Moe (VIC) horses tips & previews

15 Nov, 2:02 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Moe (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sun 15 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Today's meetingsMoe (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Bidfood Hcp (62) 1600m · jumps Sun 15 Nov, 4:00 pm AEDT

Race notes

0 - 62,0 - 62 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 62
GOOD4
Showers
13 runners

Shortest win price

Girt By Sea (6)

2.70

Most career wins

Grand Sage

8-4-7 from 53 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

12Grand Sage

Offmidfield

1Ashau Valley
14Anything But

Midfield

11Preservator
3Sensational Ruler

Offpace

6Girt By Sea
5Duke Of Clarence
10Pensatore

Onpace

2Aseventy Seven
8Real Alliance
13Satin Image
9Who I Think I Am

Leader

7King Of Savoy

Ashau Valley · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Aseventy Seven · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Sensational Ruler · Negative
Jockey Booking
Craig Newitt current POT is 44% below Career Avg.
Duke Of Clarence · Negative
Rider
Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Ashau ValleyJ: Patrick Moloney·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker360kg–$8.00$2.75

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
P & H Carey & Walker striking at just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Failed to flatter at Cranbourne over this trip. Needs to recapture form.

ILB

Below standard effort when 7th last time at Cranbourne. May see an upturn in form. Will be trying to topple them late. Good prospects.

Finished seventh, beaten a fair way at Cranbourne last Friday; this is his level; could be in the mix.

RSIS

Below standard effort when 7th last start at Cranbourne. Giving another chance here. Finishes off strongly. Has a good chance.

2Aseventy SevenJ: Brad Rawiller·T: E & D Browne559.5kg9 6 3 9 549: 7-2-6$6.00$2.25

Career

49: 7-2-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-2
Third-up
5: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 1-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-1-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1614m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1406m
1: 1-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
22: 4-1-2
Going Heavy
7: 1-1-1

Last starts

5Moe2050m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.65L
9Ballarat1600m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD44.6L
3Mornington1500m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.25L
6Pakenham Synthetic1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.3L
9Sale1600m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT65.9L
9Sale1429m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY910.8L
7Donald1200m9 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT76.8L
7Kyneton1856m31 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD34.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 16% better than Career Avg.
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Upped in distance when reasonable effort without seriously threatening this course. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Started $5.50 and came in 5th last time at this venue and coming back in distance. Should jump out and bowl along. Challenged by more formidable competitors. Has some claims.

Has won previously at this course; respectable effort (beaten 2½l) over 1m2f here (handicap) last month; has to be respected if replicating most recent run.

RSIS

Started at 9/2 and finished 5th last start at this venue and back to a shorter trip. Should come to hand quickly. Up against tougher rivals. Watch for a sign in the market.

3Sensational RulerJ: Craig Newitt·T: Richard Laming1358.5kg7 4 1 8 1113: 2-0-1$20.00$4.40

Career

13: 2-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Moe
3: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
2: 1-0-0
Track Sale
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1

Last starts

11Wangaratta1590m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD47.62L
8Kilmore1600m28 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.75L
1Kilmore1450m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-1.3
4Hamilton1600m12 July 2026 · BM56-HWGT · HEAVY104.7L
7Moe1614m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY97.5L
3Moe1623m12 May 2026 · BM56 · SOFT75.3L
1Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.3
4Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.6L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Craig Newitt current POT is 44% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 51% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten (wide barrier) at Wangaratta at longer odds. Can make his presence felt with even breaks.

ILB

Fairly underwhelming when 11th last start at Wangaratta and competing at a higher grade. Blinkers go on for the first time and gets a reduction in weight. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Towards the rear of 14 at Wangaratta last month; others are preferred.

RSIS

Underperformed when 11th last run at Wangaratta and testing ability against stronger contenders. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time and gets some weight relief. Can't leave out of your calculations.

4Celestial OptionScratched14––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer50%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Comments

AAP

Genuine campaigner. Prominent and scooted clear to victory at Echuca second-up. Worth a look.

ILB

Flew home to win last start at Echuca but facing formidable opponents. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw.

RSIS

Finished with purpose when winning last time at Echuca but matched against a stronger field. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw.

