A huge La Liga showdown kicks off at Mendizorrotza on Wed, 16 Sept, 4:00 am AEST as fourth-placed Alavés play host to 16th-placed Valencia.

The contrast jumps off the page early. Alavés have surged into fourth position with a crisp 2-1-0 record, accumulating 7 points while allowing just a single goal across three starts. Valencia, meanwhile, sit down in 16th spot with a 0-1-2 record and just 1 point to their name.

Who Wins The Match?

When checking out the latest la liga predictions, Alavés rate a real chance to claim all three points on home turf. They come off a tight 1–0 victory over Villarreal at home on Sat, 29 Aug. That result gives them two wins and a draw from three league games, boasting 5 goals scored against 1 conceded.

Valencia enter this fixture coming off a 1–3 loss on the road against Deportivo on Mon, 31 Aug. Their overall three-game sequence reads L-L-D, having registered just 1 goal scored and 4 goals conceded so far this campaign.

Market movement reflects that current form line. In head-to-head betting, Alavés have firmed from 1.95→1.88 (firmed), while Valencia have drifted from 4→4.1 (drifted). The draw option has also shifted from 3.15→3.3 (drifted).

Win/Draw/WinOdds correct as at 3:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipAlavés1.65Valencia5.00
Big tickOur tip: Alavés. Alavés are unbeaten in fourth spot and coming off a strong 1–0 home victory, while Valencia remain winless through three starts.

Tipped at $1.88 (11:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Head-to-head context

Season and last-five scoring — context for the match-winner market.

2.5Season avg goals for0.5
0.5Season avg goals against2
100%Season win rate0%
1Last 3 avg goals for0.3
50%Last-five win rate0%

Handicap Line Breakdown

The line market sits at 1 goal. Alavés have firmed from 1.24→1.23 (firmed) on the line, whereas Valencia have drifted from 11→11.5 (drifted).

The numbers say Valencia have struggled to generate consistent final-third impact, averaging 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded across their three overall matches, with an average loss margin of 1.5 goals. That leaves Alavés looking solid to hold the upper hand at Mendizorrotza.

MarketsOdds correct as at 3:12 am AEST. Odds can change.

Odds subject to change. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Total Goals Analysis

The total goals market is set at 2.5 goals. Price action shows Over 2.5 has moved 2.15→2.1 (firmed), while Under 2.5 has shifted 1.67→1.68 (drifted).

Alavés have kept things tight at the back, giving up just 1 goal in three matches. With Valencia averaging only 0.3 goals for per game over their 3-match overall sample, defensiveness could dictate the overall tempo.

Total Goals (+/- 2.5)Odds correct as at 3:12 am AEST. Odds can change.
Our tipOver 2.51.86Under 2.51.83
Solid tickOur tip: Over 2.5. Over 2.5 goals has seen steady firming support from 2.15→2.1 (firmed) in recent market updates.

Tipped at $2.10 (11:12 pm AEST). Opinion, not a guarantee. Gamble responsibly — 18+.

Total goals

Combined score from recent completed games · marker shows live line 2.5.

Alavés games (n=2)avg 1.5vs 2.5
07
Valencia games (n=3)avg 1.7vs 2.5
07

Hit rate vs 2.5

Alavésn=2
Over 0%Under 100%
Valencian=3
Over 33%Under 67%
1Avg goals for (form)0.3

Same Game Multi Focus

For punters eyeing up popular combinations, Same Game Multi options are available for this clash. One notable combination on the board is Over 1.5 goals & Over 3.5 Alaves corners at 1.75.

Another featured option includes Valencia to win, Over 2.5 goals & Over 7.5 corners priced at 8.