis Blues, and our nhl predictions start with the matchup stats that matter most.

St Louis travel with a 2-2-1 record overall, looking to find consistency after an up-and-down opening stretch to their campaign.

Who Takes The Points?

The numbers say Minnesota hold a commanding edge in special teams execution. The Wild boast a phenomenal 41.18% power play conversion rate and a 95.45% penalty kill success rate, alongside allowing just 1.83 goals per game. Kirill Kaprizov (6G 3A) and Quinn Hughes (2G 7A) lead a attack averaging 3.17 goals per game.

Minnesota are coming off a 2–5 away defeat against the Winnipeg Jets on 14 Oct, but their season foundation remains rock solid. St Louis (2-2-1) are coming off a dominant 7–2 away win over the Ottawa Senators on 14 Oct. Jimmy Snuggerud (3G 1A) leads the scoring for the Blues, but their power play sits at just 9.09% and their team save percentage is 0.879.

On the head-to-head board, Minnesota Wild are priced as 1.55 favourites while the St Louis Blues sit at 2.45. Given Minnesota's massive special teams differential and elite goaltending stats (0.933 team save percentage), the Wild rate a real chance to claim victory on home ice.

Win (Inc. OT)Odds correct as at 6:14 am AEDT. Odds can change.
Our tipMinnesota Wild1.60St Louis Blues2.35
Big tickOur tip: Minnesota Wild. Minnesota's elite 95.45% penalty kill and 41.18% power play give them a huge statistical edge over St Louis.

Tipped at $1.55 (3:15 am AEDT). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

3.17Season avg goals for2.8
1.83Season avg goals against3.2
67%Season win rate40%
2.8Last 5 avg goals for4
40%Last-five win rate50%
75%Points percentage50%
41.2%Power play9.1%
95.5%Penalty kill93.3%
93.3%Save percentage87.9%

Leading scorers

Minnesota Wild. Kirill Kaprizov (LW) 6G 3A, Quinn Hughes (D) 2G 7A, Jared Spurgeon (D) 1G 4A

St Louis Blues. Jimmy Snuggerud (RW) 3G 1A, Connor McMichael (C) 2G 2A, Mason McTavish (C) 2G 2A

Total Goals Edge

The Total Goals line is set at 5.5 goals, with Over quoted at 1.75 and Under at 2.05. Over their last four starts, St Louis are averaging 4.0 goals for and 3.0 goals against per game.

Minnesota's last five overall outings feature an average of 2.8 goals for and 2.8 goals against. With St Louis finding their attacking gear in a seven-goal output last start, the Over gets a big tick based on recent scoring form.

Total GoalsOdds correct as at 6:14 am AEDT. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 5.51.75Under 5.52.05
Solid tickOur tip: Over 5.5. St Louis are averaging 4.0 goals per game across their last four starts, suggesting plenty of goalmouth action.

Tipped at $1.75 (3:15 am AEDT). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Total goals

Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 5.5.

Minnesota Wild games (n=5)avg 5.6vs 5.5
1.511
St Louis Blues games (n=4)avg 7vs 5.5
1.511

Hit rate vs 5.5

Minnesota Wildn=5
Over 40%Under 60%
St Louis Bluesn=4
Over 75%Under 25%
2.8Avg goals for (form)4

Season scoring rates per game. Marker is the live total of 5.5.

Both attacksavg 6vs 5.5
2.37.9
Minnesota Wild attack vs St Louis Blues defenceavg 6.4vs 5.5
2.37.9
St Louis Blues attack vs Minnesota Wild defenceavg 4.6vs 5.5
2.37.9
Expected goals combinedavg 3.8vs 5.5
2.37.9
28.8Shots for / game26
3.17Season goals for / game2.8