Up ya go! We have got Round 11 Serie A action as Genoa host AC Milan at 1:00 am AEDT on Monday, 9 November. The numbers jump off the page right away in this one: AC Milan sit 3rd on the Serie A ladder with a 2-0-0 record, having netted 4 goals while conceding just 1. Genoa are searching for their first points of the campaign down in 16th spot at 0-0-2 after failing to score in their opening two starts.
If you are hunting for sharp serie a predictions, this clash delivers plenty of statistical angles to sink your teeth into ahead of kickoff.
Match Winner: Milan Drift, Genoa Firm
AC Milan enter this fixture coming off a 2-0 victory over Venezia at home on Saturday, 29 August, which followed a 2-1 away triumph against Torino on Monday, 24 August. That gives the visitors two wins from two to start the term with a +3 goal differential.
Genoa, on the other hand, are coming off a 0-1 defeat away to Lazio on Monday, 31 August, following a 0-2 loss at home to Napoli on Sunday, 23 August. Genoa are yet to find the back of the net this season.
In head-to-head market movement, AC Milan opened as firm favourites but have 1.75→1.88 (drifted), while Genoa have 4.3→4 (firmed) and the draw has 3.5→3.3 (firmed). Even with the price move on the visitors, Milan's winning start and Genoa's scoreless run give the away side a big tick to collect all three points.
Tipped at $1.88 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Head-to-head context
Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.
Line Market: Genoa Handed a Two-Goal Start
The line market sets Genoa with a 2 goal handicap. In line price movement, Genoa has 1.32→1.27 (firmed) while AC Milan has 7.5→8.5 (drifted).
AC Milan's two wins this term came by margins of 1 goal (2-1 over Torino) and 2 goals (2-0 over Venezia). Genoa's two defeats were by margins of 2 goals (0-2 v Napoli) and 1 goal (0-1 v Lazio). With Milan winning tight games and Genoa staying within two goals in both outings, Genoa +2 on the line rates a real chance for punters looking for coverage.
Tipped at $1.27 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Line cover (form)
Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.
Genoa+2last 2
AC Milan-2last 2
Total Goals: Under 2.5 Market Firming
The total goals line sits at 2.5 goals. The 24-hour price movement has seen Over 2.5 goals 2→2.05 (drifted), while Under 2.5 goals has 1.75→1.7 (firmed).
The numbers say the market move toward the Under is well backed up. Genoa have scored 0 goals across their two matches while conceding 3 total goals. AC Milan have conceded just 1 goal in two matches while scoring 4 goals overall. Neither of Genoa's matches has exceeded 2 goals, and AC Milan's most recent outing produced exactly 2 goals in their 2-0 win over Venezia. Under 2.5 goals jumps off the page as a strong statistical play.
Tipped at $1.70 · . Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.
Total goals
Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 2.5.
Hit rate vs 2.5
Popular Same Game Multi Combos
If you are looking to build a Same Game Multi for Monday morning's contest, there are several featured combinations on the board. One popular option pairs Christian Pulisic to score anytime with Over 3.5 cards & Over 8.5 corners at 7.
Alternatively, BTTS, Over 8.5 corners & Over 2.5 cards sits at 4.2. For those eyeing another angle, Goncalo Ramos to score anytime & Johan Vasquez to be carded is available at 6.5.