Week 3 NFL action brings an intriguing Monday morning matchup as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Minnesota Vikings. Kickoff is scheduled for Mon, 28 Sept, 6:05 am AEST, and both teams will be desperate to put behind tough last-start performances.

Tampa Bay holds a 2-1 season record heading into this contest, while Minnesota sits at 1-2 overall. With both sides searching for consistency, the numbers point to a tight battle on home turf.

Who Takes Out the H2H?

Weighing up the season statistics gives us a clear look at where these two outfits stand. Tampa Bay sits on a 2-1 ladder record with 40 points for and 50 points against, including a 1-0 mark at home. Their most recent start on Sat, 29 Aug resulted in a 0–19 defeat away to the Jacksonville Jaguars, which followed a 16–15 home win against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sun, 23 Aug.

Minnesota enters with a 1-2 record overall and a 1-1 road record, having scored 22 points while giving up 57. The Vikings' last start on Sat, 29 Aug was a heavy 6–34 loss away to the Denver Broncos, following a 3–13 home loss to the Baltimore Ravens on Sun, 23 Aug.

Despite Tampa Bay holding the better overall record, Minnesota sits as the $1.82 head-to-head favourite, with Tampa Bay paying $2.00. For fans eyeing up nfl picks, seeing the road team favoured here jumps off the page.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 3:13 am AEST. Odds can change.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers2.00Our tipMinnesota Vikings1.82
Light tickOur tip: Minnesota Vikings. Minnesota comes in as head-to-head favourites at 1.82 and has a road win under its belt this season.

Tipped at $1.82 (1:13 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

13.3Season avg points for7.3
16.7Season avg points against19
67%Season win rate33%
8Last 2 avg points for4.5
50%Last-five win rate0%

Line Bet Breakdown

The line market is set at 1.5 points, giving Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 at $1.90 and Minnesota Vikings -1.5 at $1.90.

Tampa Bay boasts a perfect 1-0 record at home this season after that thrilling 1-point victory over Kansas City. Minnesota, meanwhile, is 1-1 on the road, with their last away outing resulting in a 28-point loss in Denver.

Getting a +1.5 start on home turf gives Tampa Bay a big tick, making the home underdog angle rate a real chance.

LineOdds correct as at 3:13 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipTampa Bay Buccaneers +1.51.90Minnesota Vikings -1.51.90
Solid tickOur tip: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5. Tampa Bay is 1-0 at home this season and getting a +1.5 start rates a real chance in front of home fans.

Tipped at $1.90 (1:13 am AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers+1.5last 2

Cover rate50%1/2
Avg margin (-9)avg -9vs -1.5
-233

Minnesota Vikings-1.5last 2

Cover rate0%0/2
50%Cover % (form)0%

Same Game Multi Angle

Same Game Multi markets are active for this Week 3 showdown, offering several combined options.

One option on the board features Vikings to win, Vikings -0.5 point spread in the 1st half & J. Jefferson to score first touchdown priced at $11. Alternatively, Buccaneers to win, Buccaneers +0.5 point spread in the 1st half & Emeka Egbuka to score a touchdown is available at $6.