Shortest win price
Alabama Hammer (1)
2.90
Welcome to Queanbeyan for race five on the card, featuring the Tab Quaddie Pump (Bm58) over the sharp 900m dash on a good four surface under fine skies. The market has Alabama Hammer heading the win order right up front, closely followed by Curly Bend, Xceptional Spirit, and The Crusher holding down the next lines in betting. With a speed map packed with natural pace influence from the likes of Alabama Hammer, The Crusher, Xceptional Spirit, and Prince Of Love all looking to push forward, this short sprint is going to be run at a breakneck speed right from the jump at 3:40 pm AEDT.
Alabama Hammer rates a real chance here coming back to a country benchmark fifty-eight after fighting on gamely at Newcastle when first-up over this exact trip, and the added fitness second-up should suit. Curly Bend brings some intriguing form to the table following a nice let-up, having let down really well to run second at Moruya over 1020m last time out, plus the stable combination is firing well above market expectations. Xceptional Spirit maps well from barrier seven as a proven pace influence who has previously placed over this track and distance, making the numbers jump off the page for an honest effort despite weakening late at Orange two starts back. The Crusher kicks off a new campaign after a 14-week break following a maiden win at Quirindi last campaign, and finally catching a good gate here means an exotic play could be on the cards.
Looking further down the order, runners like Rosy Sue bring backmarker form with Emma Ly locked in, whose recent rides are outperforming market expectations significantly. Speed groups will dictate how this plays out with the early leaders carving it out, but keep an eye on how the backmarkers like Curly Bend finish off if the pace up front is too hot. Grab a program, check the final odds on track, and enjoy the dash down the Queanbeyan straight.
Shortest win price
Alabama Hammer (1)
2.90
Most career wins
More Stylish and Rosy Sue
3 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Alabama Hammer · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Curly Bend · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
The Crusher · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Hell Of A Show · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Career
3: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Newcastle
3: 1-0-1
Distance 900m
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4.5kg weight here
AAP
In touch, winner cleared out but she kept fighting on at Newcastle first up. Will be fitter second-up and can challenge back in a country BM58.
ILB
Gave a strong sight when 3rd beaten by just over 4L last start at Newcastle and challenged by less formidable competitors. Will be positive in the run early. Expecting a solid performance.
RP
Creditable effort when 25-1 third (Newcastle) three weeks ago; should prove competitive.
RSIS
Started off strong but faded towards the end when 3rd beaten by over 4L last run at Newcastle and goes down in class. Good career start. Win will not surprise.
Career
4: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-1-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 1-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
AAP
Placed (Bm66) at Muswellbrook 5 Oct. Reasonable effort without seriously threatening on a soft deck at Port Macquarie. Coming back slightly in distance and commands attention.
ILB
Was $7.00 and faded to finish 7th last run at Port Macquarie. Going well this preparation.
RP
Respectable seventh at Port Macquarie over 5f (handicap) last month; capable of going well as shown she can get her head in front.
RSIS
Was 6/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last run at Port Macquarie. In a purple patch of form of late.
Career
23: 2-4-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
7: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Moruya
4: 0-3-1
Distance 1000m
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1010m
3: 0-2-1
Distance 1020m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 2-2-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-1-1
Going Soft
7: 0-1-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 230%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Anthony Warren in good form, out performing market 39%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
AAP
Let-up (56-days). Settled midfield, let down really well at Moruya. Won only other time at Queanbeyan. Can play a role.
ILB
Back from a freshen up. Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd beaten by 1L last start at Moruya. Brodie Loy and Anthony Warren are usually a competitive duo. Major chance.
RP
A respectable runner-up of 11 over 5f at Moruya (handicap) two months ago; producing solid form figures; has won here before.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Kept coming when 2nd last run at Moruya. Brodie Loy and Anthony Warren deserve serious attention when combined. Winning chance.
Career
2: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Quirindi
1: 1-0-0
Track Taree
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1007m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Winona Costin 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 35%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 43% Profit on Turnover
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (14-weeks). In the minors at Taree on debut last campaign. Finally draws a gate. Could add some value to exotics.
ILB
Racing fresh after a break. Picked up late to win last run at Quirindi and can find a nice position from the draw. Will be down in distance. Keep safe.
RP
Gained narrow success in a maiden at Quirindi when registering his first success at the second time of asking three months ago; he's worth a go.
RSIS
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Ran over the top of them when winning last time at Quirindi and has a good draw. Dropping in distance.
