Dallas Cowboys came away with a 27–23 win over Indianapolis Colts in a tight Week 9 matchup at Lucas Oil Stadium on Monday. The Cowboys held on despite both teams arriving in poor form — each had lost their most recent start heading into this one, and neither side was setting the world alight.
The Colts remain anchored at 2–7 after the loss, while Dallas improves to 5–5 and keeps its playoff hopes alive. The game played out closer than the pre-match odds suggested, with the Cowboys favoured at 1.45 on the head-to-head market.
How the tips went
We backed Dallas Cowboys to win at 1.38 — that one landed, and rates a tick in the win column.
Our line tip, Cowboys -5.5, ran into trouble. Dallas won the game but only by 4 points, falling short of the spread. That's a loss.
The numbers in hindsight
The Colts have now dropped four straight before this clash, averaging just 17.8 points across their last five. Coming off a 7–42 shellacking by Jacksonville, they were heavy underdogs — and while they kept this one competitive, the scoreline tells the story of a team still struggling to stay in games.
Dallas leaned on a steadier offensive showing, though the Cowboys themselves had just dropped a 3-point heartbreaker to Arizona. Both teams looked fragile on defence, and the final margin reflected that closeness. Neither outfit was sharp enough to run away with it.