Week 1 is here and Allegiant Stadium is set to jump as the Las Vegas Raiders host the Miami Dolphins on Mon, 14 Sept, 6:25 am AEST. Both teams are looking to set the tone early in the season after tricky opening runs.

When checking out the latest nfl predictions, the numbers jump off the page in favour of the home side. Miami arrives with a 0-3 overall record, struggling to put points on the board with just 22 total points scored across their opening three fixtures while conceding 63 points.

Las Vegas holds a 1-2 record overall and will be hungry to bounce back in front of their home fans after a 12-18 loss to the San Francisco 49ers.

Who Will Win? Raiders vs Dolphins Breakdown

The head-to-head stats give Las Vegas a solid edge entering this clash. The Raiders sit at 1-2 overall on the ladder with a -17 point differential (48 points for, 65 points against), while Miami is sitting at 0-3 with a -41 point differential.

Looking at recent outings, Las Vegas is coming off a 12-18 defeat at home against the San Francisco 49ers on 28 Aug, which followed a 22-20 away victory over the Houston Texans on 21 Aug. They hold a 0-2 home record and a 1-0 road record so far this campaign.

Miami's attack has hit a speed bump. Coming off a 12-17 loss to the Atlanta Falcons on 29 Aug and a 3-26 loss to the New York Giants on 23 Aug, the Dolphins are 0-2 at home and 0-1 away. With Las Vegas priced at 1.52 and Miami at 2.55 in the head-to-head market, the home side rates a real chance to claim the victory.

Head to HeadOdds correct as at 8:29 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipLas Vegas Raiders1.52Miami Dolphins2.55
Big tickOur tip: Las Vegas Raiders. Las Vegas rates a strong chance at home against a Miami side that has managed just 22 points across three matches.

Tipped at $1.52 (3:33 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

16Season avg points for7.3
21.7Season avg points against21
33%Season win rate0%
17Last 2 avg points for7.5
50%Last-five win rate0%

Line Analysis: Covering the Spread

The line is set at -3.5 points for the Las Vegas Raiders. Laying 3.5 points at home gets a big tick considering Miami's scoring struggles across their three starts.

Miami has dropped games by margins of 5 points (12-17 v Falcons) and 23 points (3-26 v Giants). Las Vegas displayed strong fighting spirit in their 22-20 win over Houston, and despite their 6-point loss to San Francisco (12-18), their superior overall output gives them a solid statistical edge to cover the -3.5 line.

LineOdds correct as at 6:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipLas Vegas Raiders -3.52.15Miami Dolphins +3.51.70
Solid tickOur tip: Las Vegas Raiders -3.5. The Raiders hold a clear point differential advantage (-17 vs -41) to back up covering the 3.5-point spread.

Tipped at $1.95 (3:33 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Las Vegas Raiders-3.5last 2

Cover rate0%0/2
Avg margin (-2)avg -2vs 3.5
-188

Miami Dolphins+3.5last 2

Cover rate0%0/2
0%Cover % (form)0%

Popular Same Game Multi Options

For punters looking at combined options on the board, popular Same Game Multi feature combos are available for this matchup.

One notable combo is Raiders to win, Total points over 40.5 & Mike Washington Jr. to score first touchdown priced at 17. Another featured option is Total points over 40.5 & Ashton Jeanty & Mike Washington Jr. to score a touchdown priced at 4.33, alongside Raiders win by 13+, Total points over 40.5 & Mike Washington Jr. to score 2+ touchdowns at 15.