Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts: Week 11 Stats & Tips

Up ya go! Week 11 brings an AFC South battle to Reliant Stadium on Fri 20 Nov, 12:15 pm AEDT as the Houston Texans host the Indianapolis Colts. The numbers say Houston's attack is firing on all cylinders, putting up 31 points per game across their last five overall starts. If you are locking in your nfl predictions this week, this matchup jumps off the page with plenty of stat edges to unpack.

Who Will Win?

Houston sit second in the AFC South with a 3-5 record and get a big tick coming off a dominant 44–22 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers. That makes it three wins from their last five overall starts for the Texans, who are posting 31 points for and conceding 23.4 per game across that sample. Their average winning margin in those victories sits at 16 points.

Indianapolis sit third in the division at 2-7. The Colts are coming off a 23–27 loss against the Dallas Cowboys, which marked their fifth straight defeat overall. Over their last five overall games, Indianapolis are averaging just 16.4 points for while giving up 29 points per game. While the Colts took out the last head-to-head clash 19–17 back in September 2026, current form rates Houston a real chance to take control. On the board, Houston are priced at 1.19 in head-to-head market with Indianapolis at 4.8.

Line Bet: Can Houston Cover the Spread?

The line for this contest is set at -10.5 points for Houston. The Texans' average winning margin over their last five overall games is 16 points, which sits comfortably clear of the spread. Meanwhile, the Colts hold an average loss margin of 12.6 points across their last five overall outings.

Given Houston's scoring output against an Indianapolis side giving up 29 points per game in their last five overall, backing Houston to cover the line rates a real chance.