Career
33: 2-5-3
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
3: 0-0-1
Track Hawkesbury
5: 1-0-1
Track Gundagai
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-2-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 1-4-3
Going Soft
11: 1-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 34% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Glenn Cahill 26% above market expected in L100 Rides
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (63-days). Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge this track. One for exotics fresh in this affair.
ILB
First run back from a break. Was $15.00 and faded away to finish 7th last start at this venue but can save some energy from the gate. Rough hope.
RP
Beaten 5l (seventh) over 6f here (handicap) in September; has winning track form; he can be taken on given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Started 14/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at this venue but drawn nicely. Back to a shorter trip.
Career
5: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Queanbeyan
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Weakened in run home at Orange. Pace influence who has placed this track and distance. Right in this.
ILB
Odds of $6.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last time at Orange. Should come to hand quickly. Showing good ability since returning from a break. Could be in the mix.
RP
Close up behind Media Coverage when eighth over 5f at Orange (handicap) three weeks ago; shown she can win fairly recently and ought to be in the mix.
RSIS
Was 5/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last time at Orange. Has early pace and positions nicely. Putting up notable efforts since resuming from a break. Betting is the best guide.
Career
12: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
8: 1-1-0
Distance 900m
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 65%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 25%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Ridden cold and never in the picture at Newcastle first up. New to Queanbeyan. Can't enthuse.
ILB
At $101.00 disappointing effort when 7th last run at Newcastle but up against a less competitive field. Can't recommend.
RP
Finished behind Alabama Hammer when beaten 9l (seventh of nine) at Newcastle last month; slumped a bit since winning a maiden at Kempsey last November; a few rivals look in good form so easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Was 100/1 and below standard effort when 7th last run at Newcastle but competing at a lower grade.
Career
33: 2-5-6
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Tumut
1: 1-0-0
Track Nowra
3: 0-1-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
18: 2-1-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 0-4-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 7%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 28%
Key Jockey
Positive
Damon Budler winning at 22% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 59%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Showed plenty of fight to secure victory at Tumut. Good second only time this t/d. Sterner test awaits but retains plenty of appeal.
ILB
Nice effort when winning by 3/4L last run at Tumut. Watch the betting.
RP
Landed a narrow success in a handicap (Tumut) last month; despite that Tumut success, not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Bold effort to win by 3/4L last start at Tumut. Not at all out of this race.
Career
15: 3-0-3
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 2-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Townsville
1: 0-0-0
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Mackay
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 1-0-2
Going Good
4: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Olivia Chambers current POT is 39% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 53%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 48% in L100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 20%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 2 from 3 when resuming
AAP
Resuming after a (71-weeks) spell. Third run now in new stable/region. Has a good first up record while winning a recent trial without much pressure. Always a challenge off long break but check markets.
ILB
Could build on a strong first up record. Was $19.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last time at Sapphire Coast. Place claims at best.
RP
Not disgraced in seventh over 5f at Moruya (handicap) last June; long absence to overcome; this is competitive and she can be taken on.
RSIS
Could build on a strong first run back record. Was 18/1 and looked outclassed when 10th last time at Sapphire Coast. Success in a trial around here on Oct 26th.
Career
13: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Albury
1: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
5: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 59%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Ex Shane Bloomfield. Trained here now. Prominent to 400m but threw the towel in quickly at Wagga over longer assignment. Leads, handy but best viewed as a rough place hope.
ILB
Odds of $61.00 and didn't attack the line when 11th last run at Wagga and back to a shorter trip. Blinkers go on for the first time. Others make far more appeal.
RP
Finished last of 11 over 6f at Wagga (handicap) 24 days ago; first run for stable; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role as a few rivals look in good form.
RSIS
Odds of 60/1 and faded to finish 11th last run at Wagga and down in trip. Blinkers go on for the first time. Change in trainer.
Career
33: 3-3-1
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Adaminaby
1: 0-0-0
Track Bombala
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
7: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 920m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
16: 2-1-1
Going Unknown
4: 1-1-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 1-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 44% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Emma Ly 42% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten (outside alley) at Tumut second-up. Two latest efforts lacked bite so needs to step up.
ILB
Started at $16.00 and was nothing special when 8th last time at Tumut. Might have to make up considerable ground. Very unlikely.
RP
Came home last last month in race won by Media Coverage over 5f (handicap, Tumut); probably unlikely to trouble the principals with a few rivals in good form.
RSIS
Was 15/1 and sub-standard effort when 8th last time at Tumut. Expected to settle towards the rear.