Colts vs Dolphins NFL preview: Week 10 stats, odds and tips

Week 10 action arrives at Lucas Oil Stadium on Mon 16 Nov at 5:00 am AEDT as the Indianapolis Colts host the Miami Dolphins. Both sides are desperate to get back on track after tough recent runs, making this clash a crunch fixture on the schedule.

If you are searching for expert nfl tips, the numbers give us plenty to work with. Indianapolis comes in with a 2-7 season record, while Miami sits at 1-7. Up ya go — let's break down where the betting value sits.

Who Will Win? Head To Head Edge

Indianapolis enters this contest sitting third in the AFC South with 184 points for and 249 points against across nine games. The numbers say their defence has surrendered an average of 29 points per game over their last five overall outings. The Colts are coming off a 23–27 home loss to the Dallas Cowboys in their last start on Mon, 9 Nov, which marked five straight defeats.

Miami holds fourth spot in the AFC East, scoring 126 points and conceding 200 through eight matches. The Dolphins are also coming off a last-start defeat, falling 9–19 to the Detroit Lions on Mon, 9 Nov. Over their last five overall games, Miami averages 18 points scored and 22.8 points against, boasting a tighter average loss margin of 6.8 points compared to Indianapolis' 12.6 points.

On the board, Indianapolis is installed as the 1.74 favourite in head-to-head betting, while Miami is priced at 2.1 as the visiting underdog.

Line Analysis: Can Dolphins Cover The Start?

The line market lists Indianapolis giving up a -2.5 point start at home, with both sides priced at 1.9. That line number jumps off the page when looking at Miami's recent performances.

Miami's last five outings include four losses by margins of 10, 5, 7, and 5 points, alongside a 28–25 away win against the New York Jets on Mon, 26 Oct. With an average loss margin of just 6.8 points across their last five overall, Miami rates a real chance to keep this contest well within a field goal.