5Duke Of ClarenceJ: Joe Bowditch·T: K & G Mayberry858kg3 6 2 1 49: 1-1-1$11.00$3.50

Career

9: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1715m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1717m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

4Warrnambool2350m28 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY1010.25L
1Warrnambool2000m14 June 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY10-1.75
2Geelong1715m4 June 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY102.3L
6Sale1732m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD36.3L
3Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT67.3L
7Kyneton1887m27 Feb 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT69.5L
4Sale1717m1 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42L
6Seymour1600m28 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD48L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). Lone career win was over 2000m at Warrnambool in last campaign. Looks a risk fresh.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break. Started $3.60 and faded late when 4th last run at Warrnambool on a heavy rated track but racing against tougher rivals. Back in trip. Rough hope.

Seems to have stepped up on previous form the last twice; disappointed backers when fourth at Warrnambool over 1m3½f (handicap) in June; unexposed in handicaps with this his second start in this company; returns from a layoff; others appeal more.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started at 13/5 and outsprinted when 4th last time at Warrnambool but will be down in distance. Taking on stronger opponents.

6Girt By SeaJ: Thomas Stockdale·T: M W Walker1257.5kg–$2.70$1.40

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Sheer display of grit and determination at St Arnaud at second outing. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Good win by 3/4L last start at St Arnaud but racing in stronger company. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts this preparation. Good chance at a nice price.

Off the mark at the second time of asking at St Arnaud last month in a maiden; every chance.

RSIS

Winner by 3/4L last time at St Arnaud but competing at a higher class. Been in the top three each attempt lately. Strong prospects.

7King Of SavoyJ: Jake Noonan·T: Malcolm Leys257kg3 1 7 4 129: 1-0-1$26.00$5.00

Career

9: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed60%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2435m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Moe2400m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD425.75L
4Wagga2000m19 Sept 2026 · AGGIES CUP · GOOD41.45L
7Geelong2435m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY812.5L
1Sale2200m26 July 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-0.2
3Bairnsdale1600m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT73.6L
11Warrnambool2350m9 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD416.4L
9Kyneton1887m10 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD412.5L
7Geelong1755m26 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Ex Trent Edmonds in Victoria. Failed to threaten this venue over longer test as an outsider. Can play a role.

ILB

Freshened for this. Started $51.00 and looked outclassed when 12th last run here but has a good draw. Tongue tie go off for the first time but dropping in distance. Slim possibilty.

Was tailed off 52 days ago upped to 1m4f; now running for a new trainer; others more persuasive.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Odds of 50/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 12th last time at this venue but drawn nicely. Should race on the pace.

8Real AllianceJ: Damien Thornton·T: Luke Oliver456.5kg–$8.00$2.75

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 67%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 51%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $16 when unable to threaten at Kilmore over today's trip. Hard to warm to.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Jumped at $16.00 and struggled with the pace when 10th last run at Kilmore. Happy to overlook that run. Taking on stronger opponents. Definite claims for punters.

Towards the rear of 13 at Kilmore 48 days ago; yet to taste defeat over this C&D, winning on all two attempts; entitled to respect.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Was 15/1 and struggled with the pace when 10th last time at Kilmore. Looking for an improved run. Up in grade. Good chance in this.

9Who I Think I AmJ: Carleen Hefel·T: C Maher1156.5kg2 4 2 1 68: 1-3-0$5.50$2.15

Career

8: 1-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
2: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1856m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Kyneton1856m4 Nov 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY105.75L
1Warrnambool1700m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
2Tatura1600m29 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41L
4Newcastle1900m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.1L
2Goulburn1500m3 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.1L
2Goulburn1500m17 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT60.2L
5Gosford1200m18 June 2026 · 3Y MDN · HEAVY88.5L
6Newcastle800m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Ciaron Maher striking at just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Broke maiden at Warrnambool 15 Oct. Went home tamely in sticky going at Kyneton at $10. Can go forward. Profiles well.

ILB

Odds of $10.00 and faded away to finish 6th last time at Kyneton on a heavy rated track. Interesting to see the blinkers go on for the first time. Betting is the best guide.

Has taken a step forward the last twice; was sixth of nine, beaten 6l, over 1m1f at Kyneton (handicap) last week; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Started at 9/1 and didn't attack the line when 6th last start at Kyneton. Blinkers go on for the first time. Could be in the mix.

10PensatoreJ: Jackie Beriman·T: Ms T Cullen156kg6 3 8 5 520: 1-0-3$51.00$8.00

Career

20: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
3: 0-0-1
Track Edenhope
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1602m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1850m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1

Last starts

5Yarra Valley1209m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT57.02L
5Moe1217m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY98.1L
8Yarra Valley1514m29 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD411.3L
3Yarra Valley1514m19 Dec 2025 · BM56 · GOOD34.5L
6Manangatang1550m11 Oct 2025 · BM56 · GOOD39.9L
5Donald850m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial11.2L
7Ararat2206m27 Mar 2025 · BenchMark 58 · GOOD310.25L
1Edenhope1850m8 Mar 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT6-1.5

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 55%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Went home just tamely at Yarra Glen at $16. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $16.00 and made up ground when 5th last run at Yarra Valley and returns to more ground. Has a nice advantage with a good gate. Up in class. Prefer in an easier race.

