Deportivo vs Sevilla: Unbeaten Home Start Tested — Our Tips

It is a cracking La Liga clash set for Riazor on Thu, 17 Sept, 3:00 am AEST as Deportivo host Sevilla. Both sides have made lively starts to the campaign, setting up a proper test early in the season. If you are diving into la liga predictions for this match-up, the numbers say we are in for a tight, high-intensity battle between two teams sitting inside the top eight.

Deportivo come into this assignment unbeaten across their opening fixtures, holding 8th spot on the ladder with 5 points from a 1-2-0 record (5 goals for, 3 against). Meanwhile, Sevilla hold 6th position with 6 points from their 2-0-1 campaign (6 goals for, 5 against). With both clubs showing plenty of attacking intent early on, this fixture jumps off the page as a key clash on the midweek schedule.

Who Will Win? Deportivo vs Sevilla Match-Winner

Deportivo enter this contest off a solid result, coming off a 3–1 home win over Valencia on Mon, 31 Aug. That victory at Riazor followed a 1–1 draw away to Málaga on Tue, 25 Aug, keeping their early-season ledger undefeated. Playing at home has already paid dividends for Deportivo, securing a convincing performance in their lone home outing so far.

Sevilla, on the other hand, are looking to bounce back. Their last start ended in a 1–3 loss at home against Atlético Madrid on Sun, 30 Aug. Prior to that setback, Sevilla picked up maximum points on the road with a 3–1 victory against Athletic Club on Sun, 23 Aug.

In the match-winner market, Deportivo hold favourite status at 2.4. Sevilla have drifted in market support, moving 2.9→2.95 (drifted), while the draw has firmed from 3.15→3.1 (firmed). Given Deportivo's undefeated start and recent 3–1 win at Riazor, home ground advantage gives them a big tick and rates a real chance of taking all three points.

Line Market Analysis: Handicap Setup

The line market has set Deportivo as -2 goal favourites. Playing at -2 requires Deportivo to deliver a multi-goal margin victory, while Sevilla +2 provides a cushion for the visitors.

Across their opening fixtures, Deportivo's lone win came by a 2-goal margin (3–1 v Valencia), while Sevilla's defeat also came by a 2-goal margin (1–3 v Atlético Madrid). Sevilla also claimed a 2-goal win away from home earlier in the month (3–1 v Athletic Club). Given that Sevilla have already proven capable of finding the net away from home, taking Sevilla with the +2 goal start rates a real chance to cover.

Total Goals Breakdown

The total goals mark for this fixture is set at 2.5 goals, with the under option heavily backed in early market movement, firming 1.67→1.65 (firmed).

The stats feed shows plenty of goal action across both squads in their recent starts. Deportivo scored 3 goals in their last start (W 3–1 v Valencia) and conceded 1 in each of their two matches this season. Sevilla's games have also been lively, featuring four total goals in each of their two outings (L 1–3 v Atlético Madrid and W 3–1 v Athletic Club). Market money has backed Under 2.5 goals strongly, making it an interesting angle for punters evaluating total goal counts.