Week 4 brings a big NFC clash as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Green Bay Packers at 4:00 am AEDT on Monday, 5 October.

Both teams hold a 2-1 overall record on the season, but their recent form points in very different directions. Green Bay arrives with serious momentum on offense, while Tampa Bay looks to bounce back on home turf after a tough road outing.

Who Will Win?

The Packers jump off the page coming into this match off a wild 42–38 victory over the Arizona Cardinals. That marked back-to-back wins for Green Bay, who previously dominated the Denver Broncos 33–13 on the road. Through three matches, Green Bay has racked up 84 points while conceding 79.

Tampa Bay also sits at 2-1 overall, but their last start resulted in a 0–19 loss against the Jacksonville Jaguars on the road. Before that setback, the Buccaneers locked in a tight 16–15 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs at home. Tampa Bay has put up 40 points so far while conceding 50.

When browsing nfl predictions ahead of kickoff, the Green Bay Packers sit as head-to-head favourites at 1.58, with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offering 2.40. The numbers say Green Bay's scoring potency gives them the edge here.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 2:13 pm AEST. Odds can change.
Big tickOur tip: Green Bay Packers. Green Bay is coming off back-to-back victories with 84 season points scored, while Tampa Bay failed to score in their last start.

Tipped at $1.58 (1:13 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

13.3Season avg points for28
16.7Season avg points against26.3
67%Season win rate67%
8Last 2 avg points for37.5
50%Last-five win rate100%

Line Analysis

The line is set at 3.5 points for this Week 4 contest. Home side Tampa Bay Buccaneers gets a +3.5 start at 1.80, while the Green Bay Packers lay -3.5 at 2.00.

Green Bay proved they can handle business on the road with a 20-point win over Denver in their earlier away fixture. Given Tampa Bay is coming off a 19-point loss, backing Green Bay Packers -3.5 rates a real chance on current scoring form.

LineOdds correct as at 2:13 pm AEST. Odds can change.
Solid tickOur tip: Green Bay Packers -3.5. The Packers hold a 20-point road win in their recent results, while Tampa Bay is coming off a 19-point defeat.

Tipped at $2.00 (1:13 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers+3.5last 2

Cover rate50%1/2
Avg margin (-9)avg -9vs -3.5
-1316

Green Bay Packers-3.5last 2

Cover rate100%2/2
50%Cover % (form)100%