You have to go back a fair way to find his only win; was fifth of ten, beaten 7l, over 6f at Yarra Glen (handicap) last month; easy to oppose.

RSIS

Was 15/1 and made up ground when 5th last run at Yarra Vstall and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Back to a longer distance.

11PreservatorJ: Teodore Nugent·T: K J Fythe954kg5 5 4 8 644: 3-3-3$17.00$4.00

Career

44: 3-3-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1013m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
6: 1-0-1
Distance 1535m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
23: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
5: 0-1-0
Going Soft
14: 1-0-2

Last starts

6Moe1600m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD32.97L
8Bairnsdale1600m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT76.85L
4Bairnsdale1600m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.5L
5Sale1732m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
5Moe1614m8 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY82.4L
5Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.6L
8Sale1728m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY85.5L
7Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY82.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 28 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept finding the line without threatening this venue over this journey. Has some claims.

ILB

Started $9.50 and came in 6th last start around here and competing in a higher grade. Carrying less weight this time. Won't find this easy.

Infrequent winner; far from disgraced (beaten 3l) last month.

RSIS

Started at 17/2 and ran 6th last time around here and challenged by a tougher grade. Suited by the weight drop.

12Grand SageJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: R C Manning1054kg8 11 1 9 553: 8-4-7$23.00$4.60

Career

53: 8-4-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Balnarring
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1511m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1732m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
29: 8-4-4
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
17: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Balnarring1600m7 Nov 2026 · Open · SOFT73.25L
9Sale1600m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY108.26L
1Yea1600m17 Oct 2026 · Open · GOOD3-2.75
11Moe1600m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.02L
8Sale1717m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65L
9Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.7L
13Sale1728m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY810.1L
7Pakenham Synthetic2200m15 June 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SYNTHETIC4.7L

Insights

Track And Dist
Negative
Has a poor record at this track and trip
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Drop
Positive
Drops 10.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Battled home okay in rain affected going at Balnarring over today's trip. Been racing at the picnics.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Was $6.50 and finished 5th last run at Balnarring and competing at a higher level of competition. Likely to get back in the run. Facing a difficult task today.

Not disgraced in fifth last Saturday at Balnarring, just over 3l behind Satin Image; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started 11/2 and came in 5th last time at Balnarring and racing against tougher rivals. Does take a while to get into stride.

13Satin ImageJ: Sam Kennedy·T: Ms H Stephens754kg10 9 6 10 140: 3-1-4$16.00$4.00

Career

40: 3-1-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Sale
14: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1527m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1740m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1900m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
18: 0-0-3
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
16: 2-1-0

Last starts

1Balnarring1600m7 Nov 2026 · Open · SOFT7-1.75
10Sale1415m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.6L
6Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.6L
9Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT79.1L
10Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY914.2L
6Jerilderie1400m27 Sept 2025 · BM504L
4Bairnsdale1600m7 Sept 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.7L
6Moe1600m24 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT67.4L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sam Kennedy 64% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 3902%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Key Jockey
Positive
Sam Kennedy winning at 41% POT in last 100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start

Comments

AAP

Won in decisive fashion at Balnarring over this trip. Back from picnics.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Was all too good winning by 1 3/4L last time at Balnarring but up against a higher level of opposition. Others much better.

Caused a surprise when landing a handicap over this trip by just under 2l at Balnarring last Saturday, ending losing run; not a great record on second run back after a layoff and looks an unlikely winner.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Good win by 1 3/4L last time at Balnarring but up against a more competitive field.

14Anything ButJ: Aaron Sweeney·T: R C Manning654kg–$101.00$15.00

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field in choppy conditions at Balnarring. Unplaced from 4 starts here. Picnic form.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Jumped at $31.00 and disappointing outing when 6th last time at Balnarring but back to a longer distance. Likely to get back in the field. Form will be tested here.

Beaten a fair way when sixth over 6f at Balnarring (handicap) last week; shown only moderate recent form; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Odds of 30/1 and was nothing special when 6th last run at Balnarring but back over more ground. Might be ridden for luck. Dropping weight.

Odds correct as at Sun 15 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 18 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Thu 24 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races