Two unbeaten records go head-to-head this Sunday, 13 Sept, 11:00 pm AEST as Lille host Troyes at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The numbers jump off the page right away. Both sides sit level on four points with identical 1-1-0 season records after two matches. Lille currently occupy third spot on the ladder with a +2 goal differential, while Troyes sit sixth with a +1 goal differential. If you are searching for expert ligue 1 predictions, this clash offers plenty of statistical intrigue.

Who Will Win?

Lille enter this contest as favourites at 1.38, while the draw is priced at 4.50 and Troyes sit at 6.75. Punters have taken note of the visitors' sharp start, with Troyes shifting 7.25→6.75 (firmed) in head-to-head betting over the last 24 hours. The visitors come off a 2-1 away victory over Lorient on 30 Aug, following a 0-0 home draw against Paris FC on 23 Aug.

Lille present strong overall form of their own. Last start on 29 Aug, they played out an impressive 2-2 home draw against Paris Saint-Germain, following a 2-0 away win against Angers on 23 Aug. That leaves Lille with four goals scored and two conceded overall this term, while Troyes have netted two and allowed one. Lille's quality at home gives them the upper hand in match-winner markets, but Troyes' defensive discipline makes this a tight proposition.

Win/Draw/WinOdds correct as at 10:13 pm AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipLille1.38Troyes7.25
Solid tickOur tip: Lille. Lille boast third spot on the ladder and locked in a 2-2 draw with PSG last start, giving them the edge at home.

Tipped at $1.38 (11:13 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

4Season avg goals for2
2Season avg goals against1
100%Season win rate100%
2Last 2 avg goals for1
50%Last-five win rate50%

Line Analysis

The line market has set Lille at -2 goals. In line movement, Lille have moved 3.5→3.75 (drifted), while Troyes have come in 1.65→1.62 (firmed) at +2 goals. The stats show Troyes have kept matches exceptionally tight early in the season, conceding just one goal across their two outings.

Lille won by a two-goal margin in their 2-0 win over Angers, but coming off a 2-2 draw with PSG, laying a two-goal line is a big ask against a Troyes squad that is yet to lose. Getting a two-goal start on Troyes rates a real chance to keep this close on paper.

LineOdds correct as at 10:13 pm AEST. Odds can change.
Lille -23.50Our tipTroyes +21.65
Solid tickOur tip: Troyes +2. Troyes have conceded just one goal in two games and firmed from 1.65→1.62 on the +2 line, making the away start appealing.

Tipped at $1.62 (11:13 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Line cover (form)

Cover rate applies this match's live spread to recent completed scores — not a season ATS record.

Lille-2last 2

Cover rate0%0/1
Avg margin (+1)avg 1vs 2
-46

Troyes+2last 2

Cover rate100%2/2
0%Cover % (form)100%

Same Game Multi Options

If you are looking at multi combinations, popular Same Game Multi options are available on the board. One key combo features Olivier Giroud to score anytime, Troyes to win & BTTS at 26.0. Another option catching eyes is Renaud Ripart to score anytime, draw & BTTS at 10.0. Punters can also look at Benjamin Andre to be carded & Anis Ouzenadji to be carded priced at 10.0.